Monday 11-27-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359659

    Monday 11-27-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

    Members post your personal plays in the various sports forums @ IWS and our betting trackers!

    NFL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...3-NFL-Football

    College Football
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...-NCAA-Football

    Baseball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...57-ML-Baseball

    College Basketball
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...CAA-Basketball

    NBA
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...NBA-Basketball

    NHL
    http://www.investwithsports.com/newf...?58-NHL-Hockey
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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359659

    #2
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes

    Finger Lakes - Race 9

    EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 9-10)


    Allowance • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $19,500 • Post: 3:31P
    FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO STATE BRED RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 27 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * PRIDE OF SARATOGA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the t op three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. MECKE'S MADALYN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LADY MARLENA: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
    7
    PRIDE OF SARATOGA
    3/1

    7/2
    8
    MECKE'S MADALYN
    5/2

    5/1
    4
    LADY MARLENA
    4/1

    8/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    3
    TIME FOR A PARTY
    3

    15/1
    Front-runner
    77

    64

    75.8

    53.4

    41.4
    4
    LADY MARLENA
    4

    4/1
    Front-runner
    78

    72

    74.4

    70.2

    63.7
    5
    WISDOM OF OZ
    5

    10/1
    Front-runner
    77

    71

    63.6

    68.0

    59.0
    2
    TRAIPSE IN UTOPIA
    2

    6/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    75

    66

    70.0

    69.8

    59.3
    7
    PRIDE OF SARATOGA
    7

    3/1
    Stalker
    85

    85

    66.6

    79.2

    75.7
    8
    MECKE'S MADALYN
    8

    5/2
    Alternator/Stalker
    84

    75

    61.4

    75.2

    70.2
    1
    BEYOND DISCREET
    1

    8/1
    Trailer
    78

    70

    69.6

    68.0

    58.0
    6
    ARRHYTHMIC
    6

    20/1
    Trailer
    77

    66

    54.2

    61.2

    47.2
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359659

      #3
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

      Bar

      Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #4 - Post: 2:08pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,400 Class Rating: 76

      Rating: 4

      #10 PERFECT ELLA (ML=6/1)


      PERFECT ELLA - I sense a speed battle developing here. If that happens, this filly will be in perfect stalking position to gather up the leaders. The addition of the 'hood' usually means that a trainer wants a pony to show more speed or to keep her attention focused.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #7 THAT'S EXCITING (ML=2/1), #8 ENCHANTED (ML=4/1), #4 DEPUTY WANDA (ML=5/1),

      THAT'S EXCITING - Hasn't raced or had any drills since Nov 4th. Not much value on this morning-line choice. This filly has already been thwarted as the favorite back to back. Hard to give her another chance. You believe this horse is going to be victorious just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish first frequently. ENCHANTED - Could be tough for this animal to beat this bunch off of that last speed rating. Not likely to improve enough to run a figure anywhere near today's class rating, so put her on the likely underlays list. DEPUTY WANDA - You always figure that this equine has a shot to be victorious, but she falters often.



      STRAIGHT WAGERS:
      Go with #10 PERFECT ELLA on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds

      EXACTA WAGERS:
      10 with [4,5]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Pass

      SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
      None
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359659

        #4
        F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Portland Meadows

        Portland Meadows - Race 8

        Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta


        Claiming $2,000 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 87 • Purse: $5,700 • Post: 4:16P
        FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 27 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,000.
        Contenders

        Race Analysis
        P#
        Horse
        Morn
        Line

        Accept
        Odds


        Race Type: Lone Front-runner. ARIGATO is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DEPUTY'S COMMAND: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. B ERSHINSKY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. ARIGATO: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Ratin g at the distance/surface.
        3
        DEPUTY'S COMMAND
        8/1

        9/2
        8
        BERSHINSKY
        3/1

        6/1
        7
        ARIGATO
        10/1

        6/1




        P#

        Horse (In Running Style Order)

        Post

        Morn
        Line

        Running Style

        Good
        Class

        Good
        Speed

        Early Figure

        Finish Figure

        Platinum
        Figure
        7
        ARIGATO
        7

        10/1
        Front-runner
        87

        85

        67.0

        66.0

        55.5
        6
        EXTENSIVE
        6

        5/2
        Trailer
        85

        76

        84.4

        73.0

        65.5
        4
        OUTOFTHECLOUDS
        4

        15/1
        Trailer
        74

        82

        56.3

        62.0

        47.5
        8
        BERSHINSKY
        8

        3/1
        Trailer
        86

        84

        56.2

        80.4

        76.9
        5
        FIN DU MONDE
        5

        12/1
        Trailer
        80

        79

        46.8

        75.0

        67.0
        3
        DEPUTY'S COMMAND
        3

        8/1
        Trailer
        94

        91

        45.2

        71.8

        69.3
        2
        DOUBLEDEESONTHETEE
        2

        6/1
        Alternator/Non-contender
        86

        75

        63.0

        70.4

        56.4
        1
        NAOMI'S GIFT
        1

        9/2
        Alternator/Non-contender
        83

        78

        60.9

        66.2

        55.7
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359659

          #5
          Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing

          Always check program numbers.
          Odds shown are morning line odds.

