Friday 11-10-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 358248

    #16
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Gulfstream Park West - Race #2 - Post: 1:05pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 73

    Rating: 4

    #5 WIGGLE IT JIGGLEIT (ML=9/2)
    #3 PLANET ROCK (ML=7/2)


    WIGGLE IT JIGGLEIT - Taking this jockey/conditioner combination is a smart move. This filly's last speed fig is strong enough to triumph here, I'll wager on her back again this time around. This horse didn't run well in the slop in her last start at Gulfstream Park West. You should discount that performance. PLANET ROCK - This front runner is shortening up today. Should help her chances of winning. This mare is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprint horses that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse. Trainer, Rodriguez, has been deliberate with this mare off the layoff. Look for a solid effort today. This horse coming off a strong try in the last month is a serious competitor in my opinion.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #7 YAVRIG (ML=5/2), #4 U S DIVA (ML=3/1), #2 ASIAN MOONLADY (ML=6/1),

    YAVRIG - Hard to back any horse with declining speed figs of 85/69/58. A bit of a less than stellar effort when this filly finished fourth. U S DIVA - You always think this animal has a shot to be victorious, but she falls short most of the time. ASIAN MOONLADY - Hard to put any money on this filly on the front end. Likes to land in the money though.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - WIGGLE IT JIGGLEIT - This filly doesn't have to improve too much to win this race. Definitely worth a prime bet.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Go with #5 WIGGLE IT JIGGLEIT on top if we're getting at least 8/5 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [3,5]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

    SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
    Skip
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 358248

      #17
      Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

      Always check program numbers.
      Odds shown are morning line odds.

      Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $6960 Class Rating: 77

      QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


      RECOMMENDED CHOICES
      The Walker Group Picks

      # 6 SANCAS LARGAS 5/1

      # 8 HIGH MOON RETURNS 10/1

      # 2 EL ULTIMO BILLETE 7/2

      My pick in this competition is SANCAS LARGAS. Has performed solidly as of late in short races, posting a nifty 60 avg speed figure. Should be given a chance here on the basis of the figures in the speed section alone. Ran a strong last race. HIGH MOON RETURNS - Has been racing solidly and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. He has been running solidly lately while recording very solid speed figures. EL ULTIMO BILLETE - Has to be given consideration - I like the figs from the last contest. Well above average win rate at this distance/surface.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 358248

        #18
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Lone Star Park

        Lone Star Park - Race 3

        Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) Daily Double


        Maiden • 330 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 79 • Purse: $6,300 • Post: 7:31P
        QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
        Contenders

        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line

        Accept
        Odds


        Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * SANDYS HERO: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
        3
        SANDYS HERO
        1/1

        4/5




        P#

        Horse (In Running Style Order)

        Post

        Morn
        Line

        Running Style

        Good
        Class

        Good
        Speed

        Early Figure

        Finish Figure

        Platinum
        Figure
        1
        FLATTERING PAT
        1

        6/1
        Average
        0

        0

        4.3

        0.0

        0.0
        2
        CARTEL KNOWS
        2

        15/1
        Average
        66

        33

        5.8

        0.0

        0.0
        3
        SANDYS HERO
        3

        1/1
        Fast
        86

        78

        2.9

        0.0

        0.0
        4
        BOK N WILD
        4

        30/1
        Slow
        0

        0

        0.0

        0.0

        0.0
        6
        BLUE STREAK
        6

        15/1
        Average
        62

        46

        5.6

        0.0

        0.0
        7
        PISTOLS N PEARLZ
        7

        20/1
        Slow
        0

        0

        8.9

        0.0

        0.0
        8
        MINE N MINE ALONE
        8

        10/1
        Slow
        0

        0

        0.0

        0.0

        0.0
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 358248

          #19
          Arthur Ralph Sports

          FRI CBB South Carolina -6
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 358248

            #20
            JOEY JUICE

            Boston is hot, no doubt, they have won 10 straight against a variety of opponents both credible and weak.

            Keep in mind Horford is dealing with the concussion protocol, and Tatum left the game against the Lakers with a sore ankle so the Celtics are dealing with some injuries at the moment that are sure to slow down their point production in this one.

            Charlotte is playing horrible. They have lost 3 in a row, and are just 1-5 on the road this season. The Hornets come into Beantown after losing in San Antonio, Minnesota and NY, where they simply disappeared against the Knicks in the fourth quarter with a double digit lead.

