Sunday 10-15-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, October 15

Boston @ Vegas

Game 51-52
October 15, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
11.149
Vegas
9.728
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
N/A

Buffalo @ Anaheim

Game 53-54
October 15, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
8.981
Anaheim
10.595
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
N/A

NY Islanders @ Los Angeles

Game 55-56
October 15, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
10.828
Los Angeles
12.233
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 15

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BOSTON (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) at VEGAS (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/15/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BUFFALO (0-4-0-1, 1 pts.) at ANAHEIM (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/15/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 2-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

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NY ISLANDERS (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (3-0-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/15/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 2-2-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Sunday, October 15

Trend Report

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. LAS VEGAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
No trends available

10:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. ANAHEIM
Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games at home

11:30 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. LOS ANGELES
NY Islanders are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
NY Islanders are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games
Los Angeles is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing NY Islanders
Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Sunday, October 15

Bruins split their first four games (over 3-1); they won in Arizona last nite, a team Las Vegas has already beaten twice. Boston split its two road games. Golden Knights won 3 of their first 4 games (over 2-2), losing last game 6-3 to Detroit- they’ve split their two home games.

Anaheim won six of its last eight games with Buffalo; under is 4-1 in last five series games. Sabres lost three of last four games in the Pond. Buffalo allowed 22 goals in its 0-5 start; over is 3-1 in their last four games. Sabres are 0-3 on the road, scoring 2 goals in all three games. Ducks lost three of their last four games (under 4-0); they’re 2-2 at home this season.

Home team won last four Islander-King games; New York lost 2-1/4-2 in its last two visits to Staples Center. Last three series games went over. Islanders are 2-3 this season (under 4-1), 1-2 on road- they scored 5 goals in the three road games. Los Angeles won 3 of its 4 game (over 2-1-1)- they won two of their three home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Essential Week 6 betting tidbits and odds for NFL Sunday

Despite havng to face a 5-0 SU/ATS Chiefs team, Big Ben can be confident heading into Arrowhead Stadium thanks to a 118.7 passer rating in seven career games against KC.

Tom Brady and Bill Belichick are big away faves against at New York this weekend but, in this week's essential betting tidbits, we explain why might New England Patriots supporters might want to bet the farm on their team to cover the spread against the pesky Jets on Sunday.

Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens (-6.5, 39.5)

Bears quarterback Mitch Trubisky is trying to become only the second rookie quarterback to win on the road against the Baltimore Ravens according to ESPN Stats & Information. Teams starting a rookie under center and playing at Baltimore are 1-14 straight up and – just in case you needed to know oddsmakers are good at their job – 7-7-1 against the spread since the franchise moved from Cleveland.

Sportsbooks have the Ravens around -280 on the moneyline if you just want to bet on them to win outright.

LINE HISTORY: A few shops opened with the Ravens as touchdown favorites although now it’s pretty much 6.5 across the board. The total opened as high as 41.5 and was bet down to 39.5.

TRENDS:

*The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with winning records.
*The Under is 6-2 in the Ravens’ last eight home games.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (+3, 46.5)

Did the revolving door at the running back position finally find a potential star? The same jukebox offense that’s churned through Eddie Lacey, James Starks and most recently Ty Montgomery spat out Aaron Jones as the start in the backfield last weekend.

Jones proved elusive and picked up 125 carries and a TD run on just 19 carries against the Dallas Cowboys. Is Jones a flash in the pan or the real deal? Montgomery is still nursing a couple broken ribs, so bettors should get a clearer picture of Jones’ effect on Green Bay’s offense against the Vikings.

LINE HISTORY: The Packers opened as 3-point road chalk but there were some locations throwing the hook half point. There are 3s and 3.5s on the board now with plus juice varying on both numbers.

TRENDS:

*The Packers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
*The Vikings are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 home games.
*The Over is 15-3 in the Packers last 18 games overall.

Miami Dolphins at Atlanta Falcons (-11.5, 46)

Miami quarterback Jay Cutler isn’t passing the eye test or stat test in his performance four games into the Dolphins season. He’s in charge of an offense that last in total offense and scoring offense.

Football Outsiders’ DYAR (defense adjusted yards above replacement) places Cutler as the league’s second worst quarterback behind only the recently benched DeShone Kizer. Cutler ranks 31st in FO’s DVOA stat (defense adjusted value over average) with a -33.1 rating.

