Wednesday 11-1-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NBA

Wednesday,November 1

Wizards won their last four games with Phoenix but Suns covered six of last seven series games. Under is 7-1-1 in last nine series games. Suns covered three of last four games in this building. Phoenix won three of last four games after an 0-3 start; they’re 2-1 as a road underdog. Wizards won their two home games by 4-5 points but didn’t cover either one. Under is 3-1 in their last four games.

Bucks won their last three games with Charlotte; road team won five of last seven series games. Milwaukee covered its last four visits to Charlotte. Under is 6-3 in last nine series games. Bucks are 4-3 to start season but won both their road games; three of their last four games stayed under. Hornets won three of last four games; they’re 3-1 vs spread at home. Under is 5-2 in Charlotte games this season.

Hawks won/covered their last seven games with Philly; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six visits to Philly. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Atlanta lost its last six games; they’re 0-3-1 vs spread in last four road games. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games. 76ers won three of last four games after an 0-3 start (over 4-3); they’re 0-2 at home, losing by 1-10 points.

Cavaliers won their last seven games with Indiana (4-3 vs spread); Pacers covered four of their last five visits to Cleveland. Four of last five series games went over total. Indiana won three of last four games; their last three games stayed under total. Pacers covered two of their three road games. Cleveland lost its last three games, by 5-22-19 points; they’re 1-6 vs spread, 0-4 at home. Under is 4-3 in their games.

Home side won nine of last ten Kings-Celtics games; Sacramento is 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Boston. Under is 3-1 in last four series games. Kings lost their last five games (0-5 vs spread); they’re 1-3 as road underdogs- under is 5-2 in their games. Boston won/covered its last five games; they’re 2-1 as home favorites. Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Heat won five of last seven games with Chicago; road team is 7-3 in last ten series games. Bulls are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Miami. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Chicago are 1-4 to start season, but they covered three of last four games. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. Miami lost its last three games, all at home; they’re 0-4-2 vs spread this season. Over is 4-2 in their games this season.

Memphis won eight of last ten games with Orlando; home team won last five. Magic is 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Music City. Three of last four series games went over total. Orlando won four of last five games; they’re 2-2 vs spread as a road underdog. Over is 4-3 in their games. Grizzlies are 5-2 to start season; they’re 3-2 vs spread at home. Under is 5-1-1 in their games.

Rockets won nine of last ten games with New York; they covered their last five visits to Madison Square Garden. Four of last five series games went over. Houston won four of its first five road games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five games overall. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Knicks won their last three games after a 3-0 start; they’re 2-1 at home. Under is 4-2 in their first six games.

Pelicans won eight of last ten games with Minnesota (7-3 vs spread); Timberwolves are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Bourbon Street. Last seven series games went over. Minnesota won four of its first six games (over 5-0-1); they split four road games (1-2-1 vs spread). New Orleans is 3-4 to start season, losing two of three home games- four of their last six games went over the total.

Raptors won five of last seven games with Denver; over is 8-1-1 in last ten series games. Toronto is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Denver. Raptors won four of their last six games (5-1 vs spread); their last four games stayed under. Toronto is 3-1 vs spread on road. Nuggets are 3-4 to start season, splitting pair of home games. Five of their first seven games stayed under the total.

Home side won last seven Portland-Utah games; Trailblazers are 0-3 vs spread in their last four visits to Utah. Last three series games stayed under total. Portland is 4-3 to start season, 2-0-1 vs spread on road; their only road loss was by 3 at Milwaukee. Under is 5-2 in Portland games. Jazz won/covered all four home games; they’re 0-3 on road- under is 5-1-1 in their games this season.

Clippers won four of last six games with Dallas (under 4-2). Mavericks are 1-2-1 vs spread in last four series games played here. Dallas is 1-7 to start season, 1-2 vs spread on road, losing away games by 16-5-15 points- over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Clippers lost their last couple of games after a 4-0 start (under 5-1); they’re 2-1 vs spread as a home favorite.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Wednesday,November 1

Trend Report

INDIANA @ CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Indiana's last 12 games on the road
Indiana is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana

PHOENIX @ WASHINGTON
Phoenix is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing Phoenix

MILWAUKEE @ CHARLOTTE
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 9 games
Charlotte is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

ATLANTA @ PHILADELPHIA
Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Atlanta

SACRAMENTO @ BOSTON
No trends to report

CHICAGO @ MIAMI
No trends to report

HOUSTON @ NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New York's last 15 games
New York is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

ORLANDO @ MEMPHIS
Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

MINNESOTA @ NEW ORLEANS
No trends to report

PORTLAND @ UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games
Portland is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games

TORONTO @ DENVER
No trends to report

DALLAS @ LA CLIPPERS
No trends to report

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 1

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C MICHIGAN (4 - 4) at W MICHIGAN (5 - 3) - 11/1/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 10

Trend Report

Wednesday, November 1

CENTRAL MICHIGAN @ WESTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Central Michigan's last 7 games on the road
Western Michigan is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
Western Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Central Michigan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 10

