Sunday 12-17-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

RACE #8 -AQUEDUCT - 3:47 PM EASTERN POST
New York Stallion Series Stakes - Great White Way Division
6.0 FURLONGS DIRT TWO YEAR OLDS STAKES - $150,000.00 PURSE

#2 STONEY BENNETT
#4 BELLEVILLE SPRINT
#5 FIVE STAR BUNT
#1 DEZZER

The New York Stallion Series was created by the New York Thoroughbred Breeders, Inc. "Great White Way" is another name for Broadway, the noted street and theatre district in the New York City borough of Manhattan. Here in the 33rd running of The White Way," #2 STONEY BENNETT, takes a slight class drop (-1), is the speed and pace profile leader, and has excellent early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint. He's hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in two of his 3 career starts to date, including a "POWER RUN WIN" to break his maiden in his "first asking." #4 BELLEVILLE SPRING is 8-1 in the morning line, comes off a "POWER RUN PLACE" finish in his "first asking," 29 days ago at Churchill Downs in Kentucky.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Camarero Race Track

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Maiden Special Weight - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 72

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 117 LBS. INFERIORES Y DEBUTANTES ALLOWED 1 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 FIERA NOCTURNA 2/1

# 9 GUAYNABO CITY 3/1

# 1 D'WILDCAT RETURN 4/1

I like FIERA NOCTURNA here. Has been running very well lately and will most likely be on the front end early on. Is tough not to examine based on speed figures which have been formidable - 62 avg - of late. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the field recently. GUAYNABO CITY - Posted a formidable Equibase Speed Figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this race. Has competitive Equibase Class Figures relative to this group of animals - worth a look. D'WILDCAT RETURN - Players should note that this racer runs with second time Lasix today. Is hard not to examine based on Equibase speed figs which have been quite good - 53 avg - of late.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park - Race #6 - Post: 2:35pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 73

Rating: 4

#5 SMILING MASON (ML=4/1)
#4 EL GUERRERO AZTECA (ML=5/1)


SMILING MASON - Speed is always important in horse racing, but the lone speed horse is always dangerous. De la cerda moves this colt to the dirt today. Look for a marked improvement from the most recent race on the grass. EL GUERRERO AZTECA - Have to forget about that last race on the turf. This colt should do better hitting the main track in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 SEBAS RANGER (ML=7/2), #6 EPIC WAR (ML=6/1), #2 K K'S REVOLVER (ML=8/1),

SEBAS RANGER - Can't play this runner in today's sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even hit the board in a short distance event of late. Awfully difficult to wager on this questionable contender when he hasn't been showing any signs of readiness of late. EPIC WAR - Just don't think he is worth the risk at the morning line odds. K K'S REVOLVER - When looking at today's class figure, he will have to record a better speed rating than in the last race to battle in this dirt sprint.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#5 SMILING MASON is the play if we get odds of 7/5 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
5 with 4 with [6,9,12] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
[4,5] with [4,5] with [6,9,10,12] with [6,9,10,12] with [6,9,10,12] Total Cost: $48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Laurel - Race #5 - Post: 2:30pm - SO - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $23,000 Class Rating: 84

Rating: 3

#2 LEGAL PRECEDENT (ML=6/1)
#4 FLY E DUBAI (ML=4/1)


LEGAL PRECEDENT - O'Dwyer brings him right back. I propose you stick with this hot gelding. This gelding is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprinters that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse. Gelding took a little vacation, but has been racing into shape. FLY E DUBAI - Have to give this gelding a shot. Ran a strong contest last out within the last thirty days. Just view his recent speed rating, 84. That one looks good in this group.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 SILVER COWBOY (ML=5/2), #5 SENSATIONAL NOTION (ML=4/1), #6 PREP PRIDE (ML=9/2),

SILVER COWBOY - If he goes off at the morning line of 5/2, I'll have to pass. SENSATIONAL NOTION - This was a live horse, but now this one hasn't been doing anything in the morning. Have to be a little leery with this horse. The event on November 10th was versus maiden claimers. Pass on this one in today's event versus the tougher group. PREP PRIDE - I'm always leery of any horse that earns his biggest speed rating on an 'off' track. Recorded a quite unimpressive speed fig in the last race in a $25,000 Claiming race on Nov 19th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that rating.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #2 LEGAL PRECEDENT on the nose if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,4]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HIGH 5 WAGERS:
[2,4] with [2,4] with [3,5,6,8] with [3,5,6,8] with [3,5,6,8] Total Cost: $48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

