Sunday 12-31-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369819

    #31
    When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, December 31, 2017
    Where: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee

    Preview: Jaguars at Titans
    Gracenote
    Dec 29, 2017

    For the AFC South champion Jacksonville Jaguars, Sunday's contest against the host Tennessee Titans is nothing more than a tune-up for the postseason. For the Titans, it means much, much more, as they can clinch a wild-card berth with a victory.

    Tennessee, which has gone eight straight seasons without a playoff appearance, needs to break out of its funk in a hurry as it enters the matchup having lost three in a row - including last week's 27-23 home setback against the Los Angeles Rams. The Titans also would reach the postseason with losses by Buffalo and the Los Angeles Chargers, but they may have to play their season finale without DeMarco Murray after the running back suffered a torn MCL versus the Rams. Jacksonville, which is locked in as the third seed in the AFC, will be fielding its starters as it attempts to avenge a 37-16 home loss to Tennessee in Week 2. The Jaguars lead the NFL in sacks (52) and rank second in points allowed (253) despite last week's 44-33 defeat at San Francisco.

    TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Titans -3. O/U: 42

    ABOUT THE JAGUARS (10-5): Leonard Fournette needs to gain 29 yards on the ground to join Fred Taylor (1,223) as the only rookies in franchise history to rush for 1,000. The 22-year-old from LSU also aims to record a rushing touchdown for the fourth consecutive game. Blake Bortles, who threw for a career-high 382 yards last week, has passed for 995 and nine touchdowns with only one interception in his last three visits to Tennessee.

    ABOUT THE TITANS (8-7): With Murray's status in question, Derrick Henry is prepared to carry the load against the Jaguars. "I don't know how many carries I'm going to get," Henry, who leads the club with 693 rushing yards, told the team's website. "But I'm going to make the most of my opportunities, and it's all about how we execute those." In addition to Murray, Tennessee also could be without cornerback Logan Ryan, who missed the loss to the Rams with an ankle injury and has not practiced this week.

    EXTRA POINTS

    1. Defense is not their only strong suit as the Jaguars top the league with an average of 145.3 rushing yards.

    2. Tennessee S Kevin Byard is tied for second in the NFL with six interceptions.

    3. Jacksonville DE Yannick Ngakoue leads the league with six forced fumbles.

    PREDICTION: Jaguars 31, Titans 13
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369819

      #32
      Trends - Jacksonville at Tennessee

      ATS Trends
      Jacksonville

      Jaguars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
      Jaguars are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
      Jaguars are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC South.
      Jaguars are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC.
      Jaguars are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
      Jaguars are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in December.
      Jaguars are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
      Jaguars are 6-2-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
      Jaguars are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games.
      Jaguars are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 17.

      Tennessee

      Titans are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss.
      Titans are 5-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
      Titans are 8-2-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
      Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
      Titans are 21-43-4 ATS in their last 68 games overall.
      Titans are 16-36-3 ATS in their last 55 vs. AFC South.
      Titans are 15-35-1 ATS in their last 51 games following a ATS win.
      Titans are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
      Titans are 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 games in December.
      Titans are 13-38-4 ATS in their last 55 vs. AFC.
      Titans are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
      Titans are 12-40-2 ATS in their last 54 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.

      OU Trends
      Jacksonville

      Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games following a ATS loss.
      Over is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 games in December.
      Under is 6-1 in Jaguars last 7 vs. AFC.
      Over is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
      Over is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games overall.
      Over is 4-1 in Jaguars last 5 games on grass.
      Over is 7-2 in Jaguars last 9 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
      Over is 10-3 in Jaguars last 13 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
      Under is 5-2 in Jaguars last 7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
      Over is 7-3 in Jaguars last 10 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.

      Tennessee

      Under is 6-1 in Titans last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
      Over is 5-1 in Titans last 6 home games.
      Over is 13-5-1 in Titans last 19 games following a straight up loss.
      Over is 5-2 in Titans last 7 games on grass.
      Over is 10-4 in Titans last 14 vs. AFC South.
      Over is 17-7-1 in Titans last 25 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
      Under is 7-3 in Titans last 10 games in Week 17.

      Head to Head

      Over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
      Over is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings in Tennessee.
      Favorite is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
      Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
      Jaguars are 9-3-2 ATS in their last 14 meetings.
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369819

        #33
        When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, December 31, 2017
        Where: CenturyLink Field, Seattle, Washington

        Preview: Cardinals at Seahawks
        Gracenote
        Dec 29, 2017

        The Seattle Seahawks are looking to stretch their playoff streak to six consecutive seasons, but defeating the visiting Arizona Cardinals on Sunday won't solely do the trick. The Seahawks also need Atlanta to lose to Carolina in order to grab the NFC's final wild-card berth.

        Russell Wilson has passed for 3,762 yards and 32 touchdowns but has been shaky over the last two weeks with efforts of 142 and 93 yards. "I think we can be a little bit better and I think I can be a little bit sharper," Wilson said at a press conference. "Other than that, we've been very successful throwing the ball all year. I don't think it's anything that we're doing or anything like that, I think we just have to be a little bit sharper." Arizona will miss the playoffs for the second straight season, and coach Bruce Arians is shooting down rumors that Sunday will be his final game with the team. "I'm getting a little tired of it, yeah," Arians told reporters. "There will come a time and place when we decide what we are going to do. I guess Larry (Fitzgerald) has put up with this for like, eight years, so I guess I can put up with it for one."

        TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Seahawks -9. O/U: 38.5

        ABOUT THE CARDINALS (7-8): Fitzgerald signed a contract for next year but hasn't yet committed to playing despite another standout campaign that includes 101 receptions for 1,101 yards. The 34-year-old is the fifth player in NFL history to record five straight 100-catch seasons, and his first against the Seahawks - provided he doesn't get shut out - will stretch his streak to 211 games with a reception, which would tie Tony Gonzalez for the second-longest in league history. Pass rusher Chandler Jones, who has registered a league-leading 15 sacks, has recorded 5.5 and two forced fumbles in four career games against Seattle.

        ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (9-6): Wilson has been impressive in the fourth quarter with a league-best 18 touchdown passes, and he also has terrorized the Cardinals with nine TDs and zero interceptions over the last four meetings. The lack of a running game - Wilson's 550 yards are nearly three times as many as any running back on the active roster - has helped drag down the passing attack, and Seattle ranks 16th in total offense at 332.7 yards per game. Pass rushers Frank Clark (nine sacks) and Michael Bennett (8.5) are having big seasons for a defensive unit that hopes to have middle linebacker Bobby Wagner (team-best 130 tackles) closer to full strength from his hamstring injury.

