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Monday 4-2-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Apr 02 '18, 9:40 PM in 6h
MLB | Dodgers vs Diamondbacks
Play on: Dodgers -108 at 5Dimes
This is a 1* Free Play on the LA Dodgers (9:40 EST).
This is the opener of a three-game set and for a number of different reasons, I think this one favors the visiting side.
The Dodgers lost Adrian Gonzalez and Curtis Granderson, but still have Yasiel Puig, Corey Seager, Justin Turner and Joc Pederson. They also picked up Matt Kemp in the offseason.
LA’s bullpen is the difference maker here though as it’s posted a tiny 1.12 ERA through three games heading into Sunday.
The Dodgers turn to Hyun-Jin Ryu, who was 5-9 with a 3.77 ERA and 1.37 WHIP last year. In five starts at Chase Field he’s 2-2 with a 4.80 ERA.
Taijuan Walker gets the call for the home side and he was 9-9 with a 3.49 ERA and had a 1.39 WHIP in 28 starts last season. Note that he’s 12-15 with a 4.27 ERA in 43 games at home.
LA though has excelled in this spot for bettors for a while now though, going 45-28 over the last two seasons as a road fav in the -125 to -175 range and 150-98 against right-handed starters in the same span.
Conversely, this is a position in which the D-Backs have struggled in, going just 77-87 after a loss and only 15-20 in its last 35 when playing with a day off.
I think the Dodgers and Ryu are the correct call here and the numbers support that. Consider a second look at the visitors in this one.
Good luck…Larry
Apr 02 '18, 7:10 PM in 3h
MLB | BAL vs HOU
Play on: OVER 9½ +100
On Monday night in the big leagues, Play Over on road teams like BALTIMORE in their first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season poorly with nine more losses in last 12 games, against opponent in their first 12 games of the season, after closing out last season strong with 26 or more wins in last 40 games. On the past 20 years, this situation is a sweet 42-11.
Apr 02 '18, 7:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Orioles vs Astros
Play on: Astros -1½ -109 at pinnacle
Dave’s Monday Free Play:
1* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-109) The Key: The Houston Astros have picked up where they left off last season with their World Series win. They are 3-1 with their 3 wins coming by 3, 6 and 6 runs. They are the play tonight on the Run Line against the Baltimore Orioles. Charlie Morton is probably the top 5th starter in baseball and would be a No. 2 or No. 3 in most rotations. Morton went 14-7 with a 3.62 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 25 starts for the Astros last year. Chris Tillman went 1-7 with a career-worst 7.84 ERA in 2017 for the Orioles. Take Houston on the Run Line.
Apr 02 '18, 7:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Red Sox vs Marlins
Play on: Red Sox -130 at 5Dimes
1 Unit FREE PLAY on Boston Red Sox -130
The Boston Red Sox should be bigger than -130 favorites against the worst team in baseball in the Miami Marlins. Red Sox left-hander Brian Johnson will be excited to be starting a game in his home start of Florida for the first time in his career Monday. Trevor Richards will be making his major league debut, a tough task anyway, but especially against a lineup as potent as the Red Sox. Richards would only be starting for a team like the Marlins as he is a journeyman who went undrafted after four years at Drury, a Division II university. The Red Sox are 5-0 in Johnson’s last five starts. Boston is 7-1 in its last eight interleague road games. Give me the Red Sox.
Apr 02 '18, 7:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Orioles vs Astros
Play on: Astros -195 at 5Dimes
Take the Astros in this match-up against the Orioles. Houston’s offense has been great this year. Going back to last year Houston is 5-2 in Morton’s last 7 starts.
