Service Plays Saturday 10/14/17

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Derek Hayes


CFB
$400 Wyoming +3
$300 Georgia Tech +7 -125
$200 Memphis -3.5
$200 West Virginia -3.5
$100 Charlotte +16.5
$100 UConn +10

[Nashville1]

Eric Schroeder

Today's Winner:

My 75 Dime Winner is on the VIRGINIA CAVALIERS in today's ACC clash with the North Carolina Tar Heels. And as I release this play at 5:45 a.m. pacific, the number I see is Virginia -3.5. And as long as the oddsmakers are you offering anywhere between -3 and -4.5 on this game, buy the half point down.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From Platinum Plays

Guaranteed 500K Big12 Lock/Year
the West Virginia Mountaineers -3½

Best Bets

the Kansas St Wildcats +7
the Duke Blue Devils +7½
the Mississippi St Bulldogs -24
the Air Force Falcons -7½

[Hombre de Burro]

Brian Edwards:
Eastern Michigan +6.5 & SU @ Army
W. Virginia -3.5 vs Texas Tech

[Can'tPickAWinner]

New Orleans Group

NCAAF
Air Force/UNLV over 64 -110

NHL Saturday
Penguins/Panthers over 5.5 -130

[bmd1803]

The Prez

• 
  NC STATE at PITTSBURGH U
  
  4% Total Over 54.0 (-110)
  
  The defensive prowess of the Panthers and head coach Narduzzi has been poor over the last two-plus seasons. An aggressive secondary is being taken to school playing on an island as the front seven try without success to get to opposing quarterbacks.
  
  Expect the Panthers offense to be as aggressive this week as their defense has been all season. And the result is likely to be a large number of mistakes against a capable Wolfpack defensive line that includes soon-to-be rush end Chubb. The 'Pack won't hold back in this event as they face a week off to prepare for both Notre Dame and Clemson to follow, a pair of games that will likely define their season. The clubs win over an injury riddled FSU squad was notable but not so much that it alone will the oddsmakers elevate their market value. The number in this game is not only fair, being minus-11, but under-the-radar back-able, as is the over-under in this contest.
  
  Narduzzi has made yet another change at quarterback again due to check-down Browne's arm injury. Expect the announcers to call the newest signal caller, DiNucci, Narduzzi a time or two this Saturday.
  
  It likely won't be a pleasant homecoming on the Pittsburgh campus this weekend. Despite being in the same conference this is the first meeting as ACC foes for the two squads. Don't expect a letdown from the NC State offense as many are suggesting with a bye week in front of them. Because of their emotional and significant win over Lamar Jackson and the Cardinals a week ago, a previous win over FSU in Florida and upcoming big games, only make this pre-holiday week for the 'Pack a game to keep their offensive momentum flying high.
  
  QB Finley is in a position to overly successful against the man-to-man that Narduzzi schemes in his secondary. Finley threw for nearly 400 yards again last week and a stellar TD to INT ratio this season. The fact that he squares off against a defense that ranks at the bottom of FBS categories, most important ones, in combination with leaving the State coaching staff guessing as how to game plan for a new quarterback an easily projected high scoring affair.
  • 
    MICHIGAN STATE at MINNESOTA
    
    3% MICHIGAN STATE -4.0 (-104)
    
    The bandwagon Big 10 fans that don't actually reside in the state and are not bitter about last week's loss of big brother (Michigan) to little brother (Michigan State) will jump on the Spartans this week not offering us any real market value. However, don't buy into any hangover by MSU in this conference contest. The Spartans are well coached and the staff will have nothing short of a 3-0 Big 10 mark when exiting this game. In truth the Wolverines were not nearly physical enough last weekend and the late weather conditions in the Big House affair favored the MSU offense rather than that of the quarterback-less U of M unit.
    While Penn State now holds the cards in the Big 10 and is the most likely of the conference clubs to have a shot in the Final Four come January a win by the Spartans here makes is very difficult for Buckeye faithful to hope a perfect close for the Ohio State squad with their only loss coming to then-No 3 Oklahoma a reality.
    QB Lewerke has managed the offense to near perfection and done so the last two weeks against good defensive units, the Wolves and the Hawks, and his ability to run and throw is a difficult matchup for the Gophers.
    Note that the Spartans defense contained both Michigan and Iowa's rushing attack to just over two-and-one-half yards per carry and any offensive success by Minnesota will come via the ground. They have far too many injuries to their receiving corps to depend on the passing game in this league event.
    
    
    
    BOISE STATE at SAN DIEGO STATE
    
    4% SAN DIEGO STATE -7.0 (-109)
    
    The nationally ranked Mountain West SDSU Aztecs get a home date against the Boise State Broncos. First and foremost the Broncs are not who they have been in the past and it starts with their inability to create turnovers. They don't have a playmaker on the front seven nor in their secondary that creates matchup issues, especially for teams like the Aztecs that can be balanced or run-heavy depending on their opponent.
    
    Boise is off a 24-7 win against a pedestrian BYU club while the Aztecs went into Las Vegas, a weekend after the tragic shooting, and runover the Rebels 41-10.
    