        EXTRA POINTS

        1. The Cardinals are 3-1 in Seattle during Arians' tenure.

        2. Seattle TE Jimmy Graham has recorded 10 touchdown receptions, including two in a 22-16 road win over the Cardinals on Nov. 9.

        3. Arizona S Antoine Bethea (pectoral) was placed on injured reserve, ending a season in which he made a career-best five interceptions.

        PREDICTION: Seahawks 19, Cardinals 13
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369819

          #34
          Trends - Arizona at Seattle

          ATS Trends
          Arizona

          Cardinals are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games in Week 17.
          Cardinals are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games in December.
          Cardinals are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC.
          Cardinals are 6-15-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
          Cardinals are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a straight up win.
          Cardinals are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC West.
          Cardinals are 4-13 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
          Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
          Cardinals are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
          Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games.
          Cardinals are 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
          Cardinals are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
          Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games on fieldturf.
          Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

          Seattle

          Seahawks are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
          Seahawks are 21-8-1 ATS in their last 30 games in December.
          Seahawks are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
          Seahawks are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
          Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
          Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

          OU Trends
          Arizona

          Under is 6-1 in Cardinals last 7 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
          Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 road games.
          Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 games following a straight up win.
          Under is 5-1 in Cardinals last 6 vs. NFC.
          Over is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 games on fieldturf.
          Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. NFC West.
          Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
          Over is 8-3 in Cardinals last 11 games in Week 17.
          Under is 10-4 in Cardinals last 14 games overall.
          Under is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
          Under is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
          Under is 9-4 in Cardinals last 13 games following a ATS win.

          Seattle

          Under is 9-2 in Seahawks last 11 vs. NFC.
          Under is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
          Under is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 vs. NFC West.
          Under is 4-1 in Seahawks last 5 games in Week 17.
          Over is 7-2 in Seahawks last 9 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
          Under is 15-7 in Seahawks last 22 games in December.

          Head to Head

          Underdog is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
          Road team is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369819

            #35
            When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, December 31, 2017
            Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida

            Preview: Saints at Buccaneers
            Gracenote
            Dec 29, 2017

            With a playoff berth already secured, the New Orleans Saints aim for the NFC South title when they visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday. The Saints need just a victory to claim the crown but also would finish atop the division with either a loss by Carolina or a tie by both clubs.

            New Orleans put itself in position to win the division by bouncing back from a loss at Atlanta in Week 14 with victories over the New York Jets and Falcons. The title would be the first since 2011 for the Saints, who went 7-9 in four of their last five seasons - including each of the last three. Tampa Bay hopes to avoid ending the campaign with a six-game losing streak, as it has not been victorious since recording a 30-20 win at Miami on Nov. 19. Each of the Buccaneers' last four setbacks has been by fewer than seven points, including last week's 22-19 defeat at Carolina.

            TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Saints -6.5. O/U: 50.5

            ABOUT THE SAINTS (11-4): Drew Brees eclipsed 70,000 career passing yards last week, joining Peyton Manning and Brett Favre as the only quarterbacks in NFL history to accomplish the feat. With his 239 yards against Atlanta, he raised his season total to 4,089 - extending his league record to 12 consecutive campaigns of 4,000 or more. Michael Thomas (98) is one of two players to have at least 90 receptions in each of his first two seasons in the NFL and needs five catches to surpass Jarvis Landry (194 from 2014-15) for most in his first two campaigns.

            ABOUT THE BUCCANEERS (4-11): Mike Evans leads the team with 946 receiving yards and can join Randy Moss and A.J. Green as the only players in NFL history with at least 1,000 in each of their first four seasons. Jameis Winston lost three fumbles in last week's setback and has gone eight consecutive starts without a victory. Rookie Chris Godwin suffered an ankle injury against Carolina and has not practiced this week while fellow wide receiver DeSean Jackson hopes to return from a similar ailment that kept him out of action versus the Panthers.

            EXTRA POINTS

            1. Brees leads the NFL with a 71.9 completion percentage and can eclipse Sam Bradford's 71.6 mark last season for the best in league history.

            2. Tampa Bay's Gerald McCoy leads all NFL defensive tackles with 39.5 sacks since 2013.

            3. New Orleans RB Alvin Kamara is tied for first among NFL rookies with 75 receptions.

            PREDICTION: Saints 34, Buccaneers 17
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369819

              #36
              Trends - New Orleans at Tampa Bay

              ATS Trends
              New Orleans

              Saints are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
              Saints are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 vs. NFC South.
              Saints are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
              Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
              Saints are 13-4 ATS in their last 17 road games.
              Saints are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following a straight up win.
              Saints are 9-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
              Saints are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
              Saints are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 vs. NFC.
              Saints are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
              Saints are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games in Week 17.

              Tampa Bay

              Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS win.
              Buccaneers are 24-49-1 ATS in their last 74 home games.
              Buccaneers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
              Buccaneers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC South.
              Buccaneers are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
              Buccaneers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in Week 17.
              Buccaneers are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
              Buccaneers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
              Buccaneers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC.

              OU Trends
              New Orleans

              Under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 games on grass.
              Over is 5-0 in Saints last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
              Over is 5-1 in Saints last 6 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
              Over is 13-3 in Saints last 16 vs. a team with a losing record.
              Under is 4-1 in Saints last 5 road games.
              Under is 6-2 in Saints last 8 games following a straight up win.
              Over is 6-2 in Saints last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
              Under is 6-2 in Saints last 8 vs. NFC.
              Over is 5-2 in Saints last 7 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
              Under is 5-2 in Saints last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

              Tampa Bay

              Under is 5-0 in Buccaneers last 5 home games.
              Under is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
              Under is 6-1 in Buccaneers last 7 games following a straight up loss.
              Under is 5-1 in Buccaneers last 6 vs. NFC South.
              Over is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games following a ATS win.
              Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
              Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
              Under is 10-4-1 in Buccaneers last 15 games in December.
              Under is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 vs. NFC.
              Under is 11-5-1 in Buccaneers last 17 games on grass.

              Head to Head

              Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Tampa Bay.
              Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
              Home team is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369819

                #37
                When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, December 31, 2017
                Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, Georgia

                Preview: Panthers at Falcons
                Gracenote
                Dec 29, 2017

                The Atlanta Falcons can clinch a playoff berth with a win Sunday, but they won’t face a pushover opponent because the Carolina Panthers need a road win to retain their hopes of an NFC South title. The Falcons need a win or a Seattle loss to claim the final playoff spot in the NFC.


                Atlanta was knocked out of contention for the division title with a 23-13 loss at New Orleans last week, while Carolina kept alive its hopes of a division crown when Cam Newton’s rushing touchdown with 35 seconds left lifted the Panthers to a 22-19 win over Tampa Bay. The Panthers could still end up seeded anywhere from second to fifth in the NFC playoffs, though they need a win and some help from multiple other teams to improve upon the No. 5 seed they’re in line for with a loss or a New Orleans victory at Tampa Bay. Regardless, Carolina plans to play its starters and play to win, perhaps while keeping one eye on the scoreboard in case the result becomes irrelevant. The Panthers, who have won seven of their last eight, snapped a three-game losing streak against the Falcons with a 20-17 home win in Week 9.

                TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, FOX. LINE: Atlanta -4. O/U: 45.


                ABOUT THE PANTHERS (11-4): Carolina continues to get the job done in the trenches, ranking fourth in rushing offense and sixth in run defense. The guys who power that ground game – Newton and running backs Jonathan Stewart and Christian McCaffrey – will be among the first relegated to the bench if the Saints open a big lead against the Buccaneers. The defense that was dominant early in the season has given up bigger chunks of yardage of late but also has forced 10 turnovers in the past three games.

                ABOUT THE FALCONS (9-6): Atlanta has crept into the top 10 in the league in total offense after a slow start, but the Falcons managed only 331 total yards in last week’s loss at New Orleans. Matt Ryan is likely to surpass 4,000 passing yards for the seventh straight season, but his numbers represent a big dropoff from a year ago, and star receiver Julio Jones is battling ankle and thumb injuries. The defense has been excellent against the run most of the season but especially of late, holding three straight opponents and four of the last five under 100 rushing yards.


                EXTRA POINTS

                1. Ryan has averaged 349.8 passing yards with nine touchdowns and two interceptions in his past four games against the Panthers.

                2. Carolina DEs Julius Peppers (11) and Mario Addison (10.5) are the only pair of NFC teammates with double-digit sacks.

                3. Atlanta LB Deion Jones is the only player in the league with at least 125 tackles (128) and three interceptions (3).


                PREDICTION: Falcons 20, Panthers 17
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                Comment

                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369819

                  #38
                  Trends - Carolina at Atlanta

                  ATS Trends
                  Carolina

                  Panthers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
                  Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
                  Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17.
                  Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                  Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
                  Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 road games.
                  Panthers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
                  Panthers are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
                  Panthers are 15-6-1 ATS in their last 22 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                  Panthers are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                  Panthers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 vs. NFC South.

                  Atlanta

                  Falcons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                  Falcons are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
                  Falcons are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
                  Falcons are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17.
                  Falcons are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

                  OU Trends
                  Carolina

                  Over is 6-1 in Panthers last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
                  Over is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games overall.
                  Over is 5-1 in Panthers last 6 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                  Over is 4-1 in Panthers last 5 games following a straight up win.
                  Over is 10-3 in Panthers last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
                  Under is 9-3-1 in Panthers last 13 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                  Over is 3-1-1 in Panthers last 5 games in December.
                  Over is 19-7-1 in Panthers last 27 vs. a team with a winning record.
                  Under is 5-2-1 in Panthers last 8 vs. NFC South.

                  Atlanta

                  Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games overall.
                  Under is 4-0-1 in Falcons last 5 games in December.
                  Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 vs. NFC.
                  Under is 4-0 in Falcons last 4 games following a ATS loss.
                  Under is 7-1 in Falcons last 8 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
                  Over is 7-1 in Falcons last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                  Under is 7-1 in Falcons last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
                  Under is 5-1 in Falcons last 6 home games.
                  Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 vs. NFC South.
                  Under is 4-1 in Falcons last 5 games in Week 17.
                  Under is 19-7-1 in Falcons last 27 games on grass.
                  Under is 19-7 in Falcons last 26 games following a straight up loss.
                  Over is 13-5-1 in Falcons last 19 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                  Under is 10-4 in Falcons last 14 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
                  Under is 57-25-4 in Falcons last 86 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.

                  Head to Head

                  Under is 7-1-1 in the last 9 meetings.
                  Home team is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
                  Underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
                  Panthers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings in Atlanta.
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                  Comment

                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369819

                    #39
                    When: 4:25 PM ET, Sunday, December 31, 2017
                    Where: StubHub Center, Carson, California

                    Preview: Raiders at Chargers
                    Gracenote
                    Dec 29, 2017

                    The Los Angeles Chargers need to defeat the visiting Oakland Raiders on Sunday and also receive a lot of help if they want to claim an AFC wild-card spot. The Chargers rebounded from an 0-4 start to remain alive in Week 17 as they seek their first playoff appearance since 2013.

                    In addition to beating Oakland, the Chargers need Jacksonville to defeat Tennessee and have either Baltimore beat Cincinnati or Miami knock off Buffalo to land a berth. "The one common denominator is us winning. I can't find one yet where we can lose and still make it," quarterback Philip Rivers said at a press conference. "So we've got to take care of our business. Obviously, we're all playing at the same time. We can only control what we can control." While Los Angeles has a lot for which to play, the Raiders are wrapping up a highly disappointing campaign and looking to end a three-game losing streak. "My mindset is to prepare like I always do and just go lay it all out there like I always try to," Oakland quarterback Derek Carr told reporters. "I'm pumped up to play against a division rival. They have a lot that they're playing for and we want to go in there and finish the season with a win."

                    TV: 4:25 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: Chargers -8. O/U: 42

                    ABOUT THE RAIDERS (6-9): Carr (3,253 yards, 21 touchdowns) has topped 3,000 yards in all four of his NFL seasons, but this year's output was a step back from his stellar 2016 campaign in which he threw for 3,937 yards with 28 touchdowns and just six interceptions - half of this season's total of 12. Turnovers have been a constant problem - the Raiders are 29th in margin at minus-12 - and offensive coordinator Todd Downing accepted responsibility for the drop from sixth in total offense last season to tied for 19th this year. Star pass rusher Khalil Mack has 10.5 sacks, giving him 36.5 over the last three seasons.

                    ABOUT THE CHARGERS (8-7): Rivers has passed for 4,128 yards with 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions in a standout campaign and needs just 39 yards to become the ninth player in NFL history to reach 50,000 for his career. Receiver Keenan Allen (93 catches, 1,260 yards) also is chasing a milestone as eight receptions will allow him to break LaDainian Tomlinson's mark of 100 in 2003 for most in a season in franchise history. The Chargers (plus-10) rank fifth in the takeaway category behind an opportunistic defense led by pass rushers Joey Bosa (11.5 sacks) and Melvin Ingram (10) and cornerback Casey Hayward (four interceptions).

                    EXTRA POINTS

                    1. The Chargers posted a 17-16 win over Oakland on Oct. 15 to halt a four-game slide in the all-time series.

                    2. The Raiders are tied for last in the league with five interceptions as CB Sean Smith is the team leader with two.

                    3. Los Angeles RB Melvin Gordon (1,012 rushing yards) is expected to play despite suffering a sprained left ankle in last Sunday's win over the New York Jets.