LINE HISTORY: The Falcons opened as 10-point favorites but the books now have them giving 12 points to the visiting Dolphins. The total has been bet down from 47 to 46.

TRENDS:

*The Under is 5-0 in the Dolphins’ last five games overall.
*The Over is 12-1 in the Falcons’ last 13 home games.

Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints (-5, 50)

Are the Saints as good as their 2-2 record indicates or are they just benefited from unprecedented luck when it comes to turnovers? New Orleans has four takeaways through its first four games but the really crazy thing is the club has yet to turn the ball over. If they don’t cough the ball up against the Lions, the Saints will become the first team in NFL history to play five games without turning the ball over once.

LINE HISTORY: This spread been all over the place - with it as low as 3.5 in Vegas and as high as 6 offshore. Most shops are dealing Saints -5 with a 50-point over/under line.

TRENDS:

*The Saints are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games coming off their bye week.
*The Over is 6-1 in the Saints last seven games overall.

Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans (-9.5, 47)

Cleveland Browns 2.0 has been around since 1999. In that time the team has started 27 different dudes under center. On Sunday, Kevin Hogan becomes No. 28. The Browns are 2-3 ATS and 0-5 SU in the last five games they’ve started a different quarterback than the game prior.

Remember, the Browns could have drafted Texans rookie QB Deshaun Watson in last year’s trade. Hindsight is 20/20, I guess.

LINE HISTORY: The line opened as low as 9.5 and has gone as high as 10.5 but seems to be settling on Texans -10. The total has been bet up from 44.5 to 47.

TRENDS:

*Cleveland is 6-24-1 ATS in its last 31 games overall.
*The Over is 5-2 in Houston’s last seven games.

San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins (-11, 46.5)

The playoffs were never a realistic expectation or goal for the 49ers this season and at 0-5 it appears the club is switching out some of the proven veterans and handing those snaps to younger players. Running back Carlos Hyde appears to be in danger of losing his claim to the No. 1 spot on the running back depth chart to undrafted rookie Matt Breida out of Georgia Southern, and linebacker NaVorro Bowman being spelled often by Brock Coyle.

Do the younger players give the Niners a better chance at winning games now – or is this just a way of evaluating their talent level?

LINE HISTORY: Washington hoped as 9.5-point home chalk but the line has been bet up to 11. The total is holding steady at 46.5.

TRENDS:

*The Under is 4-0 in Washington’s last four home games.
*San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall.

New England Patriots at New York Jets (+9.5, 47.5)

The Patriots have owned the AFC East in winning the division crown eight straight years and in 13 of the last 14 seasons. That said, some of the teams in the division have a knack for covering the spread against the big bully in their division.

The Jets are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight matchups against Tom Brady and Bill Belichick’s boys.

LINE HISTORY: The line has stayed steady at 9.5 but there are a few shops dealing Pats -10. The total is holding at 47.5.

TRENDS:

*The Over is 8-1 in the Pats last nine games overall.
*New England is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Arizona Cardinals (+1.5, 45)

The Cardinals are taking a third grab from the name-running-backs past-their-prime bin. Emmitt Smith and Edgerrin James were both brought in to Arizona last decade on the downslope of their careers. Adrian Peterson is the latest after ‘Zona acquired the former All-Pro RB in a trade with the New Orleans Saints.

Kent Somers of the Azcentral Sports says this time is different because there are no ulterior motives in the move like there were when the team signed Smith and James, and there was a need to increase fan interest.

Either way, Bruce Arians offense likes a running back that can be a positive in the passing attack – both as a receiving target and as an extra blocker. Those are two skills Peterson hasn’t done well during his 11-year career.

LINE HISTORY: The Cards opened as 2-point home dogs but most books now list them as 1.5-point pups. The total opened at 44 and has been bet up to 45.

TRENDS:

*The Bucs are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
*The Cards are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games overall.
*The Under is 13-3 in the Cards’ last 16 home games.

Los Angeles Rams at Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5, 42.5)

The Rams have a young quarterback in Jared Goff who appears to have taken a giant leap in his development in his sophomore season. The Jaguars, though, have a secondary that’s making minced meat out of NFL quarterbacks.

Opposing quarterbacks share a 56.9 passing rating when playing Jacksonville this season. The only three teams (’03 Pats, ’02 Bucs, ’96 Packers) who have allowed a passer rating in that neighborhood all went on to win the Super Bowl according to NFL Research.

