Saturday 11-11-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

Penn National - Race 3

W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta / Daily Double $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5) / $0.20 Penn Pick 6 (Races 3-8)


Claiming $15,000 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 79 • Purse: $19,000 • Post: 6:54P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 11 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000, IF FOR $13,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * KOPPER WIRED: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. REDNECK COWBOY: Horse had a bullet w orkout within the last seven days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. COUZIER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
7
KOPPER WIRED
6/1

4/1
6
REDNECK COWBOY
2/1

4/1
1
COUZIER
5/2

10/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
COUZIER
1

5/2
Stalker
73

68

62.2

56.6

49.1
7
KOPPER WIRED
7

6/1
Stalker
77

72

58.8

77.7

74.7
6
REDNECK COWBOY
6

2/1
Trailer
88

81

62.0

71.1

65.1
5
C THE KING
5

4/1
Trailer
79

64

30.2

66.9

59.9
3
MISSED HIM
3

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
80

67

63.6

64.4

55.4
2
FRIO FACTOR
2

8/1
Alternator/Non-contender
80

70

59.6

59.6

49.6
4
SIDEWALK PROPHET
4

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
74

62

51.3

55.5

43.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Valuline at Turf Paradise

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Turf Paradise, Race 3 (Saturday November 11, 2017)

SETTLE DOWN EILEEN
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

TUP-3 7.5f TURF Seven Horses
"A" MSW 30,000 F/M 3YUP $12,500
P# dd ex q p3 p6 t s ML WP TVL

5 SETTLE DOWN EILEEN 3/5 45% 6/5 Strong Favorite icon
6 ROYAL CHATTER 3/1 18% 9/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Woodbine

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Maiden Special Weight - 6.0f on the Turf. Purse: $61000 Class Rating: 80

FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 POINT OF ORDER 20/1

# 8 DISTINCT PASSION 4/1

# 7 THUNDER RIDE 3/1

POINT OF ORDER is the most favorable bet in this affair particularly if the morning line of 20/1 holds. Is hard not to look at based on Equibase Speed Figures which have been very good - 50 avg - of late. Has been running well lately and will almost certainly be on the front end early on. DISTINCT PASSION - Sire -With Distinction- has produced offspring who have done solidly in their first askings. Blinkers on could be the difference here. McClachrie is terrific with first time entrants. THUNDER RIDE - Going on blinkers can produce noticeable speed boosts. Casse has a very solid win percent with horses running in turf sprint races. Overall, this conditioner has been lucrative at this distance/surface.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ZIA

ZIA - Race 5

$1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta


Claiming $7,500 • 250 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 89 • Purse: $12,500 • Post: 1:59P
QUARTER HORSE 250Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * KASSANDRA: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. EYES ON BRIMMERTON: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. TELLERS MISS OKIE: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. LOAN FINDER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. SURGING TOM: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quart er Horse race).
1
KASSANDRA
8/1

6/1
5
EYES ON BRIMMERTON
8/1

7/1
8
TELLERS MISS OKIE
6/1

7/1
10
LOAN FINDER
7/2

8/1
11
SURGING TOM
12/1

9/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
KASSANDRA
1

8/1
Average
92

85

5.0

0.0

0.0
2
LOOMING
2

20/1
Average
68

72

3.8

0.0

0.0
3
JESS WON LG
3

10/1
Slow
81

74

8.5

0.0

0.0
4
ELARTILLERO DRROLLIN
4

15/1
Fast
73

74

2.6

0.0

0.0
5
EYES ON BRIMMERTON
5

8/1
Fast
86

77

2.5

0.0

0.0
6
SEEMEROCK
6

6/1
Average
85

76

4.1

0.0

0.0
7
BROOKS GEM
7

10/1
Average
85

78

4.7

0.0

0.0
8
TELLERS MISS OKIE
8

6/1
Average
93

80

4.4

0.0

0.0
9
MS ELEGANT EYES
9

3/1
Average
90

76

3.6

0.0

0.0
10
LOAN FINDER
10

7/2
Fast/Trouble-prone
82

81

1.1

0.0

0.0
11
SURGING TOM
11

12/1
Slow
81

83

8.9

0.0

0.0
12
ALLURING DASH
12

20/1
Average
77

69

4.4

0.0

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 11, 2017
Where: Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, Mississippi

