Wednesday 10-25-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs

Evangeline Downs - Race 6

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) Pick 4 (Races 6-7-8-9)


Claiming $3,500 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 74 • Purse: $8,500 • Post: 7:40P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,500.
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Race Analysis
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Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * KUTE N KWIK: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. JOEJOES L OADED: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. JW WHO DAT: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designatio n and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
KING CASADY
8/1

5/1
8
KUTE N KWIK
4/1

6/1
4
JOEJOES LOADED
2/1

7/1
6
JW WHO DAT
6/1

7/1

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park West - Race #7 - Post: 4:35pm - Maiden Special - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $50,000 Class Rating: 74

Rating: 4

#5 KATHY'S CLOWN (ML=3/1)


KATHY'S CLOWN - This horse could be close at the end. She's got a great late kick. Running 1 1/16 miles on the grass, you've have to look at horse's turf figures. This thoroughbred has the tops in the bunch. Biancone adds Lasix for the 2nd time today. Certainly could make the difference right here. This horse has a lot of class. A good sign in a race on the grass like we have today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 WICKED OBSESSION (ML=5/2), #4 MY FAVORITE GIFT (ML=7/2),

WICKED OBSESSION - Should be difficult for this thoroughbred to beat this bunch off of that last speed figure. Doubtful to improve enough to run a figure close enough to today's class rating, so put her on the likely underlays list. MY FAVORITE GIFT - Would be taking an underlay on this thoroughbred at the probable odds of 7/2.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - KATHY'S CLOWN - Having the best speed fig last race of 83 at Gulfstream Park on September 3rd. This filly has an excellent chance to win here.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 KATHY'S CLOWN is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
5 with [7,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Mountaineer Park

Mountaineer Park - Race 8

First Half $2 Late Daily Double (Races 8 &9) $2 Trifecta $2 Exacta $1 Trifecta Box $1 Exacta Box ($.50) Superfecta


Allowance • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 90 • Purse: $20,700 • Post: 9:34P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 25 ALLOWED 3 LBS. (CLAIMING RACES FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ESTIMATING ALLOWANCES)(W V A BRED RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
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Race Type: Lone Trailer. UNCLE JACK is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SORCERER'S PRINCE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. OBVIOUS ONE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/s urface. ROCKET ROAD: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. UNCLE JACK: Today is a route and this is the horse's third start after a layoff, after two sprint prep races. SUPER BEAU: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 d ays.
6
SORCERER'S PRINCE
7/5

9/2
2
OBVIOUS ONE
2/1

6/1
4
ROCKET ROAD
8/1

8/1
1
UNCLE JACK
7/2

10/1
5
SUPER BEAU
12/1

10/1

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Thistledown
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - SO - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $15200 Class Rating: 97

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS IN 2016 - 2017 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $7,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE SEPTEMBER 25 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500 (OHIO


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 SAMBUCCA STEVE 6/1

# 2 SUN MAGIC 3/1

# 6 W W CONCERTO 6/1

SAMBUCCA STEVE is the strongest bet in this race. This gelding has posted some nice finishing positions in his last several efforts. Has to be carefully examined against this group displaying solid figures recently and an average speed rating of 82 under similar conditions. Has strong front-end speed and should fare very well versus this group of animals. SUN MAGIC - Has respectable Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a bet here. Trainer boasts strong win figures at this distance and surface. W W CONCERTO - Looks respectable for the conditions of this outing today, showing solid figures in dirt sprint races recently.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Woodbine - Race #6 - Post: 9:10pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 76

Rating: 4

#11 CANDY PHIL (ML=8/1)
#5 ARTILLIA (ML=3/1)
#3 MADAME GIZMO (ML=4/1)


CANDY PHIL - When this jock and trainer join forces you have to take a look. Wilson and Buttigieg have been wonderful together. Lets try to beat the chalk with this filly. Just missed last out, but ran a decent race. ARTILLIA - This jock/trainer duo has been producing a very beneficial ROI, right at +33. This filly should be in fine condition, this far into her form cycle. This filly's last speed fig is good enough to score here, I'll bet on her back again this time. MADAME GIZMO - It looks like Moreno had to learn about this filly on September 16th when riding her for the first time. Back on board again today. Likes to go to the front and the fact that today is a shorter trip should be favorable. Faced tougher last out at Woodbine. Based on Equibase class ratings, this is a weaker bunch, so I will put this thoroughbred on my list of top contenders.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 BOURBON BABE (ML=5/1), #9 SHEZ A TEN I KNOW (ML=6/1),