LINE HISTORY: The line has held tight at Jags -2.5 all week with a little extra juice on the Jags to keep the spread from going up to the key number (3). The total opened at 43.5 and has been bet down to 42.5.

TRENDS:

*The Rams are 2-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
*The Jags are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (-4, 47)

There aren’t many NFL players who would be happy to see the Kansas City Chiefs as their next opponent on the schedule, but that’s the case for Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. Fresh off a five-interception game last week, Big Ben can be confident heading into Arrowhead Stadium thanks to a 118.7 passer rating in seven career games against the Chiefs.

LINE HISTORY: The spread opened as small as 3.5 and was bet as high as 5 but seems to be settling at 4.5. Many books are at 46 for the total, however, there are a few dealing 47.

TRENDS:

*The Chiefs are the league’s lone undefeated ATS team this season at 5-0.
*The Steelers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following an outright loss.

New York Giants at Denver Broncos (-11.5, 39)

It might be a good idea to place a bet on Ben McAdoo if you can find odds on first NFL coach to be fired. The Giants 0-5 suspended defensive back Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie for what appears to be insubordination and the players aren’t lining up to vouch for their head coach.

The G-Men are missing three of their top receivers and are playing against one of the best defenses in the league. NBC executives must be busy negotiating an early start to the flex schedule for Sunday Night Football to keep teams like the Giants out of primetime.

LINE HISTORY: The Broncos opened as 10-point home faves and were bet up to as high as 13-point chalk. The line has come back down to 12 at most shops. The total opened at 40.5 and has come down to 39 or 39.5.

TRENDS:

*The Broncos are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a bye week.
*The Under is 5-1 in the Giants’ last six games vs. teams with winning records.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Sunday, October 15

Sunday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Giants at Broncos

New York Giants at Denver Broncos (-11.5, 39.5)

The season is turning into a massive sinkhole for the New York Giants, dragging down their playoff chances while swallowing up their best players due to injury. One of three winless teams in the league, the Giants will travel to one of the NFL's most difficult venues when they visit the Denver Broncos on Sunday night.

New York has lost its last three games by a combined 10 points but Sunday's 22-17 loss to the Los Angeles Chargers was by far the most damaging, with starting wide receivers Odell Beckham Jr. and Brandon Marshall suffering season-ending ankle injuries. “We have to move on,” said quarterback Eli Manning. “Obviously, whenever you lose players, you have to make adjustments and other guys have to step up. Nothing has changed in that fact." Denver, on the other hand, is rested and refreshed following its bye but cannot afford a letdown as it tries to keep pace with undefeated Kansas City in the AFC West. "We're in a good spot right now," Broncos coach Vance Joseph said after a Wednesday practice that he termed the team's "best" of the year. "We have to continue to do more and push our guys to continue to focus and push forward and get better every day."

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC.

POWER RANKINGS: Giants (+5) - Broncos (-1.5) + home field (-3) = Broncos -9.5

LINE HISTORY: The Broncos opened as 10-point home chalk and money coming in on the home team has pushed that number up to 11.5. The total hit the betting board at 40.5 and has been bet down two points to 38.5. View the complete line history here.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: ’The Broncos have had a favorable schedule this season as they coming off a bye week and have now played four of their first five games at home in the thin air and altitude. The Giants' offense has struggled this season and will once again be without their star wide receiver Odell Beckham, Jr. However, all of these elements have been factored into the line and that is the reason the Broncos are a big double-digit favorite.’ - Steve Merril

WHAT BOOKS SAY: ‘All of the sharp action came very early, and very heavy. We moved 2.5 points toward Denver in less than 24 hours. It’s a beleaguered Giants team and the public is fully aware of that fact so they are fading New York as well. Not surprisingly, the under has seen sharp support and we’re not in the 30s with the total, which will probably continue to plummet.’ Scott Cooley of BookMaker.eu.

INJURY REPORT:

Giants - RB Orleans Darkwa (Probable, Calf), QB Eli Manning (Probable, Neck), DE Olivier Vernon (Questionable, Ankle), C Weston Richburg (Questionable, Concussion), DE Cap Capi (Questionable, Undisclosed), LB Jonathan Casillas (Questionable, Stinger), DT Jay Bromley (Questionable, Undisclosed), S Landon Collins (Questionable, Ankle), RB Paul Perkins (Doubtful, Ribs), CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie (Out Indefinitely, Suspension), WR Sterling Shepard (Late October, Ankle), WR Brandon Marshall (I-R, Ankle), WR Odell Beckham Jr. (I-R, Ankle), WR Dwayne Harris (I-R, Foot), LB J.T. Thomas (Questionable Week 12, Groin).