Preview: Louisiana Lafayette at Ole Miss
Gracenote
Nov 8, 2017

Coming off its first road win in nearly a year, Ole Miss will look to build on the momentum of last week's thrilling win over Kentucky as it hosts Louisiana Lafayette on Saturday afternoon. The Rebels scored the go-ahead touchdown with five seconds remaining in a 37-34 win over the Wildcats, and would love nothing more than to repeat the feat against Louisiana before closing out the season with two difficult games.

Ole Miss is ineligible for a bowl game this season due to a self-imposed ban, but it's clear the Rebels still want to finish on a high note in what has been an up-and-down season. Quarterback Jordan Ta'amu was sensational for the second straight game in place of injured starter Shea Patterson, throwing for 382 yards and four touchdowns - including the game-winning strike to D.K. Metcalf in the corner of the end zone with time winding down. Ole Miss returns home to face a Louisiana team that kept its flickering Sun Belt title hopes alive with a 17-14 triumph over South Alabama. The Ragin' Cajuns have won three of four following a three-game losing streak.

TV: Noon ET, SEC Network. LINE: Ole Miss -20

ABOUT LOUISIANA (4-4): The Ragin' Cajuns handed the offense to freshman quarterback Levi Lewis last week, and he responded by passing for 110 yards and two touchdowns and adding 129 yards on the ground in the pivotal victory over the Jaguars. His rushing contributions bolster a solid Louisiana rush attack that has produced 18 touchdowns and averages 4.3 yards per carry this season. The passing game hasn't been quite as prolific, with eight receivers accounting for the Cajuns' 11 scores through the air.

ABOUT OLE MISS (4-5): The Rebels put themselves in position to win with four consecutive defensive second-half stops after struggling to rein in the Kentucky offense in the early going. “One of the biggest adjustments is that we had a pressure package dialed up, and I felt like for some reason we weren’t blitzing with a lot of speed,” defensive coordinator Wesley McGriff told reporters afterward. “We decided at halftime, based on the roster they were giving in the run game, that we were going to go with a certain front in coverage.” Ole Miss finishes its schedule with games against Texas A&M and Mississippi State.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Ta'amu has passed for 750 yards while accounting for six touchdowns in his past two games.

2. Ole Miss has scored points on 94.4 percent of its red-zone visits, the 10th-best rate in Division I.

3. Louisiana ranks 10th in the 12-team Sun Belt Conference in total yards.

PREDICTION: Ole Miss 45, Louisiana 27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - UL Lafayette at Mississippi

ATS Trends
UL Lafayette

Ragin' Cajuns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in November.
Ragin' Cajuns are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Ragin' Cajuns are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
Ragin' Cajuns are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Ragin' Cajuns are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Ragin' Cajuns are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Ragin' Cajuns are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.

Mississippi

Rebels are 9-21 ATS in their last 30 games in November.
Rebels are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
Rebels are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Rebels are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Rebels are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Rebels are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall.
Rebels are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Rebels are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Rebels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win.
Rebels are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 non-conference games.

OU Trends
UL Lafayette

Under is 4-0 in Ragin' Cajuns last 4 games overall.
Under is 6-0 in Ragin' Cajuns last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Ragin' Cajuns last 4 vs. SEC.
Under is 5-0 in Ragin' Cajuns last 5 games following a ATS win.
Over is 6-1 in Ragin' Cajuns last 7 non-conference games.
Over is 5-1-1 in Ragin' Cajuns last 7 games on grass.
Under is 4-1 in Ragin' Cajuns last 5 games following a straight up win.
Over is 11-5 in Ragin' Cajuns last 16 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Mississippi