BOURBON BABE - The lack of works has to make one concerned despite the nice performance in the last race. Finished second in her most recent effort with a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating. When I look at today's class figure, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field. SHEZ A TEN I KNOW - In the last affair this racer finished sixth. Doesn't look good for her chances in today's event.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#11 CANDY PHIL to win at post-time odds of 3/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [5,11] Box [3,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,11] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
[3,5,11] with [3,5,11] with [3,4,5,7,11] with [3,4,5,7,11] Total Cost: $36

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Wednesday, October 25, 2017

NBA (517) WASHINGTON WIZARDS VS (518) LOS ANGELES LAKERS

Take: OVER

Reason: Your free play for Wednesday, October 24, 2017 is in the NBA game between the Washington Wizards and the LA Lakers. The Washington Wizards are a perfect 3-0 S/U to start the season. They play at an LA Lakers team that is 1-2 both S/U and ATS this season. John Wall is leading the team with 24.3 ppg and 10 assists per game. The offense is ranked 7th in scoring (114.7 ppg) and 5th in free throw percentage (84.2). The Lakers really haven't been competitive yet, losing by 11, nine and eight points. Jordan Clarkson leads the team in scoring with 19.7 ppg. Rookie Lonzo Ball leads in assists (8.7) and rebounds (9.3). The Wizards have gone OVER in eight of their last 11 games while the Lakers are 5-1 O/U in their last six at home against a winning team. These teams have gone over in 11 of the last 14 meetings in LA. I look for that to continue here on Wednesday. Take the OVER.

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Arthur Ralph Sports

WED Houston w/ Verlander +105

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MIKE LUNDIN
NBA | Oct 25, 2017
Nuggets vs. Hornets
Nuggets-125

Two teams looking to bounce back from defeats will clash at Spectrum Center, Charlotte Wednesday night when the Hornets host the Nuggets.
Denver fell 109-104 as a 5-point home favorite against Washington on Monday while the Hornets took a 103-94 beating as a 7-point dog at Milwaukee. Worth noting that the Nuggets are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss while the Hornets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss, and even though those are trends carrying over from last season I think they're worth taking into consideration.
The Hornets are banged up, and Dwight Howard missed all nine of his free throws against the Bucks. His poor shooting from the charity stripe could very well become the deciding factor here, in what's expected to be a close game decided down the stretch.
My free pick is on the Denver Nuggets.

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SCOTT SPREITZER
NBA | Oct 25, 2017
Wizards vs. Lakers
Wizards-6

I'm laying the points with the Washington Wizards on Wednesday night. All the attention given to Lonzo Ball is going to make him a target for veteran stars. John Wall will likely play with the team's best interests in mind, but you can bet he also wants to show the young buck a thing or two. We've seen current and former players talking about this matchup and there is a desire to make Ball look bad...or at least like a rookie receiving too much hype. As far as the game matchup itself, the Lakers are playing no defense right now. They're near the bottom of the league in every important defensive category and their only win was a 132-130 victory over hapless Phoenix. Wall and Bradley Beal will look to take advantage with an offense averaging 112 ppg. I don't believe the Lakers will be able to keep up and play inside the number after four of five starters failed to reach double figures in scoring last time out. Ball, Brandon Ingram, Larry Nance, Jr., and Brook Lopez combined to make just 11 FGs against New Orleans on 36 attempts. The four key Lakers also made just 1 of 9 3-pointers. There will be growing pains for the young Lakers and we expect more tonight. Washington has covered six of their last seven at the Lakers and we're recommending a play on the Wizards minus the points on Wednesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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DUSTIN HAWKINS

Free Play on Spurs -3½ -115

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LARRY NESS

My 1* Free Play on Wednesday is the Phoenix Suns (10:05 EST).

