Tuesday 10-31-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #7 - Post: 3:51pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating: 4

#9 HENNESSY STORM (ML=5/2)


HENNESSY STORM - Owns the highest speed figure on the turf at this distance. The August 16th affair at Del Mar was at a class level of (88). Dropping to a lower level considerably, so she should be in a good spot. When I handicap a race on the turf, I think sometimes class ratings are more important than speed figs. This horse has the highest average class in the entire field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 NOON (ML=3/1), #11 C J KNOWS BEST (ML=7/2), #4 PORT ELIZABETH (ML=4/1),

NOON - I just don't have a 'use' vibe about this steed in this clash. C J KNOWS BEST - Last performed on October 9th at Fresno, finishing fourth. Unlikely to get better off of that outing in today's event. Don't think this entrant will make an impact today. That last speed fig was somewhat easily forgotten when compared with today's Equibase class figure. PORT ELIZABETH - You always believe this animal has a shot to win, but she comes up short most of the time.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#9 HENNESSY STORM is going to be the play if we are getting 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
9 with [4,11]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Zia Park - Race #9 - Post: 3:46pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 62

Rating: 4

#1 IZE DISCREET ROSE (ML=2/1)


IZE DISCREET ROSE - The jockey and handler combination here have a high win percent when they combine forces.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 BLAMED (ML=8/5), #4 LOVABLE LILLY (ML=4/1), #2 BRANDY NIGHT (ML=8/1),

BLAMED - Ran irregularly on Sep 11th. Be leery this time out. LOVABLE LILLY - Hasn't been close to winning at all recently. BRANDY NIGHT - The finish of sixth in the last race shows me that this animal may be going out of form. In any race of 6 furlongs, I like to play a contender that has been looking good in short distance contests recently.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - IZE DISCREET ROSE - Trainer (Arnett) dropped this racer last race out, and keeps her at the same class today. Based on my data, this class suits her well.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 IZE DISCREET ROSE to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
1 with [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LARRY NESS

My 1* Free Play is on the Milwaukee Bucks (8:00 EST).

The 3-3 OKC Thunder are in Milwaukee to take on the 4-2 Bucks and for a number of different reasons I think this one favors the home side.
This is the end of a three-game road trip for the Thunder, which always sets up as a natural “letdown” spot teams (in every sport.) Besides, Oklahoma City comes in off a satisfying 101-69 win over the Bulls on Saturday.
The Bucks come in on top form as well, they’ve won three of their last four, most recently a 117-106 victory at Atlanta on Sunday.
So far OKC is ranked 11th in scoring with an average of 106 PPG, while ranked fifth in scoring defense in conceding 96.5. Carmelo Anthony leads the nightly charge with 23.8 PPG, while Russell Westbrook has averaged 20.8 points, 9.8 boards and 12.2 assists per game. Paul George adds 19.5 points and 2.67 steals per game.
The Bucks are ranked 14th in scoring with 105.5 PPG, while ranked 15th in scoring defense in conceding 103.7. Giannis Antetokounmpo had 33 points, 11 rebounds and five assists to lead the team in its most recent win.
Milwaukee is also getting plenty of production from Malcolm Brogdon, who adds 15.8 points, while Khris Middleton chips in 17.2 points, plus 5.7 boards.
I’ll point out that as well that Oklahoma City is just 1-4 ATS in its last five following an ATS victory and only 1-4 ATS in its last five after allowing less than 75 points in its last game, while Milwaukee is interestingly 22-17 ATS in its last 39 against good offensive teams which score 106 plus points per contest.
I think OKC comes in flat-footed at the end of its road trip and I believe the opportunisitc home side will take advantage. Consider the Bucks in this matchup.
Good luck…Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RED DOG SPORTS
Soccer | Oct 31, 2017
Bolton Wanderers vs. Sunderland
Sunderland -125

Free soccer play takes place in England on Tuesday afternoon.Take Sunderland -125.
Bolton 1
Sunderlund 2

