March Madness Betting Info

[New York Knight]

Bookmaker ...


Great 8 Bet %'s

Texas Tech vs. Villanova

Nova -6.5 (67%)
Nova -321 (67%)
Over 144.5 (82%)


Duke vs. Kansas

Duke -3 (60%)
KU +144 (52%)
Under 156 (55%)

[New York Knight]

Jeff Stoneback, director of trading for MGM Resorts sportsbooks in Vegas ...



“We need Texas Tech for a little, but nothing significant,”

“We opened Villanova -6.5, and we haven’t moved off 6.5 at all. Ticket count is 3/2 on Villanova, money is 3/1, but not significant at all. It’s pretty quiet.”


Duke-Kansas ...

“This is a bigger decision, not huge, but moderate at this point,” Stoneback said. “Ticket count is almost equal. We’ve got seven more tickets on Duke, but quite a bit more money on Kansas – 5/1 on pointspread money. And there are significant parlays on Kansas, as well. But neither decision today is really big for us.”

Stoneback noted he expects the Duke-Kansas game to see a lot more handle as the day progresses, once the Saturday night Vegas revelers roll out of bed and get to the book or hit their mobile apps.

“We’ll have much more significant action on Duke-Kansas,” he said, adding that activity on both of today’s games has been mostly public, with little sharp play at all to this point.

[New York Knight]

Nova -6.5

They have won by more than 6 in 18 of their last 20 wins

[New York Knight]

The Greek Sportsbook ...

Sharp Action

Duke / Kansas over

[New York Knight]

The Action Network ...

About an hour away from tip-off


64% of bettors are taking Nova (-6.5)

76% of bettors are taking the over (146)

[New York Knight]

Vegas Books Top Public %'s


Villanova -6 (61%)
Duke -3.5 (57%)


13-18-1 Last 7 Days

[New York Knight]

Market Update ...


TIX-COUNT = Villanova 3 to 1 ... OVER 3 to 1

$$$-BET = Villanova 2 to 1 ... OVER 5 to 1


Much of the EXPOSURE (FAV) Tied Into Exotics

Villanova ML Parlays LIVE (Sat) and Pending

[New York Knight]

CG Technology ...


"Fans backing 'Nova, even laying -300 or worse to take Wildcats on moneyline.

In second game ... public on Duke, 4X more money on Blue Devils as of now."

[New York Knight]

Pinnacle


Spread

Texas Tech (+6.5) 35%
Villanova (-6.5) 65%


ML

Texas Tech 28%
Villanova 72%


Total (145)

Over 67%
Under 33%

[New York Knight]

BetOnline ...


Public all over Villanova ... just 29% of cash on Texas Tech +6

[New York Knight]

Kansas in the Tournament ...


-5 / Win by 4 vs CLEM
-4.5 / Win by 4 vs SH
-13.5 / Win by 16 vs UPenn


Since 2009, only three tourney teams have had the spread in their Round 64, Round 32 & Sweet 16 games decided by 3 points or fewer:

2018 Kansas
2017 Oregon
2014 Michigan State

[New York Knight]

Market Update ... KANSAS vs DUKE


TIX-COUNT = SIDE : EVEN ... OVER 2 to 1

$$$-BET = SIDE : EVEN ... OVER 3 to 1


Factor In Vig & So Far VERY Little to NO Risk

HIGH Volume + 2-Way $$$ = Dream Game to Book (If it don't land "3")

[New York Knight]

Bovada ...


Moneyline

41% on Duke
59% on Kansas


40.8% on Duke (-3.5)
59.2% on Kansas (+3.5)


Total (157)

44% on the Over
56% on the Under

[New York Knight]

MGM Race And Sports ...


Only bad outcome for the book is an outright Kansas victory.

"A Duke win would be great, a win and cover even better."

[New York Knight]

BetOnline ...


Duke / Kansas getting more action than any CBB since last year's championship game.

55% of cash on Duke ... Nothing sharp.