            The numbers don't lie in this one for Charlotte. The under is 6-2 in the Hornets’ last 8 games playing on 2 days rest, 5-2 in their last 7 games following a ATS loss, and 5-2 in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.

            For Boston, its much of the same. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 Friday games, 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game, 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference teams, and 9-2 in their last 11 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

            Given the fact that Celtics play 1980's style "in your face" defense, and Charlotte can't score on the road, we are going with the Under here.

            3* CHARLOTTE-BOSTON UNDER
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 358248

              #21
              STEPHEN NOVER
              NHL | Nov 10, 2017
              Hurricanes vs. Blue Jackets
              UNDER 5½

              These two teams met a month ago in Carolina and the score was 1-1 after regulation. Columbus ended up winning, 2-1, in overtime. I'm expecting to see a similar resut in this rematch.The Under has cashed the past four times these teams have met. Both teams rank among the top 11 in fewest goals allowed per game. Neither team is strong on the power play. Columbus ranks last in power-play goals and Carolina is 28th. The goaltending is solid. The Blue Jackets' Sergei Bobrovsky won the Vezina Trophy as the best goalie in the NHL last season. He has a 2.11 goals against average in 14 lifetime games against the Hurricanes. Carolina goalie Scott Darling is in excellent form stopping 53 of 55 shots during his last two games. The Hurricanes have lost four of their last five games. The Blue Jackets have dropped their last three. The sense I get is these teams are going to play conservative here, not taking chances but waiting for the right opportunity. Carolina's lone win in its last five games came on Tuesday when it defeated Florida, 3-1. The Panthers have the worst defense in the league. Yet the Hurricanes could only manage two goals against Florida until scoring an empty-net goal. The Hurricanes haven't scored more than three goals in eight of their last nine games.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 358248

                #22
                BRAXTON MYLES
                NCAA-B | Nov 10, 2017
                Northern Arizona vs. Arizona
                Northern Arizona +35

                There is no doubt that Arizona is going to be a force to be reckoned with this season returning 3 of their starters from last seasons monster of a team. Northern Arizona has 2 players back from their team last season that was less than impressive going on 9-23. However, a 35 point victory is a lot to ask for in the first game of the season even against a bad team. Arizona was averaging 77 PPG last season and would have to score over that and hold Northern Arizona to below their last season average of 69 PPG. I'm going all in on Northern Arizona in this game and let the off season rust for Arizona bring in the money.
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 358248

                  #23
                  RED DOG SPORTS
                  NCAA-B | Nov 10, 2017
                  NC-Greensboro vs. Virginia
                  under 128

                  Virginia likes to focus on defense. They play a team that is a big underdog and should be able to win by 20 points. I think we see a 72-53 game that stays under.
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 358248

                    #24
                    DUSTIN HAWKINS

                    Free Play on Wofford +6½ -110
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 358248

                      #25
                      BIG AL

                      Our complimentary selection for Friday, Nov 10 is:

                      Northern Iowa +17 over North Carolina.
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 358248

                        #26
                        CAPPERS ACCESS
                        CFB
                        Cincinnati
                        Stanford
                        UCLA
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 358248

                          #27
                          Tommy Brunson

                          It took until the month of November, but the rebuilding Temple Owls certainly appear to have seen the light at the end of the tunnel, as the Owls are off a dominate 34-26 home win last Friday night over a capable Navy team. That win improves the Owls to 4-5 on the season and gets them that much closer to playing over the holidays in a bowl game.

                          Look for the Owls to even their mark with the road win and cover over Cincinnati this Friday night in the Queen City. Cincy is on a 2-10 home spread slide, and they have failed each of their last 5 at Nippert Stadium against FBS schools.

                          Temple has posted covers in 4 of their last 5 under first year coach Collins, and they do bring a 2-game series win and cover streak into this Friday night meeting. The Owls are also 3-1 both straight up and against the spread the last 4 series showdowns.

                          Based on those numbers, the small road impost the oddsmakers are asking Give a Hoot to cover looks like an early holiday gift.

                          Go with the Cherry and White on Friday night over the Bearcats.

                          5* TEMPLE
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 358248

                            #28
                            Eric Schroeder

                            I'm going to play this American Athletic Conference matchup under the posted number, as I don't trust either side. The Temple Owls have been far too inconsistent to trust them on the road, and the Cincinnati Bearcats are just a bad team overall, but one that comes in on a high after snapping a five-game skid last week.