Over is 5-0 in Rebels last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 8-0 in Rebels last 8 games on grass.
Over is 4-0 in Rebels last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 4-0 in Rebels last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 10-1 in Rebels last 11 home games.
Over is 6-1 in Rebels last 7 vs. S-Belt.
Over is 5-1 in Rebels last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Rebels last 5 non-conference games.
Over is 4-1 in Rebels last 5 games in November.
Over is 4-1 in Rebels last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 15-5-1 in Rebels last 21 games overall.
Under is 12-5 in Rebels last 17 games following a ATS win.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 11, 2017
Where: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, Iowa

Preview: Oklahoma State at Iowa State
Gracenote
Nov 8, 2017

No. 21 Iowa State had a chance to control its own destiny in the race for a spot in the Big 12 championship game but suffered a disappointing loss at West Virginia last week. The Cyclones will try to bounce back by securing their third win over a top-15 opponent when they host No. 15 Oklahoma State on Saturday.

Iowa State, which knocked off Oklahoma and TCU during a four-game winning streak to put itself in first place in the Big 12, could not muster the same effort at West Virginia last week in a 20-16 setback but quickly turned the page. "These kids keep grinding away, and I really appreciate that about them," Cyclones coach Matt Campbell told reporters. "I expect nothing less. They were really good (the day after the loss), and I think (they are) continuing to grow and understand what it takes to truly be successful." The Cowboys are coming off their own setback after a wild Bedlam showdown against rival Oklahoma saw them fall 62-52. "The competitive nature of this sport, it's difficult when you have games like that," Oklahoma State coach Mike Gundy told reporters. "There are a lot of emotions involved. There's nobody in this stadium that wants to compete and win more than me, but I've been in this long enough to know that when we get what we're asking for out of our players, we as a staff have to have respect for that. We just came up a little bit short."

TV: Noon, ET, ABC. LINE: Oklahoma State -6.5

ABOUT OKLAHOMA STATE (7-2, 4-2 Big 12): The Cowboys came away from the Bedlam loss feeling confident in the way they played and confident in their leadership moving forward. "I think leadership is going to be huge this week," center Brad Lundblade told reporters after the loss. "It takes more leadership after you lose than it does after you win, honestly. We have great leadership and all different types of leaders in all of the different positions groups, so I have no doubt that we'll be ready to go next week." One leader is quarterback Mason Rudolph, who threw for 448 yards and five TDs in the loss and guides an offense second in the FBS in scoring average at 45.3 points.

ABOUT IOWA STATE (6-3, 4-2): The Cyclones are going to need to generate more offense to keep up with the Cowboys and they failed to reach 20 points in either of their last two contests. Senior Kyle Kempt, who took over at quarterback after a loss to Texas in the Big 12 opener and guided the team to wins over Oklahoma and TCU, is completing 66.9 percent of his passes with 10 TDs and three interceptions but only found the end zone once last week. Kempt and the offense are hoping for a bounce-back performance from the Iowa State defense, which was carved up for 524 yards at West Virginia after limiting TCU to 307 in the previous contest.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Iowa State OL Josh Knipfel (ankle) is questionable.

2. Oklahoma State RB Justice Hill ran for 228 yards last week and collected 100 or more yards rushing in five of six Big 12 games.

3. The Cowboys took the last five in the series, including two at the Cyclones.

PREDICTION: Oklahoma State 45, Iowa State 35

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - No. 15 Oklahoma State at No. 23 Iowa State

ATS Trends
Oklahoma State

Cowboys are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
Cowboys are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Cowboys are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Cowboys are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in November.

Iowa State

Cyclones are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Cyclones are 4-0-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Cyclones are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Cyclones are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Cyclones are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
Cyclones are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Cyclones are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
Cyclones are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Cyclones are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Cyclones are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

OU Trends
Oklahoma State

Over is 8-1 in Cowboys last 9 games in November.
Over is 11-2 in Cowboys last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Cowboys last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Cowboys last 5 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Cowboys last 9 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 road games.
Under is 6-2 in Cowboys last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Cowboys last 7 games overall.
Over is 15-6 in Cowboys last 21 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 15-6 in Cowboys last 21 conference games.

Iowa State

Under is 4-0 in Cyclones last 4 games overall.
Under is 4-0 in Cyclones last 4 conference games.
Under is 4-1 in Cyclones last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Cyclones last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 42-18-1 in Cyclones last 61 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 9-4 in Cyclones last 13 games on grass.

