Saturday 11-11-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Brandon Lee

Nov 11 '17, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Texas Tech vs Baylor
Play on: OVER 69½ -110

10* FREE NCAAF PICK (Baylor/Texas Tech OVER 69.5)
These two teams should have no problem eclipsing this total, as this should be another one of those Big 12 games where not a whole lot of defense figures to be played. Texas Tech comes in giving up 34.1 ppg and have allowed 31 or more in each of their last 4. Baylor is even worse, allowing 36.1 ppg. The Bears defense did just hold Kansas to 9 points, but that's a horrific Jayhawks offense that has scored 29 points in their last 4 games combined.
Not only do we have two teams that don't play defense, but two very capable offenses. Texas Tech has been the better of the two and wouldn't be shocked if they did the heavy lifting here and put up close to 50. At the same time, I wouldn't be the least bit surprised if the Red Raiders defense allowed 40+ to the Bears. All we need is for each team to score 35 and we are in the clear. I wouldn't be shocked if we had a winning ticket here by the end of the 3rd quarter.
If you need a little more convincing, each of the last 7 meetings between these two teams have seen at least 89 combined points. Give me the OVER 69.5!

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Brad Diamond

Nov 11 '17, 7:30 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Tennessee vs Missouri
Play on: Missouri -12½ -110 at 5Dimes

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Scott Spreitzer

Nov 11 '17, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Nebraska vs Minnesota
Play on: Minnesota -2½ -110 at Bovada

I'm recommending a play on Minnesota minus the points on Saturday. We have gone against Nebraska as a free or premium play six times this season and we're 5-1 ATS in those games, including last week when they had their chances against Northwestern, but failed down the stretch. That's one reason why we continue to play against the Huskers; they simply don't know how to win. Both the Huskers and Gophers are in near must win territory. Both teams are 4-5 SU and both teams have difficult remaining games making this of utmost importance. Nebraska can't run and can't stop the run, and when the offense struggles on first down, they're left with the mistake-prone Tanner Lee to attempt to bail them out with his arm. It hasn't worked. The Gophers have struggled on offense, but they're nasty stingy on defense and that's going to be the difference in this one in my opinion. I expect the Minnesota defense to force Nebraska mistakes, leading to the home win. Nebraska enters having covered just 3 of their last 11 games and we'll go against them here. I'm recommending a play on Minnesota minus the points on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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John Martin

Nov 11 '17, 3:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Iowa vs Wisconsin
Play on: Iowa +12 -110 at 5Dimes

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Iowa Hawkeyes +12

The Iowa Hawkeyes just have a way of playing to the level of their competition. They don't show up against mediocre or losing teams, but they've proven in recent years that they can play with the big boys. That couldn't have been more evident than last week's 55-24 beat down of Ohio State as 18-point underdogs. The Hawkeyes are now 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games against ranked opponents, covering the spread by a combined 145 points. Now they are catching 12 points here against an overrated Wisconsin team. The Badgers have played one of the softest schedules in the country. I'm not worried about an Iowa letdown off that Ohio State win because Wisconsin is another Top 10 ranked opponent. The Hawkeyes will be putting their best foot forward, and I strongly believe this game will be decided by one score either way. The Badgers have cluster injuries right now, especially some key ones at linebacker and receiver. Give me Iowa.

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Doug Upstone

Nov 11 '17, 11:00 PM in 12h
NCAA-F | Fresno State vs Hawaii
Play on: Fresno State -10 -110 at betonline

With Hawaii getting beaten up and Fresno State playing in lower scoring games, Play Against home underdogs (HAWAII) being beaten by the spread by 49 or more points total in their last seven games, against opponent after going under the total by 35 or more points total in their last three games. Going back to 1992, teams like the Rainbow Warriors are abysmal 2-25 ATS.

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Cappers Club

Nov 11 '17, 7:30 PM in 8h
NCAA-F | Tennessee vs Missouri
Play on: Missouri -12½ -110 at 5Dimes

Missouri -12.5
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Tennessee Volunteers and the Missouri Tigers face off on Saturday, and in this game the value lies with the Tigers.
The Volunteers have seemed to quit on Butch Jones and his staff. They did win their last game against Southern Miss, a win they had to have, but before that they game they had lost four in a row, and they were ugly.
For the Volunteers their struggle has been on the offensive side of the ball. Coming into this game they are only averaging 20.8 points per game.
That isn't a good thing when you are facing a Tigers team that has no issue scoring points. They are currently averaging 36.6 points per game, and that number has risen the last few games.
In each of the last three games they have scored at least 45 points.
The Volunteers aren't going to be able to keep up.
Some trends to note. Tigers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Volunteers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on fieldturf.
5* FREE Cappers Club Play
Good Luck, Cappers Club.

