Friday 12-1-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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STEPHEN NOVER

Raptors-6½

There are reasons why Lance Stephenson has played for six NBA teams during his eight years in the league. One of the reasons is he's a dirty, unlikeable player. That was on display last Friday when Stephenson's Pacers edged the Raptors, 107-104, at home. Stephenson bodychecked DeMar DeRozan twice - and got away with it both times. The NBA league office later admitted both should have been called fouls. I bring this up because it's rematch time and the Raptors have strong, short-revenge motivation to bury the Pacers following that contentious game. Indiana is better than I expected at 12-10. Victor Oladipo has emerged as a star guard. But I want the Raptors going for me in this spot. Boston's great start has been the major topic in the Eastern Conference. Cleveland is never going to be underrated because of LeBron James. This leaves Toronto and Detriot somewhat underrated. The Raptors are in the argument for second-best team in the East. The Raptors shot 50.4 percent from the floor during their 14 November games, second-best in franchise history. Following the loss to the Pacers, the Raptors have gone on a tear defeating the Hawks on the road and Hornets at home by a combined 47 points. Toronto has won seven of its eight home games, including the last five. The Raptors beat the Pacers at home both times last season, winning those games by an average of 18 points.

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RED DOG SPORTS
Soccer | Dec 01, 2017
Norwich City vs. Cardiff City
Cardiff City-110

The free soccer play takes place on Thursday in England.
Norwich 1
Cardiff 2

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BEN BURNS
NBA | Dec 01, 2017
Spurs vs. Grizzlies
Grizzlies+4

The numbers aren’t good for the Grizzlies, who have lost nine straight games and are a couple of months away from having “Lottery-Bound” added as a prefix. But in the wake of the firing of coach Dave Fizdale, GM Chris Wallace calmed things down considerably and may have saved the season when he said that the Grizz would not trade franchise pillar Marc Gasol. With injured Mike Conley out at least a few more weeks, that puts the onus clearly on Gasol to start producing and there’s no better time than the present with the Spurs in town. This may not be a must-win, but even for this early in the season it classifies as a “Must Play Well” game for Memphis. Take the points here.

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DUSTIN HAWKINS

Free Play on Manhattan -1½ -110

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TOMMY BRUNSON

When they met in the regular season back in September, the teams combined for 66 big ones, as they game landed Over the posted price of 54 1/2 points.

I am NOT expecting a repeat at all on this neutral field.

Stanford simply cannot win this game if they think they are going to out-sling Sam Darnold, so expect the very wily Cardinal mentor David Shaw to play a little ball-control in this game and limit the time of possession for the Trojans and Darnold.

The Cardinal enter this game having played Under the total in their last pair of games, and in 8 of their last 9 games overall. The Trojans saw their string of 5 straight Overs halted in their last game against cross-town rival UCLA, and they are just 7-5 Over for the season.

Series numbers show 4 of the last 7 between the California schools holding Under the posted price.

USC is dangerous, that is for sure, but if I know that and the public knows that, don't you think the coaches on Stanford know it too?

Kudos to David Shaw who figures out a way to slow this SC offense down just enough in their rematch to keep it from landing Over.

Stanford-USC Under.

3* STANFORD-USC UNDER

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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Friday, Dec 1 is:

Duquesne Dukes +7 over Pitt.

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CAPPERS ACCESS
CFB) USC
(CBB) Northwestern
(CBB) Creighton

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Joey Juice

This game is as much about Orlando being bad as it is about Golden State being very good. Orlando finagled their first win in their last 10 games Wednesday night against an Oklahoma City team that has had their own serious problems this season thus far.

The Golden State Warriors do not have those type of problems. The Warriors have been to the Finals three straight years and have won two titles: and they’re more than capable turning on the switch and simply destroying this Orlando team who is 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record. I'n fact, Orlando is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.

The Warriors are the free play.