          Race 1 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $22000 Class Rating: 68

          FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT ONE MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 27 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500.


          RECOMMENDED CHOICES
          The Walker Group Picks

          # 3 MARKET HIGH 7/2

          # 6 TIZ MADNESS 2/1

          # 4 JANEALEE 5/1

          MARKET HIGH is the most competitive wager in this race. She looks very good in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the halfway point. The speed figure of 57 from her last race looks very good in here. TIZ MADNESS - Ought to be given consideration here on the basis of the numbers in the speed department alone. Ought to be considered - I like the numbers from the last competition. JANEALEE - Has run admirably when travelling a dirt route race. This mare obviously likes the distance, going 1 for 3 in her races lately.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359659

            #6
            Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

            Always check program numbers.
            Odds shown are morning line odds.

            Race 7 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 95

            FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 27, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250 ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.


            RECOMMENDED CHOICES
            The Walker Group Picks

            # 5 MYSTORYNMSTIKNTOIT 8/5

            # 6 ALPINE GATHERING 8/1

            # 2 ROB'S PAL 5/2

            MYSTORYNMSTIKNTOIT has a strong shot to take this race. Keep this gelding in your exotics as Corbett has given backers some double digit profits. Ought to compete solidly in the early pace contest which bodes well with this group. Must be given a chance based on the very good speed figure garnered in the last affair. ALPINE GATHERING - Has performed admirably recently in route races, posting a nifty 87 avg Equibase Speed Figure. Looks solid to be up on the lead at the first call. ROB'S PAL - Overall the speed figs of this racer look strong in this contest. Diodoro has a sound 16 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface.
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359659

              #7
              Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

              Bar

              Zia Park - Race #9 - Post: 3:46pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,500 Class Rating: 56

              Rating: 3

              #2 SILENT PARADISE (ML=5/1)
              #3 NO CLASS NO (ML=7/2)
              #4 PSYCHOTIC STORM (ML=3/1)


              SILENT PARADISE - You have to like that recent race figure, 50, which is the best last race figure of this field. NO CLASS NO - I believe Spencer is making a good move here. This gelding can only benefit from the shorter distance. The October 31st contest at Zia Park was at a class level of (69). Dropping down the class ladder significantly, so he should be in a good spot to take this race. Ranks at the top in (EPS) earnings per start. A strong performance in this race can add to the lifetime bankroll. PSYCHOTIC STORM - Have to make this gelding a solid contender; he comes off a solid contest on November 7th. Jock jumped on this gelding's back for the first try on November 7th. Should be in touch with the animal even better today. Cappellucci drops him down to this level. You don't need too much more knowledge to think this one has a good chance at this level. The improved Equibase speed figures over the last three races is solid. Cappellucci drops him in this event ready to win.

              Vulnerable Contenders: #1 BIG HAT'N (ML=6/1), #10 TIZ HOLY (ML=8/1),

              BIG HAT'N - The rating last time out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's event. Mark this entrant as a questionable challenger. TIZ HOLY - This gelding hasn't had any strong victories in sprint affairs in the last couple months.

              Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - PSYCHOTIC STORM - With the highest last speed rating of 50, this gelding looks exceptional against these thoroughbreds.





              STRAIGHT WAGERS:
              #2 SILENT PARADISE is the play if we get odds of 3/1 or better

              EXACTA WAGERS:
              Box [2,3]

              TRIFECTA WAGERS:
              Box [2,3,4] Total Cost: $6

              SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
              None
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359659

                #8
                RED DOG SPORTS
                NCAA-B | Nov 27, 2017
                Wisconsin vs. Virginia
                OVER 122

                These two will probably play a low scoring game on Monday night but all it takes is some 3's and late free throws and we will see a game in the 123 to 125 range. Take the over in this match up between the Cavaliers and Badgers.
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 359659

                  #9
                  SEAN MURPHY
                  NBA | Nov 27, 2017
                  Mavs vs. Spurs
                  Spurs-9.5

