Friday 2-23-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Scott Rickenbach

Feb 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NHL | Jets vs Blues
Play on: Jets +117 at 5Dimes

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Game #5 Friday Free Pick Winnipeg Jets Money Line (+) @ St Louis Blues @ 8:05 ET - The Jets are off of a home loss to Los Angeles but had previously won 3 straight. The Blues are off of a home loss to the Sharks and this was their 4th straight loss. St Louis continues to struggle to score goals. The loss to San Jose marked the 6th time in 9 February games that the Blues have been held to just 2 goals or less. There have been no such troubles for the Jets who scored 3 goals in the loss to the Kings and had won 9 of their 13 prior games. The key for Winnipeg has been offensive production that has resulted in the Jets scoring 3 goals or more in 9 of their last 12 games! The Blues simply won't be able to keep up here and St Louis is poised to drop their 5th straight game. The Jets have enjoyed plenty of recent success in St Louis and that continues here at an underdog price. The odds makers were smart in making the Blues such a small home favorite here. The Jets do it AGAIN in St Louis! Free Pick WINNIPEG

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Mike Williams

Feb 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Hornets vs Wizards
Play on: Hornets +3½ -103 at 5Dimes

1* on Hornets +3½ -103

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Doc's Sports

Feb 23 '18, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Ohio State vs Indiana
Play on: Indiana +2 -115 at MyBookie

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #836 Indiana over Ohio State (8p.m., Friday February 23 FS1) The Buckeyes have been playing over the heads for most of the Big 10 season, but the fact remains they are thin on talent and this is a rebuilding year for them under a new coach. They will struggle to win road games as the regular season concludes this weekend. The Hoosiers have quietly had a winning record in Big 10 play and they are always a tough out when playing at Assembly Hall. Grab the points in this game with the home team. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring NBA, CBB, and NHL selections. Sign-up now and let 46 years of handicapping experience work for you.

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Marc Lawrence

Feb 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Celtics vs Pistons
Play on: Pistons +1 -105 at pinnacle

Play - Detroit Pistons (Game 802).
Edges - Pistons: 11-1 ATS L12 games versus .650 or greater foes… Celtics: 0-5 ATS with five or more days of rest… With Boston just 6-9 SU and 6-8-1 ATS in its last 15 games prior to the All Star break, we recommend a 1* play on the Detroit Pistons. Thank you and good lucks as always.

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Dave Price

Feb 23 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NBA | Bucks vs Raptors
Play on: Bucks +7½ -109 at 5Dimes

Dave’s Friday Free Play:
1* on Milwaukee Bucks +7.5
The Key: The Toronto Raptors are in first place in the Eastern Conference thanks to their 7-game winning streak heading into the All-Star Break. I wouldn’t be surprised to se them relax a little here in their first few games out of the break. Now they are laying 7.5 points to a very good Milwaukee Bucks team that is playing too well to be catching this many points. The Bucks are 9-3 straight up in their last 12 games overall. The Raptors are 39-64 ATS in their last 103 games following 4 or more consecutive wins. The Bucks are 43-25 ATS in their last 68 road games after scoring 115 points or more. Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than 60%. Bets against home favorites that beat the spread by 54 or more points in their last 10 games against opponent that went under the total by 48 or more points in their last 10 games are 41-12 ATS over the last 5 seasons. Take Milwaukee.

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Alex Smart

Feb 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Wolves vs Rockets
Play on: Wolves +8½ -110 at BMaker

