Wednesday 3-21-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Tournament opening weekend betting recap: Sorting out the madness
Ashton Grewal

Phew… what an opening weekend in the NCAA Tournament. Underdogs went 1-7 against the spread on Sunday with some big-name programs bowing out early and that wasn’t even the biggest story of the opening weekend.

For the first time ever a No. 16 upset a No. 1 and four days into the Big Dance two one-seeds, two two-seeds and two three-seeds all had their seasons ended. Virginia, North Carolina and Michigan State, all among the top favorites to win the national championship last week, are gone and so are other higher-seeded teams like Xavier, Cincinnati and Tennessee.

Here are the biggest betting takeaways from the play-in games and the opening rounds of the tournament:

Big upsets, big moneyline payouts:

Only two double-digit seeds advanced to the Sweet 16 but there were plenty of large, outright upsets in the Rounds of 64 and 32. The biggest, of course, was UMBC beating top overall seed Virginia by 20 points as a 20.5-point underdog. Many sportsbooks didn't offer moneyline odds on this game but those that did had the Retrievers at +2000. That means a $100 bet on UMBC would have paid $2100.

The Retrievers weren’t the only dogs paying at the betting window for bettors. Marshall won outright as a 13.5-point pup against Wichita State and sportbooks offered +858 pregame odds on the Conference USA champions to win.

A few others of note: Syracuse paid +512 in its upset over MSU, Nevada’s incredible comeback against Cincinnati equaled a +454 win for moneyline bettors (+2200 at their deepest deficit in-game) and Buffalo cashed at +445 in its Round of 64 upset over Arizona.

Under trend:

The Under went 31-21 (including the play-in games) with some ugly, low-scoring games. Loyola-Chicago, Syracuse, Michigan and Kansas State were the worst offenders; the Under went a combined 9-0 in their games.

Favorites not doing as bad as you’d think:

It’s been no cakewalk for chalk teams in the tournament but favorites haven’t been getting murdered against the number. In a weekend filled with upsets, the betting faves went 22-24-1 against the spread. The number excludes the Texas-Nevada game which closed as a pick ‘em.

Higher seeded teams went 13-3 straight up on Thursday and finished the first four days of March Madness with 33-15 outright record.

Bad Beats

There was bound to be plenty of bad beats with 48 college basketball games jammed crammed into a four-day window. Here’s a brief recap of some of the worst ones.

Kansas -4.5 vs. Seton Hall

Devonte’ Graham sinks two free throws to put the Jayhawks up 83-76 with only five seconds left. The Pirates have no chance to win the game trailing by seven points but Myles Powell heaves and hits a contested 3-pointer at the buzzer. Final score: Kansas 83, Seton Hall 79. An undeserved loss for Kansas backers like these people:

Kentucky -5.5 vs. Davidson

This game closed with Big Blue Nation favored by 4.5 but there were plenty of unfortunate souls who got John Calipari’s team at -5.5 or -5. UK led by 10 points with 23 seconds left but Davidson ended up covering thanks to a bunch of last-second craziness – which included a made 3-pointer with 0.6 seconds left to make the final score 78-73.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Tournament's biggest betting mismatches: Sweet 16
Monty Andrews

After an absolutely wild March Madness opening weekend we are down to the Sweet 16. Monty Andrews is here to break down some of the underlying betting mismatches for the regional semifinals of the NCAA Tournament, giving you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule.

South Region

Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (11) vs. Nevada Wolf Pack (7) (-2, 143.5)

Loyola-Chicago's turnover troubles vs. Nevada's sensational TO ratio

The NCAA Tournament's South Region is an absolute mess to bracket-busted casual fans and favorite bettors - and a sight to behold for those who took shots on some underdogs. Two of the tournament more intriguing teams face off Thursday night as the Loyola-Chicago Ramblers tangle with the Nevada Wolfpack; the winner advances to the Elite Eight this weekend, and if it comes down to turnover play, the Ramblers are in serious danger of seeing their Cinderella story come to an end.

