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COLLEGE FOOTBALL
LARRY- Season Record (43-26-3 +16.70)
SMU -180 Louisiana Tech (8pm)
JEFF- Season Record (44-31-2 +10.75)
SMU/Louisiana Tech OVER 71.5 (8pm)
NCAAB
PATRICK- December Record (14-12-0 +.90)
Creighton -27 USC Upstate (9pm)
JEFF- December Record (20-17-0 +3.40)
Seton Hall -22 Wagner (7pm)
Kansas State/Washington State UNDER 144.5 (11pm)
NHL
JEFF- December Record (13-6-0 +4.98)
Detroit Red Wings/Philadelphia Flyers under 5.5 -110 (8pm)
NBA
PATRICK- December Record (14-6-0 +6.35)
Charlotte Hornets +2 Toronto Raptors (7PM)
Portland Trail Blazers +1 San Antonio Spurs (10PM)
JEFF- December Record (11-13-0 -3.25)
Sacramento Kings +5.5 Brooklyn Nets (730pm)
Minnesota Timberwolves/Denver Nuggets OVER 216.5 (8pm)
Paul Leiner:
We have had a nice start to the College Basketball season so far and I have picked my spots when it comes to top ranked plays. I am 3-0 in 2500* College Hoops winners and tonight I have another one for you. Tennessee is a quality team and there only losses were against Villanova and North Carolina. The Vols will outclass Furman tonight. Thanks and goodluck.
2500* CBB Tennessee -14
100* CBB Over 132 UMass/Georgia State
100* NBA Celtics -8
The injury to PF James Johnson hurts Miami because it puts Bam Adebayo back into the starting lineup, which is not good given Adebayo’s -10.7 points per 48 minutes plus-minus (-85 points in 381.8 minutes). PG Goran Dragic is expected to miss his second consecutive game and the Heat’s loss to lowly Atlanta was not a fluke with the lineup they put on the floor, which will likely be the same tonight. Miami is just 1-5-1 ATS when Adebayo is forced to start this season and my ratings favor Boston by 12 points based on current rotations.
Boston should be focused for this game given that they lost in Miami by 6 points back in November when the Heat were fully healthy with star C Hassan Whiteside playing and Adebayo never leaving the bench. Boston won by 6 points at Miami back in late October when Whiteside was out and Adebayo started and a similar effort by both teams would translate into an 11 or 12 point win here in Boston, which is in line with my ratings. There is value on Boston and I’ll take the Celtics in a 2-Star Best Bet at -9 points or less.
***CHICAGO (-5) over Orlando
Rotation #714 – 5:05 pm Pacific
Chicago is now 6-0 straight up and 6-0 ATS since Nikola Mirotic came off the injured list and I am on the underrated Bulls once again. The return of Mirotic not only added the Bulls best player but it also put their worst player at the end of the bench, as Christiano Felicio no longer plays. That’s a big plus given that the Bulls have been outscored by 153 points in the 309.8 minutes in which Felicio has been on the court this season (-23.7 points per 48 minutes).
Orlando, meanwhile, ended a 6 game spread losing streak by coming from 21 points down with 5 ½ minutes left to lose by just 4 points and cover at Detroit. I doubt that Orlando will make 53% of their 3-point shots, as they randomly did in that game, and the Magic are a bad team without Terrance Ross and Evan Fournier out. The Magic are 3-16 straight up and 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games, including 2-7 ATS since Ross was injured and 1-4 ATS the last five games with Fournier joining him on the bench (with the only cover being that comeback at Detroit when they went nuts from 3-point range). My ratings, based on current rotations, favor Chicago by 10 points in this game and I’ll take the Bulls in a 3-Star Best Bet at -5 points or less and for 2-Stars up to -7 points.
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