Houston is a explosive team, but Minnesota have been up trending in my power rankings charts all season long , and are more than capable of being competitive in their current form. You have to remember, that Houston has been sub par from a betting perspective at home this season, covering just 11 of 29 games, and have failed to cover 5 of their L/6 at home here in the Toyota Center. I know that The Wolves got clobbered 116-98 by the mighty Rockets earlier this season, but now in payback mode, I'm betting on the young men form the Land of Lakes, to cover this number tonight, and make the Rockets work very hard for a win. Note: Houston is 5-0 SU L/5 at home in this series but only covered 1 of those games, which was the last time they played here back on Feb 13th.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Feb 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Hornets vs Wizards
Play on: Wizards -3½ -107 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Washington Wizards -3.5
The Wizards are actually playing better without John Wall. They are sharing the ball more and playing team basketball, and they are coming off an impressive 110-103 upset win in Cleveland last night. Now they are 8-2 SU & 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They host the Hornets, who are just 9-18 on the road this season and have been a big disappointment all year. The home team is 10-1 straight up in the last 11 meetings. The home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. The Hornets are 0-4 ATS in their last four visits to Washington. Charlotte is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games. Give me the Wizards.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan

Feb 23 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Dartmouth vs Pennsylvania
Play on: Dartmouth +11 -104 at betonline

The Play and How to Play it:
The Play: Dartmouth (829)
The Matchup: DARTMOUTH (6 - 17) at PENNSYLVANIA (19 - 7)
Start Time: Friday, 2/23/2018 7:00 PM
SIM grading: 4 stars on a 3 to 10-star grading scale.
Recommended Strategy: Place a 4-star wager on Dartmouth using the line. The current line shows Dartmouth installed as an 11-point road dog.
An alternative wager is to place a 3-star amount on the line and then add a 1-star amount using the money line. The money line is trading at about 450, which is paying back $450 for every $100 wagered should Dartmouth win the game straight-up. Of course, not all of these types of dogs will win SU, but over the course of the season, there will be enough of them where this type of combination wager adds a significant amount to your total profit over the course of a season.
Game Intelligence Analytics
Play on road underdogs of 10 or more points (DARTMOUTH).
Revenging a close loss to rival opponent of 3 points or less.
And with that rival opponent off 2 straight wins against conference rivals.
39-16 over the last 5 seasons for 70.9%, $2140.00 per $100 wagered.
SIM Matching Game Situations
Dartmouth
50-29 ATS (+18.1 Units) in road games when they make 40% to 46% of their shots in a game.
11-5 ATS when on the road and making 45% or more of their shots since 2013.
Methodologies and Subscriptions
If you are new to our service and wager methodologies, we have developed several analytical tools using machine learning techniques - some of which have been around since the 1950's. Also, have deployed AI analytics, and combinatorial algorithms that have provided significant value and have augmented total rate of returns in all sports.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Teddy Covers

Feb 23 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Hornets vs Wizards
Play on: Wizards -3½ -107 at pinnacle

Take Washington (#806)
Teddy went into the NBA All Star Break red hot and he came out of the All Star Break winning two out of three last night, now cashing his NBA at an 83% clip since February 12th! Expect more winning results tonight with Teddy's Tremendous Trifecta; a pair of NBA winners as well as Ohio State - Indiana in college hoops! Get onboard!
There’s a lot to like about the Washington Wizards right now. The markets devalued the Wizards immediately after star point guard John Wall got hurt. Since Wall’s injury, Tomas Satoransky and Tim Frazier have gotten the job done at the point in his absence; a duo that combined for 19 points, eight rebounds and 10 assists without a single turnover in the Wizards outright upset victory at Cleveland last night.
Wins and covers have been the norm, not the exception for Scott Brooks squad of late. They’ve gone 8-2 SU, 8-2 ATS since Wall’s injury. And both losses deserve an asterisk – they lost in OT against the top notch Celtics and on the second night of back-2-backs at surging Philly. Last night’s win at Cleveland was just one outright upset during this span. They also beat Toronto and OKC as home dogs during this recent span of excellence.
The advanced metric numbers show that Washington’s current surge is no accident. Both their offensive and defensive stats have improved since Wall’s injury; most notably with the Wizards offense averaging more than four points per 100 possessions MORE than they did with Wall in the lineup. The markets have devalued Washington just as they’ve surged!
All Star Bradley Beal, prior to last night’s win at Cleveland: "We take advantage of (the All-Star break) because we got a lot of guys banged up. We still got John out. ….I think (the break) came at a good time, although we were definitely on a nice, little run. We finished off well, going into All-Star (weekend), and we've got to pick it up right where we left off."
Charlotte has struggled on the second night of back-2-backs all year: 3-7 SU, 3-7 ATS. Their last win in this role came before Christmas, and they’ve lost by double digits on the second of back-2-backs three times in their last four tries. Coming off a game against Brooklyn last night where shots were falling – the Hornets hit 52% from three point range on their way to hanging 111 on the Nets – it’s easy to picture a scenario tonight in which the Hornets don’t hit so many contested shots. Undervalued commodity in Washington right now….. Take the Wizards.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Bobby Conn