On the surface, you might not think the Ramblers have a turnover problem; after all, they finished the regular season with a plus-0.9 average turnover margin and were sensational in their tournament-opening victory over the Miami Hurricanes, finishing with a 16-10 advantage in forced turnovers. But Loyola-Chicago's 12.2 turnovers per game during the season came despite the team playing a slow, deliberate pace on offense - and it actually committed a turnover on 17.1 percent of plays, ranking 257th out of 351 teams.

Contrast that to the Wolf Pack, who took care of the ball like no other team in all of Division I. Nevada ranked fourth in the nation in fewest turnovers per game (9.6) and led the country in lowest turnover rate (11.9 percent). And the Wolf Pack have been even more meticulous with the basketball during March Madness, committing just nine turnovers through their first two games - including a scant two in their upset win over Cincinnati. All those extra possessions could mean big things for Nevada come Thursday.

West Region

Texas A&M Aggies (7) vs. Michigan Wolverines (3) (-3, 134)

Texas A&M's 3-point problems vs. Michigan's stifling long-range D

There have been plenty of incredible performances against high seeds already in March Madness - and Texas A&M is on that list as the Aggies prepare for their Sweet 16 encounter with the Michigan Wolverines. After squeaking past Providence in Round 1, the Aggies put together their best showing of the season in a 21-point blowout win over North Carolina. But getting past the Wolverines and into the Elite Eight will require a much better showing from deep than they mustered in the regular season.

Texas A&M struggled from 3-point range during the year, shooting just 33.2 percent - ranking 269th out of 351 Division I schools in that category. And while the Aggies shot a blistering 41.7 percent from deep in their stunning victory over the Tar Heels, that showing came against a North Carolina team that ranks in the bottom 50 nationally in 3-point defense. This is not a good long-range shooting team - and in a game that is expected to be close, that deficiency could come back to haunt Texas A&M.

The Wolverines will do their best to make sure the Aggies don't repeat the long-range shooting success they had against North Carolina - and Michigan is well-equipped to do the job. The West Region's No. 3 seed limited opponents to just 5.5 made 3-pointers on 16.2 attempts per game - both ranking as the seventh-lowest marks in the country; the Wolverines also hold foes to a 34 percent success rate. If the Aggies do advance to the weekend, it probably won't be due to a newly-discovered 3-point shooting prowess.

East Region

West Virginia Mountaineers (5) vs. Villanova Wildcats (1) (-5, 153)

West Virginia's bad behavior vs. Villanova's foul aversion skills

West Virginia has enjoyed back-to-back laughers against low seeds - but things are about to get a whole lot more difficult for the No. 5 Mountaineers as they brace for an East Region third-round encounter with top-seeded Villanova. West Virginia defeated No. 12 Murray State and No. 13 Marshall by a combined 40 points, but will need to be on its best behaviour - literally - against a Wildcats team that can score at will at one end of the floor and doesn't give up many free-throw chances at the other.

Despite rolling past the Racers 85-68 and trouncing the Thundering Herd 94-71, West Virginia wasn't able to mask its deficiencies in the foul department. The Mountaineers committed 39 combined fouls in the two games, leading to 44 total free throws against - a sky-high number for a team that controlled both games. But that's common for a West Virginia team that ranked in the bottom 50 in free-throw makes and attempts against while averaging a whopping 21.4 fouls during the season, 13th-most in the nation.

That kind of infraction-happy defensive play just won't fly against the Wildcats, who have proven they can dominate without having to worry about being in foul trouble. Villanova ranked 44th in free-throw makes allowed (11.7) and 23rd in attempts surrendered (15.6), and their 16.0 personal fouls per game placed them in a tie for 36th in the country. That 5.4 fouls-per-game difference is significant no matter the opponent - but when it's Villanova with the edge, West Virginia could be in serious trouble Friday.