                    PREDICTION: Chargers 30, Raiders 24
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                    Comment

                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369819

                      #40
                      Trends - Oakland at L.A. Chargers

                      ATS Trends
                      Oakland

                      Raiders are 3-0-2 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
                      Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
                      Raiders are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
                      Raiders are 3-7-2 ATS in their last 12 games on grass.
                      Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
                      Raiders are 3-8-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
                      Raiders are 2-6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
                      Raiders are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. AFC.
                      Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
                      Raiders are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
                      Raiders are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

                      L.A. Chargers

                      Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
                      Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                      Chargers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games on grass.
                      Chargers are 15-7 ATS in their last 22 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
                      Chargers are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win.
                      Chargers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
                      Chargers are 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 vs. AFC.
                      Chargers are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss.
                      Chargers are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 home games.
                      Chargers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC West.
                      Chargers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                      Chargers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                      Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 17.
                      Chargers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
                      Chargers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games in December.
                      Chargers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.

                      OU Trends
                      Oakland

                      Under is 6-0 in Raiders last 6 games overall.
                      Under is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                      Under is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
                      Under is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games in December.
                      Under is 4-0 in Raiders last 4 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
                      Under is 6-0 in Raiders last 6 games on grass.
                      Under is 7-1 in Raiders last 8 vs. AFC West.
                      Under is 8-3 in Raiders last 11 road games.
                      Over is 36-14-2 in Raiders last 52 games following a ATS win.

                      L.A. Chargers

                      Under is 4-0-1 in Chargers last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
                      Under is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
                      Under is 4-0 in Chargers last 4 vs. AFC West.
                      Under is 6-0 in Chargers last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
                      Over is 10-1 in Chargers last 11 games in Week 17.
                      Under is 9-1 in Chargers last 10 vs. AFC.
                      Under is 6-1 in Chargers last 7 games on grass.
                      Under is 8-2-1 in Chargers last 11 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
                      Under is 4-1 in Chargers last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
                      Under is 20-6-1 in Chargers last 27 games in December.
                      Under is 15-5-1 in Chargers last 21 games overall.
                      Under is 26-9-1 in Chargers last 36 games following a straight up win.
                      Under is 8-3-1 in Chargers last 12 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
                      Over is 21-8 in Chargers last 29 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
                      Under is 5-2 in Chargers last 7 home games.

                      Head to Head

                      Road team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
                      Underdog is 15-2 ATS in their last 17 meetings.
                      Raiders are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Los Angeles.
                      Under is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings in Los Angeles.
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                      Comment

                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369819

                        #41
                        NFL
                        Long Sheet

                        Week 17

                        Sunday, December 31

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        CINCINNATI (6 - 9) at BALTIMORE (9 - 6) - 12/31/2017, 4:25 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        BALTIMORE is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        BALTIMORE is 3-2 against the spread versus CINCINNATI over the last 3 seasons
                        CINCINNATI is 3-2 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        GREEN BAY (7 - 8) at DETROIT (8 - 7) - 12/31/2017, 1:00 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        GREEN BAY is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
                        GREEN BAY is 67-40 ATS (+23.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
                        GREEN BAY is 72-44 ATS (+23.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1992.
                        GREEN BAY is 62-38 ATS (+20.2 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
                        DETROIT is 30-51 ATS (-26.1 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
                        DETROIT is 134-173 ATS (-56.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        GREEN BAY is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
                        GREEN BAY is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        BUFFALO (8 - 7) at MIAMI (6 - 9) - 12/31/2017, 4:25 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        MIAMI is 71-99 ATS (-37.9 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.
                        MIAMI is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in December games since 1992.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        BUFFALO is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                        BUFFALO is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        CAROLINA (11 - 4) at ATLANTA (9 - 6) - 12/31/2017, 4:25 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        CAROLINA is 113-83 ATS (+21.7 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
                        CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
                        CAROLINA is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) in December games since 1992.
                        CAROLINA is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
                        ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        NEW ORLEANS (11 - 4) at TAMPA BAY (4 - 11) - 12/31/2017, 4:25 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        NEW ORLEANS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points this season.
                        NEW ORLEANS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
                        NEW ORLEANS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                        NEW ORLEANS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
                        NEW ORLEANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                        NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
                        NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        JACKSONVILLE (10 - 5) at TENNESSEE (8 - 7) - 12/31/2017, 4:25 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        JACKSONVILLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
                        TENNESSEE is 30-52 ATS (-27.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
                        TENNESSEE is 15-33 ATS (-21.3 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
                        TENNESSEE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        TENNESSEE is 2-2 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
                        TENNESSEE is 3-2 straight up against JACKSONVILLE over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        NY JETS (5 - 10) at NEW ENGLAND (12 - 3) - 12/31/2017, 1:00 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 26-8 ATS (+17.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 26-8 ATS (+17.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 25-8 ATS (+16.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 64-40 ATS (+20.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
                        NEW ENGLAND is 62-37 ATS (+21.3 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
                        NY JETS are 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        NY JETS is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
                        NEW ENGLAND is 4-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        HOUSTON (4 - 11) at INDIANAPOLIS (3 - 12) - 12/31/2017, 1:00 PM
                        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        INDIANAPOLIS is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
                        HOUSTON is 3-2 straight up against INDIANAPOLIS over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        CLEVELAND (0 - 15) at PITTSBURGH (12 - 3) - 12/31/2017, 1:00 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games this season.
                        CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
                        CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
                        CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
                        CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                        CLEVELAND is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.
                        CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                        CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest this season.
                        CLEVELAND is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                        CLEVELAND is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
                        CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) revenging a loss against opponent over the last 2 seasons.
                        CLEVELAND is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses this season.
                        CLEVELAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
                        PITTSBURGH is 91-65 ATS (+19.5 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
                        PITTSBURGH is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1992.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        PITTSBURGH is 3-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                        PITTSBURGH is 5-0 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        WASHINGTON (7 - 8) at NY GIANTS (2 - 13) - 12/31/2017, 1:00 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        WASHINGTON is 62-94 ATS (-41.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
                        WASHINGTON is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
                        WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        CHICAGO (5 - 10) at MINNESOTA (12 - 3) - 12/31/2017, 1:00 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        CHICAGO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                        CHICAGO is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1992.
                        CHICAGO is 17-33 ATS (-19.3 Units) in road games in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
                        MINNESOTA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
                        MINNESOTA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
                        MINNESOTA is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
                        MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
                        MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
                        MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                        MINNESOTA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
                        MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in dome games this season.
                        MINNESOTA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in games played on turf this season.
                        MINNESOTA is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.
                        MINNESOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
                        CHICAGO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points over the last 2 seasons.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                        MINNESOTA is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        DALLAS (8 - 7) at PHILADELPHIA (13 - 2) - 12/31/2017, 1:00 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        DALLAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
                        DALLAS is 38-61 ATS (-29.1 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.
                        PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                        PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        OAKLAND (6 - 9) at LA CHARGERS (8 - 7) - 12/31/2017, 4:25 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        OAKLAND is 34-60 ATS (-32.0 Units) in December games since 1992.
                        OAKLAND is 33-57 ATS (-29.7 Units) in the last 4 weeks of the regular season since 1992.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        LA CHARGERS is 3-2 against the spread versus OAKLAND over the last 3 seasons
                        OAKLAND is 4-1 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        ARIZONA (7 - 8) at SEATTLE (9 - 6) - 12/31/2017, 4:25 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        ARIZONA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
                        ARIZONA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
                        SEATTLE is 68-39 ATS (+25.1 Units) in December games since 1992.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        SEATTLE is 2-2 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
                        SEATTLE is 2-2 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        KANSAS CITY (9 - 6) at DENVER (5 - 10) - 12/31/2017, 4:25 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        KANSAS CITY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
                        KANSAS CITY is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
                        DENVER is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 35.5 and 42 points this season.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        KANSAS CITY is 4-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                        KANSAS CITY is 4-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
                        4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

