Wednesday 1-10-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Teddy Covers

Jan 10 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Thunder vs Wolves
Play on: Thunder +4½ -110 at BMaker

Take Oklahoma City (#717)
Minnesota has cashed winning bets for their backers in only seven of their first 20 home games. It’s been even worse lately – four of those seven ATS covers came before November 15th! In games that are expected to be tight, with a pointspread between +4.5 and -4.5, the T-wolves are a 40% ATS proposition; not exactly ‘bet-on’ material.
And Minnesota isn’t beating good teams these days. Their last six wins: the Lakers twice, Indiana during their no-Oladipo tank, the Suns, the .500 Pelicans and a non-cover in an OT win vs. Denver. Before that, it was Sacramento, Dallas, the Clippers without Blake Griffin twice, the Suns again and a one point win (non-cover) against the Blazers. Even with all of their struggles, OKC is better than each and every one of the last 11 teams Minnesota has beaten.
Everyone seems convinced that the sky is falling in OKC because the Thunder just lost back-2-back home games against Phoenix and Portland; and Russell Westbrook left the arena before speaking with reporters after last night’s loss to the Damian Lillard-less Blazers. Don’t be fooled by the mainstream hype – remember, sports reporters need stories every single day. OKC has been an underdog on three previous occasions this season. They are 3-0 SU in those games, an emerging trend worth riding tonight. Take the Thunder.

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Mike Lundin

Jan 10 '18, 7:35 PM in 2h
NBA | Bulls vs Knicks
Play on: Knicks -4 -115 at BMaker

#NBA FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The New York Knicks are coming off a 100-96 triumph over the Mavericks at Dallas on Sunday. They've had two days of rest since and I think they'll come into this matchup with the Chicago Bulls with a lot of energy. Note that the Knickerbockers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400 and Chicago is only 5-16 SU on the road this season.
The Bulls closed out January on fire, but they've dropped five of six here in 2018 and allowed 119.2 ppg during that stretch. Here they'll face a Knicks side looking to avenge a pair of losses at Chicago last month and my money is on the home team to get its revenge as the Bulls are 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings at Madison Square Garden.
My free pick is on New York Knicks.

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Pro Computer Gambler

Jan 10 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Mavs vs Hornets
Play on: Hornets -7 -106 at 5Dimes

NBA SYSTEM OF THE DAY: In database history (since 1995), the road team averaging 102+ppg off of 2+ straight games scoring 100 points or more has gone 149-99-7 60.1% ATS against a team off a win averaging 102+ ppg allowed. Take the Thunder

KEY ACTIVE SYSTEM: In database history, road favorites, excluding sub .320 and plus .780 team record extremes, are 560-469-18 ATS (54.4%) after a game where they failed to cover the spread, now against a team that covered the spread in their last game.

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ASA

Jan 10 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Wisc-Milwaukee vs IUPU-Indianapolis
Play on: IUPU-Indianapolis +2 -105 at 5Dimes



ASA PLAY ON IUPUI +2 over UW Milwaukee, Wednesday at 7:00 PM ET
IUPUI’s overall numbers are ugly, but this team isn’t as bad as their 4-11 record may indicate. First of all, they’ve played 10 of their 15 games this year away from home. They’ve also played the toughest schedule in the entire Horizon League this year (71st rated SOS nationally). After a long road trip the Panthers finally returned home last Thursday night to take on Illinois Chicago. IUPUI was favored by 3 in that game vs a team that is very similar in our overall ratings to tonight’s opponent Milwaukee. Yet now they are a 2 point dog just 7 days later. That’s in part because IUPUI blew a 13 point lead and lost that game to the Flames 70-65. However, they had finished their road trip just 2 nights earlier in Green Bay so while they were home, the Panthers were not rested and ready for that game which is why they blew their double digit lead. Now they’ve had a full week off to recuperate and we see a very solid performance for them at home tonight. Milwaukee is playing their 3rd road game in 7 days here. They began the road trip @ Youngstown losing by 9 to the lowest rated team in the Horizon. The Panthers then struggled with the 2nd lowest rated team in the league, Cleveland State on Saturday but picked up a tight 4 point win. Here they are set up for a letdown vs a hungry and rested team. This is also a brand new venue for UWM as none of the players on this team have ever played at Indiana Farmer’s Coliseum as IUPUI is new to the Horizon League this season. Milwaukee has the better overall record at 9-8 but they’ve faced a much easier schedule which rates 301st nationally. We think this one sets up for an IUPUI upset.

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Tony Karpinski

Jan 10 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Duke vs Pittsburgh
Play on: Duke -20 -105 at 5Dimes

Pitt is projected to start an all-freshman lineup tonight so look for DUKE to open up a can of whoop ass. Pitt will not be able to contain Duke’s athleticism and outside shooting tonight. Yeah- the Blue Devils, who start four freshmen of their own have a ton of more talent. This one gets ugly early and DUKE WINS by 33

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Bobby Wing

Jan 10 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Rutgers vs Michigan State
Play on: OVER 135 -118

1 Unit Free Pick: Rutgers vs Michigan State over 135 -118