Utah comes in gassed after last night’s 102-84 loss at the Clippers, while Phoenix enters motivated after picking up its first win of the season in a 117-115 victory at home over Sacramento.
Utah has won seven straight in the series, but the situation favors the home side in my opinion.
The Jazz so far average just 99.7 PPG, while allowing 94.3. The Suns average 102.8 PPG and in the early going anyways are the worst defensive club in the league in conceding a whopping 125.3 PPG.
After a tough start to the year, Phoenix looked a lot better against the Kings though. Devin Booker had 22 points in the win as he looks to step up and fill the leadership void left by Eric Bledsoe.
I’ll point out that Utah is interestingly just 7-9 ATS in its last 16 against the Pacific division, while Phoenix is 6-2 ATS in its last eight after allowing 115 points or more in its previous contest.
The Suns depth took a hit when Bledsoe decided to quit the team, but Phoenix is still running on adrenaline because of the recent off court turmoil and I think it will continue to ride that energy to another competitive affair this evening.
Consider grabbing the points in this one.
Good luck…Larry

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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Wednesday, Oct. 25 is:

Indiana Pacers +14.5 over OKC Thunder.

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Tommy Brunson

With the batters still trying to figure out the pitchers, best to play Game Two of the World Series Under the total.

Last night's first game opened with 3 home runs, but just a 3-1 final score, as the Dodgers made it a 5-1-1 postseason Under run their last 7 games played in the month of October. As for Houston, they are 6-3 Under in their last 9 postseason games.

Justin Verlander has been money in the postseason, as he twice held the Yankees at bay in the A.L.C.S., and owns a career postseason ERA of just 1.61.

Rich Hill's season ERA at Dodger Stadium is 2.79, and he has allowed just 3 runs in his 9 postseason innings this October.

Have to ride the Under in Game Two.

4* HOUSTON-L.A. DODGERS UNDER

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GAME: Houston Astros (108-66) at Los Angeles Dodgers (112-59)
DATE/TIME: Wednesday, October 25 - 8:00 PM EST
WHERE: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Playoff Series:

World Series; LA Dodgers leads 1-0

Preview: Astros at Dodgers

Gracenote
Oct 25, 2017

Justin Verlander is 4-0 during his stellar postseason run and looks to continue the success when the Houston Astros visit the Los Angeles Dodgers for Game 2 of the World Series on Wednesday. Verlander will aim to help Houston knot the series after Clayton Kershaw and Justin Turner guided the Dodgers to a 3-1 victory in Game 1.

Verlander was acquired from Detroit by the Astros to fortify their rotation, and now he's a symbol of a franchise looking for its first World Series title in the wake of a damaging hurricane that ravaged Houston in August. "In any organization, the opportunity to win your first championship is something special, but really with what's going on in Houston now specifically, I think it makes it even that much more special," Verlander said during his press conference on Tuesday. "I mean, given this opportunity, if we come away successful, you leave a legacy and mark on people that won't be forgotten." Kershaw allowed one run and three hits with 11 strikeouts over seven innings while Turner belted a tiebreaking two-run homer (his fourth of the postseason) in Tuesday's victory. "You enjoy it while it happens," Turner told reporters, "and then you go home and you find a way to prepare, and we've got to figure out how to beat Verlander."

TV: 8:09 p.m. ET, FOX

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Justin Verlander (4-0, 1.46 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Rich Hill (0-0, 3.00)

Verlander has a stellar 11-5 postseason record, but none of those victories occurred in the World Series, where he went 0-3 with a 7.20 ERA in three career starts for the Tigers. The 34-year-old's arrival in Houston changed the complexion of the rotation, providing the team with a second ace alongside Dallas Keuchel as well as raising the stature of the organization. "We understand the magnitude of his performance and the magnitude of his entrance into our clubhouse," Astros manager A.J. Hinch said at a press conference. "The way he's fit in, the way he's been intellectually curious on how to get better, but let's be honest, ultimately the way he's performed, has been second to none."

Hill is 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA in six career postseason starts and is making his World Series debut. The 37-year-old is trying to keep the moment in perspective after his major-league career appeared to be finished in the summer of 2015, when he signed with the independent Long Island Ducks, but 26 of his 50 career regular-season victories have come since that stint. "I wouldn't change that for anything," Hill said at his press conference on Tuesday. "It was learning, reigniting that fire, reigniting that passion for what we do out there on the field. And really getting back into disassociating yourself with the results, and just understanding that it is a pitch-to-pitch process and understanding that the moment is all that matters."