Midwest Region

Syracuse Orange (11) vs. Duke Blue Devils (2) (-11.5, 133)

Orange's dismal pass defense vs. Blue Devils' awesome ball distribution

Syracuse has the distinction of being one of only four double-digit seeds in the history of the NCAA Tournament to reach the Final Four - and the No. 11 Orange would love nothing more than to repeat the feat as they tangle with the No. 2 Duke Blue Devils in third-round action Friday night. But it won't be an easy task for Syracuse, which comes in as a double-digit underdog that has already lost to Duke by 16 points this season - and it could have a major problem trying to slow down Duke's assist-heavy attack.

Good passing teams had a field day against Syracuse this past season; the Orange allowed opponents to average 16.1 assists per contest - good for 330th in the country - while the 0.761 assists per made field goal they surrendered ranked dead last in the country. Duke exposed Syracuse's shoddy pass defense in their Atlantic Coast Conference regular-season encounter back on Feb. 24, when the Blue Devils racked up 16 assists on just 22 made field goals en route to a 60-44 drubbing.

The Blue Devils' offense is dangerous in many areas, but passing efficiency is certainly near the top of that list. Duke averaged 17.8 assists per game during the season - tied for sixth-most in the country - while ranking 48th in assists per made field goal (0.58); that number has climbed to 0.68 through Duke's first two games of March Madness. If the Orange can't find a way to disrupt the passing lines, they might once again end up on the wrong end of a rout at the hands of the Blue Devils.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Florida State's pressure is a big problem for Gonzaga in Sweet 16
Jason Logan

Some may blame it on rust or opening-night jitters, but the No. 4 Gonzaga Bulldogs are lucky to be in the Sweet 16 after a 68-64 win over No. 13 NC-Greensboro as 13-point favorites in the Round of 64 last Thursday. That slim four-point victory may have set the blueprint for how to beat the Bulldogs, as they get ready to face No. 9 Florida State in the West Regional semifinals.

Gonzaga, which had a week off between winning the WCC tournament title and its NCAA opener, was thrown for a loop against the Spartans. NC-Greensboro battled the Bulldogs hard on both ends of the floor, but it was their full-court pressure defense that had the biggest effect on the Zags. And it’s the same style of defense the Seminoles will throw at Gonzaga in the Sweet 16, with oddsmakers pegging FSU as a 5.5-point underdog.

The Bulldogs, who had an easier time with Ohio State in the Round of 32, were constantly hounded by the Spartans’ pressure, with NC-Greensboro not necessarily looking to cause turnovers with the press but simply slow down the Zags' ball handlers and force them to chew up the shot clock before getting into their half-court offense.

It worked, with Gonzaga firing just 42 percent from the field, including 21.7 percent from 3-point range. The Bulldogs were forced into poor shot choices as the shot clock dwindled and that allowed NC-Greensboro to rebound and attack in transition, with the Spartans getting plenty of points at the rim and nearly pulling off the upset as +700 moneyline pups.

The Seminoles defense was the catalyst behind one of the biggest upsets of the tournament. After Florida State dropped Missouri in the Round of 64, it found itself down 12 points in the second half to No. 1 seed Xavier, but turned up the intensity on defense, forcing some bad turnovers from the Musketeers late in the game and punched its ticket to the Sweet 16 with a 75-70 win as a 5.5-point underdog.

“I tell you, the reason that we’re not moving on was turnovers on our part caused by a tremendous amount of pressure from Florida State,” Xavier head coach Chris Mack told reporters after the game.

The Noles forced 18 Xavier turnovers in that second-round tilt and squeezed 15 turnovers out of Missouri in the opening tournament game. On the season, Florida State averages 14.3 forced turnovers an outing – ranked 62nd in the country.

Fueling the FSU pressure is a long bench for head coach Leonard Hamilton. He went six deep into his backups against Xavier, getting a combined 111 minutes of work from those reserves. That bench depth allows the Seminoles to matchup full court and keep the pressure on opponents, without the fear of running their tank dry or letting up on the offensive end.