4* GOLDEN STATE

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Brad Diamond

Dec 01 '17, 7:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Penguins vs Sabres
Play on: Sabres +130 at betonline

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Brandon Lee

Dec 01 '17, 10:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Creighton vs Gonzaga
Play on: Creighton +8 -102 at betonline

10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Creighton +8)
Everyone knew that Gonzaga was going to be a good team this year, I don't know that people were expecting Creighton to look this good out of the gate, as the Bluejays lost 3 starters from last year's 25-10 team. However, they brought back two studs in senior Marcus Foster, who was a unanimous All-Big East 1st-Team selection and junior Khri Thomas who I think could receive all conference honors this year. Foster has led the way early with 18 ppg and Thomas is right behind at 16.8, giving them a potent 1-2 punch in the backcourt. They are also getting solid production out of sophomore Martin Krampelj, who is averaging 12.5 ppg and 7.2 rpg. The one thing I really love about this team is how they share the ball. Creighton averages 19 assists/game and have 6 different players averaging at least 2 assist per game. I think this is a much more evenly matched affair than people think and wouldn't be shocked if the Bluejays pulled off the upset. Give me Creighton +8!

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John Martin

Dec 01 '17, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Warriors vs Magic
Play on: Magic +10½ -108 at 5Dimes

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Orlando Magic +10.5
The Golden State Warriors are vulnerable right now with all of the injuries they are dealing with. Kevin Durant, Stephen Curry, Andre Iguodala and David West are all hurt right now and expected to play through injuries tonight. Klay Thompson is questionable with an ankle injury. The Magic only lost 100-110 as 12.5-point road dogs at Golden State on November 13th in their first meeting this season. The Magic should be able to hang within 10 points of the Warriors at home this time around. They are coming off a 121-108 win over Oklahoma City and are ready for this challenge tonight. Give me the Magic.

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Alex Smart

Dec 01 '17, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Pelicans vs Jazz
Play on: Jazz +3 -115 at BMaker

Injuries to key players have not effected the Utah Jazz as much as many might have anticipated. Utah extended its winning streak to four games with a 126-107 victory over the Los Angeles Clippers on Thursday night and looked primed to cover as dogs here again tonight. Utah has won its last five games by an average of 26.2 points and scored more than 120 points in three of those tilts. Meanwhile, visiting New Orleans enters this game having lost two straight, and are fade material in their current form, vs a Utah side that matches up well against them as they swept the season series against the Pelicans last year . Note: The Jazz have won four straight games vs the New Orleans and haven't lost to them in two seasons.
UTAH is 21-7 ATS L/28 after 3 straight games committing 4+ less turnovers than opponents .
Play on the Jazz to cover

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Ray Monohan

Dec 01 '17, 7:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Senators vs Islanders
Play on: OVER 5½ -120

Ottawa vs. New York Over 5.5
The Sens and Islanders battle Friday and this Over is worth a move.
Ottawa has put in 3.0 goals per road game this season, as this team has actually been surprising on the offensive side. Mark Stone has been the leader of this offense, tallying 24 points in total and has really been one to feed off of. Defensively though, the Senators are allowing 3.13 goals per game, as they simply haven't been able to avoid the opposition getting shots in front of net.
On the counter side, the Islanders have been absolutely dominate. Averaging 3.67 goals per game, that number actually goes all the way up to 4.6 when playing at home.
Some trends to note. Over is 7-1-1 in Islanders last 9 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 5-1 in Senators last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.
Expect some action here.
Back Over.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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Jack Jones

Dec 01 '17, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Pelicans vs Jazz
Play on: Pelicans -2½ -105 at 5Dimes

Jack’s Free Pick Friday: New Orleans Pelicans -2.5
I like the situation here for the New Orleans Pelicans. They will be playing just their 2nd game in 6 days here. They will be highly motivated for a victory after losing two straight coming in to Golden State and Minnesota, two of the best teams in the NBA.
Meanwhile, the Utah Jazz will be playing the 2nd of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days here. They have to travel back home from a road game at the Los Angeles Clippers last night. And I think the Jazz are being overvalued here due to winning and covering four straight coming in.
While the Pelicans are pretty much healthy right now, the Jazz are dealing with a ton of injuries. Rudy Robert, Joe Johnson and Dante Exum are all out, while both Rodney Hood and Raul Neto are questionable. Being short-handed makes this tough rest situation even more difficult for the Jazz tonight.
Utah is 1-10 ATS in home games after scoring four of their last five against the spread over the past three seasons. The Jazz are 9-20 ATS when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the past two years. The Pelicans are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games. Bet the Pelicans Friday.

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Bobby Conn

Dec 01 '17, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Warriors vs Magic
Play on: Magic +10½ -110 at GTBets

1* Free Play on Magic +10½ -110