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Tuesday, October 31, 2017

NBA (503) PHOENIX SUNS VS (504) BROOKLYN NETS

Take: OVER

Reason: Your free play for Tuesday, October 31 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the Phoenix Suns and the Brooklyn Nets. The Phoenix Suns make the long trip East to play the Nets in Brooklyn. Always tougher on the West coast teams having to travel East. Especially for a team like Phoenix that is only 2-4 on the season and 0-2 on the road. Meanwhile, the Nets are 3-4 on the season and 3-1 at home. Suns coach Earl Watson didn't even make it four games into the season before being fired. Interim coach Jay Triano faced the loss guard Eric Bledsoe who just left the team. The Suns give up a ton of points and have gone OVER in five of their last seven road games and the OVER is 9-4 their last 13 overall. Should be lots of points in this contest. The total is high, but not high enough. Take the OVER.

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Arthur Ralph Sports

TUES Astro's w/Verlander + 105

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JOEY JUICE

The Kent State Golden Flashes are at home tonight vs. the Bowling Green Falcons, who are coming off a tough road loss to Northern Illinois 48-17, while the Golden Flashes were absolutely man-handled by Ohio 48-3 last time out.

Last season when these 2 teams met, Bowling Green crushed Kent State at home.

A look inside the numbers shows a distinct advantage for Bowling Green in this game. The Bowling Green Falcons always take care of business on the road against losing teams, they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games against a team with a losing home record.

In fact, the road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between these 2 teams.

The Kent State Golden Flashes are terrible at home, they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games against a team with a losing road record.

Final Facts:

Kent State has the absolute worst offense in the Country. They average only 10 points per game (9 points in conference play), which ranks them 130th.

Bowling Green can actually score the ball, they are averaging 26.7 points in their four conference games thus far, and they were able to score 30 points against first-place Ohio earlier this month.

Bowling Green is your free winner.

3* BOWLING GREEN

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JEFF BENTON

Your Tuesday freebie is the Bowling Green Falcons.

It's that time of the year! MAC-tion on Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, you know the deal.

Tonight we have two of the bottom feeders, as 1-7 Bowling Green visits 2-6 Kent State, and someone has to win!

My money will go out on the visiting Falcons who have won each of the past 4 series meetings, and have covered in 3 of those 4 victories. Not only that, but the road team is 4-1 against the spread the last 5 series meetings.

Bowling Green quarterback Jarret Doege has missed the last 3 games with a back injury, but is expected to be back for this MAC game tonight. If he cannot go, Loy and Morgan are well-versed on taking the snaps for the Falcons, and they do know how to put the pigskin in the end-zone, something the Golden Flashes have not done a lot of this season.

Bowling Green is averaging almost 27 points per game in conference action, while Kent State comes in with just 9 points per game averaged in their conference tilts.

Based on series trends, go with BG as the small road favorite to make it 5-0 straight up, and 4-1 against the spread versus Kent.

3* BOWLING GREEN

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DUSTIN HAWKINS

Free Play on Nets -4 -110

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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Tuesday, Oct. 31 is:

NY Rangers over Vegas Golden Knights.

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GAME: Houston Astros (111-67) at Los Angeles Dodgers (113-62)
DATE/TIME: Tuesday, October 31 - 8:00 PM EST
WHERE: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Playoff Series:

World Series; Houston leads 3-2

Preview: Astros at Dodgers

Gracenote
Oct 31, 2017

Justin Verlander was acquired to bolster Houston's starting pitching for a postseason run and the veteran right-hander has a chance to pitch the Astros to their first World Series title when he faces the host Los Angeles Dodgers in Tuesday's Game 6. Verlander received a no-decision in Game 2 and has never won a World Series game, going 0-3 with a 6.43 in four career starts with the Detroit Tigers and Houston.