Wednesday, November 1

Central Michigan @ Western Michigan

Game 305-306
November 1, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Michigan
81.410
Western Michigan
81.311
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Central Michigan
Even
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 4
47
Dunkel Pick:
Central Michigan
(+4); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 10

Wednesday’s game
Western Michigan is 5-1 in its last six games with Central Michigan, winning last three, by 39-2-12 points. Broncos scored 40.7 ppg in those three games, running ball for 254-215 yards in last two meetings. Chippewas are 3-2 in last five visits here. Central is 3-2 on road with both losses at ACC school; five of their last six games stayed under the total- they’re 6-3 vs spread as road dogs under Bonamega. Western is 5-3; their last three games were decided by total of 7 points. Broncos are 1-2 as a home favorite.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

World Series Game 7 betting preview and odds: Astros at Dodgers

Yu Darvish was dreadful when matched against Lance McCullers in Game 3 as he gave up four runs and six hits - including a homer by Yuli Gurriel - while lasting just 1 2/3 innings.

Houston Astros at Los Angeles Dodgers (-160, 7.5)

Series tied 3-3

Either the Los Angeles Dodgers will end a 29-year title drought or the Houston Astros will celebrate their first World Series championship when the teams compete in Game 7 at Dodger Stadium on Wednesday. The wild series that has featured a record 24 homers was extended to a seventh game Tuesday as the Dodgers posted a 3-1 victory.

Los Angeles solved Astros ace Justin Verlander in Game 6 and looks to ride the momentum when Yu Darvish takes the mound against Houston's Lance McCullers Jr. "You've got the two best teams in baseball going head-to-head," Los Angeles manager Dave Roberts told reporters after Game 6. "Like we've talked about from the beginning, these two teams mirror one another. But we worked all year long to have home-field advantage, and here we are." The Astros hope a second chance will deliver the outcome they crave after seeing their offense get shut down on Tuesday. "Now it feels like we need to play seven," Houston manager A.J. Hinch told reporters after the setback. "I'm glad the series isn't over in their favor. But this series has been back and forth - and two incredible teams trying to get to the finish line."

TV: 8:20 p.m. ET, FOX

LINE HISTORY: The moneyline for Game 7 opened at -130 following Tuesday night's game, but by Wednesday morning the home team Dodgers had been bet all of the way up to -160. The total hit betting boards at 7.5 and has yet to move.

WEATHER REPORT:

Cloudy skies and temperatures in the low/mid 60's for Game 7.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Lance McCullers Jr. (1-0, 2.95 ERA) vs. Dodgers RH Yu Darvish (2-1, 4.15)

McCullers was on hold for possible relief duty in Game 6, so he did his day-before throwing in right field following the conclusion of Tuesday's contest. The 24-year-old defeated the Dodgers in Game 3, when he gave up three runs and four hits with four walks over 5 1/3 innings. "I just have to stick with my game plan and execute a little bit better than last time in certain spots and just be a competitor out there," McCullers told reporters after Game 6.

Darvish was dreadful when matched against McCullers in Game 3 as he gave up four runs and six hits - including a homer by Yuli Gurriel - while lasting just 1 2/3 innings. "I can't pay that much attention to what happened last time," the Japanese Darvish said through his interpreter at a press conference. "Just focus on (Wednesday's) outing and have a good game." Darvish has served up seven homers in 24 2/3 career postseason innings, which includes his tenure with Texas.

UMPIRE REPORT: Phil Cuzzi

Phil Cuzzi gets the coveted home plate assignment for Game 7 of the World Series tonight.

Cuzzi is an umpire with a very pitcher-friendly strike zone. His strike percentage of 64.7 this season is one of the highest in baseball and Under is 18-14 in his 32 games calling balls and strike this season.

Cuzzi's results also favor the home team at 21-11 in 2017. An interesting note is that Cuzzi has two previous home plate assignments during the 2017 postseason - both at Dodger Stadium and both games that were won by the home team. In fact, dating back to 2014 the Dodgers have won six games in a row in which Phil Cuzzi has been behind the plate.

TRENDS:

* Astros are 1-5 in their last 6 road games.
* Astros are 2-8 in McCullers Jr.'s last 10 starts.
* Dodgers are 6-1 in their last 7 playoff home games.
* Astros are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home team Dodgers in Game 7, with 60 percent of wagers on Los Angeles. Bettors also like the Over here with 69 percent of the totals wagers selecting above the posted number.

WALK OFF NOTES:

* This will be the first Game 7 between two 100-win clubs since the St. Louis Cardinals defeated the Philadelphia Athletics in 1931.

* Houston RF George Springer (9-for-24, five walks) hit his fourth homer of the series on Tuesday and is one shy of the World Series record shared by Reggie Jackson (1977) and Chase Utley (2009).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eric Schroeder

My free play for tonight is on the Washington Wizards, who return home from a lengthy trip to see the Western Conference. They're going to exhale and unwind with a blowout win over the Phoenix Suns, while tuning up for a battle with the Cleveland Cavaliers on Friday.