Head to Head

Favorite is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
Home team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 11, 2017
Where: Beaver Stadium, University Park, Pennsylvania

Preview: Rutgers at Penn State
Gracenote
Nov 8, 2017

No. 13 Penn State has seen a promising season derailed by back-to-back narrow road losses, and it will try to take out its frustration at home against an improving Rutgers squad on Saturday. Following a late collapse in a damaging one-point loss at Ohio State, the Nittany Lions fell on a last-second field goal at Michigan State last Saturday, tumbling from No. 2 in the country to a likely afterthought for the College Football Playoff.

"The fact that we've lost by a total of four points in the last two games just doesn't really mean much to us," senior wide receiver DeAndre Thompkins told reporters. "The games are in the past. Losses are in the past. Wins are in the past. What matters now is Rutgers." A defense that entered the game against the Buckeyes as the best in the nation in terms of scoring has given up 1,003 total yards in the losses, and stars Trace McSorley (three interceptions last week) and Saquon Barkley (107 rushing yards on 35 carries during the losing streak) have struggled to keep pace. Those two helped Penn State outgain Rutgers by a stunning 549-87 margin in a 39-0 win last season, the Lions' 10th straight victory in the series. Since a 56-0 loss at Ohio State, the Scarlet Knights have won three of their last four, including a 31-24 triumph over Maryland last week.

TV: Noon ET, Big Ten Network. LINE: Penn State -31

ABOUT RUTGERS (4-5, 3-3 Big Ten): Gus Edwards ran for 109 yards against the Terrapins and hauled in the decisive 23-yard touchdown catch in the fourth quarter as the Scarlet Knights pulled within two victories of becoming bowl eligible for the first time since 2014. "We have been saying that, that we can get into a bowl game," running back Robert Martin - who had 69 yards and a TD - told reporters. "We are the only people who believe in ourselves." Junior quarterback Giovanni Rescigno has thrown for over 100 yards in back-to-back games for the first time this season after amassing 107 and a TD pass against Maryland.

ABOUT PENN STATE (7-2, 4-2): Barkley has fewer than 20 rushes in three of his last four games - including a season low-tying 14 last week - and his production in the passing game has leveled off as well. "Obviously, we want to get the ball in Saquon's hands as much as we possibly can," head coach James Franklin said at his weekly press conference. "But we won't force it. And once again, if people are taking so much time keeping Saquon from getting the ball, it creates other opportunities. I think Trace threw for about 400 yards last week. That's going to happen when you overcompensate, it creates opportunities in other areas." McSorley actually had 381 yards - a season high - but his three interceptions represented the most he has thrown in a game since the Rose Bowl last season.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Scarlet Knights DB Kiy Hester has three interceptions - two of which he returned for TDs - over a five-game span.

2. Nittany Lions WR DaeSean Hamilton has five TD catches and three 100-yard efforts over his last five games.

3. McSorley needs 140 passing yards to surpass Matt McGloin (6,390) and move into third place on the school's all-time list.\

PREDICTION: Penn State 38, Rutgers 10

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Rutgers at No. 13 Penn State

ATS Trends
Rutgers

Scarlet Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
Scarlet Knights are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
Scarlet Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Scarlet Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
Scarlet Knights are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Scarlet Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
Scarlet Knights are 3-8 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Scarlet Knights are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 games in November.
Scarlet Knights are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.

Penn State

Nittany Lions are 9-0-2 ATS in their last 11 home games.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
Nittany Lions are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Nittany Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 12-2-2 ATS in their last 16 games on grass.
Nittany Lions are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 conference games.
Nittany Lions are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Nittany Lions are 16-4-2 ATS in their last 22 games overall.
Nittany Lions are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Nittany Lions are 1-9-2 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up loss.

OU Trends
Rutgers

Under is 7-1 in Scarlet Knights last 8 games on grass.
Over is 4-1 in Scarlet Knights last 5 games overall.
Over is 4-1 in Scarlet Knights last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Scarlet Knights last 5 conference games.
Over is 6-2 in Scarlet Knights last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 17-8 in Scarlet Knights last 25 games in November.