The 34-year-old Verlander has more than done his job since joining the Astros - he is 9-0 with a 1.53 ERA in 10 total appearances (nine starts) - but fully understands one more big outing is needed. "These games are what it's all about," Verlander told reporters Monday. "These are the moments that you want to be a part of as a baseball player. It's everything you could ask for." Houston is in position to clinch after Sunday's 13-12, 10-inning victory, the second wild game of a World Series featuring a record 22 homers. "Obviously, we want to be the last team standing on the field, win the last game of the season, that's the goal," Los Angeles third baseman Justin Turner said at a press conference. "But you have literally the two best teams in baseball are going at it. It's the clash of the titans right now, and I don't think there's a single moment of this season that will be unforgettable."

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, FOX

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Justin Verlander (4-0, 2.05 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Rich Hill (0-0, 2.77)

Verlander gave up only two hits in his Game 2 outing at Dodger Stadium but both were homers (to Joc Pederson and Corey Seager) as he gave up three runs in six innings. Not having a World Series win might be the lone thing missing from a stellar career resume that includes 11 career postseason victories. "As soon as the postseason starts, you're living or dying on every single pitch, and your whole team is living or dying on every single pitch," Verlander said. "It changes everything."

Hill was the recipient of a quick hook from manager Dave Roberts despite giving up one run and three hits and striking out seven in four innings in Game 2. Roberts hinted that Hill will have a longer leash in Game 6 and the 37-year-old proclaims himself ready for the task. "It's something that all of us have been preparing our entire careers for," Hill told reporters. "Going out there in Game 6 and having the ability to be in that position, and go out there and leave everything on the field, is just an amazing thought."

WALK-OFFS

1. The previous World Series record for homers was 21 in 2002 when the then-Anaheim Angels prevailed over the San Francisco Giants in seven games.

2. Los Angeles 1B Cody Bellinger is on a 4-for-7 roll with one homer, one triple and two doubles after opening the World Series with 13 hitless at-bats.

3. Houston OF George Springer reached base five times (three walks, one single, one home run) in Game 5 and has gone deep three times in the series.

PREDICTION: Dodgers 6, Astros 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Houston at LA Dodgers

W/L TRENDS

Houston

Astros are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. Astros are 9-2 in their last 11 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 8-2 in their last 10 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 11-3 in their last 14 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 17-5 in their last 22 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Astros are 24-8 in their last 32 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Astros are 24-8 in their last 32 interleague road games. Astros are 29-10 in their last 39 vs. National League West. Astros are 24-9 in their last 33 overall. Astros are 24-9 in their last 33 games on grass. Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff games. Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 22-9 in their last 31 games following a win. Astros are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 45-20 in their last 65 interleague games. Astros are 17-8 in their last 25 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff road games. Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 road starts. Astros are 8-0 in Verlanders last 8 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Astros are 5-0 in Verlanders last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Astros are 9-0 in Verlanders last 9 starts. Astros are 9-0 in Verlanders last 9 starts on grass.

LA Dodgers

Dodgers are 7-1 in their last 8 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss. Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 5-1 in their last 6 playoff home games. Dodgers are 11-3 in their last 14 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 21-6 in their last 27 games following an off day. Dodgers are 48-14 in their last 62 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 20-7 in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Dodgers are 22-8 in their last 30 interleague games. Dodgers are 11-4 in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Dodgers are 44-16 in their last 60 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 52-19 in their last 71 home games. Dodgers are 19-7 in their last 26 interleague home games. Dodgers are 49-19 in their last 68 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 38-16 in their last 54 Tuesday games. Dodgers are 14-6 in their last 20 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 9-4 in their last 13 playoff games. Dodgers are 9-4 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. Dodgers are 78-37 in their last 115 overall. Dodgers are 78-37 in their last 115 games on grass. Dodgers are 4-0 in Hills last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 5-0 in Hills last 5 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 5-1 in Hills last 6 starts. Dodgers are 5-1 in Hills last 6 starts on grass. Dodgers are 4-1 in Hills last 5 home starts. Dodgers are 1-4 in Hills last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Dodgers are 1-4 in Hills last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 1-4 in Hills last 5 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.