                        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

                        SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 10) at LA RAMS (11 - 4) - 12/31/2017, 4:25 PM
                        Top Trends for this game.
                        LA RAMS is 184-230 ATS (-69.0 Units) in all games since 1992.
                        LA RAMS is 184-230 ATS (-69.0 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
                        LA RAMS is 84-119 ATS (-46.9 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
                        LA RAMS is 132-181 ATS (-67.1 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
                        LA RAMS is 143-182 ATS (-57.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
                        LA RAMS is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) in home games versus division opponents since 1992.
                        LA RAMS is 62-95 ATS (-42.5 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

                        Head-to-Head Series History
                        SAN FRANCISCO is 4-1 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
                        SAN FRANCISCO is 3-2 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
                        3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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                        Comment

                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369819

                          #42
                          NFL

                          Week 17

                          Trend Report

                          Sunday, December 31

                          CHICAGO @ MINNESOTA
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
                          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
                          Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
                          Minnesota is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

                          GREEN BAY @ DETROIT
                          The total has gone OVER in 10 of Green Bay's last 11 games on the road
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Green Bay's last 6 games when playing Detroit
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Green Bay
                          The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games at home

                          HOUSTON @ INDIANAPOLIS
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indianapolis
                          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Houston's last 14 games when playing Indianapolis
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indianapolis's last 5 games

                          NY JETS @ NEW ENGLAND
                          NY Jets is 7-1-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing New England
                          The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Jets's last 8 games when playing on the road against New England
                          New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Jets
                          New England is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games

                          WASHINGTON @ NY GIANTS
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
                          The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Washington's last 14 games when playing on the road against NY Giants
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Giants's last 6 games
                          NY Giants is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

                          DALLAS @ PHILADELPHIA
                          The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games
                          Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
                          Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
                          Philadelphia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

                          CLEVELAND @ PITTSBURGH
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
                          The total has gone OVER in 10 of Cleveland's last 14 games on the road
                          Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
                          Pittsburgh is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

                          JACKSONVILLE @ TENNESSEE
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games when playing on the road against Tennessee
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Jacksonville's last 5 games
                          Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing at home against Jacksonville

                          CAROLINA @ ATLANTA
                          Carolina is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Carolina's last 6 games
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

                          CINCINNATI @ BALTIMORE
                          Cincinnati is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
                          Cincinnati is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
                          Baltimore is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
                          Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

                          BUFFALO @ MIAMI
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Miami
                          The total has gone OVER in 7 of Buffalo's last 10 games
                          The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing Buffalo
                          The total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games

                          NEW ORLEANS @ TAMPA BAY
                          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
                          New Orleans is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
                          The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing at home against New Orleans

                          OAKLAND @ LA CHARGERS
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games
                          Oakland is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Chargers
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Chargers's last 5 games
                          LA Chargers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

                          SAN FRANCISCO @ LA RAMS
                          San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
                          San Francisco is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Rams
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Rams's last 5 games at home
                          LA Rams is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

                          ARIZONA @ SEATTLE
                          The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games on the road
                          The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Arizona's last 14 games
                          Seattle is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
                          Seattle is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games

                          KANSAS CITY @ DENVER
                          The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games
                          Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Denver
                          The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Kansas City
                          The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
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                          Comment

                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369819

                            #43
                            NFL

                            Week 17

                            Week 17 games
                            Bengals (6-9) @ Ravens (9-6)— Ravens win and they’re in; Baltimore won five of last six games, is 3-2-1 as a home favorite this year- they’re 5-2 SU at home, losing to Steelers/Bears. In their last eight games, Ravens outscored opponents 125-61 in 2nd half. Bengals lost three of last four games, are 3-3 as road underdogs, losing away games by 3-15-16-4-27 points. Baltimore (+3) blanked Bengals 20-0 to open season, using five takeaways (+4) and a 154-77 rushing edge, but Ravens are just 2-6 in last eight series games- Bengals won two of last three visits here. Favorites are 6-4 vs spread in AFC North games this year. Over is 8-3 in last 11 Raven games, under is 4-2 in Cincy’s last six road games.

                            Packers (7-8) @ Lions (8-7)— Detroit is 2-3 in its last five games, 3-1 as home favorite, winning by 12-14-10 points, but they’re only 3-4 SU at home, which is why they’ll miss playoffs. Packers are 3-7 since Rodgers first got hurt; they’re 3-4 on road, 3-2 as road underdogs. Green Bay is -6 in turnovers in its last two games, with no takeaways. Detroit (-2.5) won first meeting 30-17 at Lambeau in Week 9; they threw for 353 yards (10.4 ypa). Teams split last eight series games; Packers won last two visits here, 27-23/31-24. Favorites are 5-4-1 vs spread in NFC North games this season. Last three Lion games stayed under the total; four of last five Green Bay games went over total.

                            Bills (8-7) @ Dolphins (6-9)— Buffalo (-3) held on to beat Miami 24-16 at home two weeks ago; Bills were +3 in turnovers, converted 7-15 on 3rd down. Buffalo needs win here and lot of help to make playoffs for first time since ’99. Bills are 3-2 in last five games, 2-5 on road, 0-1 as road favorites- their road wins were at Falcons/Chiefs. Miami lost seven of its last nine games; but they’re 4-2 SU at home, 2-0-1 as home underdogs, losing to Bucs/Raiders. Buffalo is 6-3 in last nine series games; teams split last four games played here. Home teams are 8-1-1 vs spread in AFC East games this season. Over is 7-1-1 in Dolphins’ last nine games, 7-3 in Buffalo’s last ten games.