                            Fact is, we're talking about the two worst offensive units in the AAC, and I believe they'll be lucky to tally 40 points, let alone 47 or 48.

                            Temple, which stayed under in six straight before going over the last two weeks, averages 22.3 points per game - ranking 11th out of 12 in the AAC. The 12th? That would be Cincinnati, with 20.6 points per contest.

                            On the other side of the ball, Temple is fourth in the conference in allowing 26.8 points per game, while the Bearcats are in the middle of the league with 30.9. But I'm not too worried about the defensive units, as they're going to look like Alabama and Georgia, based on how bad the offenses are.

                            Cincinnati - which stayed under for three straight to start the season, then went over in three straight and have stayed low in its last three - is averaging 18.4 points per game in its last five. It ranks second-to-last in the AAC in third-down conversion (38.1), and also in time of possession (27:12).

                            Don't even bother watching this one, it'll be boring. Just play it under the posted number.

                            3* UNDER Temple/Cincinnati
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 358248

                              #29
                              Jack Brayman

                              Now about this complimentary winner

                              The line hadn't moved, and there was no real rumbling on this game, so I was set to play UNLV all week. I thought the Rebels were in the right spot.

                              Then I visited the M Resort last night, and was informed the squares and locals are loading up on UNLV, and the line would be down to 4 and even 3 1/2 by kickoff, because the sharps are taking BYU.

                              I'm going to play the Cougars here, as UNLV brings one of the worst defensive units to the field tonight, and one of the most lethargic second half teams in the country. This team has either given away leads, or been damn close to giving a game away in too many games to believe in them, anyway.

                              I understand the Cougars are having a down year, but they'll always have the better talent than UNLV, and tonight they're going to come into Sam Boyd Stadium and deflate all dreams of the Rebels going to a bowl game.

                              Las Vegas fans have the choice of attending the Golden Knights, Runnin' Rebel basketball or UNLV football tonight.

                              I'll probably bring a hoodie to T Mobile tonight, it gets cold watching hockey.

                              Play the Cougars.

                              1* BYU
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 358248

                                #30
                                When: 7:00 PM ET, Friday, November 10, 2017
                                Where: Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio

                                Preview: Temple at Cincinnati

                                Gracenote
                                Nov 7, 2017

                                Temple needs to win two of its final three games to become bowl-eligible, and that quest begins with a contest at Cincinnati on Friday. The Owls knocked off Navy a week ago, while the Bearcats also are coming off a win (at Tulane) and still have a slight chance to reach the postseason.

                                Cincinnati can finish 6-6 by winning its final three games, and the schedule is reasonable as the team looks to return to a bowl game after missing out last season. Temple, East Carolina and Connecticut - its final three opponents - have combined records of 9-18 overall and 5-11 in the American Athletic Conference. The Owls once again will turn to backup quarterback Frank Nutile, who has played well in place of the injured Logan Marchi. "We have this mindset that it's a championship game every week," Nutile told reporters after throwing for 289 yards and four touchdowns against Navy.

                                TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2. LINE: Temple -2.5

                                ABOUT TEMPLE (4-5, 2-3 AAC): Temple has made a bowl game each of the last two seasons and hopes Nutile and Adonis Jennings (nine catches for 189 yards and three touchdowns in the last two games) can continue their strong chemistry down the stretch. Isaiah Wright put up solid stats with Marchi, but he has only six catches in two games with Nutile under center. Ryquell Armstead leads the team in rushing (454 yards), but his 3.8-yard average is a big drop from his 5.9 mark from a season ago, and he has run for only three TDs in 2017, compared to 14 last year.

                                ABOUT CINCINNATI (3-6, 1-4): The Bearcats had lost five straight games before slipping past Tulane 17-16 when the Green Wave missed a 36-yard field-goal attempt in the final minutes. Freshman Gerrid Doaks ran for a career-high 149 yards in that contest and is averaging six per carry on the season. Hayden Moore threw for 248 yards - his third-highest total of the season - against Tulane and has a respectable 8-to-3 touchdown-to-interception ratio over the last six contests.

                                EXTRA POINTS

                                1. Temple won last year's matchup 34-13, outgaining Cincinnati 474-186 en route to the decisive win.

                                2. Kahlil Lewis (48 receptions) is the top wideout for the Bearcats but was limited to one catch by Tulane.

                                3. Over the last three games in which he has played, Nutile has completed just over 72 percent of his passes.

                                PREDICTION: Temple 33, Cincinnati 23


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