Wednesday 10-11-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 05:41 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs

Evangeline Downs - Race 6

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)

Claiming $5,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 7:40P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DUST TEE JEWEL: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse rank s in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
8
DUST TEE JEWEL
4/1

5/2

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 05:41 AM

Handicapped by Valuline at Finger Lakes

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Finger Lakes, Race 1 (Wednesday October 11, 2017)

YOU LIE
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

FL-1 6f DIRT Five Horses
"A" CLM 6,500 F/M 3YUP $10,500
P# dd ex p4 t s ML WP TVL

2 YOU LIE 1/1 38% 8/5 Strong Favorite icon
3 HALF DREAMIN 6/1 25% 3/1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 05:42 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Hawthorne - Race #1 - Post: 3:10pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 99

Rating: 4

#4 SHOBIZ STAR (ML=5/1)

SHOBIZ STAR - Changes tracks from last out at Fairmount Park to here. Multiple wins on different racing tracks tell me this thoroughbred likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 CHICORY BLUE (ML=2/1), #2 TETRADRACHM (ML=5/2), #3 GOLD HAWK (ML=9/2),

CHICORY BLUE - The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's affair. Mark this thoroughbred as a likely underlay. TETRADRACHM - This vulnerable equine will probably bounce off of the last strong outing. GOLD HAWK - The finish of fourth in the last event shows me that this animal may be getting out of condition. Finished fourth in his most recent performance with a run-of-the-mill speed figure. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to win after that in this group.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #4 SHOBIZ STAR to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 05:42 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 53

FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 NOBLE SOWLE 9/5

# 3 TWO STEPS 20/1

# 5 KID MANGO 5/2

I think NOBLE SOWLE is a quite good choice. Overall the speed figures of this animal look decent in this contest. Has formidable early speed and will most likely fare solidly versus this field. With a nice class fig average of 65, has one of the best class advantages in this group of horses. KID MANGO - Hammond has a strong win percentage with horses racing in dirt sprint races. Hammond has shown excellent profits (+28 return on investment ) at this distance/surface.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 05:43 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Keeneland - Race #3 - Post: 2:12pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 76

Rating: 3

#9 GAMBLER'S CHOICE (ML=4/1)
#5 MONTELEONE (ML=3/1)

GAMBLER'S CHOICE - I'll bet that this colt even surprised his connections when he made his initial bow on September 15th and finished third. This colt is in fine physical condition. Finished third on Sep 15th. MONTELEONE - When Ward gives Cruz a leg up on any magnificent animal, you know full well that with their winning percentage you have decidedly more than a fighting chance. Has a good chance to break maiden switching to the main track in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 TIMEISNOTOURFRIEND (ML=4/1), #6 ROCKINGHAM MEL (ML=5/1), #1 CALL ME (ML=8/1),

TIMEISNOTOURFRIEND - Just don't believe he is worth it at the given odds. ROCKINGHAM MEL - This colt showed little last time out of the box. Don't believe this questionable contender will make an impact today. That last speed figure was common when compared with today's class figure. CALL ME - Doesn't look to be worth 8/1 in today's event. Pass on him this time.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #9 GAMBLER'S CHOICE on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,9]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
Skip

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 05:44 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 7

$1 Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) $2 Trifecta $2 Exacta $1 Trifecta Box $1 Exacta Box ($.50) Superfecta

Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $6,800 • Post: 9:12P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON THREE RACES SINCE OCTOBER 11, 2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 11 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Lone Front-runner. EVERYDOGHASHISDAY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * EVERYDOGHASHISDAY: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race). ALISA'S ENGINEER: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. R FAST CAT: Horse has the highe st TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. PHENOMENALMOON: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
7
EVERYDOGHASHISDAY
5/2

9/2
3
ALISA'S ENGINEER
6/1

6/1
2
R FAST CAT
7/2

7/1
4
PHENOMENALMOON
5/1

9/1

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 05:44 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 8 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 88

FOR MAIDEN, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEAR OLDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 9 ALL ABOUT VOODOO 7/5

# 8 FROSTED BLING 9/2

# 7 AT IT EARLY 12/1

ALL ABOUT VOODOO gets the edge as the wager in here. Could provide positive gains based on quite good recent speed figures with an average of 89. Is a contender - given the 88 speed figure from his most recent race. Is difficult not to look at given the company run in lately. FROSTED BLING - Has been running quite well lately and ought to be on the front end early on. AT IT EARLY - Ran a solid last race. Davidson has well above average profits at this distance/surface.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 05:45 AM

Preview: South Alabama at Troy

When: 8:00 PM ET, Wednesday, October 11, 2017
Where: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, Alabama
Quick Hits

Overall Team Offense

The Troy Trojans are ranked 49 on offense, averaging 431.2 yards per game. The Trojans are averaging 181.2 yards rushing and 250.0 yards passing so far this season.
The South Alabama Jaguars are ranked 113 on offense, averaging 329.0 yards per game. The Jaguars are averaging 142.2 yards rushing and 186.8 yards passing so far this season.

