Friday 10-20-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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MLB
Dunkel

Friday, October 20

NY Yankees @ Houston

Game 913-914
October 20, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Severino) 19.133
Houston
(Verlnder) 16.681
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-140
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(+120); Over

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MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 20

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NY YANKEES (98 - 75) at HOUSTON (106 - 65) - 8:05 PM
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 19-32 (-13.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
NY YANKEES are 11-17 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
NY YANKEES are 17-29 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
NY YANKEES are 8-18 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 106-65 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 83-40 (+25.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 18-6 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 53-35 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY YANKEES are 65-54 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 61-55 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-39 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-5 (+1.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.6 Units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SEVERINO is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 7.72 and a WHIP of 1.973.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
VERLANDER is 9-7 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.298.
His team's record is 11-12 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-12. (-4.4 units)

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MLB

Friday, October 20

Trend Report

NY YANKEES @ HOUSTON
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

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MLB

Friday, October 20

New York @ Houston
Astros are 7-5 against New York this season, winning four of five at home. Houston scored total of nine runs in first five games in this series, all won by the home team.

Severino is 1-0, 5.56 in three playoff starts this season; he is 4-0, 3.27 in his last eight starts overall. Over is 5-3 in his last eight starts. New York is 9-7 in his road starts this season. He is 0-1, 7.71 in three starts vs Houston this season.

Verlander is 7-0, 1.29 in seven starts for Houston; he also won a game in relief. Under is 8-2 in his last ten starts. Astros are 4-0 in his home starts. Verlander is 1-0, 1.00 vs New York this season; he is 10-5, 3.19 in 19 career playoff games (18 starts).

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Friday's ALCS Playoff Betting Preview And Odds: Yankees at Astros

The Astros left home a few days ago feeling very good about their chances to win the American League pennant, but returned home with a very different feeling.

New York Yankees at Houston Astros (NYY +124, HOU -134, O/U 7.5)

Yankees lead series 3-2

The Houston Astros left home a few days ago feeling very good about their chances to win the American League pennant and advance to the second World Series in franchise history, but returned home with a very different feeling. The Astros will try to stay alive one more day and force a decisive Game 7 of the AL Championship Series when they host the New York Yankees in Game 6 on Friday.

Houston won the first two games at home but totaled only nine runs in the series after leading the majors in scoring with 896 runs during the regular season, and it is looking for more from George Springer (2-for-18 in the series) and Josh Reddick (0-for-17) at home in Game 6. "It will be great," Astros manager A.J. Hinch told reporters of getting back to Houston. "There weren't a lot rooting for us here. I think getting home will be good for us. We'll have an off day (Thursday), and then get to play in front of our home crowd. Every home team has won this series, if that trend continues, we'll be in pretty good shape." The Yankees finally found their offense at home while winning all three games, and are starting to get production from Aaron Judge (4-for-9, two homers, six RBIs in the last three games) and Gary Sanchez, who drove in five runs in the last two contests. "I give our guys a lot of credit for how resilient they are, and how they continue to fight and never give up and understand, take it one game at a time and don't panic," New York manager Joe Girardi told reporters. "And just continue to fight."

TV: 8:08 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

INJURY REPORT:

Yankees - SP L. Severino (Probable, Shoulder), SP L. Cessa (Out For Season, Ribs), SP M. Pineda (Out For Season, Elbow).

Astros - CF J. Marisnick (Out For Season, Thumb), SP D. Paulino (Out For Season, Suspension), RP J. Gustave (Out For Season, Elbow).

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees RH Luis Severino (1-0, 5.56 ERA) vs. Astros RH Justin Verlander (3-0, 2.04)

Severino is hoping to go deeper into Game 6 after being lifted from Game 2 following the fourth inning, when he struggled to get loose and was hit in the wrist by a comebacker. The 23-year-old Dominican was checked out by doctors and quickly cleared. Severino surrendered a solo home run to Carlos Correa in that outing and was strong in his lone AL Division Series appearance, yielding three runs and four hits in seven innings against Cleveland.

