Thursday 11-16-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 06:56 AM

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT - 1:18 PM EASTERN POST
6½ FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $14,000.00 CLAIMING $27,000.00 PURSE

#2 ANOTHER GENIUS
#3 MADAME BARBARIAN
#6 ONE MORE SONG
#1 SPLASH OF SASS

#2 ANOTHER GENIUS has nice early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint, is the pace profile leader, takes a BIG class drop (-16), and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of her last five outings, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" facing better company in her 4th and 5th races back. #3 MADAME BARBARIAN also drops in class (-17), is the overall speed leader, and has hit the board in two of her last three start, winning in her 3rd race back.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 06:57 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Aqueduct

Aqueduct - Race 2

Exacta, Quinella, Trifecta (.50), Super (.10), Pick 3 Races (2-4) Pick 4 (.50) Races (2-5), Double Wagers

Maiden Claiming $40,000 • 1 1/16 Miles • Outer Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 84 • Purse: $41,000 • Post: 12:49
(RAIL AT 24 FEET). OUTER TURF FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * COREY Q: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three i n average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. ELEGANT JEM: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. GRAND BANKS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GRANDPA'S ARIANNA: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.
7
COREY Q
5/2

9/2
10
ELEGANT JEM
4/1

5/1
3
GRAND BANKS
5/1

6/1
6
GRANDPA'S ARIANNA
7/2

6/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
8
JACQUELINE D
8

8/1
Front-runner
63

64

85.5

69.2

56.2
11
LADY ALLYN
11

30/1
Front-runner
67

58

63.0

59.1

40.1
2
CRATER RIM
2

20/1
Front-runner
0

0

55.0

55.0

40.5
5
JUSTENUFF HOPE
5

20/1
Front-runner
0

0

45.2

45.2

26.7
6
GRANDPA'S ARIANNA
6

7/2
Stalker
85

60

97.6

79.6

70.6
3
GRAND BANKS
3

5/1
Alternator/Stalker
85

78

65.4

80.0

75.5
10
ELEGANT JEM
10

4/1
Alternator/Stalker
85

81

55.0

76.8

73.8
1
COURAGEOUS CHANGE
1

20/1
Trailer
0

0

60.7

60.7

47.2
7
COREY Q
7

5/2
Alternator/Trailer
84

84

86.7

77.2

70.7
4
TULIPS GALORE
4

20/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

65.6

42.9

27.4
9
LADY LOVE
9

30/1
Alternator/Non-contender
0

0

54.8

66.2

53.7

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 06:58 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Churchill Downs - Race #4 - Post: 2:30pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $68,000 Class Rating: 103

Rating: 4

#4 READY TO CONFESS (ML=8/1)
#5 JULERETTE (ML=5/2)
#3 POLAR RIVER (ML=5/2)

READY TO CONFESS - Rocco should have her moving solid on the turn. A little change in scenery has got to do this horse well. Reading the recent past performance lines, it seems like she likes to visit the winner's circle at multiple tracks. JULERETTE - When this jock and conditioner join forces you have to take a look. Santana and Colebrook have been great together. This horse likes to win on different racing tracks. The switch in venue today may be a wake up call. POLAR RIVER - The jock and trainer combination have a profitable return on investment when they work together. This filly ran versus the males last time. In with her own gender today. The addition of Lasix might make this animal run well in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 MINES AND MAGIC (ML=8/5), #2 MINER'S CAT (ML=8/1),

MINES AND MAGIC - I think this probable favorite needs this race under her belt to start getting back into shape. MINER'S CAT - This filly recorded a speed figure in her last event which probably isn't good enough today.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - POLAR RIVER - I like to check out the TrackMaster Platinum PPs to look for the top entrant in earnings per start. This fine animal looks good to me so I'm making a prime wager on her.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #4 READY TO CONFESS on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,4,5] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 06:58 AM

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs

Evangeline Downs - Race 8

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta

Optional Claiming $15,000 • 220 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 80 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 8:32P
QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $15,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $15,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds

Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * HEZ FOR REAL: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. MPS S HAKE EM N STYLE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SYKOTIC: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks i n the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CHOCOLATEBYELAJOLLA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
4
HEZ FOR REAL
2/1

5/1
7
MPS SHAKE EM N STYLE
4/1

7/1
1
SYKOTIC
6/1

7/1
3
CHOCOLATEBYELAJOLLA
9/2

7/1

P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
SYKOTIC
1

6/1
Average
82

80

5.6

0.0

0.0
2
IM LA LEAVING
2

8/1
Average
72

70

5.1

0.0

0.0
3
CHOCOLATEBYELAJOLLA
3

9/2
Average
82

78

4.9

0.0

0.0
4
HEZ FOR REAL
4

2/1
Fast
81

79

2.0

0.0

0.0
5
TTT KAS BABY SAID SO
5

10/1
Average
76

68

4.6

0.0

0.0
6
MIRACULOUS MIRANDA
6

15/1
Average
71

65

0.0

0.0

0.0
7
MPS SHAKE EM N STYLE
7

4/1
Slow
86

72

8.5

0.0

0.0
8
GAMELEE
8

5/1
Average
73

72

4.2

0.0

0.0

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 06:59 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $14100 Class Rating: 71

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 16 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 16 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 ARLENE'S BUCK 3/1

# 4 MORE STONES 8/5

# 1 GROTON ST SCOUT 5/1

My selection in this race is ARLENE'S BUCK. She has been racing well recently while recording very solid speed figures. Appears to be the type to be helped with second time Lasix here. Horses who have been prepared to race at this distance and surface by Barrow have shown sharp results lately. MORE STONES - The quick return to the races points to a reliable effort this time around. Posted a strong Equibase Speed Figure in the last race. Can run another good one in this race.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 07:00 AM