                            Panthers (11-4) @ Falcons (9-6)— Atlanta clinches playoff berth with win; Carolina clinches NFC South with win and Saints loss. Panthers won their last three games, scoring 27 ppg; they are 5-2 on road, 3-1 as road underdogs, with losses at Bears/Saints. Falcons won five of last seven games, are 4-3 at home SU/ATS- they scored only 10 points on four red zone drives in Superdome Sunday. Panthers (-1) won first meeting 20-17 in Week 9, outrushing Falcons 201-53 wth a 16-yard edge in field position. Falcons won three of last four series games; Panthers lost 20-13/48-33 in last two visits here. Home favorites are 6-3 vs spread in NFC South games this year. Five of last six Carolina games went over total; last four Atlanta games stayed under.

                            Saints (11-4) @ Buccaneers (4-11)— New Orleans clinches NFC South and home game next week with win here. Saints are 11-2 since an 0-2 start, but losses came in last two road games; they’re already in playoffs. In its last three games, NO is just 9-33 on 3rd down. Saints are 3-3 on road, 2-0 as road favorites. Buccaneers lost five in row, 10 of their last 11 games; they’re 3-4 at home, 2-2 as home underdogs. Saints (-7) drilled Tampa Bay 30-10 in Week 9, blocking punt for TD, outgaining Bucs 407-200. NO won 10 of last 12 series games; they’re won four of last five visits here, losing 16-11 here LY. Home teams are 7-3 vs spread in NFC South games this year, 1-0 as underdogs. Under is 6-2 in Bucs’ last eight games, 5-1 in Saints true road games.

                            Jaguars (10-5) @ Titans (8-7)— Titans need win to make playoffs; they waxed Jacksonville 37-16 (-1.5) in Week 2, running ball for 179 yards with +2 turnover ratio- Titans had 17-yard edge in field position. Jaguars/Tennessee split season series the last eight years;. Jaguars lost last three visits here, by 2-3-14 points. Jaguars won seven of last nine games; they’re 4-3 on road, 2-3 as road favorites- they scored TDs on 12 of last 13 red zone drives. Tennessee lost last three games; they’re 5-2 at home, losing to Raiders, Rams. Seven of their last nine games were decided by 5 or less points. Favorites are 7-3 vs spread in AFC South games this year. Four of last five Jaguar games went over the total.

                            Jets (5-10) @ Patriots (12-3)— New England needs win to lock up #1 seed in AFC. Patriots won, covered last four home games. Under is 7-3-1 in their last eleven games. In their last six games. NE outscored opponents 88-35 in second half. Jets lost three in row, eight of last 10 games- they are 2-2-1 as road underdogs, losing away games by 9-25-3-5-23-12 points, beating Cleveland for only road win. Pats (-9.5) won first meeting 24-17 in Week 6; both teams had 23 first downs and converted over 50% on 3rd down. Patriots won three in row, 11 of last 13 series games; Jets are 0-6 in Foxboro since winning a 2010 playoff game here. Home teams are 8-1-1 vs spread in AFC East games this season.

                            Texans (4-11) @ Colts (3-12)— Short week for Houston after Christmas loss vs Steelers; they’ve now lost five games in row, are 0-3-1 vs spread in last four road games, losing away games by 3-3-26-7-11-38 points. Indy lost its last six games, is 1-4 vs spread in last five; Colts are 1-3 vs spread in last four games as home underdogs. Colts (+7) won 20-14 in Houston in Week 9, first game after Texans QB Watson went down for year. Houston was scoreless in two trips to red zone. Texans won three of last four series games; they won last two visits here, 16-10/22-17. Favorites are 7-3 vs spread in AFC South games this year. Over is 8-4 in last dozen Houston games; last seven Colt games stayed under the total.

                            Browns (0-15) @ Steelers (11-3)— Cleveland is 1-30 last two years, 3-12 vs spread this season, 1-6 as road underdogs- in their last four games, Browns were outscored 54-10 in second half. Steelers can get #1 seed in AFC with win and Jets’ win in NE (yeah, sure). Pittsburgh won nine of last ten games, is 3-3 as home favorites- their last three home games were decided by total of seven points. Pitt blocked punt for TD in 21-18 (-8.5) Week 1 win over the Browns; total yardage was just 290-237- Steelers ran ball for only 35 yards, had 144 penalty yards. Steelers won five in row, 13 of last 15 series games; Browns lost their last 13 games here. Favorites are 6-4 vs spread in AFC North games this year. Over is 4-1 in Pittsburgh’s last five home games.

                            Redskins (7-8) @ Giants (2-13)— Washington is 3-2 in its last five games; they’re 2-5 on road, 0-1 as road favorite- they lost last three road games, by 3-24-17 points. Redskins are 8 of last 34 on 3rd down. Giants lost last five games, are 1-6 at home, 2-4 as home underdogs- their one home win was over Kansas City in OT. Washington (-7) beat the Giants 20-10 in first meeting on a Thursday, holding NJ to 86 passing yards- Giants were 2-14 on 3rd down, averaged 2.8 ypa. Washington won three of last four series games, but they’ve lost four of last five visits here. Favorites are 7-3 vs spread in NFC East games this season. Four of last five Redskin games stayed under total, as have five of Giants’ last six games.

                            Bears (5-10) @ Vikings (12-3)— Vikings can get #1 seed in NFC with win here and Eagle loss to Dallas. Minnesota won 10 of last 11 games; they’re 5-1 as home favorites this year- their one home loss was 14-7 to Detroit. In last six games, Viking foes are 17-75 on 3rd down. Chicago won two of last three games, outscoring opponents 42-7 in 2nd half; Bears are 3-4 as road underdogs. Minnesota (-3.5) won first meeting 20-17, despite averaging only 3.9 ypa; Vikings were +2 in turnovers- they’re 5-1 in last six series games. Bears lost last five visits to Twin Cities, by 7-3-4-21-28 points. Favorites are 5-4-1 in NFC North games this season. Three of last four Viking games stayed under total; four of last five Chicago games stayed under.

                            Cowboys (8-7) @ Eagles (13-2)— Dallas won three of last four games, but laid egg at home vs Seattle LW and is out of playoffs. Cowboys are 5-2 on road, 1-3 vs spread as underdogs so far this season. Eagles are 5-2 as home favorites this year they’re 12-1 in last 13 games, winning last three, by 8-5-3 points. Philly (-4) outscored Dallas 30-0 in 2nd half, beat Cowboys 37-9 in Week 11, running ball for 215 yards, holding Cowboys without a TD, with a +4 turnover ratio. Road team won six of last nine series games; Dallas won four of last five visits here. Favorites are 7-3 vs spread in NFC East games this season. Seven of last eight Cowboy games stayed under total; four of last six Philly games stayed under.