Verlander went up against Severino in Game 2 and earned the win while hurling a 124-pitch complete game. The former AL MVP yielded one run and five hits while striking out 13 and walking one to earn his third win in as many 2017 postseason appearances. Verlander is 8-0 with a 1.39 ERA in eight appearances since arriving in a trade from the Detroit Tigers on Aug. 31.

TRENDS:

* Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 playoff road games.
* Yankees are 15-3 in Severino's last 18 starts.
* Astros are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
* Astros are 7-0 in Verlander's 7 starts since joining Houston.
* Over is 12-3 in Severino's last 15 starts overall.
* Under is 8-0 in Astros' last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
* Over is 17-6-3 in Jim Reynolds' last 26 games behind home plate.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home chalk Astros at a rate of 74 percent and the Over is picking up 57 percent of the totals action.

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Marshall at Middle Tennessee 10/20/17 - NCAAF Picks & Predictions

by Mike
Latest Odds : MARS -2.5 Total 48.5

Marshall (5-1, 2-0) may be the team to beat in Conference USA. The Thundering Herd is one of three teams that hasn't lost a C-USA game, and is the only five-win team in the league. Marshall has been stout on defense over the last two weeks, allowing just three points each to Charlotte and Old Dominion.

Against the Monarchs, Marshall scored all of its 35 points in the final three quarters after a slow start. The Thundering Herd limited Old Dominion to just 116 passing yards and 81 rushing yards. On the other hand, Marshall rushed for 195 yards with 4.9 yards per carry.

On the season, junior receiver Tyre Brady has 571 receiving yards and six touchdowns for the Thundering Herd. Four of his trips to the end zone have come in the last two weeks. In a loss earlier this season to NC State, Brady had 11 receptions for 248 yards and a touchdown.


Middle Tennessee (3-4, 1-2) was edged out by UAB last week on the road. The Blazers put a 33-yard field goal through the uprights for a 25-23 win. On the game, the Blue Raiders converted on just 4 of 13 third downs and turned the ball over twice.

Sophomore receiver Ty Lee is having a strong showing thus far for Middle Tennessee, with 436 receiving yards and three touchdowns. He's been a frequent target of sophomore quarterback John Urzua, with at least seven catches in four games this season.


Recent Betting Trends:
Thundering Herd are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Blue Raiders are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 20-7 in Thundering Herd last 27 conference games.
Under is 3-1-1 in Blue Raiders last 5 games following a straight up loss.


Free Betting Pick: Marshall Thundering Herd -2.5


Last year Marshall had rare sub-par season but Thundering Herd have bounced back and now are one of the best under rated teams in College Football. Another quality road win for Marshall as Herd make it look easy improving on 5-1 straight up and ATS record. Final Score Prediction, Marshall win and cover ATS 36-27.

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Colorado State at New Mexico 10/20/17 - CFB Picks & Predictions

by Eddie

Latest Odds : CSU -7.5 Total 61
Dreamstyle Stadium will play host to a Friday night college football clash between the Colorado State Rams and New Mexico Lobos. Colorado State has won their first three Mountain West Conference games and have scored a total of 122 points in the process. On Saturday, Nick Stevens threw three of his four touchdown passes to Michael Gallup during a 44-42 home victory versus Nevada. Dalyn Dawkins rushed for a career high 195 yards on the evening for the Rams.

Through their first seven games, Colorado State leads the conference with 506 yards per game and scores 33.3 points on average. New Mexico is quietly ranked 33rd in total defense and allowing 24.6 points per game.


The New Mexico Lobos have split their first six games overall and have just one victory in their first three conference games. On Saturday, New Mexico failed to show up during a 38-0 loss at Fresno State. The Lobos controlled the ball for 33 plus minutes but were outgained by a 526-322 margin.

For the season, New Mexico ranks 57th nationally in total offense and has scored 25.3 points per contest. Colorado State enters this matchup with a defense that ranks 72nd in the country and allows 21.7 points on average.


Recent Betting Trends:
Colorado State is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road.
Colorado State is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico.
New Mexico is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado State's last 7 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New Mexico's last 7 games.