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Golden Gate Fields - Race #6 - Post: 3:15pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 71

Rating: 3

#5 FIRST AMENDMENT (ML=8/5)
#4 ALDABRA (ML=2/1)

FIRST AMENDMENT - No needing to look any further. This pony has my money. Way too much speed. Horse's last race was at Golden Gate Fields in a race with a class figure of 76. Dropping considerably in class rating today puts her in a solid position right here in this race. This animal picks up a lot of money per start. Tops in this race. ALDABRA - Have to like the way Mathis has raced this filly back into shape off the layoff. Equine is well spotted in this sprint and I think she'll run well today. A thoroughbred coming back this promptly after a nice outing is a good signal. I like the case that this filly's last speed rating, 62, is tops in this bunch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #3 SURREALEAN (ML=6/1),

SURREALEAN - Improbable that the speed rating she earned on Oct 26th will be enough in this event.

STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #5 FIRST AMENDMENT on top if we're getting at least 8/5 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 07:00 AM

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Allowance - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $43350 Class Rating: 79

FOR ACCREDITED OKLAHOMA-BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS.

RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 JACKSON HILL 7/5

# 8 TIC TOO 12/1

# 1 IMA DANGER 12/1

I've got to go with JACKSON HILL. Smith has her trained admirably to break quickly out of the gate. Overall the speed figures of this pony look strong in this contest. Like the finishes in the last couple of races. TIC TOO - She looks formidable in this slot and I expect will be on the lead or close at the halfway point. Look for this equine to be close at the finishing post versus these mounts. IMA DANGER - Appears to have a very good class edge based on the recent company kept. This filly obviously likes the distance, going 4 for 20 in her races lately.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 01:10 PM

Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Thursday, November 16, 2017

NFL (311) TENNESSEE TITANS VS (312) PITTSBURGH STEELERS

Take: UNDER

Reason: Your free play for Thursday, November 16, 2017 is in the NFL contest between the Tennessee Titans and the Pittsburgh Steelers. We fully expected a flat Steelers team last week laying double digits at the Colts and played on the Colts as our hi-roller Platinum Play. Now both clubs have just the four days off between games to prepare for this contest. The Titans have covered the last three in this series, winning two straight up. In addition, the Titans are on a four game win streak and have held all four opponents to 22 or less points. The Steelers are also on a four game win streak and have held their four opponents to 17 points or less. I expect a lower scoring contest here and with the Steelers lay at or on 7 points or more. The Titans are 3-8 O/U their last 11 games when playing a team with a winning record. Meanwhile, the Steelers are 1-7 O/U in their last eight game on grass and 15-35-1 O/U/P their last 51 overall. Play the UNDER here on Thursday.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 01:11 PM

Arthur Ralph Sports

THURS: CBB LSU -8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 01:11 PM

JOEY JUICE

Its the Puerto Rico Tip-off Tournament, but its being played in South Carolina thanks to the hurricane devastation. This is a huge advantage for the Gamecocks who will now become the home team favorites. They are last year’s Final Four team, and they have picked up right where they left off winning their first two games of the season.

A look inside the numbers reveals that South Carolina is most certainly the play. South Carolina is scorching hot vs the Las Vegas spread, they are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 games overall. Illinois St on the other hand does not look so good on paper, they are a mere 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against teams with a winning record, and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 7 - 12.5 points

South Carolina continues to roll in the surprise home game and easily covers this double-digit spread.

4* SOUTH CAROLINA

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 01:12 PM

JEFF BENTON

Your Thursday freebie is the Celtics plus the points at home against the Warriors.

How can I not take the points?

I mean, all Boston has done is win 13 straight games entering play tonight, and now you want to give me a full 3 baskets with the hottest team in the Association!?!?!?

OK, I'll bite!

Not only has Boston won 13 in a row on the year, but they have definitely held their own against the defending NBA Champs, as the C's have won outright in 2 of the last 3 series meetings, and bring a 4-1-1 spread mark the last 6 series meetings into this one, and a 6-2-1 against the spread overall mark the last 9 times these teams have faced one another.

Golden State will look to make a "statement" here, and they may very well hand the Celtics the straight up loss, but against the spread I will take my chances with the home underdog.

Boston the play plus the points.

3* BOSTON

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 01:12 PM

RAY MONOHAN

Golden State vs. Boston Over 215

These two offenses should provide an entertaining one on Thursday, making this worthy of a free play here.
You know exactly what you're going to get out of the Warriors. This team pushes the ball up and down the floor as quick as possible and has so many different weapons that can burn you. The Warriors are putting up 123.7 points per road game, just a ridiculous number.
Boston meanwhile has made the case for being the best in the East. They are putting up 103.3 points per home game this year and continue to push the issue offensively and really attack. They'll have their chances against this Warriors defense, that really doesn't do a good job closing out on shooters.
Some trends to note. Over is 12-5-1 in Celtics last 18 home games. Over is 17-7 in Warriors last 24 overall.
This one is worth a flyer on.
Back the Over.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 01:12 PM

CHASE DIAMOND
NCAA-F | Nov 16, 2017
Tulsa vs. South Florida
South Florida-22

This game has the 2-8 Tulsa at the 8-1 South Florida. South Florida is the best AAC team IMO and will get a chance to prove that versus UCF next week so possible letdown this week but I think this team is focused to blowout this Tulsa team as big as possible as they try to get into the top 25 and a biggest bowl game for the school. Tulsa has lost 3 straight games and although this is a super square play I think USF wins big Thursday as we take them for a nice 15* winner minus the points.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-16-2017, 01:13 PM

DUSTIN HAWKINS

Free Play on Xavier +1 -110

Thursday 11-16-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

Thursday 11-16-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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