Home and Away

The Troy Trojans are 2-0 at home this season, 1-0 against conference opponents and 3-1 against non-conference opponents.
At home the Trojans are averaging 28.0 scoring, and holding teams to 12.0 points scored on defense.
The South Alabama Jaguars are 0-2 while on the road this season, 0-1 against conference opponents and 1-3 against non-conference opponents.
On the road, the Jaguars are averaging 21.5 scoring, and holding teams to 40.5 points scored on defense.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 05:45 AM

Trends - South Alabama at Troy

ATS Trends
South Alabama

Jaguars are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 conference games.
Jaguars are 10-28 ATS in their last 38 games overall.
Jaguars are 3-11 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Jaguars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Jaguars are 4-23 ATS in their last 27 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Jaguars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Jaguars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Jaguars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Jaguars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a bye week.

Troy

Trojans are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Trojans are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games in October.
Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Trojans are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Trojans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Trojans are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on turf.
Trojans are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.

OU Trends
South Alabama

Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games overall.
Over is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 5-1-1 in Jaguars last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 road games.
Over is 7-2-1 in Jaguars last 10 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 3-1-1 in Jaguars last 5 games in October.
Under is 3-1-1 in Jaguars last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 9-4-2 in Jaguars last 15 games following a ATS loss.

Troy

Under is 4-0 in Trojans last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
Under is 5-0 in Trojans last 5 games following a straight up win.
Under is 4-0 in Trojans last 4 games on turf.
Under is 5-0 in Trojans last 5 games following a ATS win.
Under is 10-1-1 in Trojans last 12 conference games.
Under is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Under is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 15-5-1 in Trojans last 21 games overall.
Under is 16-6-1 in Trojans last 23 games following a bye week.
Over is 20-9 in Trojans last 29 home games.

Head to Head

Underdog is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 05:46 AM

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 11

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S ALABAMA (1 - 4) at TROY (4 - 1) - 10/11/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S ALABAMA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
S ALABAMA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
S ALABAMA is 2-0 against the spread versus TROY over the last 3 seasons
TROY is 1-1 straight up against S ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 05:47 AM

NCAAF

Week 7

Trend Report

Wednesday, October 11

8:00 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. TROY
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Alabama's last 5 games on the road
South Alabama is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Troy is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games
Troy is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 07:35 AM

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, October 11, 2017

NHL (51) NEW JERSEY DEVILS VS (52) TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS

Take: (52) TORONTO MAPLE LEAFS

Reason: Toronto is off to a perfect 3-0 start and scoring goals at will. They did have a tough contest last time out, trailing the entire game to Chicago before evening the game at 3-3 and then winning it in OT, 4-3. They host the New Jersey Devils here on Wednesday and I'm looking at the OVER. New Jersey is also perfect on the season at 2-0 and have scored 10 goals in their two games. I like hot teams and no one is hotter out the gate then Toronto. Price is very steep with Leafs, so if you can lay the 1.5 goals, that's the play. Toronto -1.5 goals

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 07:35 AM

BRANDON LEE

10* MLB FREE PICK (Cubs -156)

I've backed the Cubs in all 3 games of this series and will not back down here in Game 4, even after having the game rained out on Tuesday and pushed back to Wednesday. Chicago needs a win to close out the series and move on to the NLCS against the Dodgers. The Cubs have won games where Scherzer and Strasburg have been nearly unhittable, thanks to clutch hitting and some exceptional starting pitching of their own. The Cubs will send out Jake Arrieta, who posted a 2.90 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in 10 home starts this season. He's well rested here and there's few guys I would rather have on the mound in a big time game like this. On the flip side, Washington's season falls in the hands of Tanner Roark, who I think could struggle with the pressure of knowing he has to be special for the Nationals to play another day. He was just 13-11 with a 4.57 ERA and 1.334 WHIP in 30 starts and this Chicago offense is ready to explode. Give me the Cubs -156!

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-11-2017, 07:36 AM

Arthur Ralph Sports

WED Indians w/ Kluber

Wednesday 10-11-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Wednesday 10-11-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment