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PUNTER nba poffs 0-1 / nhl poffs 1-3 NBA RECORD regular season 62-55 (+4.31 UNITS) NHL RECORD: regular season 89-52 (+22.76 UNITS)
Utah v OKC
Utah haven’t played the Thunder this calendar year and they’re certainly a completely different proposition to the one that OKC took care of at the back end of last year.
Playoff basketball, as we know, is a very different game and it’s one that is built for both these sides.
The Jazz are perhaps the definition of a half court team, particularly on the defensive end and that is going to cause OKC a lot of problems in trying to get their offence going.
Russell Westbrook was allowed to take over games to close out the season as he, at times, single-handedly willed them on their way to a top four finish. The fact is; he won’t be given that type of freedom in this match up.
Quinn Snyder is one of the best minds in basketball and he’ll certainly have a gameplan ready to force the Thunder point guard to move the ball or risk being clamped down in the paint.
Of course, it helps when you have Rudy Gobert anchoring your defence as well. The Frenchman is a shoe-in for Defensive Player of the Year and his impact on both ends of the court will be key given the physical match up he’ll be handed against Steven Adams.
Another man in the topic of conversation however is Paul George, and he could be a big factor in why the Thunder are able to overcome this tough first-round match up.
George has the length and athleticism to guard either Joe Ingles or Donovan Mitchell throughout this one, which gives Billy Donovan options down the stretch depending on how this game plays out.
In their last five games of the regular season, Utah were holding opponents to just 96.6 points per game on 42.5% shooting from the field. That included tough games against the Warriors and Trailblazers to close out.
The last four straight meetings between these Western Conference opponents have gone Under the points total, while 21 of the last 28 have also seen the Unders cash.
Our projections have a big lean on this total and we don’t expect this number to last much longer.
Tip: Under 206.0 @ $1.90 (Bet 365) (1.5 units)
Here’s our best bets for the action ahead:
Columbus Blue Jackets @ Washington Capitals
Tip: Washignton Capitals (regulation time) @ $2.14 (Unibet)
Vegas Golden Knights @ LA Kings
Tip: Vegas Golden Knights TT u/2.5 goals @ $1.70 (Sportsbet) (1.5 units)
3-Unit Play. #977. Take Under 8 Runs Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros (Sunday @ 8:05pm est) (Currently 8.5 at William Hill and BetOnline)
We roll with the Under here in what should be a nice spot for the Under as you have a pitcher in Verlander that saw Texas give up a big lead yesterday en route to a 5-6 loss for the Astros to the hands of the Rangers which has to be irritating. Verlander will help his team bounce-back here and do not underestimate Colon whatever you do. He is a pitcher that has a sub 2 era and this is something he will absolutely relish facing a Cy Young Caliber Pitcher here today. Look for a tight contest and look for Colon to come through as there is a reason why despite all these teams he has been with he continues to pitch and that's because he still has talent and he is one of the most wiley pitchers to date. Look for a game that is going to be a lot closer than people realize as this game goes under today.
Raphael Esparza (VSI)'s Picks For Major League Baseball
4 Unit Play. Take #976 Seattle +105 over Oakland (4:10p.m., Sunday April 15)
Last night at Safeco Field we had another Mariners win at home against Oakland and late this afternoon we look for the Mariners to complete the sweep. The Oakland A's have dropped 6 of their last 8 games and today the A's have to face King Felix. Felix Hernandez has had outstanding success against Oakland going 25-9 in his career with an ERA of 2.60 and with the Mariners swinging hot bats I see the broom coming out in Safeco Field and we continue to cash MLB tickets. Oakland is 1-4 in their last 5 road games and the Mariners are 1-5 against AL West teams. Seattle is 4-1 in their last 5 home games and of course the Mariners are 6-0 at home against Oakland.
7-Unit Play. Take #922 Cleveland (-1.5, -120) over Toronto (1:10 p.m. Sunday, April 15)
While everybody expects the Red Sox and Yankees to battle it out for the American League East, the Blue Jays are off to somewhat of a surprisingly good start. However, they are going to have a tough time putting up runs today as they square off against reigning AL Cy Young winner Corey Kliuber. Kluber has picked up right where he left off last year allowing just four runs over his first three starts this season. He dominated Toronto in his only start against them last year allowing one run over 7.2 innings striking out 14 in an 8-1 win. It should help that Francisco Lindor is starting to get it going picking up 7 hits in his last 14 at bats when he had 7 hits over his first 44 at bats to start the season. Jaime Garcia will be on the mound for the Jays and he won't have the services of third baseman Josh Donaldson who was placed on the disabled list with a shoulder issue. Yesterday's game was cancelled due to rain but Toronto beat the Indians Friday night to snap a 5 game win streak and I think Cleveland starts another streak with a win today.
8-Unit Play. #516. Take Houston Rockets -11 over Minnesota Timberwolves (Sunday @ 9:05pm est)
We roll with the Rockets here as this is the very reason why this team came together in the NBA OffSeason. Remember, with Harden and Paul coming together with the growth of Clint and a bench that features Arizona, Tucker and Anderson, look for the Rockets to step up here and get it done. They are at home, they are facing a Minnesota team who is as fickle as can be. This is a TWolves team that comes off an emotional win over the Nuggets at home and now will run into a freight train in Houston who has been itching for this moment. Not only Harden and Paul, but also the Houston Front Office and Coach Mike D'Antoni. This is a Houston team that knows the Warriors do not have a healthy Curry and with their own time limited as Paul ages, it is now or never for Houston. We roll with the Rockets to win and get it done this evening. Remember, Houston has covered each time they have played Minnesota this year. They have covered as lines of -5.5, -3.5, -7.5 and -7. Now, the Twolves face the biggest line to date as the Twolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games when facing teams with a winning percentage of 60% or more and the Rockets are 4-0 ATS when playing on 3 days of rest or more.
4 Unit Play. Take #511 Over 212.5 Indiana at Cleveland (3:35p.m., Sunday April 15 ABC)
Game #1 of this series and I can't believe this total is dropping since the number was posted. Let's face it the Cavaliers defense has been questionable all season long and the Cavs offense as of late has been really good. The Cavs come into Game #1 of this series trending OVER games going 3-1 O/U in their last 4 games and they shouldn't have a problem scoring against the Pacers today at home. The Pacers defense is giving up an average of 106.8ppg in their last 7 games and I see King James and the Cavs putting up big numbers today at home.
Game 2 of today’s doubleheader has been also been postponed due to inclement weather.
Both previously scheduled games will be played as a split doubleheader on Monday, June 4th, with Game 1 beginning at 1:10 p.m. ET and Game 2 beginning at 7:10 p.m. ET
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