Remington Park - Race 11

Late Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum)


Stakes • 1 Mile • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 95 • Purse: $400,000 • Post: 7:40P
REMINGTON SPRINGBOARD MILE S. - FOR TWO YEAR OLDS. NO NOMINATION FEE. $2,500 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. STARTERS TO PAY $3,500 ADDITIONAL WITH $400,000 GUARANTEED. THE GUARANTEED MONIES TO BE DIVIDED 60% TO THE WINNER, 20% TO SECOND, 11% TO THIRD, 6% TO FOURTH AND 3% TO FIFTH. COLTS AND GELDINGS, 121 LBS.; FILLIES, 118 LBS. FIRST PREFERENCE TO STAKES WINNING OR STAKE-PLACED HORSES IN GRADED/GROUP STAKES (IN ORDER I,II,III), THEN PREFERENCE TO LIFETIME EARNINGS. LIFETIME EARNINGS WILL BE DETERMINED ACCORDING TO STATISTICS PROVIDED BY EQUIBASE. THIS RACE WILL BE LIMITED TO TWELVE (12) STARTERS. THE TOP THREE FINISHERS IN THE SPRINGBOARD MILE WILL GET AN AUTOMATIC NOMINATION TO THE OKLAHOMA DERBY IN 2018. THE WINNER WILL RECEIVE AN ALL FEES PAID ENTRY INTO THE OKLAHOMA DERBY IN 2018. A SUITABLE AWARD WILL BE PRESENTED TO THE WINNING OWNER. CLOSED THURSDAY, DECEMBER 7TH WITH (59) NOMINATIONS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Stalker. COMBATANT is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * COMBATANT: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster P ower Rating. BELIEVE IN ROYALTY: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. FLIP THE COIN JAN: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equib ase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1
COMBATANT
4/1

3/1
10
BELIEVE IN ROYALTY
5/1

6/1
5
FLIP THE COIN JAN
8/1

8/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
9
REDATORY
9

12/1
Front-runner
75

82

78.8

78.8

72.8
2
MAJOR BROWN
2

20/1
Alternator/Front-runner
71

73

86.3

73.0

56.0
1
COMBATANT
1

4/1
Stalker
87

88

97.6

86.3

81.8
8
FLAT LUCKY
8

20/1
Stalker
86

76

77.9

77.9

65.9
5
FLIP THE COIN JAN
5

8/1
Stalker
89

82

74.7

79.6

69.1
10
BELIEVE IN ROYALTY
10

5/1
Stalker
79

88

67.9

81.1

73.6
12
GREYVITOS
12

6/5
Stalker
97

97

58.8

59.7

54.2
7
SOUL P SAY
7

20/1
Stalker
71

71

47.4

75.8

60.8
11
KINGSVILLE
11

30/1
Trailer
76

75

59.4

71.4

54.4
6
NIGHT STRIKE
6

30/1
Trailer
72

74

55.3

70.1

49.6
4
BODE'S MAKER
4

20/1
Trailer
76

84

52.1

74.9

56.9
3
BRANGELINA
3

30/1
Trailer
76

74

36.7

61.1

41.6

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Sunland Park

Sunland Park - Race 4

$1 Pick 6(Races 4-5-6-7-8-9)/.50 Pick 3(Races 4-5-6)/$1 Exacta/Trifecta .10 Superfecta


Optional Claiming $17,500 • 1 Mile • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 94 • Purse: $32,100 • Post: 1:45P
FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, OR TRIAL OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR CLAIMING PRICE $17,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $17,500.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * HUSH'S STORM: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. LONG STORMY TRIP: Horse has run a Go od Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. WHATAKISS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
2
HUSH'S STORM
5/2

9/2
4
LONG STORMY TRIP
3/1

5/1
8
WHATAKISS
8/1

7/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
4
LONG STORMY TRIP
4

3/1
Stalker
92

90

103.3

72.0

67.5
2
HUSH'S STORM
2

5/2
Stalker
91

90

85.5

87.4

81.9
8
WHATAKISS
8

8/1
Stalker
92

90

73.9

75.8

70.8
1
STORMING BACK
1

7/2
Stalker
85

76

73.6

78.2

69.7
6
DAN'S DESERT JEWEL
6

8/1
Trailer
89

76

71.1

74.9

64.9
5
DOMS DYNAMO
5

6/1
Trailer
83

70

32.7

68.7

56.7
3
FORGOTABOUTME
3

12/1
Alternator/Non-contender
75

72

60.6

60.6

46.1
7
G M GAGE
7

15/1
Alternator/Non-contender
87

85

47.2

65.8

54.3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Turf Paradise

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $7000 Class Rating: 77

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE JUNE 17, 2017 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 QUALITY KAY 9/5