OU TRENDS

Houston

Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 games following a win. Under is 3-0-1 in Astros last 4 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-1 in Astros last 7 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 4-1 in Astros last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 9-3 in Astros last 12 games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 3-1-1 in Astros last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 13-5-1 in Astros last 19 games following an off day. Under is 5-2-1 in Astros last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 19-8-3 in Astros last 30 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 7-3-1 in Astros last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 7-3-1 in Astros last 11 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 9-4-1 in Astros last 14 interleague road games. Over is 4-1 in Verlanders last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Over is 4-1 in Verlanders last 5 starts on grass. Over is 4-1 in Verlanders last 5 starts overall.

LA Dodgers

Under is 3-0-2 in Dodgers last 5 games following an off day. Under is 2-0-2 in Dodgers last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 4-1-1 in Dodgers last 6 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 7-2 in Dodgers last 9 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 3-1-2 in Dodgers last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-2-1 in Dodgers last 9 home games. Under is 3-1-2 in Dodgers last 6 games following a loss. Under is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 3-1-2 in Dodgers last 6 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 3-1-2 in Dodgers last 6 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. Over is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 playoff home games. Under is 5-2-1 in Dodgers last 8 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 10-4 in Dodgers last 14 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Under is 44-21-1 in Dodgers last 66 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Over is 4-0 in Hills last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 5-1 in Hills last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 6-2 in Hills last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 5-2 in Hills last 7 home starts.

HEAD TO HEAD

Under is 6-2-1 in the last 9 meetings. Astros are 6-2 in the last 8 meetings. Astros are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings in Los Angeles.

UMPIRE TRENDS - DAN IASSOGNA

Under is 4-0 in Iassognas last 4 Tuesday games behind home plate. Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games with Iassogna behind home plate. Under is 5-0 in Dodgers last 5 interleague games with Iassogna behind home plate. Home team is 5-0 in Iassognas last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles. Over is 4-0 in Iassognas last 4 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles. Under is 5-0 in Iassognas last 5 interleague games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles. Under is 5-0 in Iassognas last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. Houston. Home team is 4-1 in Iassognas last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate. Under is 4-1 in Iassognas last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles. Under is 8-2-1 in Iassognas last 11 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Home team is 11-4 in Iassognas last 15 games behind home plate vs. Houston. Astros are 5-2 in their last 7 games with Iassogna behind home plate. Over is 7-3-1 in Iassognas last 11 interleague games behind home plate. Road team is 7-3 in Iassognas last 10 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles. Home team is 35-16 in Iassognas last 51 interleague games behind home plate. Home team is 42-20 in Iassognas last 62 games behind home plate. Dodgers are 1-4 in their last 5 interleague games with Iassogna behind home plate.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 31

Houston @ LA Dodgers

Game 911-912
October 31, 2017 @ 8:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Verlnder) 19.897
LA Dodgers
(Hill) 16.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 3 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-130
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(+110); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 31

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (111 - 67) at LA DODGERS (113 - 62) - 8:15 PM
JUSTIN VERLANDER (R) vs. RICH HILL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 53-53 (-17.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
VERLANDER is 64-77 (-25.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 111-67 (+15.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 28-18 (+8.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
HOUSTON is 55-33 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 45-20 (+21.2 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 39-23 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
HOUSTON is 42-27 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VERLANDER is 35-12 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 13-5 (+8.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 106-125 (-35.7 Units) against the money line in an inter-league game since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 149-108 (-13.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 33-27 (-14.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 3-2 (+1.1 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.0 Units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
VERLANDER is 2-0 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 0.700.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

RICH HILL vs. HOUSTON since 1997
HILL is 2-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 2.85 and a WHIP of 1.098.
His team's record is 3-4 (-2.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.6 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, October 31

Trend Report

HOUSTON @ LA DODGERS
Houston is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
LA Dodgers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
LA Dodgers is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Houston