Tuesday 10-10-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

Free Pick Tuesday NHL

St. Louis vs. NY Rangers, 10/10/2017 19:00 EDT

Money Line: +119 St. Louis

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Free Pick Tuesday NHL St Louis Blues Money Line (+) @ New York Rangers @ 7:05 ET - When Mike Yeo took over the head coaching reins from Ken Hitchcock (fired on Feb 1st) last season, the Blues wrapped up the regular season by going 22-8-2 under Yeo. St Louis then lasted two rounds in the post-season and they've now begun this season with a perfect 3-0 start under Yeo. No one can argue that the players certainly seem to have responded well to the coaching change. Even though the Blues had to go to the shootout to get the win yesterday, they did lead the game 2-0 for much of the way. In fact, St Louis has truly been strong all season long except for the 3rd period in games. Certainly they'll be working to hard to fix that problem of allowing too many late goals. Though back-up Carter Hutton gets the start here, he defeated the Rangers and Henrik Lundqvist when he faced them last season. He has good overall numbers and is a solid #2 goalie. As for the fact that this is a back to back spot, note that the Blues have actually won 18 of 24 the past two seasons when they are playing the 2nd game of a 2 in 2 situation. It also helps that yesterday's game was an early game. The Blues have won 46 of their last 80 against teams with a losing record while the Rangers have lost 49 of 90 against teams with a winning record. Free Pick on ST LOUIS on the money line early Tuesday evening. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (98 - 67) at CHICAGO CUBS (94 - 71) - 5:35 PM
TANNER ROARK (R) vs. JAKE ARRIETA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 26-30 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
WASHINGTON is 49-61 (-22.1 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 50-32 (+13.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 39-25 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 94-71 (-10.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 362-303 (-82.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 905-820 (-156.9 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 240-276 (-69.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Tuesday since 1997.
CHICAGO CUBS are 38-36 (-19.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 73-56 (-11.7 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 51-42 (-10.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 15-17 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-5 (+0.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.7 Units)

TANNER ROARK vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ROARK is 3-2 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 3-3 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.3 units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
ARRIETA is 1-2 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 5.48 and a WHIP of 1.674.
His team's record is 5-4 (+0.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.6 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tuesday's NLDS playoff betting preview and odds: Nationals at Cubs

Washington Nationals at Chicago Cubs (A: +140, H: -160, Total: 7.5)

Cubs lead series 2-1

The Chicago Cubs gave Jake Arrieta a few extra days to rest his tender hamstring, and now he’s in a position to help get the team back to the National League Championship Series. Arrieta gets the ball in Game 4 of the NL Division Series on Tuesday as the Cubs look to close out the visiting Washington Nationals.

Anthony Rizzo’s bloop single in the eighth inning plated the go-ahead run Monday as the Cubs posted a 2-1 victory in Game 3 to regain the series lead. Arrieta can close it out as he makes his first start since Sept. 26, and the 2015 NL Cy Young Award winner says his nagging right hamstring injury is a “non-issue.” He hopes to follow the rest of Chicago's starting rotation, which has allowed two runs - one earned - in 18 2/3 innings over the first three games of the series. Tanner Roark, who grew up about an hour’s drive from Wrigley Field, makes the start for the Nationals as they trail in the series despite permitting only eight runs.

TV: 5:30 p.m. ET, TBS

INJURY REPORT:

Nationals - S. Drew (Out Indefinitely, Abdominal), LF R. Raburn (Out Indefinitely, Shoulder), SP J. Ross (Out For Season, Elbow), CF A. Eaton (Out For Season, Knee).

Cubs - SP J. Arrieta (Probable, Hamstring), RP K. Uehara (Out Indefinitely, Knee).