Penn State

Over is 8-1 in Nittany Lions last 9 games in November.
Over is 6-1 in Nittany Lions last 7 games following a straight up loss.
Over is 13-3 in Nittany Lions last 16 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Nittany Lions last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 4-1 in Nittany Lions last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Over is 4-1 in Nittany Lions last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 7-2 in Nittany Lions last 9 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 17-6 in Nittany Lions last 23 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Nittany Lions last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 13-6 in Nittany Lions last 19 conference games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 11, 2017
Where: Alumni Stadium, Chestnut Hill, Massachusetts

Preview: North Carolina State at Boston College
Gracenote
Nov 8, 2017

No. 24 North Carolina State came so close to a signature victory at home last week and now must regroup in a hurry to avoid another ACC defeat when it visits a surging Boston College team Saturday afternoon. The Wolfpack were within three points early in the fourth quarter and were driving down seven in the final minute against then-No. 5 Clemson before a late interception doomed their chances at an upset and a spot atop the ACC's Atlantic Division.

There was some rumbling of poor officiating and even an accusation that the Tigers may have cheated with the use of laptops on the sidelines, but N.C. State has been forced to reset and turn its attention to the Eagles. "It's a team we didn't play well against last year," coach Dave Doeren told the media while referencing a 21-14 loss to Boston College in 2016. "They beat us and we didn't play well. We had had a lot of penalties, took touchdowns off the board on offense and defensively we gave up a halfback pass at the end of the game and a throwback play on a two-point play. They executed well, and we didn't." The Eagles have been executing extremely well of late with three straight wins while averaging 40.3 points. Freshman A.J. Dillon continued his surge with 149 rushing yards and a touchdown in a Friday night win over Florida State prior to a bye week.

TV: Noon ET, ABC. LINE: North Carolina State -3

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA STATE (6-3, 4-1 ACC): Junior Ryan Finley is second in the ACC in passing yards (2,519), completions (220) and completion percentage (65.7) after he was 31-for-50 for 338 yards in last week's loss. His favorite target is sophomore Kelvin Harmon, who is second in the conference with 799 receiving yards, including an average of 124.5 over his last four games. Senior defensive end Bradley Chubb was held without a sack or a share of a sack for just the third time this season against Clemson, but he leads the league with 7.5 on the season and owns two sacks and a forced fumble in two previous games versus Boston College.

ABOUT BOSTON COLLEGE (5-4, 3-3): After sharing the workload early in the season, Dillon has emerged as a true No. 1 back and is averaging 133 yards over a five-game span, during which he has found the end zone six times. Redshirt freshman quarterback Anthony Brown has five TD passes against one interception during the winning streak, but he's completed 30 percent of his passes or less in two of those contests. All-ACC defensive lineman Harold Landry missed the Florida State win with an ankle injury and coach Steve Addazio told reporters this week that Landry's status was "unclear."

EXTRA POINTS

1. The Eagles lead the series 9-5, including a 6-2 advantage at home.

2. Finley has thrown all three of his interceptions this season in the last two games - both losses.

3. The Eagles entered last year's meeting with a 12-game ACC losing streak, but they are 4-5 in conference play ever since.

PREDICTION: Boston College 28, North Carolina State 27

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - No. 24 NC State at Boston College

ATS Trends
NC State

Wolfpack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 conference games.
Wolfpack are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in November.
Wolfpack are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
Wolfpack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.

Boston College

Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
Eagles are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
Eagles are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
Eagles are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
Eagles are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games.
Eagles are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Eagles are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Eagles are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.