Broncos - WR Cody Latimer (Questionable, Knee), QB Paxton Lynch (Out Indefinitely, Shoulder), TE Jake Butt (Questionable Week 9, Knee), QB Chad Kelly (Questionable Week 9, Wrist), LB Shane Ray (Questionable, Week 9, Wrist).

ABOUT THE GIANTS (0-5 SU, 2-3 ATS, 3-2 O/U): New York also lost a third wide receiver, Dwayne Harris, to a season-ending injury and Sterling Shepard was unable to practice Wednesday, leaving the team scrambling to fill the holes by re-signing Tavarres King and Darius Powe. Running back Paul Perkins also was unable to practice Wednesday, leaving Orleans Darkwa and rookie Wayne Gallman to lead a backfield that ranks 30th in the league (77.8 yards). Manning, who could be staring at Roger Lewis Jr. as his No. 1 wideout, has tossed eight scoring passes and five interceptions while completing a career-best 67.8 percent of his defense. Discord has hit the team with the indefinite suspension of cornerback Dominque Rodgers-Cromartie.

ABOUT THE BRONCOS (3-1 SU, 2-1-1 ATS, 3-1 O/U): Denver certainly has its vulnerablities, losing at Buffalo in Week 3 and needing a last-second interception to beat Oakland prior to the bye, but it shredded another NFC East foe in a 42-17 shellacking of Dallas in Week 2. There is nothing wrong with the Broncos' defense, which is yielding a league-low 260.8 yards per game and ranks No. 1 against the run (50.8). Former seventh-round draft pick Trevor Siemian has thrown for seven touchdowns versus four interceptions while averaging 222 yards per game, but he has a dangerous wide receiver tandem in Emmanuel Sanders and Demaryius Thomas. C.J. Anderson has at least 20 rushing attempts in three of four games and averages 4.5 yards per tote.

TRENDS:

* Giants are 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

* Broncos are 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

* Under is 6-1 in Giants last 7 games following a ATS loss.

* Under is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 games in October.

* Giants are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home Broncos at a rate of 62 percent and the Over is picking up 57 percent of the totals action.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL opening line report: Winless, broken Giants travel to Denver for Week 6
Patrick Everson

“You have to wonder what the mindset is right now in that Giants locker room. They have no running game, and they could be without their top three receivers."

Philadelphia Eagles at Carolina Panthers (-3)

Philadelphia is off to a solid start behind second-year quarterback Carson Wentz. The Eagles (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) trampled Arizona in Week 5, winning 34-7 as a 6-point home favorite, with Wentz throwing four touchdown passes.

Cam Newton weathered a media storm of his own making last week, then helped guide Carolina to a 4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS mark, as well. The Panthers edged Detroit 27-24 as a 2-point road underdog Sunday.

“A great matchup that will really give us some insight as to how good these teams really are,” Cooley said. “Carolina has been quite impressive the last couple of weeks, more so than we thought they were capable of. The Eagles have been on the radar all year, but have been even more dominant than anticipated. These teams are very close in the power ratings, so we assign the home team some advantage and see where the bettors go with it.”

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (no line)

Kansas City is the league’s lone undefeated team, and Alex Smith is playing like an MVP candidate. The Chiefs (5-0 SU and ATS) dropped Houston 42-34 laying 2 points in the Week 5 Sunday nighter, getting three TD passes from Smith – who has no interceptions this year.

Pittsburgh entered the season among teams with the shortest odds to make the Super Bowl, but hasn’t looked anything like a championship squad. On Sunday, the Steelers (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) were 7.5-point home faves against Jacksonville and got run out of their own building, 30-9.

Since K.C. was in the Sunday night contest, Bookmaker is waiting until Monday to post this line.

“If the Chiefs play as expected Sunday night, and nothing out of the ordinary happens on the injury front, we’ll look to make them around field-goal favorites,” Cooley said. “The Steelers aren’t the team they displayed in Week 5, but there is certainly something amiss in Pittsburgh.”