Free Betting Pick: Colorado State Rams -7.5


Colorado State has won seven straight meetings in this series and owns a 39-25 advantage over New Mexico all time. Last season, plenty of points were put on the board during a 49-31 home victory by Colorado State. Look for Colorado State to roll on Friday night to an easy win and cover. Final Score Prediction, Colorado State Rams win and cover ATS 41-23.

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Western Kentucky at ODU 10/20/17 - College Football Picks & Predictions

by Thomas

Latest Odds : WKU -9.5 Total 49.5

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers have have put it together and have won three straight games. The Hilltoppers will head to Old Dominion to take on the Monarchs on Friday night as a -9.5 points favorite. Western Kentucky is 1-1 on the road this season.

The Hilltoppers beat Charlotte last week 45-14. The Hilltoppers were lead by QB Mike White who threw for 393 yards and five touchdowns. Western Kentucky had five different players have receiving touchdowns.


The Old Dominion Monarchs will have their hands full on their home field on Friday night. The Monarchs have lost three straight games and are 1-2 on their home field. Old Dominion lost to Marshall on the road last week 35-3.

The Monarchs have only put up 31 points over their last three games. Old Dominion played a tough game in VT where they were shutout but did score 23 at home against UNC. ODU QB Steven Williams threw for just 116 yards last week with no touchdowns and one interception.


Recent Betting Trends:
Hilltoppers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Monarchs are 1-7-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-0 in Hilltoppers last 4 games following a ATS win.
Under is 5-2 in Monarchs last 7 games overall.


Free Betting Pick: Western Kentucky Hilltoppers -9.5


The Hilltoppers have finally put it together and look like themselves. ODU has struggled most of the season and QB Williams has struggled. Look for Western Kentucky to dominate this game on Friday. Final Score Prediction, Western Kentucky Hilltoppers win and cover ATS 35-16.

[bmd1803]

Air Force at Nevada 10/20/17 - College Football Picks & Predictions

by Jim

Latest Odds : AFA -5.5 Total 65.5
Air Force plays at Nevada this weekend and both teams are looking to get things going in the right direction. Air Force is 1-2 in the Mountain West - mountain division and 2-4 overall. Nevada is 1-2 in the Mountain West - west division and 1-6 overall.

Air Force has had three games decided by four points or less and got their first close win last week against UNLV. The Falcons had lost four straight, two against ranked teams, before last week. Nevada got its first win two weeks ago. The Wolf Pack has lost two games by two points each, including one last weekend.

Nevada is scoring 25 points per game and giving up an average of 35. Ty Gangi has thrown for 1435 yards and 14 touchdowns. He has six interceptions. Six different players have thrown passes for the Wolf Pack this year, and the team has 18 touchdowns with 10 interceptions. McLane Mannix and Wyatt Demps each have more than 500 yards receiving and 12 touchdowns between them.


Like most service academies, Air Force relies more on the running game, sixth in the nation at 306 yards per game. Air Force averages 36 points per game and is giving up 32. Aaron Worthman has thrown for 725 yards and eight touchdowns with one interception. He also leads the team in rushing with 550 yards and 10 touchdowns. Timothy McVey has rushed for 380 yards for Air Force.


Recent Betting Trends:
Falcons are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
Wolf Pack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 6-2 in Wolf Pack last 8 conference games.


Free Betting Pick: Nevada Wolfpack +5.5


These teams last played in 2014 with Air Force winning in overtime and think it's another close game this season. Air Force has the better team but on the road the Falcons are never as good. Nevada does plenty to keep this within a field goal and get bettors a nice ATS cover. Final Score Prediction, Air Force Falcons win but fall short ATS 26-24.

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Tommy King Wins

NCAA Football MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE BLUE RAIDERS +2

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AASI Wins

NCAA Football MARSHALL THUNDERING HERD ‑2.5

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Sportsbook Advisor

NCAA Football NEW MEXICO LOBOS +7.5

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DONNY ACTION

NCAA Football NEVADA WOLF PACK +7 ‑110

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Pure Lock

NCAA Football WESTERN KENTUCKY HILLTOPPERS ‑7.5

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Ace / Line Beaters

MLB HOUSTON ASTROS ‑135