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Thursday 3-22-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Mar 22 '18, 9:35 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Kansas State vs Kentucky
Play on: Kentucky -5 -105 at BetPhoenix
The game is about communication and being comfortable playing together. Kentucky has more than enough, even though they are so young. They bring nice size and relentless attack to the court every game. And their defense has stepped up even more giving the offense many additional opportunities to keep rhythm going and their momentum in tact, even when their offense was seemingly slowed down. Kevin Knox is coming off a poor game vs Buffalo so his gameplay historically shows he will bounce back with a bigtime performance. Teams typically have a problem finding an answer stopping the 6-9 freshman - KSU doesn't have that answer either. This brings about a dilemma for Kansas State that is going to be problemsome. Look for Kentucky to push the pace and pull away in the second half. I say the Wildcats from Kentucky win by 8 or more.
Mar 22 '18, 9:35 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | Kansas State vs Kentucky
Play on: Kansas State +5½ -109 at 5Dimes
Free Pick on Kansas State +
I'm recommending grabbing the points with Kansas State in their Sweet 16 matchup with Kentucky. I think the perception here is that Kansas State doesn't belong, as they caught a huge break with UMBC's upset of No. 1 overall seed Virginia in the opening round. There's no denying that was a big break for K-State, but it doesn't mean they can't hang around and ultimately beat Kentucky.
Kentucky also caught a big break, as Buffalo's first round upset kept them from a showdown with a very good Arizona team in the Round of 32. Kentucky ended up beating the Bulls by 20 (95-75), but that was a much closer game than the final score indicated. Kentucky had just a 5-point lead with a little over 8 minutes to play, before going on a ridiculous 23-8 run to end the game.
Something else I think that's worth bringing up is Kentucky shot 56.3% from the field and were 7 of 15 (47%) from behind the arc. Keep in mind this is a team that failed to make a single 3-pointer in their first round game against Davidson. Diallo and Gilgeous-Alexander combined to go 19 of 24 (79%) from the field, after going a mere 8 for 17 (47%) against Davidson.
Chances are there's going to be some regression offensively for Kentucky, especially given how good K-State is on the defensive side of the ball. After holding a dynamic Creighton offense to just 33.8% shooting in their first game, Kansas State limited UMBC to just 29.8% shooting. While the offense hasn't been anything special, they are expected to get back leading scorer Dean Wade, who has yet to play in the tournament. I think he gives them just enough punch offensively to cover and potentially win this game.Take Kansas State!
Mar 22 '18, 10:05 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Florida State vs Gonzaga
Play on: Gonzaga -6 -106 at pinnacle
Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Gonzaga -6
The Gonzaga Bulldogs got the advantage of an extra day of rest playing on Saturday compared to Florida State, which played on Sunday. That also allowed the Bulldogs to watch Florida State live against Xavier and pick up on their tendencies.
I like this Bulldogs team and the way they are playing down the stretch. They have won 16 straight games coming in, including their 90-84 triumph over Ohio State as 4-point favorites last round. They also have the advantage of playing closer to home as this game will be played in Los Angeles.
I think Florida State is getting too much respect from the books due to its 75-70 upset win over Xavier. But the Musketeers really gave that game away with careless turnovers late and some foul trouble. They blew a 12-point second half lead against the Seminoles.
Gonzaga is 20-7 ATS off nine or more consecutive wins over the last two seasons. The Seminoles are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a win. The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet Gonzaga Thursday.
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