OU Trends
NC State

Under is 9-1 in Wolfpack last 10 conference games.
Under is 5-1 in Wolfpack last 6 games overall.
Under is 5-1 in Wolfpack last 6 road games.
Under is 5-1 in Wolfpack last 6 games following a ATS win.
Under is 4-1 in Wolfpack last 5 games in November.
Under is 5-2 in Wolfpack last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Wolfpack last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 5-2 in Wolfpack last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Boston College

Under is 5-0 in Eagles last 5 games following a bye week.
Under is 8-1 in Eagles last 9 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 7-2 in Eagles last 9 games in November.
Under is 16-5 in Eagles last 21 home games.
Under is 19-6-2 in Eagles last 27 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
Under is 21-7-1 in Eagles last 29 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 37-13-1 in Eagles last 51 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
Under is 9-4 in Eagles last 13 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 36-16-1 in Eagles last 53 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 34-16-2 in Eagles last 52 vs. a team with a winning record.
Under is 38-18-2 in Eagles last 58 conference games.
Under is 42-20-1 in Eagles last 63 games on fieldturf.
Under is 31-15-1 in Eagles last 47 games following a ATS win.
Under is 67-33-2 in Eagles last 102 games overall.

Head to Head

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
Home team is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 meetings.
Wolfpack are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Boston College.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 11, 2017
Where: Ohio Stadium, Columbus, Ohio

Preview: Michigan State at Ohio State
Gracenote
Nov 8, 2017

The co-leaders of the Big Ten’s East Division clash when No. 16 Michigan State travels to face No. 11 Ohio State on Saturday afternoon. The Spartans pulled into a tie with the Buckeyes when they upset Penn State 27-24 at home last weekend while Ohio State was dominated by Iowa 55-24 on the road.

Michigan State coach Mark Dantonio’s squad usually relies on a hard-nosed defense and a relentless running game, but quarterback Brian Lewerke has been red hot over the last two weeks, throwing for a school-record 445 yards two weeks ago before settling for an even 400 in the win over the Nittany Lions. Not that the Spartans aren’t tough defensively, ranking third in the country in rushing defense - allowing just 87 yards a game. They’ll be tested by the Buckeyes, though, who are 20th in the nation in rushing offense at 235.3 yards a contest and are led by freshman J.K. Dobbins’ 914 yards. While Urban Meyer’s squad is averaging a Big Ten-best 43.8 points and 549 yards of offense, Michigan State has been able to hold Ohio State in check in recent years while holding the Buckeyes to 17 or fewer points in four of their last six meetings.

TV: Noon ET, Fox. LINE: Ohio State -15.5

ABOUT MICHIGAN STATE (7-2, 5-1 Big Ten): While Lewerke is rightfully getting a lot of credit for the surge in the Spartans' passing game, the team's young receiving corps also deserves some kudos for their play as the team has uncovered a new wrinkle to its offense. Darrell Stewart Jr. had 11 catches for 98 yards and freshman Cody White added nine for 165 yards and two touchdowns while Felton Davis III registered eight receptions for 95 yards and a pair of scores against Northwestern. It was Davis as the dominant pass catcher with 12 grabs for 181 yards and a score while seven other players had receptions against Penn State, showing the Spartans' depth and the difficult task the Ohio State defense will have shutting down a suddenly red-hot passing game.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (7-2, 5-1): There were a lot of position groups to blame after the blowout loss to Iowa, but one that came under a lot of scrutiny was the Buckeyes' linebackers. Starters Chris Worley, Dante Booker and Jerome Baker had trouble covering Iowa tight ends, who caught four touchdowns in the contest, and simply didn't play up to the level they expect of themselves. The trio of two seniors and one junior (Baker) must raise their level of play against Michigan State, which has had big rushing days against Ohio State in the past and now boasts a running quarterback in Lewerke that the Buckeyes will have to keep a constant eye on.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Sophomore LB Joe Bachie continues to be Mr. Everything for the Michigan State defense, leading the team with 77 tackles and two forced fumbles, ranking second in tackles for loss (7.5) and tying for third in sacks (3).

2. Ohio State ranks eighth in the country in tackles for loss with 74, led by DL Nick Bosa's 10.5 and DE Sam Hubbard's 6.5.

3. In the six regular-season meetings between the two schools since 2008, the visiting team has won each time.

PREDICTION: Ohio State 24, Michigan State 21

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - No. 16 Michigan State at No. 11 Ohio State

ATS Trends
Michigan State

Spartans are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Spartans are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games in November.
Spartans are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Spartans are 3-9-1 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Spartans are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
Spartans are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.