    The win by Boise at BYU a week ago was more about the Cougars than the Broncs. Boise QB Brett Rypien threw for only 125 yards with one touchdown against one interception on 12 of 19 passing. Alexander Mattison racked up 118 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns on 29 carries, while Cedrick Wilson led the team with 3 catches for 43 yards.
    
    Defensively, the Broncos did find a way to turn their opponent over but that was in garbage time and the two interceptions were unlikely had the score not favored the Broncos. BYU is undermanned and in truth are much like Boise, without enough blue-chip talent to compete on a level with the better teams in the college ranks.
    
    The #19 San Diego State Aztecs are led by the invisible Christian Chapman who threw for 172 yards on 14 of 24 passing but it is Heisman candidate RB Rashaad Penny that is the big threat to opposing defenses. Penny rushed for 170 yards and two TD's. Juwan Chapman had 95 yards and a touchdown on his 10 carries and Mikah Holder is the difference maker in the passing game. The issues that the Aztecs had at home two weeks ago verus NIU was because Holder was taken out of the game for a targeting penalty.
    Boise State is a mere 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games when they are playing schools with a record of .501 or better and in conference play they rarely offer value going a poor 1-6 ATS. Conversely the Aztecs of San Diego State are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 18-6-2 ATS in their last 26 conference tilts.
    
    Boise State is in fact more talented and more dangerous than the Aztecs last opponent, UNLV, but the lack of defensive stand up by Boise is the difference in this game. With a lead San Diego State is a clock eating and against the spread monster.
    
    
  
  
  
  

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Black Widow Picks October 14th
Inbox
x

Victoria Xiu
12:49 AM (8 hours ago)

to bcc: me
Standard:
Michigan -7.5
Temple -10
Maryland +3
New York Yankees

Plus:
North Carolina +3.5
Oregon State +10

Premium Members Only:
East Carolina +36

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo 5% [CFB] (203) TEXAS A&M at (204) FLORIDA

Time: 7:00 PM EDT FLORIDA -2.5 (-110)
Analysis:
PLAY: (204) FLORIDA -2.5 (Westgate)
RATING: 5% PLAY

The public looks at Texas A&M and sees a team that took Alabama to the limit losing by just 8 points 27-19. I look and see Florida who last week lost 17-16 to LSU who the week before lost as a 20 point home favorite to Troy. Because of public perception we are getting a good number here was Florida. The Gators are 3-2 on the season with their two losses coming to Michigan and LSU. The Michigan loss came in the first game of the season against that tough Michigan defense. Florida can run the football and the only team that has slowed them down this season was the Michigan defense in game one of the season. I expect Florida to be able to pound the ball at Texas A&M who after playing Alabama so tough has to be a little bit flat this week and beat up going toe to toe with a physical Alabama team. Laying the small number at home with a good defense like Florida's is the only way to go here. My Numbers have Florida winning 31-20.

TAKE FLORIDA as MARCO’S 5% COLLEGE GAME OF THE MONTH

[cpawforpresident]

AAA SPORTS

10* Uconn +12

[cpawforpresident]

Ben Burns

10* Minn +4.5

[cpawforpresident]

Gameplan

10* New Mexico +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kelso Sturgeon

300* GOY Auburn -7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'Angelo 4% [CFB] (217) BOISE STATE at (218) SAN DIEGO STATE

Time: 10:30 PM EDT BOISE STATE 6.5 (-106)
Analysis:
PLAY: (217) BOISE ST +6.5 (Pinnacle)
RATING: 4% PLAY

Top 25 and undefeated San Diego State plays host to Boise State. At first glance San Diego State is laying under a touchdown at home to an unranked team. That almost looks too good to be true. Usually when something looks that easy it really isn't. Boise State has run the football well in four of their five games. The only team to slow down the rushing attack of Boise State was Virginia. San Diego State has given up significant yards on the ground in three if it's last four games. The only team that did not run the football for 160 yards or more against this San Diego State defense in the last four weeks was UNLV last week. However it must be noted that UNLV was so far behind that they totally abandoned the running game. Boise State had extra time to prepare as they played last week on Friday night. My numbers have this as a field goal game either way so we're grabbing the points with Boise State as they win it 27-24.

TAKE BOISE ST as MARCO’S 4% CFB UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK

[Iowethe man]

Chris “The Bear” Fallica (Season Record 23-19) podcast record



Akron at Western Mich. – Akron (+14)

Michigan at Indiana – Indiana (+7)
Middle Tenn. at UAB – UAB (+6)
New Mexico at Fresno St. – New Mexico (+2.5)
TCU at Kansas St. – Kansas St. (+6)
Tulane at FIU – FIU (+14)

[Iowethe man]

Stanford Steve (Season Record 15-14-2)



Florida St. at Duke – Florida St. (-7)

TCU at Kansas St. – Under (54)
Texas Tech at West Virginia – West Virginia (-3.5)
UConn at Temple – UConn (+10)
Washington at Arizona St. – Arizona St. (+17.5)