New York Giants at Denver Broncos (-9)

New York went 11-5 SU in the regular season last year to advance to the playoffs. Through five weeks of this season, the Giants are like Jacques Cousteau, still “In Search Of” their first victory. (You youngsters, go look up that reference if you need to.)

The Giants (0-5 SU, 2-3 ATS) got an Odell Beckham Jr. touchdown catch to take a 22-17 lead over San Diego early in the fourth quarter Sunday. But New York didn’t score the rest of the way, lost Beckham to a broken ankle and lost the game 27-22 as a 3-point home chalk.

Meanwhile, Denver (3-1 SU, 2-1-1 ATS) is coming off its bye week, following a 16-10 Week 4 victory laying 3.5 points at home against Oakland.

“You have to wonder what the mindset is right now in that Giants locker room,” Cooley said. “They have no running game, and they could be without their top three receivers. Going on the road to play in the altitude against a great defense is not what this team needed. Early action from the pros has moved this to -10.”

In fact, later Sunday night, the line jumped to 10.5 at Bookmaker.eu.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (no line)

Green Bay looks to be firing on all cylinders, certainly on offense, after reaching 35 points two weeks in a row. On Sunday at Dallas, the Packers (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) trailed 21-6 in the second quarter, but climbed out of that hole and left the Big D with a 35-31 victory catching 2.5 points. Aaron Rodgers capped the comeback with a 12-yard TD pass to Davante Adams with 11 seconds remaining.

Minnesota (2-2 SU and ATS) still has Week 5 work to do, traveling to Chicago in the Monday night game. The Vikings should have quarterback Sam Bradford back tonight, but until that game wraps, Bookmaker.eu will hold off on setting the Pack-Vikes opening line.

“It appears as if Bradford is going to play Monday night, so we’ll see how he looks throwing the ball and moving around in the pocket,” Cooley said. “Still, it’s unlikely we’ll make Minnesota a favorite. Aaron Rodgers is just playing too well right now, and the betting public is fully aware of that fact. The Vikings will likely be short home ‘dogs when this line is released Monday night.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wiseguys are advising that these Week 6 NFL lines are going to move
Art Aronson

The Patriots will have a few extra days to get ready for the Jets after playing Thursday night in Week 5.

Game to bet now

Pittsburgh at Kansas City (-3)

What's up with Ben Roethlisberger? The face of the Steelers franchise for the last decade seems like he needs a career change, if his comments after last Sunday’s no-touchdown, five-interception game are any indication.

“Maybe I don’t have it anymore,” the QB said after Ben and the Steelers were roasted at home by Jacksonville.

Whatever it is that Roethlisberger has managed to lose, he had better find it in a hurry because the undefeated Chiefs are waiting. From a record standpoint (the Steelers are still in first place in the mediocre AFC North) the 3-point line might make sense, but expect KC money to soon flood in as Roethlisberger’s comments make their way into the consciousness of the betting public. KC is 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS, and betting on streaks to end have depleted a lot of bank accounts over the years.

Game to wait on

New England at New York Jets (+9.5)

Tank this, say the Jets, who have to be considered the biggest surprise in the league so far. At 3-2 the NYJ are more than in the mix in a solid AFC East. And if New York can get it done against a shaky Patriots team this coming Sunday, it’ll be game on in the division.

That’s a big if, and the entire NFL is waiting for Bill Belichick to straighten out his defense and begin to dominate again. The Pats will have had a few extra days to get ready for this one after their OK-but-not-great performance last Thursday at Tampa Bay.

The Jets, meanwhile, have taken full advantage of their easy schedule and have put together a three-game win streak. It might be useful to sit this one out for a bit and wait for a line move. If heavy money comes down on NE, books might adjust the vig if they don’t want to take on the extra half-point to make it a 10-point line.

Total to watch

Miami at Atlanta (47.5)

Dead last. That’s where the Dolphins rank in offense, which about where a team that can’t pass the ball or run the ball should be. The fact that Miami is 2-2 is somewhat of a minor miracle, and a testament to the team’s ability to stop the run.

Whether they can stop Atlanta’s passing attack is another question, however. The Dolphins will probably have to score in the 20's to cover the 47.5, and that’s a tall order for a club that has barely averaged 10 points per game so far.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL Betting Stats Update:


Road Teams: 9-5 ATS in Week 5 (40-33-1 on season)

Dogs: 7-6 ATS (42-32-1)

Road Dogs: 6-3 ATS (27-19-1)