WEATHER REPORT:

The forecast does not look good for Wrigley Field for late afternoon and into the evening with a 70-90 percent chance of wet stuff. If they do, somehow, manage to get this game in the wind will be blowing straight in from center field at 16-18 miles per hour.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Nationals RH Tanner Roark (13-11, 4.67 ERA) vs. Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (14-10, 3.53)

Roark made two relief appearances in the 2014 NLDS and received his first postseason start in last year’s NLDS against the Los Angeles Dodgers, allowing two runs and seven hits over 4 1/3 innings in a no-decision. The 31-year-old had a solid second half but finished the regular season on a sour note, losing his last two turns before giving up two runs in one inning of relief on Oct. 1. Roark is 4-2 with a 4.06 ERA in seven career games (six starts) against the Cubs.

Arrieta is 4-2 with a 3.64 ERA in seven starts over the last two postseasons, including a pair of wins in last year’s World Series. The 31-year-old has been outstanding at home throughout his tenure with the Cubs, going 30-14 with a 2.31 ERA in 59 outings. He hasn’t fared as well against the Nationals, however, as he owns a 1-2 record and 5.48 ERA in nine career meetings.

TRENDS:

* Nationals are 1-4 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff games.
* Cubs are 5-0 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff home games.
* Cubs are 13-5 in Arrieta's last 18 starts vs. National League East.
* Under is 10-1 in Roark's last 11 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
* Under is 5-1 in Cubs' last 6 playoff home games.
* Under is 4-0 in Arrieta's last 4 starts vs. Nationals.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home chalk Cubs at a rate of 73 percent and the Over is picking up 69 percent of the totals action.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 10

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (3-0-0-0, 6 pts.) at NY RANGERS (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/10/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 3-1-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLUMBUS (1-1-0-0, 2 pts.) at CAROLINA (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/10/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 26-65 ATS (+118.6 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 27-10 ATS (+38.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 20-8 ATS (+28.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CAROLINA is 73-86 ATS (-60.5 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CAROLINA is 5-3 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
CAROLINA is 5-3-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (2-0-0-1, 5 pts.) at MONTREAL (1-2-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/10/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-0 (+4.1 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-0-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (2-1-0-0, 4 pts.) at NASHVILLE (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/10/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-27 ATS (+41.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 199-171 ATS (+381.0 Units) after scoring 1 goal or less in their previous game since 1996.
NASHVILLE is 35-23 ATS (+6.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 34-42 ATS (-30.9 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 32-40 ATS (-20.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) at DALLAS (0-2-0-0, 0 pts.) - 10/10/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 111-131 ATS (-85.2 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
DETROIT is 430-322 ATS (-127.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
DALLAS is 11-2 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 34-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-27 ATS (-22.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 2-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.8 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OTTAWA (0-0-0-2, 2 pts.) at VANCOUVER (1-0-0-0, 2 pts.) - 10/10/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 9-2 ATS (+6.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 55-48 ATS (+107.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 15-11 ATS (+29.3 Units) in a road game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 94-72 ATS (+166.4 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.
OTTAWA is 22-14 ATS (+37.0 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
OTTAWA is 17-11 ATS (+31.1 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
OTTAWA is 31-22 ATS (+58.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
VANCOUVER is 369-341 ATS (-27.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 3-1-0 straight up against VANCOUVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.5 Units)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (0-1-0-1, 1 pts.) at VEGAS (2-0-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/10/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 5-29 ATS (+65.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VEGAS is 1-0 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
VEGAS is 1-0-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Home Teams and Overs dominating 1st week of 2017-18 National Hockey League season.

Home Teams: 22-9-3-4
Overs: 22-13-3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony's *5 nhl free pick

Arizona vs. Las Vegas, 10/10/2017 22:00 EDT

Money Line: -105 Las Vegas

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Fp: Vegas nights home opener and the crowd will be electric as Vegas welcome it's first pro team at the T-Mobile arena .. already 2-0 on the season with 2 road wins I think they ride the way back home and get the win for my nhl free pick.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Karpinski

FREE ACTION

Arizona vs. Las Vegas, 10/10/2017 22:00 EDT

Money Line: -105 Arizona

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Vegas was lucky to win their first game and got lucky in a shootout in game 2.
They are not as good as their 2-0 record and surprisingly competitive.
Its tough to beat the same team twice in a week.
The Public is all over Vegas for emotional reasons, but the Coyotes are the better team here and I'll back them tonight as your comp play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Karpinski