Feb 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Wolves vs Rockets
Play on: OVER 225 -105

1* Free Play on Wolves/Rockets over 225 -105

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Pro Computer Gambler

Feb 23 '18, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Blazers vs Jazz
Play on: Jazz -4½ -108 at pinnacle

KEY FREE NBA BETTING SYSTEM: In database history, plus .500 dogs are just 821-910-31 ATS against .500 teams when the total is set between 195 and 210. Fade the Blazers today!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer

Feb 23 '18, 10:35 PM in 4h
NBA | Mavs vs Lakers
Play on: OVER 223½ -110

I'm recommending a play on the Over between the Mavericks & Lakers on Friday night. As we noted last night, games involving two losing teams have meant less intensity on the defensive end when coming right out of the all-star break. Some aren't quite set to get back into the swing of things and if they've nothing much to play for, the lack of defensive intensity can be magnified. We expect that to be the case when Dallas meets Los Angeles. The Lakers allow 110 points per game and gave up 119, 139, and 130 points in their final three games before the break. Dallas has allowed their hosts to make 49.1 percent of their shots on the season and they've given up more than 113 points per game in their last five contests. The Mavs have played to the Over 20 of the last 28 games following a break of at least three days, while the Lakers are 33-16-2 to the Over in the same situation. I'm recommending the Over between the Mavericks & Lakers on Friday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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Doug Upstone

Feb 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NHL | Jets vs Blues
Play on: UNDER 5½ -110

On Friday night, Play Under on road teams like Winnipeg when the total is 5.5, who are outscoring their opponents by 0.5+ goals a game in the 2nd half of the season, after allowing two goals or more in the third period last game. In the past five years, these teams are 39-13 UNDER.

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Dustin Hawkins

Feb 23 '18, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Blazers vs Jazz
Play on: Jazz -4½ -105 at pinnacle

Free Play on Jazz -4½ -105

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Feb 23 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NBA | Heat vs Pelicans
Play on: UNDER 214½ +103

Seeing a total this high on a Miami Heat game is a new experience. Only once since Dec. 6 have the Heat had a higher total. Of course the key question is this over/under number justified being this high for a Miami game? I say no fully realizing the Pelicans are the fourth-highest scoring team in the NBA and second-worst defensive club. They have been playing at the fastest tempo, too, of any team during the last five games before the All-Star break. Despite this, I'm expecting a much lower-scoring game than the oddsmaker anticipates. Both teams figure to be rusty and defensive-minded following a nine-day break. The Heat are nearly the opposite of New Orleans ranking third in fewest points per game giving up 101.4 and 28th in scoring averaging 100.5. Miami is in stop-the-pain mode having lost seven of its last eight games, including five in a row on the road. Miami is well-coached. The Heat aren't going to get caught up in a fast tempo game with the Pelicans. It's not a fluke that 13 of their last 18 games versus Western Conference opponents has gone Under. Hassan Whiteside may be the best rim protector in the Eastern Conference. The Pelicans aren't going to get easy baskets inside. I'm expecting the Pelicans' scoring to go down and their defense to be improved with the addition of defensive-minded center Emeka Okafor and the season-ending injury to DeMarcus Cousins. No Cousins also means less technical foul shots for the opposition. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is one of the top NBA 'cappers in the country and is a blazing 13-5 on his last 18 premium/free plays. Stephen loves today's NBA card, which is headed by his Western Conference Game of the Month.)