                            Raiders (6-9) @ Chargers (8-7)— Will be weird atmosphere; not sure which team will have more fans. Bolts can still get in playoffs with win here and some help; they beat Oakland 17-16 (+3.5) in Week 6, with +2 turnover ratio- Raiders didn’t score on their only red zone trip. Oakland won four of last five series games; they won 37-29/19-16 in last two visits to San Diego. Raiders lost their 3rd straight game 13-10 in frigid Philly Monday night, so short week here; they’re 2-3 as road underdogs this season. Chargers won won five of last six games, are 2-2 as home favorites- they won last four games in Carson. Home teams are 6-2-1 vs spread in AFC West games this year. Nine of last ten Charger games stayed under total.

                            Cardinals (7-8) @ Seahawks (9-6)— Seattle gained TOTAL of 285 yards on 108 plays in their last two games, but they still get in playoffs with win and an Atlanta loss; Hawks lost three of last four home games, are 1-5 as home favorites this year. Seahawks beat Arizona 22-16 (-6) in first meeting, despite converting only 3-13 on 3rd down, 108 penalty yards. Road team is 5-1-1 in last seven series games; Cardinals won three of last four visits here. Arizona is 3-2 in its last five games, but is 0-4 vs spread as road underdogs, losing away games by 12-27-10-5 points, with wins at Colts/49ers. Home teams are 1-7-1 vs spread in NFC West games this season. Under is 7-4 in last 11 Seahawk games, 3-0 in Arizona’s last three games.

                            Chiefs (9-6) @ Broncos (5-10)— Denver is 2-9 in its last 11 games after starting year 3-1, with wins over Colts/Jets; they’re 4-3 at home, 1-3 as home favorites. Broncos did run ball for 372 yards in last two games. Lynch is expected to start at QB for Denver, which insists on running QB tryouts during season. Chiefs won last three games after a 1-6 skid; they lost last four road games. KC already clinched AFC West; they’ve got playoff game next week. Chiefs (-7) beat Denver 29-19 in first meeting, with five takeaways (+3) and 16-yard edge in field position- they started five drives in Denver territory. Chiefs won last four series games; they won 29-13/30-27 in last two visits here. Home teams are 6-2-1 vs spread in AFC West games this year. Six of Chiefs’ last seven games stayed under total, as have five of last six Bronco games.

                            49ers (5-10) @ Rams (11-4)— Rams won NFC West, have home playoff game next week, would expect some key guys to get time off here. 49ers won five of last six games after 0-9 start with Garoppolo now 6-0 as an NFL starter; Niners are 5-2 as road underdogs- they averaged 7+ ypa in each of last four games. LA won huge road game in Seattle/Nashville last two weeks to reach playoff for first time in 13 years. Rams (-2.5) won first meeting 41-39 in Week 3, averaging 10.4 ypa- they had eight plays of 20+ yards. Teams split last six meetings; three of last four were decided by 3 or less points. Home teams are 1-7-1 vs spread in NFC West games this season. Under is 5-2 in 49ers’ road games; Rams’ last four games went over total.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369819

                              #44
                              NFL
                              Dunkel

                              Week 17

                              Sunday, December 31

                              Cincinnati @ Baltimore

                              Game 301-302
                              December 31, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Cincinnati
                              128.762
                              Baltimore
                              134.922
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Baltimore
                              by 6
                              36
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Baltimore
                              by 10
                              41
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Cincinnati
                              (+10); Under

                              Green Bay @ Detroit

                              Game 303-304
                              December 31, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Green Bay
                              127.523
                              Detroit
                              131.698
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Detroit
                              by 4
                              41
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Detroit
                              by 7 1/2
                              43 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Green Bay
                              (+7 1/2); Under

                              Buffalo @ Miami

                              Game 305-306
                              December 31, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Buffalo
                              133.819
                              Miami
                              127.249
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Buffalo
                              by 6 1/2
                              46
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Buffalo
                              by 2 1/2
                              42
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Buffalo
                              (-2 1/2); Over

                              Carolina @ Atlanta

                              Game 307-308
                              December 31, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Carolina
                              133.412
                              Atlanta
                              139.873
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Atlanta
                              by 6 1/2
                              49
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Atlanta
                              by 3
                              45 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Atlanta
                              (-3); Over

                              New Orleans @ Tampa Bay

                              Game 309-310
                              December 31, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              New Orleans
                              134.716
                              Tampa Bay
                              131.298
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              New Orleans
                              by 3 1/2
                              54
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              New Orleans
                              by 7 1/2
                              50
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Tampa Bay
                              (+7 1/2); Over

                              Jacksonville @ Tennessee

                              Game 311-312
                              December 31, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Jacksonville
                              132.469
                              Tennessee
                              132.672
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Jacksonville
                              Even
                              45
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Tennessee
                              by 3 1/2
                              41
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Jacksonville
                              (+3 1/2); Over

                              NY Jets @ New England

                              Game 313-314
                              December 31, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              NY Jets
                              124.324
                              New England
                              141.785
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              New England
                              by 17 1/2
                              49
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              New England
                              by 15 1/2
                              44
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              New England
                              (-15 1/2); Over

                              Houston @ Indianapolis

                              Game 315-316
                              December 31, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Houston
                              121.706
                              Indianapolis
                              128.612
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Indianapolis
                              by 7
                              37
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Indianapolis
                              by 3 1/2
                              41
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Indianapolis
                              (-3 1/2); Under

                              Cleveland @ Pittsburgh

                              Game 317-318
                              December 31, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Cleveland
                              127.652
                              Pittsburgh
                              135.557
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Pittsburgh
                              by 8
                              44
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Pittsburgh
                              by 14
                              38
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Cleveland
                              (+14); Over

                              Washington @ NY Giants

                              Game 319-320
                              December 31, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Washington
                              128.423
                              NY Giants
                              129.515
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              NY Giants
                              by 1
                              42
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Washington
                              by 3
                              37 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              NY Giants
                              (+3); Over

                              Chicago @ Minnesota

                              Game 321-322
                              December 31, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Chicago
                              127.811
                              Minnesota
                              141.709
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Minnesota
                              by 14
                              43
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Minnesota
                              by 11 1/2
                              39 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Minnesota
                              (-11 1/2); Over

                              Dallas @ Philadelphia

                              Game 323-324
                              December 31, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Dallas
                              135.419
                              Philadelphia
                              130.299
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Dallas
                              by 5
                              44
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Dallas
                              by 2 1/2
                              39
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Dallas
                              (-2 1/2); Over

                              Oakland @ LA Chargers

                              Game 325-326
                              December 31, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Oakland
                              124.896
                              LA Chargers
                              136.823
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              LA Chargers
                              by 12
                              40
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              LA Chargers
                              by 7 1/2
                              43
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              LA Chargers
                              (-7 1/2); Under

                              Arizona @ Seattle

                              Game 327-328
                              December 31, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Arizona
                              126.322
                              Seattle
                              139.785
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Seattle
                              by 13 1/2
                              46
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Seattle
                              by 8 1/2
                              38 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Seattle
                              (-8 1/2); Over

                              Kansas City @ Denver

                              Game 329-330
                              December 31, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              Kansas City
                              131.209
                              Denver
                              132.106
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              Denver
                              by 1
                              42
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              Denver
                              by 4
                              37 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              Kansas City
                              (+4); Over

                              San Francisco @ LA Rams

                              Game 331-332
                              December 31, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

                              Dunkel Rating:
                              San Francisco
                              133.509
                              LA Rams
                              135.897
                              Dunkel Team:
                              Dunkel Line:
                              Dunkel Total:
                              LA Rams
                              by 2 1/2
                              42
                              Vegas Team:
                              Vegas Line:
                              Vegas Total:
                              San Francisco
                              by 2 1/2
                              44 1/2
                              Dunkel Pick:
                              LA Rams
                              (+2 1/2); Under
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                              Comment

                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 369819

                                #45
                                NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 17

                                Green Bay Packers at Detroit Lions (-6.5, 43.5)

                                Packers' red-zone dominance vs. Lions' downfield doldrums

                                The Green Bay Packers and Detroit Lions both came into the 2017 season with plenty of hope - but these NFC North rivals have nothing to play for but price after injuries and inconsistency torpedoed their seasons. But both teams would love to close the season out on a positive note - and in that regard, the visiting Packers have a significant advantage heading into the finale, as they look to continue their red-zone success against a Lions team that has struggled to keep teams off the scoreboard inside the 20.

                                The Packers can only wonder what could have been after losing quarterback Aaron Rodgers to a collarbone injury midway through the season. But Green Bay can hang its hat on the fact that it will end the regular season as one of the top teams in the NFL when it comes to scoring touchdowns in the red zone. The Packers come into Week 17 having scored six points on nearly 61 percent of its trips inside the opposing 20-yard line; only Philadelphia, Jacksonville, Chicago and Oakland have been more prolific.

                                That spells major problems for the Lions, who have allowed the fourth-most points in the NFC going into the final week of the regular season. It hasn't helped that Detroit has been punished repeatedly deep in its own territory, allowing foes to score touchdowns on more than 61 percent of trips inside the red zone - ahead of only the Packers and Cleveland Browns. Green Bay is a little less scary with Brett Hundley under center, but this is still a mismatch the Packers can exploit Sunday afternoon.

                                Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers (-10.5, 38.5)

                                Browns' third-down problems vs. Steelers elite drive-extension skills

                                This game is creating all sorts of problems for bettors, with the Steelers hinting - but not outright saying - that star players might get some rest in the finale. That has resulted in a line drop of 5 1/2 points - and the line should shift dramatically once the Steelers' roster strategy becomes clear. But no matter what happens, Pittsburgh will come into the game as a heavy favorite thanks in no small part to a significant edge over the visitors when it comes to third-down opportunities.

                                The Browns will do everything in their power to avoid becoming just the second team in NFL season to finish a season 0-16 - and not joining the 2008 Detroit Lions in league infamy will require a much better effort at defending the Steelers on third down. The Browns rank 24th in the NFL at opposing third-down conversion rate, allowing teams to score or extend drives on 41.1 percent of opportunities. That number jumps to 45.8 percent over the past three games.

                                Even without knowing what the Steelers will do, bettors should look to Pittsburgh's elite third-down performance as a reason to favor the home side in this one. The Steelers have converted an incredible 44.7 percent of their third-down chances; only the Atlanta Falcons have been better. And over the last three games, Pittsburgh has had no equal, making good on better than 63 percent of its third downs. A repeat performance Sunday will almost certainly secure the Browns a place in NFL history.

                                San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams (+1, 44.5)

                                Jimmy Garoppolo vs. a potential parade of Rams backups

                                Congratulations to anyone who managed to snag the 49ers +6 when this line opened; things changed quickly once it became clear that the Rams might rest several of its starters this week, with the division title already sewn up and no chance of securing home-field advantage throughout the NFC playoffs. That makes the Rams slight underdogs in oddsmakers' eyes - and gives the 49ers an excellent chance of ending its regular season on an improbable five-game winning streak.

                                It's no coincidence that the 49ers went from easy mark to world beater once they inserted recent acquisition Jimmy Garoppolo as the starting quarterback. Garoppolo has won all four of his starts, racking up 1,268 passing yards and five touchdowns over that span. He accounted for three touchdowns in last week's 44-33 victory over powerhouse Jacksonville, and has the San Francisco offense averaging a healthy 27.5 points over his four-game stretch; the 49ers have covered three of those four games.

                                The Rams were in great position to end the 49ers' winning streak - at least in oddsmakers' eyes - before head coach Sean McVay suggested that resting players was "a luxury we want to take advantage of." Even if quarterback Jared Goff, running back Todd Gurley and other stars make the start, it's a virtual certainty they won't be on the field in the second half, regardless of how the first 30 minutes play out. This game means a lot more to the visiting team - and that should be reflected in the result.

                                Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks (-9, 38.5)

                                Cardinals' penalty-drawing prowess vs. Seahawks' lack of discipline

                                The Seahawks face a simple objective heading into the final week of the season: Win, and they still have a shot at the playoffs. Host Seattle is an overwhelming favorite in Sunday's encounter with the rival Arizona Cardinals, but that doesn't mean much considering how disappointing the Seahawks have been as a home cover this season (2-5 ATS). And while Arizona is the inferior team in oddsmakers' eyes, it has a major advantage in the penalty department.

                                Arizona hasn't exactly been a model franchise this season - its 107 accepted penalties are 10th-most in the NFL. But no team has drawn as many penalty flags as the Cardinals (121), resulting in a plus-14 penalty differential that ranks fourth overall. Even more significantly, Arizona's plus-173 penalty-yard margin is the best in the NFL. Arizona fell 22-16 to Seattle in their prior encounter, but drew 12 Seahawks penalties for a whopping 108 yards - a development that contributed to the tight score.

                                That game serves as a suitable microcosm for the Seahawks' season, one that has been marred by a crippling lack of discipline. Seattle's 140 accepted penalties are 17 more than the next-closest team, and its 1,242 accepted penalty yards exceed runner-up Houston's total by a whopping 225 yards. It's no surprise, then that the Seahawks also rank at the bottom of the league ledger in penalty differential (minus-42) and penalty-yard margin (minus-389).
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