Florida State, coming out of the ACC, is no stranger to quality competition. It earned an at-large bid to the Big Dance thanks to wins over tournament teams Florida, North Carolina, Clemson, Syracuse, Miami, and Virginia Tech, and covered as an 11.5-point underdog at Cameron Indoor, falling to Duke 100-93 back in late December.

Gonzaga, for the most part, takes care of the basketball and averages just 11.3 turnovers per game on the season. In the NCAA tournament so far, the Zags posted 10 turnovers versus NC-Greensboro and 13 against Ohio State. However, in the Bulldogs’ three non-conference losses (they only lost four games all year), turnovers were a major issue.

Gonzaga had 14 turnovers in a loss to Florida (which lost to FSU) in the Phil Knight Invitational in November, coughed the ball up 19 times in a defeat to Villanova in the Jimmy V Classic in New York, and gave the ball up 16 times in the loss to San Diego State in late December. All three games resulted in ATS losses for Bulldogs backers. The spread for Thursday's game opened as high as Gonzaga -6.5 but early money on the Seminoles has trimmed an entire point off the board.

The total for Thursday’s Sweet 16 showdown between Gonzaga and Florida is set at 153.5 points, after opening at 154. Tipoff is set for 10:05 p.m. ET at the Staples Center in Los Angeles.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Minus Haas, one-dimensional Boilermakers could burn bettors vs. Texas Tech
Andrew Caley

Barring the Purdue engineering department building Isaac Haas a bionic arm in the next two days, it sounds like the school's star big man will miss Friday’s Sweet 16 matchup against Texas Tech (+1.5) with a fractured elbow and that could spell trouble for Boilermakers backers.

Purdue managed to gut out a 76-73 win over the bruising Butler Bulldogs in the Round of 32, coming up short as a 4-point favorite. It was the first game the Boilermakers played without Haas during his entire four-year college career and despite the win, his absence was felt from the boxscore to the betting window.

First, the Boilermakers failed to cover the spread again. They're just 2-12-1 against the spread in their previous 15 games and the two games they did cover were expected to be blowouts, cashing as -18.5 and 20-point faves. Oddsmakers consider Haas’ loss to be fairly significant, placing his value to Purdue's spread anywhere between two and 3.5 points.

Haas’ impact, or lack thereof, is just as noticeable on the court. Purdue was not a great rebounding team with its 7-foot-2 center in the lineup, pulling down just 35.1 per contest - ranked 187th In the country. Against Butler, it pulled down just 30 boards (Haas averages 5.7 rebounds per game).

With Haas out of the lineup, Purdue had to rely on what it does best: shooting the 3-ball. The Boilermakers rank second in the nation in 3-point percentage, hitting 42.1 percent on the season, taking nearly 23 attempts from beyond the arc per game. Purdue shot 24 3-pointers against Butler, hitting 11 (45.8), which seems normal on the surface.

However, Purdue’s best player and leading scorer, Carsen Edwards seemed to struggle without his big man. The sophomore guard went just 3 for 10 from deep against a Bulldogs team that was pretty abysmal at defending the 3-ball, allowing opponents to shoot almost 38 percent from beyond the arc.

Enter the Texas Tech Red Raiders. The Red Raiders' entire game plan revolves around making life miserable for opposing offenses. They rank 15th in both points allowed per game (64.6) and opponents field goal percentage (40.3) and limit opposing teams to just 32.7 percent from 3-point range. In the tournament, they've allowed opponents to shoot just 39 percent from the field and 31.5 percent from deep. Texas Tech will be licking its chops facing a one-dimensional Purdue team.

Throw in the fact the Red Raiders have not only the best point guard you’ve never heard of in Keenen Evans, but arguably the best point guard left in the tournament. When Texas Tech was struggling late in the season, Evens was dealing with a turf toe injury and missed four games. Texas Tech lost and failed to cover in all four games without Evans.

He looks healthy and is carrying this Red Raiders team once more. Evans is averaging 22.5 points per game in the tourney on 58.3 percent shooting and can be a difference-make in this matchup.