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Totals Guru

Nov 11 '17, 3:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Iowa vs Wisconsin
Play on: UNDER 44½ -116

Free Total Annihilator On Iowa vs Wisconsin under 44½ -116

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Joseph D'Amico

Nov 11 '17, 9:30 PM in 10h
NCAA-F | Arizona State vs UCLA
Play on: Arizona State +3½ -110 at 5Dimes

Saturday is going to be our most-profitable College Football day of the season as I have my NCAAF 20-5 NO LIMIT, SEC WEST GAME OF THE YEAR, SUNBELT GAME OF THE MONTH, and my 8-2 HIGH ROLLER. As I said, this will be the most-profitable NCAAF day this season. So follow me all the way to the bank.
Saturday's NCAAF FREE WINNER: Arizona State.
Game193.
6:30 pm pst.
Arizona State comes off an incredible, rushing performance, tallying 381 yards on the ground in LW's, 41-30 victory over Colorado. They face the 129th ranked rush defense in the nation in UCLA here. The trio of Richard, Ballage, and Wilkins (1135 YR and 16 TD's combined) will shred the Bruins "D" here, which will allow QB, Manny Wilkins (2298 YP, 64.3% CR, 11/3) to connect with his 3 favorite targets, Harry, Williams, and Harvey. Josh Rosen is likely to start here (concussion). The QB has had problems with ASU as they gave him his first loss and have beat in both meetings, and covered as well. The Sun Devils are 5-1 ATS their L6 vs. Conference opponents while the Bruins are 1-7 ATS their L8 vs. Conference foes. take ASU. Thank you.

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Scott Rickenbach

Nov 11 '17, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Rutgers vs Penn State
Play on: OVER 53½ -110

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Free Pick CFB Game #139 Saturday OVER the total in Penn State Nittany Lions vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Noon ET - Penn State is angry off of back to back losses and Rutgers won't be able to stop them here. Even though the Scarlet Knights have won 3 of their last 4 games it came against much weaker competition than what they're facing here. The most comparable team that Rutgers has faced that is similar to Penn State is Ohio State and the Scarlet Knights gave up 56 points against the Buckeyes. As angry as the Nittany Lions are, the fact is that their defense has allowed an average of 501.5 yards per game the past two weeks. Even though Rutgers is not a very good football team, they should be able to at least score a couple of times here and that should help to send this one way over the total because I don't foresee PSU ever taking their foot off the gas. They are angry and this is their homecoming game and they're ready to put on a show. The over is 7-1 in Penn State's November games. The over is 3-1 when Rutgers is a road dog of 21.5 points or more. Look for the Nittany Lions to win this one huge (but I am not fond of laying more than 30 points!) and it should fly over the total in Happy Valley EARLY today. Free Pick on OVER the total in Penn State

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Ray Monohan

Nov 11 '17, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Michigan State vs Ohio State
Play on: OVER 53 -110

Michigan State vs. Ohio State Over 53
A crucial Big Ten battle takes place early on Saturday as the winner is in the drivers seat for a spot in the Big Ten Championship Game.
Ohio State comes in off a tough loss to Iowa, which eliminated them from the Playoff race. However, Urban Meyer will have his team fired up for this one and really take out some frustrations in this case. Expect them to open the playbook much more and really take some shots down field, while using plenty of tempo to try and keep this Michigan State defense off balanced.
On the other side of things, the Spartans offense is no pushover. They used the big play to really work Penn State and this is a defense that is very vulnerable as well.
Some trends to note. Over is 5-2 in Buckeyes last 7 home games. Over is 4-1 in Spartans last 5 road games.
Look for a back and forth game on both sides here.
Back the Over.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Saturday 5* FREE CFB O/U Play

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Larry Ness

Nov 11 '17, 10:30 PM in 11h
NCAA-F | Boise State vs Colorado State
Play on: Boise State -6 -110 at BMaker

My 1* Free Play is on Boise State (10:30 EST).
The 7-2 Boise State Broncos are in Colorado State to take on the 6-3 Rams and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visitors.
Boise State is surging towards the finish line as it’s won five straight, most recently a 41-14 victory over Nevada at home last weekend.
Colorado State is trending in the opposite direction, it comes in having dropped two straight, most recently a 16-13 setback to Wyoming last Saturday.
The Broncos come in ranked 48th in scoring offense, averaging 31.1 PPG, while ranked 25th on the defensive side in conceding just 19.9. QB Montell Cozart has 684 passing yards, nine TD’s to just one INT and is also second on the team in rushing with 299 yards on the ground and another four major scores. Brett Rypien has 1,360 yards, seven TD’s and three INT’s.
The Rams are ranked 47th offensively with 31.2 PPG, while ranked 62nd on the defensive side in conceding 25.7. QB Nick Stevens has 2,865 passing yards, 22 TD’s and nine INT’s. RB Dalyn Dawkins has 1,050 yards and five TD’s.
I’ll point out though that the Broncos are a perfect 4-0 ATS their last four on the road, while Coloroado State is 0-4 ATS in its last four conference contets.
Both teams are bowl eligible already, but CSU has dropped out of the conference picture after back-to-back losses. The door is now open for Boise State to step through. Consider laying the points in this matchup.
Good luck…Larry