# 7 MOBILEDIXIE 4/1

# 5 MISERABLE BLUE 5/1

QUALITY KAY is my choice. Vaunts formidable speed figures on average overall when measured up against the rest of this group. She has a very good distance/surface win record - 3 for 12. Posted a quite good speed figure last time out. MOBILEDIXIE - Will likely be one of the front-runners of the pack going into the midpoint of the race. She has formidable class ratings, averaging 85, and has to be given a shot for this race. MISERABLE BLUE - Could beat this group given the 82 speed figure put up in her last outing. Her 79 average has this mare with among the strongest Equibase speed figs for this race.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BRANDON LEE

10* FREE NFL PICK (Rams +2.5)

I would have to lean towards taking Los Angeles and the points in this one. As much respect as I have for Seattle and how well they play at home, especially this time of year, I think they are battling too many injuries right now. Prior to last week’s game at Jacksonville, they were already down three big time defensive players in Richard Sherman (CB), Kam Chancellor (S) and Cliff Avril (DE).

Against the Jags, Bobby Wagner (LB) had to leave with a hamstring injury and K.J. Wright (LB) was forced out with a concussion. I have a hard time seeing Wagner play and if he does he won’t be 100%. As for Wright, he's listed as doubtful.

As loud and as crazy as the home crowd will be, I don’t think it will be enough to help this defense slow down this high-powered Rams offensive attack. Keep in mind Seattle had their fair share of troubles against this Rams offense in the first meeting and at that point only Avril had been lost on defense.

The other big key here for me is I don’t like how the Seahawks offensive line matches up with this Rams talented defensive front. Seattle’s inability to keep LA’s defensive linemen out of their backfield is why they have struggled so much against this team. In the last 4 meetings against the Rams, the Seahawks are averaging just 15 ppg. Keep in mind Seattle went up against a similarly strong defensive front last week and Wilson had three interceptions and was sacked twice. Wilson only threw for 198 yards in the first meeting with LA.

Seahawks home field edge also hasn’t all that great against good teams, as they are a mere 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. Give me the Rams +2.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOHN MARTIN

1 Unit FREE PLAY on New York Jets +16

The New York Jets go from being 1-point road favorites at Denver to ridiculous 16-point road underdogs to the New Orleans Saints. Is there 17 points separating Denver and New Orleans? Of Course not. This is a huge overreaction from their 23-0 loss to the Broncos. Bryce Petty will get a full week of practice to get ready for the Saints, and I expect him to be much better against their defense than he was in limited action against Denver’s top-ranked defense. The Saints suffered a number of injuries in their loss to the Falcons last week that is going to leave them short-handed in this game. They also have a massive game on deck against Atlanta that will likely decided the NFC South. The number is simply too big here Sunday to pass up on New York. Give me the Jets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DOUG UPSTONE
NFL | Dec 17, 2017
Bengals vs. Vikings
UNDER 42

After an all-out effort on Monday night against Pittsburgh and still coming up short, Cincinnati fans probably wanted a refund after the Bengals were a no-show in ugly home whipping by Chicago. With no playoffs and Marvin Lewis probably done as the Cincinnati head coach, the Bengals are not likely to find many points against the NFL's No.3 scoring defense. Plus, Minnesota is even better at home, ranked first and conceding just 13.8 PPG. Coming off a loss to Carolina and having Green Bay on deck, I am not sure we will see Minnesota's A-Game. With Cincy 13-3 UNDER off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a home favorite, let's back the lower score.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JACK JONES

Jack’s Free Pick Sunday: Arizona Cardinals +4

The Arizona Cardinals continue to fight despite their gloomy playoff outlook. They have won two of their last three games against two current playoff teams in Jacksonville and Tennessee. And they hanged the game to the Rams in what was a much closer game than the 32-16 final would indicate.

The thing you can count on with the Cardinals is that they will bring it defensively. Their numbers on that side of the ball over the past three games have been outstanding. They are giving up just 242.0 yards per game and 3.9 yards per play in their last three games overall.

The Redskins can’t be laying any kind of price against the Cardinals here with the way they are playing right now. They are coming off back-to-back blowout road losses by 24 to Dallas and by 17 to the Chargers. They even had a pick-6 late in that San Diego game to get their only touchdown of the game.