Ohio State

Buckeyes are 25-11-1 ATS in their last 37 games following a straight up loss.
Buckeyes are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Buckeyes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Buckeyes are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
Buckeyes are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
Buckeyes are 1-6 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

OU Trends
Michigan State

Under is 7-1 in Spartans last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 road games.
Under is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Spartans last 8 games on fieldturf.
Under is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Spartans last 7 vs. a team with a winning record.

Ohio State

Over is 6-0 in Buckeyes last 6 games overall.
Over is 6-0 in Buckeyes last 6 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 6-0 in Buckeyes last 6 games on fieldturf.
Over is 5-0 in Buckeyes last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Over is 7-0 in Buckeyes last 7 conference games.
Over is 5-1 in Buckeyes last 6 games in November.
Over is 4-1 in Buckeyes last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Buckeyes last 7 home games.
Over is 5-2 in Buckeyes last 7 games following a ATS loss.

Head to Head

Underdog is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

When: 12:00 PM ET, Saturday, November 11, 2017
Where: Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Illinois

Preview: Indiana at Illinois
Gracenote
Nov 8, 2017

While first-year Indiana coach Tom Allen can take a certain amount of comfort in how relatively competitive his team has been during Big Ten play, second-year coach Lovie Smith's young Illinois squad has given him little reason to believe it can stop its long conference losing streak. The only two Big Ten teams still looking for their first win in league action face each other Saturday when the Hoosiers visit the Fighting Illini.

Indiana may be in the midst of a four-game losing streak, but the first three setbacks during that stretch came by a combined 18 points - including a seven-point defeat against No. 22 Michigan and an eight-point loss at No. 16 Michigan State. The Hoosiers were at it again for a while last weekend, trailing third-ranked Wisconsin by seven early in the fourth quarter before the Badgers rolled off 21 unanswered points over the final 10:15 to pull away 45-17. Illinois, which has started a FBS-high and school-record 16 true freshmen this season, has failed to score more than 17 points in all but one conference game thus far and has dropped nine straight Big Ten battles dating back to last season. The Illini suffered their seventh straight loss overall this season in a 29-10 decision at Purdue last weekend - their sixth double-digit defeat over that span.

TV: Noon ET, Big Ten Network. LINE: Indiana -9.

ABOUT INDIANA (3-6, 0-6 Big Ten): Richard Lagow, who started the first four games of the season, got the start last week after freshman Peyton Ramsey (leg) was injured two games ago and is expected to keep the job versus Illinois after throwing for 226 yards and two touchdowns versus the Badgers. Simmie Cobbs Jr. is tied for first in the conference with 59 receptions and tied for seventh with six touchdown catches, while fellow junior wideout Luke Timian ranks third in the Big Ten with 54 receptions. Safety Chase Dutra recorded 10 or more stops for the third time in four weeks with a career-high 15 against Wisconsin, while Allen applauded the effort of linebackers Tegray Scales (12 tackles) and Chris Covington (nine) - each of whom played all 80 defensive snaps.

ABOUT ILLINOIS (2-7, 0-6): Cam Thomas saw his first extended action under center in place of Jeff George Jr. last week, finishing 10-of-20 for 159 yards while rushing 14 times for 30 yards en route to becoming only the fourth Illinois true freshman to start a game at quarterback in program history. Ricky Smalling extended his streak of hauling in at least one 20-yard reception to five straight games and leads the team with 415 yards receiving; his 16.6 yards per catch is the second-best mark among FBS true freshmen. With leading rusher Mike Epstein (foot) likely done for the season and second-leading rusher Ra'Von Bonner (concussion) missing the last two games, Kendrick Foster has amassed 139 yards and a touchdown on 32 carries against Wisconsin and Purdue.

EXTRA POINTS

1. Indiana is the only FBS program that has faced three top-five opponents and one of two teams to face five ranked foes this season.

2. The Illini are tied for first in the country with 14 forced fumbles and rank eighth in FBS with three blocked kicks.

3. Cobbs (T-13th) and Timian (26th) are one of four sets of teammates to rank inside the top 30 in receptions nationally.

PREDICTION: Indiana 27, Illinois 17