FREE ACTION

Arizona vs. Las Vegas, 10/10/2017 22:00 EDT

Money Line: -105 Arizona

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Vegas was lucky to win their first game and got lucky in a shootout in game 2.
They are not as good as their 2-0 record and surprisingly competitive.
Its tough to beat the same team twice in a week.
The Public is all over Vegas for emotional reasons, but the Coyotes are the better team here and I'll back them tonight as your comp play.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

R and R Totals

NHL CHICAGO BLACKHAWKS/MONTRÉAL CANADIENS o5.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Team Underground

NHL DALLAS STARS ‑160

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monster Sports Picks

NHL VEGAS GOLDEN KNIGHTS ‑110

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Golden Lock Sports

MLB WASHINGTON NATIONALS/CHICAGO CUBS ‑170

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Line Mover Sports

NHL NASHVILLE PREDATORS ‑145

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Oct 10 '17, 7:35 PM

NHL | Blackhawks vs Canadiens
Play on: Blackhawks +120 at betonline

The Blackhawks have struggled on the road so the oddsmaker has made them a 'dog against the Canadiens. I believe that's a mistake. Chicago definitely is the superior team. The Canadiens haven't been a good home club - 5-13 in their last 18 home contests - and are struggling offensively. This marks Montreal's first home game after a three-game road trip to open the season. Often it works against a team returning home in their first game following being gone for an extended trip. The Canadiens have managed just one goal at even strength and four goals all together. Their last game was a 2-0 loss to the Rangers on Sunday. The Rangers had given up 12 goals in their previous two games. By contrast, the Blackhawks are the second-highest goal scoring team in the NHL behind Toronto. The Blackhawks are averaging six goals in their three games. The Blackhawks entered this season very emotional about their embarrassing playoff exit last season. They opened up blasting the defending two-time Stanley Cup champion Penguins, 10-1, and followed that up with a 5-1 victory against the Blue Jackets. But then last night the Blackhawks blew a two-goal lead in the third period and lost, 4-3 in overtime, to Toronto. That was their opening road game. I anticipate the Blackhawks to be fired-up following that stinging defeat. The Canadiens heavily rely on goalie Carey Price. He wasn't as dominant last season, though, as he's been in the past. Chicago has an excellent goalie, too, Corey Crawford. And it's Crawford who is hotter than Price right now with a save percentage of .968 compared to Price's .905. Crawford always gets pumped when he plays in Montral since that's his hometown. Price had an off-night this past Saturday giving up four goals on 14 shots to the Capitals in one period before being pulled. Right now I trust Crawford more. The Blackhawks hold a major edge on offense. They've beaten the Canadiens seven consecutive times because of it, including winning during their last three visits to Montreal. This is a third-in-four nights scenario for the Blackhawks. But they've been up to task before in this situation winning eight of the past nine times in that spot. (Editor's note: Long-time hockey buff Stephen Nover has turned a tidy profit in the NHL the past two seasons and is 22-14-1 since last season, up 18 units on a 1-to-3 unit scale. Stephen has two strong sides and totals plays today in addition to this selection.)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Andre Ramirez

Oct 10 '17, 8:35 PM

NHL | Red Wings vs Stars
Play on: Red Wings +156 at 5Dimes

NHL 75 DIME FREE GAME
RED WINGS +156
Red Wings’ center Martin Hanzal is expected back in the lineup after exiting this past Saturday’s game with a lower-body injury. Goalie Jimmy Howard has stopped 74 of 77 shots and will get the start again on Tuesday. Clearly the Stars are in for another tough test having already started its season 0-2. Detroit is 4-0 in its last four against the Western Conference, 4-1 in its last five against the Central Division, and 20-7 in its last 27 on the road against opponents with home winning percentages under .400. The Stars are 2-5 in their last seven against opponents with winning percentages over .600, 0-4 in their last four against the Atlantic Division, 4-11 in the last 15 meetings between the two teams, and 1-7 in their last eight at home against the Red Wings. Take the Red Wings for the victory!