The laundry list of injuries is what has derailed Washington’s season. They are banged up along the offensive line, at the key skill positions, and all along the front seven defensively. They just haven’t caught any breaks in the injury department this season.

While the Cardinals do play defense, the same cannot be said for the Redskins. This is a Washington team that has allowed at least 30 points in six of its last eight games overall. Blaine Gabbert has arguably been the best quarterback on Arizona’s roster and is good enough to take advantage of this soft Washington defense.

Washington is 32-52 ATS in its last 84 games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points. The Redskins are 14-28 ATS in their last 42 games as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. The Cardinals are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. Washington is 11-28-2 ATS in its last 41 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Plays against home favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (Washington) With a poor scoring defense, allowing 24 or more points per game, after a loss by 10 points or more are 33-11 (75%) ATS over the last 10 seasons. Arizona is 4-1-1 ATS in its last six meetings with Washington. Bet the Cardinals Sunday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STEPHEN NOVER
NFL | Dec 17, 2017
Ravens vs. Browns
over 40

Can you name the team that has scored the most points during the last two weeks in the NFL? You might be surprised to know it's the Ravens. They are averaging 41 points in their last two games and 30.8 points a game in their past six games. Joe Flacco is coming off his two best games of the season and Alex Collins has emerged as a good runner ranking third in the league with a 5.1 yards per carry average. The Browns rank 29th in scoring defense allowing 25.8 points per game. They are down several key defenders due to injury and trade. Baltimore's defense was just torched by Ben Roethlisberger and the Steelers. Roethlisberger threw for 506 yards in a 39-38 win against the Ravens last Sunday night. Some of that was due to the Ravens missing their top cornerback, Jimmy Smith. He's out for the season. DeShone Kizer is no Roethlisberger. But Kizer is improving each week, has a big arm and excellent mobility. The Browns have stocked up on their weapons. Kizer has two dangerous wide receiving targets now with Josh Gordon and Corey Coleman. So the Browns are fully capable of helping this total go Over, too. Weather shouldn't be a problem with only a slight wind and temperatures in the 30s. The condidtions were much worse in Cleveland last week yet both the Packers, with backup quarterback Brett Hundley, and the Browns were able to move the ball with a combined 48 points being scored.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ART ARONSON

1* Free Play on the New York Giants.

Eli Manning and the Giants are playing for pride the rest of the way. Last week New York fell 30-10 to Dallas. Injuries and other issues led to the Giants miserable season, but they won’t be going down without a fight. They also play with revenge after falling to the Eagles 27-24 earlier in the year. Philadelphia comes in off a 43-35 win at the Rams, but the victory came at a major cost, as starting QB Carson Wentz has now been lost for the remainder of the season to injury. Note that Philadelphia is just 5-8 ATS in its last 13 played on “turf,” while New York is 2-1 ATS this year off a division game, 2-1 ATS after a loss to a division rival and 4-3 ATS after two or more consecutive losses. Consider the GIANTS in this one.

AAA Sports

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JIMMY BOYD

Free pick on Browns OVER 40

I just don't think the mark here is high enough for Sunday's AFC North clash between the Ravens and Browns. I'm not expecting a 38-31 shootout or anything like that, but I don't think it's asking a lot for these two to eclipse 40 points.

Cleveland's offense has shown some flashes since they added in Josh Gordon. He's caught 7 passes for 154 yards and score in two starts since returning from his suspension. I think he's starting to find his rhythm with DeShone Kizer and could be in store for a big day. Keep in mind the Ravens recently lost their best corner in Jimmy Smith and without him in their last game, Pittsburgh's Antonio Brown had 11 catches for 213 yards. Roethlisberger also connected 10 times with Jesse James and 9 times with Le'Veon Bell, as he threw for 506 yards.

As for the Ravens offense, I think they were so bad early on that people are overlooking their strong showings of late. Baltimore's 38 points were definitely aided by the Steelers missing star linebacker Ryan Shazier, but they also had 44 the week before against Detroit and are averaging 31.3 ppg over their last 6. Cleveland's defense is better than it gets credit for, but it's also allowed 27 or more in 4 of their last 6 games.

It's also worth noting that Baltimore has trended towards playing in high-scoring games than expected when coming off a heartbreaking division loss. The OVER is 16-6 in their last 22 games when they are coming off a loss by 3-points or less to a division rival. OVER is also 5-1 in their last 6 road games and 6-0 in their last 6 games played in December. Take the OVER!