Apr 02 '18, 7:35 PM in 4h
NHL | Hurricanes vs Panthers
Play on: Hurricanes +162 at 5Dimes
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Game #3 Monday Free Pick Carolina Hurricanes Money Line (+) @ Florida Panthers @ 7:35 ET - The Hurricanes have been officially eliminated from the playoffs while the Panthers are still fighting to earn a post-season birth but are on the brink of elimination. The way these two teams are playing you wouldn't know that it is Florida that still has a shot. Also, if Carolina isn't going to the post-season they certainly don't want the Panthers getting in either! That said, the Hurricanes will do their best to play the role of spoiler in this one. Carolina has won both meetings with Florida this season and also has won 4 of the last 5 games with the Panthers. The Canes have allowed 2 goals or less in 4 of their last 5 games. Florida has allowed an average of 4 goals per game during their current 3-game losing streak. The Panthers are at home for this one but when they enter a game off of a 3 or more consecutive road games, they've lost 27 of 46! The big dog Hurricanes are absolutely worth a shot in this one as the play the role of spoiler. Though these teams are not in the same division, there is certainly "no love lost" between these nearby rivals and they use to be in the Southeast Division together. Free Pick CAROLINA
Apr 02 '18, 4:10 PM in 56m
MLB | Cubs vs Reds
Play on: Cubs -143 at 5Dimes
10* FREE MLB PICK (Cubs -143)
I'll take my chances with the Cubs taking Game 1 of their short 2-game series with NL Central rival Cincinnati on Monday. Chicago has absolutely owned the Reds over the last 2 seasons, going 27-11 with a 13-6 record at Great American Ballpark.
This is also a great bounce back spot for the Cubs, who are coming off a 6-0 loss at Miami on Sunday. The Cubs scored just 1 run in a loss in Game 2 of their series with the Marlins and bounced back with 10 runs the next night. I really believe that Chicago features one of the best lineups in the NL and should be able to get going here against Reds starter Tyler Mahle.
I'm also very high on Cubs new starter Tyler Chatwood, who they signed away from the Rockies. Chatwood's numbers the past two seasons have really been hurt by pitching the majority of his games at hitter-friendly Coors Field. He's posted a 2.57 ERA away from Colorado the past two seasons and I look for him to keep the Reds offense in check. Give me the Cubs -143!
Apr 02 '18, 4:10 PM in 56m
MLB | Cubs vs Reds
Play on: Cubs -134 at pinnacle
I'm recommending a play on the Cubs with Chatwood over Mahle. Tyler Chatwood must be ecstatic to not have Coors Field as his home park as he always has been a much better pitcher on the road, including last year when had a 6.01 ERA at home and 3.49 away from Coors. Chatwood had a good spring with 23 strikeouts in 21 2/3 innings. Tyler Mahle will be facing Chicago for the first time and in one appearance at home in 2017 the right-hander gave up three runs on four hits in five innings. Cincinnati has lost eight home games in a row dating to last season and 12 of its last 14 overall. The Reds also have lost eight of their last nine games versus right-handed starters as they struggle to rebuild. The Cubs have won 46 of their last 65 games against right-handed starters and an astonishing 26 of 31 road games versus righty starters. I'm recommending a play on the Cubs on Monday afternoon. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
Apr 02 '18, 10:10 PM in 6h
MLB | COL vs SDG
Play on: UNDER 8 -107
DMack's Free Play for Monday, April 2, 2018 is on the Rockies/Padres Under
Neither of these two hit much in their opening three games. Each had a big Saturday surrounded by two sputters. Bettis was 8-1 to the under last year in his 9 starts while Mitchell gave up two earned in five innings in his only appearance in the bigs last year. Over the last three years the under is 21-16 in the series so even with half the games at Coors Field and the new jacked up Petco, these haven't been the shootouts one might expect. Play the Under.
Apr 02 '18, 8:05 PM in 4h
NHL | Capitals vs Blues
Play on: Blues -140 at pinnacle
This is a 1* Free Play on the St. Louis Blues.
Washington was in a dog fight at Pittsburgh last night and we think it’ll predictably come in dog-tired here in the second game of the back-to-back. Before last night’s result the Capitals were just 19-20 on the road, averaging 2.90 goals and allowing 3.38. The Blues were embarrassed 6-0 at Arizona most recently, but we think they’ll bounce back here as they look to run down a playoff spot. Note that the Blues are 24-15 at home, averaging 2.77 GPG and allowing 2.46. If you don’t mind laying a mid-sized price, we think this sets up great for St. Louis.
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