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Jack Jones

Nov 11 '17, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Duke vs Army
Play on: Duke -3 -105 at Bovada

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Duke -3

At 4-5 on the season, the Duke Blue Devils need two wins in their final three games to get bowl eligible. They host Georgia Tech next week and travel to Wake Forest in the finale, and it would be tough to sweep those two games. So they are looking at this game at Army like a must-win for bowl eligibility.

The Blue Devils opened on fire going 4-0 SU & 4-0 ATS, but they have gone 0-5 SU & 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games since. But they got a bye last week to regroup, and that has given the Blue Devils two full weeks to prepare for the triple-option offense that Army runs.

And Duke has been great against the triple-option in recent years. They are 6-0 ATS in their last six against triple-option teams, and I think a lot of that has to do with their familiarity with it. They are also 18-4 ATS in their last 22 non-conference games. They will be ready for Army this week after beating the Black Knights 13-6 at home last year and 44-3 on the road in 2015.

Army is in a letdown spot here. The Black Knights are coming off a 21-0 shutout win at Air Force last week. It was their fifth straight victory, and they are now finally getting a ton of respect from oddsmakers. But they were fortunate to win their two previous games both at home over Eastern Michigan and Temple by a combined 4 points. I think their luck runs out this week against a well-rested and ready Duke squad.

Duke does have a very good defense this season. It gives up just 20.6 points and 340 total yards per game. The key to stopping Army is stopping the run, and the Blue Devils are equipped to do just that. They are giving up only 142 rushing yards per game and 3.9 per carry this season. They have held Army to 165 and 120 rushing yards in their last two meetings, respectively.

David Cutcliffe is 15-6 ATS when the line if +3 to -3 as the coach of Duke. Jeff Monken is 0-6 ATS when playing against a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) as the coach of Army. The Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last five vs. Independent teams. Duke is 12-0 ATS in its last 12 games on fieldturf. The Black Knights are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. Army is 9-19-1 ATS in its last 29 games following a win. The Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. Bet Duke Saturday.

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Dave Price

Nov 11 '17, 10:30 PM in 11h
NCAA-F | Boise State vs Colorado State
Play on: Colorado State +6½ -110 at betonline

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Colorado State +6.5

The Key: The Colorado State Buffaloes came into the season as one of the favorites to win the Mountain West. But now at 4-2 in MWC play, they cannot afford another loss if they want to get to the title game. Those two losses came to Air Force and Wyoming. They get a chance to redeem themselves against the Boise State Broncos, the team leading the Mountain Division. Boise State is getting a lot of love right now after going 5-0 SU & 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. And now the price is right to go against them. This line is basically saying that Colorado State would be a 10-point dog on a neutral field against Boise, and I just don't think there's that much difference between these teams. The Rams have a high-powered offense that is putting up 31.2 PPG, 484 YPG and 6.7 YPP, including 42.0 PPG, 543 YPG and 7.6 YPP at home. The Broncos are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. The Rams are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. Take Colorado State.

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Freddy Wills

Nov 11 '17, 3:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | SMU vs Navy
Play on: Navy -4½ -110 at betonline

Navy -4.5 1.1% Free Play
Navy is off 3 straight losses, but two have been against top 25 teams Memphis, and Central Florida and the third against Temple who had an extra week to prepare against the triple option with a defensive minded coach. SMU just fell to Central Florida at home by only 7 points where they gave everything they had. I expect a bit of a hang over here on the road against a Navy team that is desperate for a win.
This would normally be a premium play, but it's hard to tell if Navy is distracted this year by the Showtime Series following them around. The -7 TO margin is the big reason why they are not undefeated at this point, but they still can run the ball, and SMU has really struggled to stop it. The last two years SMU has given up 16 rushing TD's and nearly 1,000 rushing yards in 2 games against Navy in 31-75 loss, and a 14-55 loss. SMU has given up 200+ yards five times this year and that is against teams that throw the ball 50% of the time or more. Here Navy should get their 400 control the game and get out with a 7+ point win. I actually don't even think SMU will be able to stop Navy and force a punt. This one could get ugly.

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Bobby Conn

Nov 11 '17, 3:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Michigan vs Maryland
Play on: Michigan -17 -110 at GTBets

1* Free Play on Michigan -17 -110