WALK-OFFS

1. Dodgers CF Chris Taylor led off the bottom of the first inning Tuesday by slugging the first pitch from Keuchel 447 feet over the wall in left field for his third homer of the postseason.

2. Astros 3B Alex Bregman went deep for the third time this postseason to account for his team's lone run in Game 1.

3. Turner has driven in a franchise-record 14 runs this postseason, and his 26 career RBIs match the club mark set by Hall-of-Famer Duke Snider.

PREDICTION: Astros 3, Dodgers 2

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Trends - Houston at LA Dodgers

W/L TRENDS

Houston

Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 2 of a series. Astros are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. Astros are 22-7 in their last 29 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Astros are 26-9 in their last 35 vs. National League West. Astros are 23-8 in their last 31 interleague road games. Astros are 21-8 in their last 29 overall. Astros are 21-8 in their last 29 games on grass. Astros are 33-14 in their last 47 Wednesday games. Astros are 42-19 in their last 61 interleague games. Astros are 43-20 in their last 63 games following a loss. Astros are 15-7 in their last 22 vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 15-7 in their last 22 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Astros are 4-9 in their last 13 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 road games. Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Astros are 0-4 in their last 4 playoff road games. Astros are 0-5 in their last 5 World Series games. Astros are 7-0 in Verlanders last 7 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts with 4 days of rest. Astros are 8-0 in Verlanders last 8 starts. Astros are 8-0 in Verlanders last 8 starts on grass. Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

LA Dodgers

Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 playoff home games. Dodgers are 10-1 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Dodgers are 8-1 in their last 9 playoff games. Dodgers are 13-3 in their last 16 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 21-5 in their last 26 interleague games. Dodgers are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 60-16 in their last 76 games following a win. Dodgers are 20-6 in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Dodgers are 16-5 in their last 21 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 39-13 in their last 52 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Dodgers are 41-14 in their last 55 home games. Dodgers are 49-18 in their last 67 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 40-15 in their last 55 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Dodgers are 36-15 in their last 51 during game 2 of a series. Dodgers are 77-34 in their last 111 overall. Dodgers are 77-34 in their last 111 games on grass. Dodgers are 38-18 in their last 56 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Dodgers are 35-17 in their last 52 interleague home games. Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 Wednesday games. Dodgers are 8-0 in Hills last 8 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Dodgers are 6-0 in Hills last 6 starts during game 2 of a series. Dodgers are 4-0 in Hills last 4 home starts. Dodgers are 5-0 in Hills last 5 starts. Dodgers are 5-0 in Hills last 5 starts on grass. Dodgers are 10-1 in Hills last 11 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Houston

Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 7-2 in Astros last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 7-2-1 in Astros last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-2 in Astros last 7 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter.

LA Dodgers

Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 games following a win. Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 on grass. Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 overall. Under is 5-1 in Dodgers last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in Dodgers last 7 playoff games. Under is 4-1 in Dodgers last 5 vs. American League West. Under is 10-3 in Dodgers last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 19-6-2 in Dodgers last 27 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Over is 6-2 in Dodgers last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 6-2-1 in Dodgers last 9 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 home games. Under is 43-19 in Dodgers last 62 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 4-1 in Hills last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 10-3 in Hills last 13 starts during game 2 of a series. Under is 5-2 in Hills last 7 starts with 9 or more days of rest. Over is 5-2 in Hills last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

HEAD TO HEAD

Under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Under is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Los Angeles. Astros are 1-7 in the last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.

UMPIRE TRENDS - PAUL NAUERT

Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games with Nauert behind home plate. Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 games with Nauert behind home plate. Over is 3-0-1 in Nauerts last 4 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles. Under is 5-0 in Nauerts last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Houston. Home team is 7-1 in Nauerts last 8 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles. Road team is 4-1 in Nauerts last 5 Wednesday games behind home plate vs. Houston. Road team is 7-2 in Nauerts last 9 interleague games behind home plate. Under is 28-10 in Nauerts last 38 Wednesday games behind home plate. Under is 11-4-1 in Nauerts last 16 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Home team is 27-10 in Nauerts last 37 games behind home plate. Under is 5-2 in Nauerts last 7 interleague games behind home plate. Under is 5-2 in Nauerts last 7 games behind home plate. Home team is 10-4 in Nauerts last 14 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Astros are 4-9 in their last 13 games with Nauert behind home plate.