Purdue is currently a 1.5-point favorite in this Sweet 16 matchup, which is scheduled to tipoff at 9:57 p.m. ET at TD Garden in Boston.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Michigan's Wagner will make or break your Wolverines wagers vs. Texas A&M in Sweet 16
Jason Logan

The Michigan Wolverines’ greatest strength has possibly been their biggest weakness in the NCAA tournament. Versatile big man Moritz Wagner, who led the team in scoring with 14.2 points per game this season, has been invisible at times during the Big Dance. As invisible as a 6-foot-11 center can be.

Wagner, who has scored a total of just 17 points in the Wolverines’ first two NCAA games, is the key to neutralizing a big and physical Texas A&M squad in the Sweet 16. His ability to step beyond the foul line and draw bigger defenders away from the bucket will help Michigan open up the paint against one of the stingiest interior defenses left in the tournament.

That sounds simple enough. But as most basketball bettors know, nothing is simple during March Madness. Wagner’s quality of play has declined as the Wolverines’ overall success has skyrocketed. Michigan has won 11 straight games going into Thursday’s showdown in Los Angeles, covering the spread in nine of those contests.

All the while, Wagner’s minutes have decreased (24.8 mins per postseason game), along with it his production. It seems his only stat on the rise is fouls, for which he’s been whistled for 43 times during that winning streak – an average of 3.9 personal fouls per game.

That’s a rotten way to be trending when coming up against an Aggies team that thrives on physicality and has drawn 43 total fouls in tournament wins over Providence and North Carolina. The Wolverines as a squad, do a good job avoiding foul trouble - 15.8 personal fouls per game – but got whistled 22 times in the nail-biting win over Houston in the Round of 32, with the Cougars picking up 16-of-22 free throws.

“Obviously foul trouble is a pain in the butt,” Wagner told The Detroit News. “I think we just got to get better as unit. We had trouble (against Houston), all of us. We take ourselves out of rhythm offensively as well as defensively and put them on the line. We got to stop that stuff. You got to adjust to that."

Wagner isn’t alone in the paint for the Wolverines, who also boast 6-foot-10 bodies in Jon Teske and Austin Davis. But it is the German junior’s touch from mid-range and beyond the arc that could give Texas A&M a tough time.

Wagner made 56 3-pointers on better than 40 percent shooting from beyond the arc and played some his best games against another beefy interior team that owns the boards: Michigan State. Wagner scored 15 points – despite poor shooting – and grabbed eight rebounds in the win over MSU in the Big Ten tournament, and dropped 27 points (including three 3-pointers) on the Spartans in East Lansing in mid-January. The Wolverines won and covered in both of those rivalry meetings.

Michigan did face another top-rebounding team – actually the top rebounding team – in North Carolina, which Texas A&M stomped by 21 points in the Round of 32. The Wolverines' game with the Tar Heels came way back in November, with UM losing the battle of the boards (34-27) and on the scoreboard, 86-71 as a 9-point dog in Chapel Hill. Wagner went 9-for-13 shooting for 20 points and nine rebounds in that game. But a lot has changed with Michigan and Mo Wagner since that loss to UNC.

“My goal is always to bring something to the table even when it doesn’t work offensively. Whether that’s energy, leadership, that’s what you got to do, man. It doesn’t matter how much you score,” Wagner told reporters during this week's preparation for the Sweet 16.

And that could be true Thursday night. Wagner may not need to score a lot of points, but he will need to avoid foul trouble, stay in the game, and hit at least a couple shots from mid-range or longer to stretch this might Texas A&M defense.

The Aggies give up only 40.3 percent shooting from the field – 11th lowest in the country – and checked North Carolina to 33.3 percent in the second-round matchup. They’re ninth in KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency rating (93.4) and were just placed at No. 3 in the NCAA’s new Sweet 16 rankings, with Michigan coming in at No. 12.