                  Monday NBA free play. My selection is on San Antonio minus the points over Dallas at 8:35 pm et on Monday.
                  I'll lay the points with the Spurs in this mismatch as I simply feel the oddsmakers have set this line too low.
                  The Mavs are coming off back-to-back victories but that streak ends here. Note that Dallas checks in sporting an ugly 5-15 overall record and has won just twice in eight road tilts so far this season. The Mavs were victorious in their most recent game here in San Antonio last January but won't have the benefit of catching the Spurs napping this time around.
                  San Antonio got a nice tune-up for this one, cruising to a 20-point rout in Charlotte on Saturday night. The Spurs have won three of their last four games both SU and ATS.
                  With the Spurs averaging an impressive 106 points per game at home this season, I can't see the Mavs sticking around for four quarters in this one.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 359659

                    #10
                    Jim Feist

                    Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Monday, November 27, 2017

                    NBA (715) LOS ANGELES LAKERS VS (716) LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS

                    Take: UNDER

                    Reason: Your free play for Monday, November 27, 2017 is in the NBA scheduled contest between the LA Lakers and the LA Clippers. Surprisingly, the Lakers 8-11 have better record than the Clippers do right now at 7-11. The Clips started the season 4-0, since then they are 3-11 though they have won two straight. The Lakers could get Larry Nance Jr back tonight after missing 11 games with a broken hand. PG Lonzo Ball is averaging just 9 ppg this season, but has a team leading 7.1 assists per game. Kyle Kuzma leads the team with 16.8 ppg. The Clippers have done well in this series, covering 13 of the last 17 when the home team. The Clippers have been a good under team, going 5-2 O/U their last seven and 2-10 O/U against a team with a losing record. The last eight meetings in this series have gone UNDER and 10 of the last 12 have gone UNDER. I'm going to take the UNDER here tonight.
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 359659

                      #11
                      Arthur Ralph Sports

                      Monday CBB So Carolina -18
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 359659

                        #12
                        BIG AL

                        Our complimentary selection for Monday, Nov 27 is:

                        Florida Panthers over NJ Devils.
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 359659

                          #13
                          CAPPERS ACCESS
                          Ravens
                          Clippers
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 359659

                            #14
                            DUSTIN HAWKINS

                            Free Play on Cornell +4½ -110
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                            Comment

                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 359659

                              #15
                              When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, November 27, 2017
                              Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland

                              Preview: Texans at Ravens

                              Gracenote
                              Nov 24, 2017

                              Entering the weekend in possession of the final playoff slot in the AFC, the Baltimore Ravens will face one of the teams trying to overtake them when they host the Houston Texans on Monday night. Baltimore moved back to the .500 mark last week with a 23-0 win at Green Bay, becoming the first team since 2003 to register three shutouts in a season.

                              "Defense, obviously, was off the charts," Ravens coach John Harbaugh said after his team forced five turnovers and registered six sacks. "That's about as good as you can play on defense." Baltimore has won nine straight prime-time games -- the longest active streak in the NFL -- and is 11-1 under the lights since Harbaugh took over the coaching reins. Much-maligned Texans quarterback Tom Savage, benched after Week 1 before replacing an injured Deshaun Watson prior to Week 9, earned his first victory of the season in last week's 31-21 win over Arizona. “It’s all about mental toughness out there,” Savage said. "As a quarterback, your team needs you out there to be the leader, so I am going to just go out there and keep slinging it and play confident."

                              TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Ravens -7. O/U: 38

                              ABOUT THE TEXANS (4-6): Savage is coming off his best outing of the season, throwing for 230 yards and a pair of scores against Arizona, but he also has committed six turnovers in the past two games. Rookie D'Onta Foreman rushed for a season-high 65 yards and two TDs before suffering a season-ending torn left Achilles last week, but Lamar Miller is a dual threat who has scored three times over the past four games and leads the team with 604 yards on the ground. DeAndre Hopkins is having a strong bounce-back campaign with 62 receptions and an NFL-best nine touchdowns through 10 games. Houston is vulnerable through the air, ranking 26th at 252.8 yards per game allowed.

                              ABOUT THE RAVENS (5-5): Baltimore managed only 219 yards of total offense in blanking Green Bay and features the league's worst passing attack with an average of 165.2 yards per game. Quarterback Joe Flacco has thrown more interceptions (11) than touchdown passes (nine), and the lack of explosiveness is reflected in the fact that running back Javorius Allen and veteran tight end Ben Watson are 1-2 on the team in receptions. Running back Alex Collins went over 100 yards in a 40-0 rout of Miami on Oct. 26 but has been limited to 49 yards or fewer in three of the past four games. The Ravens are yielding 17.1 points per game and have posted a league-high 16 interceptions.

                              EXTRA POINTS

                              1. Baltimore has won all four meetings at M&T Bank Stadium.

                              2. Texans DE Jadeveon Clowney has eight sacks in his last eight games.

                              3. Ravens LB Matthew Judon had two sacks and a forced fumble last week, earning AFC Defensive Player of the Week honors.

                              PREDICTION: Ravens 23, Texans 16


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