The Wizards split their four-game tour with Sunday's 110-93 rout of the Sacramento Kings, and should be rested and ready to roll for a Suns team that will be exhausted after losing an 18-point lead in the second half at Brooklyn last night, watched the Nets score 17 unanswered points, and then claw back for a 122-114 victory after trailing the Nets by eight points with 6:15 left in the second quarter.

No way you're getting the same effort on the second of back-to-back nights from this team.

Take Washington.

5* WIZARDS

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Joey Juice

So many reasons to bet the over in this game, where do I start?

First of all, pitchers Yu Darvish and Lance McCullers Jr. both combined to give up seven runs in Game Three. Secondly, the bullpens on both sides stinks.

Let's look at the numbers for more reasons. The over is 5-1 in McCullers Jr. last six road starts.

The Astros bullpen has been loose to say the least, they sport a 5.89 ERA in the playoffs, while we have seen a combined 24 home runs in just six games.

More numbers? The over is 7-3 in the Dodgers last ten home games against a right-handed starter.

Go Over in Game Seven.

3* HOUSTON-L.A. DODGERS OVER

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Jack Brayman

Now about this complimentary winner

My free play is on the Pittsburgh Penguins on the road at the Edmonton Oilers.

I'm not sure what is going on with Edmonton's 1-2 scoring punch, but it's not working. Even with last season's NHL scoring leader, Connor McDavid, and Leon Draisaitl, who finished eighth in the points race, the team has scored two goals or fewer in seven of the 10 games.

Edmonton's 22 goals is second-worst in the league.

Now comes Pittsburgh, which has been shuffling the lineup, but has been much better offensively than the Oilers.

I'm not sure how morning skate will go, but I'm sure the Pens are up bright and early and ready behind Sidney Crosby, Evgeni Malkin, and Phil Kessel.

All Pens tonight.

4* PENGUINS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Burns' FREE PLAY

Indiana vs. Cleveland, 11/01/2017 19:00 EDT

Point Spread: -10/-115 Cleveland

Sportsbook:
Bookmaker

There’s no such thing as a must-win NBA game in November, but the Cavaliers figure to have a little extra resolve in their step in this one after losing three straight – all to mediocre opponents. If LeBron James was steaming after back-to-back road losses to Brooklyn and New Orleans, has to be just about ready to blow now that Cleveland has a defeat at home to the Knicks on their resume. Indiana has surprised at 4-3 SU and 5-2 ATS, but the NBA Superhighway is littered with teams playing the back end of a back-to-back set on the road against a superior opponent. Expect a reversion to the mean in this one with the rested James and the Cavaliers taking control early and covering.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN

Atlanta vs. Philadelphia, 11/01/2017 19:00 EDT

Point Spread: +8/-103 Atlanta

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

The Atlanta Hawks opened the season with a 117-111 win at Dallas, but they've dropped six straight games (1-4-1 ATS) since. Those results are the reason why we're getting a bunch of points and good value on the Hawks here at Philadelphia Wednesday night.

Philly is coming off back-to-back wins in Texas, beating both Dallas and Houston, and it would be quite easy for them to look past the lowly Haks here. We can also note that the 76ers are 0-2 at home this season, falling to Boston and Houston despite holding second-half leads. The Hawks can't keep losing forever, and I expect them to at the very least make this a competitive game and cover the spread.

The Hawks have won and covered the spread in seven straight head-to-head meetings.

My free pick is on Atlanta Hawks.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony's *5 NCAA free pick

Central Michigan vs. Western Michigan, 11/01/2017 20:00 EDT

Point Spread: +4/-118 Central Michigan

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Fp:cent.m is 6-0 last 6 on hump day games and the road team is 5-0 ats last 5 in this series games not played on paper but some stats can't be ignored making c.mich my ncaa free play

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Brandon Lee

Nov 01 '17, 8:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Wolves vs Pelicans
Play on: OVER 224 -108

10* FREE NBA PICK (OVER 224)
It's hard to put a finger on why the Timberwolves are playing so bad on the defensive side of the ball, but I think you have to keep taking the OVER until we see things start to turn around. The OVER is now 6-0-1 on the season in Minnesota games. They have allowed their opponent to shoot 50% or better from the floor in 4 straight and the best they have done all season is hold an opponent to 46.1%. They have allowed 113 or more in 5 straight and will face a Pelicans offense that has scored 114 or more in 4 of their last 7 games. New Orleans is also struggling on defense, as they have allowed at least 101 points in every game this season. They face a potent Timberwolves offense that has scored 100+ in each of their last 6 games. I think we see 230+ in this one. Give me the OVER 224!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Nov 01 '17, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Suns vs Wizards
Play on: Suns +12½ -103 at 5Dimes

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Phoenix Suns +12.5

The Phoenix Suns have been a completely different team since firing Earl Watson and sending Eric Bledsoe home. They have come together as a team while going 3-1 SU & 4-0 ATS in their last four games. They beat the Kings 117-115 and the Jazz 97-88 at home, while only losing 107-114 in Portland as 12-point dogs. Then they upset the Nets 122-114 as 4.5-point road dogs last night. Now they are catching 12.5 points against the Washington Wizards Wednesday. Give me the Suns.