The total for Thursday’s Sweet 16 game in L.A. opened at 134 points and has since been bet up 136. The Aggies and Wolverines – two of the top defensive teams among the Field of 68 - are a combined 1-3 Over/Under in the NCAA tournament.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Wednesday, March 21

Cavaliers won eight of last ten games with Toronto; over is 6-2 in last eight. Raptors are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Cleveland. Toronto won 10 of its last 11 games; they covered four of their last six road games. Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Cavaliers won three of their last four games; they split their last four home games. Four of their last five games went over the total.

Grizzlies won their last 10 games with the 76ers; they’re 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Philly. Three of last four series games went over the total. Memphis lost 20 of their last 21 games; they’re 3-6 in last nine games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over the total. 76ers won four of their last five games; they’re 12-3 in last 15 games as a home favorite. Four of their last six games stayed under.

Miami is 6-4 in its last ten games with the Knicks; road team won six of last eight series games. Knicks covered their last four visits to Miami. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games. New York won its last two games after a 9-game skid; they’re 3-7 in last 10 games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games went over. Heat won six of their last nine games; they’re 6-1 in last seven games as home favorites. Six of their last eight games went over.

Nets lost eight of last ten games with Charlotte; under is 3-1 in last four series games. Hornets are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Brooklyn. Charlotte lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 5-3 as road favorites this season. Six of their last seven games went over. Brooklyn won last two games after a 1-7 skid; they’re 0-5 in last five tries as home underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Clippers won seven of last ten games with Milwaukee; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here, four of which went over total. Clippers lost their last four games; they’re 5-7 vs spread if they played night before- they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four road games. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Milwaukee is 4-6 in its last ten games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Bucks’ last five games went over the total.

Nuggets won their last four games with Chicago; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Windy City. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Denver lost three of its last four games; they’re 4-9 vs spread as road favorites this season. Six of their last nine games went over. Chicago lost three of its last four games; they covered their last four tries as home underdogs. Under is 3-2 in their last five home games.

Spurs won eight of last ten games with Washington; last three series games went over the total. Wizards are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to the Alamo. Washington won four of its last six games; they’re 6-2 in last eight games as road underdogs. Five of their last six games went over total. San Antonio won its last four games; they covered last four games as home favorites. Seven of their last eight games stayed under.

Pacers won eight of last ten games with the Pelicans; they covered four of last five visits to Bourbon Street. Eight of last ten series games stayed under. Indiana won seven of its last ten games; they covered four of last five road games. Nine of their last ten games stayed under the total. New Orleans is 3-4 in its last seven games; they covered last three home games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 21

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TORONTO (53 - 18) at CLEVELAND (41 - 29) - 3/21/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 193-241 ATS (-72.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
TORONTO is 40-31 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
CLEVELAND is 23-46 ATS (-27.6 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 10-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 12-6 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (19 - 51) at PHILADELPHIA (39 - 30) - 3/21/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (26 - 45) at MIAMI (38 - 33) - 3/21/2018, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (30 - 41) at BROOKLYN (23 - 48) - 3/21/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 28-39 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
CHARLOTTE is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BROOKLYN is 40-30 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
BROOKLYN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
BROOKLYN is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 7-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 8-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (37 - 33) at MILWAUKEE (37 - 33) - 3/21/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 225-275 ATS (-77.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 217-273 ATS (-83.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 45-71 ATS (-33.1 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 264-321 ATS (-89.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 198-243 ATS (-69.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 2-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (38 - 33) at CHICAGO (24 - 46) - 3/21/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 130-175 ATS (-62.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (40 - 30) at SAN ANTONIO (41 - 30) - 3/21/2018, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1040-910 ATS (+39.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 830-706 ATS (+53.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 531-443 ATS (+43.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 191-147 ATS (+29.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 92-53 ATS (+33.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 347-284 ATS (+34.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 213-163 ATS (+33.7 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 186-141 ATS (+30.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (41 - 30) at NEW ORLEANS (41 - 30) - 3/21/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 40-31 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 68-49 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 21


Toronto @ Cleveland

Game 751-752
March 21, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
121.409
Cleveland
120.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
227 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+1 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Philadelphia

Game 753-754
March 21, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
107.448
Philadelphia
122.538
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 15
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 12
211
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-12 ); Over

New York @ Miami

Game 755-756
March 21, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
113.688
Miami
121.263
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 7 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 10 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+10 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Brooklyn

Game 757-758
March 21, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
109.549
Brooklyn
114.465
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 5
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
Pick
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
Over

LA Clippers @ Milwaukee

Game 759-760
March 21, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
117.213
Milwaukee
124.675
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 7 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 4
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
( -4); Over

Denver @ Chicago

Game 761-762
March 21, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
116.409
Chicago
109.272
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 7
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 9
222
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+9); Under

Washington @ San Antonio

Game 763-764
March 21, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
118.737
San Antonio
125.893
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 7
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 5
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-5); Over

Indiana @ New Orleans

Game 781-782
March 21, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
120.204
New Orleans
121.338
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
221
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
( +1 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Wednesday, March 21

Trend Report

ARIZONA @ BUFFALO
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Arizona
Buffalo is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

MONTREAL @ PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Montreal's last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Montreal's last 7 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Montreal

BOSTON @ ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of St. Louis's last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games at home

ANAHEIM @ CALGARY
Anaheim is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Anaheim's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Calgary's last 13 games when playing at home against Anaheim

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 21


Arizona @ Buffalo

Game 1-2
March 21, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
9.162
Buffalo
10.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(-125); Over

Montreal @ Pittsburgh

Game 3-4
March 21, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
9.518
Pittsburgh
11.016
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-230
6
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-230); Over

Boston @ St. Louis

Game 5-6
March 21, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
11.423
St. Louis
12.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1
3
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-110
5
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-110); Under

Anaheim @ Calgary

Game 7-8
March 21, 2018 @ 9:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Anaheim
10.210
Calgary
11.739
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-115
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-115); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL LONG SHEET

March 21st, 2018

ARIZONA (24-37-0-11, 59 pts.) at BUFFALO (23-37-0-12, 58 pts.) - 3/21/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 24-49 ATS (+91.1 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 28-19 ATS (+49.3 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 233-232 ATS (+469.3 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
ARIZONA is 18-14 ATS (+35.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 23-50 ATS (+73.6 Units) in all games this season.
BUFFALO is 2-13 ATS (+17.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 4-1 (+3.2 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-1-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

MONTREAL (26-35-0-12, 64 pts.) at PITTSBURGH (41-27-0-5, 87 pts.) - 3/21/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-2 (+2.8 Units) against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 5-2-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.1 Units)

BOSTON (45-17-0-9, 99 pts.) at ST LOUIS (39-28-0-5, 83 pts.) - 3/21/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2-0 straight up against ST LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

ANAHEIM (37-24-0-12, 86 pts.) at CALGARY (35-29-0-10, 80 pts.) - 3/21/2018, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ANAHEIM is 7-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in road games after a win by 2 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
ANAHEIM is 550-439 ATS (+38.3 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 247-195 ATS (+35.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 22-13 ATS (+7.9 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
ANAHEIM is 133-129 ATS (+279.6 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game since 1996.
ANAHEIM is 11-2 ATS (+8.7 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games this season.
CALGARY is 5-10 ATS (-9.7 Units) in home games second half of the season this season.
CALGARY is 23-33 ATS (-11.6 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 9-14 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 12-20 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CALGARY is 1-6 ATS (-6.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ANAHEIM is 14-3 (+11.3 Units) against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 14-3-0 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.4 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Lasvegasmoneymachine

NBA WASHINGTON WIZARDS/SAN ANTONIO SPURS o203.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jtg sports nhl buffalo sabres ‑1.5 +255

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monster Sports Picks

NHL ANAHEIM DUCKS +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Team Underground

NHL ANAHEIM DUCKS ‑110