Wednesday 5-9-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 369858

    #91
    Dave Price

    May 09 '18, 9:10 PM in 8h
    MLB | Nationals vs Padres
    Play on: Padres +121 at 5Dimes

    Dave’s Wednesday Free Play:
    1* on San Diego Padres +121
    The Key: The San Diego Padres will be hungry for a victory at home tonight to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Washington Nationals. I like the price we are getting with them with stud rookie Joey Lucchesi on the mound. Lucchesi is 3-2 with a 3.13 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 7 starts this season to go along with 40 strikeouts in 37 1/3 innings. Lucchesi is 2-0 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 4 home starts as well. Gio Gonzalez hasn’t had the greatest success against the Padres. He is 3-2 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against them. Take San Diego.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 369858

      #92
      Sal Michaels

      May 09 '18, 3:10 PM in 2h
      MLB | Angels vs Rockies
      Play on: Rockies -1½ +127 at pinnacle

      Free Play on Rockies -1½ +127
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 369858

        #93
        Larry Ness

        May 09 '18, 9:10 PM in 8h
        MLB | Nationals vs Padres
        Play on: Nationals -124 at betonline

        My 1* Free Play is on the Washington Nationals (9:10 EST).
        Perhaps we could call these starters a “wash,” but clearly the high-powered Nats have the advantage at the plate and in this particular matchup that’s going to make the visitors well worth the price of admission.
        The Nats hand the ball to Gio Gonzalez (4-2, 2.33 ERA) and he most recently gave up zero runs off two hits while striking out five over five innings in a rain-shortened start against the Phillies on Friday.
        The home side counters with Joey Lucchesi (3-2, 3.13) who most recently gave up three earned runs off five hits over five innings in a loss to the Dodgers on Friday. Lucchesi for the most part has been superb, coming into this one having posted a 1.18 WHIP over 37.1 innings of work.
        I’ll point out though that Washington is a solid 10-7 (+2.2 units) on the road this year, while San Diego is just 6-14 (-7.8 units) at home.
        As mentioned off the top, I do in fact think these starters are even, but the numbers/trends point to the Nationals as the correct call here.
        Consider Washington on Wednesday night.
        Good luck…Larry
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 369858

          #94
          Scott Rickenbach

          May 09 '18, 3:35 PM in 2h
          MLB | HOU vs OAK
          Play on: UNDER 8½ -125

          Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Game #964 Wednesday Free Pick UNDER the total in Oakland A's vs Houston Astros @ 3:35 ET - With last night's game staying under the total, the under is now 5-2 in Oakland's last 7 games. Also, the under is 7-2 in Houston's last 9 games. The Astros Gerrit Cole has been piling up strikeouts this season and also is a phenomenal 3-0 with a 0.39 ERA in his 3 road starts this year. The A's Daniel Mengden has allowed just 1 earned run in each of his last 3 home starts and has compiled a 1.40 ERA in those outings at Oakland Coliseum. This one looks like a pitchers duel all the way. The A's have averaged just 2.5 runs per game their last 10 games and the Astros have had 2 big games at the plate in their last 9 games. But, in the other 7, Houston averaged scoring just 2.1 runs per game. You can see why I am expecting a 3-2 type game here. Free Pick UNDER the total in Oakland
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 369858

            #95
            Red Dog Sports

            May 09 '18, 2:45 PM in 1h
            Soccer | Arsenal vs Leicester
            Play on: Arsenal -101 at pinnacle

            Arsenal -101
            Free soccer play takes place on Wednesday in EPL action. Take Arsenal -101.
            Leicester 1
            Arsenal 2
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 369858

              #96
              John Martin

              May 09 '18, 3:35 PM in 2h
              MLB | Astros vs A's
              Play on: Astros -1½ +100 at 5Dimes

              1 Unit FREE PLAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (+100)
              The Houston Astros have already outscored the Oakland A’s 20-4 in the first two games in this series. They should be able to win by multiple runs again today. Gerrit Cole has actually been their best starter this season. He is 3-1 with a 1.42 ERA and 0.69 WHIP in seven starts, including 3-0 with a 0.39 ERA and 0.61 WHIP in three road starts. He has already struck out 77 batters in 50 2/3 innings. Daniel Mengden is 7-14 with a 5.01 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 28 big league starts. Mengden is 0-3 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in four previous starts against the Astros. Houston is 6-1 in Cole’s last seven starts. Houston is 9-2 in its last 11 road games. The Astros are 23-8 in the last 31 meetings. The A’s are 2-11 in Mengden’s last 13 starts vs. AL West teams. Give me the Astros on the Run Line.
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 369858

                #97
                Sean Murphy

                May 09 '18, 7:05 PM in 6h
                MLB | Giants vs Phillies
                Play on: Giants +112 at betonline

                Wednesday MLB Free play. My selection is on San Francisco over Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday.
                I like the fact that we're able to get the Giants at an underdog price here as I believe they have a slight edge on the mound and will be highly-motivated to bounce back from a pair of rather ugly losses to open this series.
                Chris Stratton has been a really good find for the Giants, stepping in and pitching well in the starting rotation this season, save for one bad start against the Dodgers. Note that he's worked at least six innings in four of his last five starts but he hasn't been overworked, throwing more than 100 pitches only twice over that stretch.
                Nick Pivetta got off to a solid start this season but enters this start off back-to-back poor outings. Since winning Pivetta's first five starts, the Phillies have now dropped his last two.
                The Giants have had a great deal of success at this park in recent years, even if they haven't enjoyed any in this particular series. Keep in mind, San Francisco had won four games in a row entering this series. Take San Francisco (8*).
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 369858

                  #98
                  Brandon Lee

                  May 09 '18, 10:10 PM in 9h
                  MLB | Diamondbacks vs Dodgers
                  Play on: Diamondbacks +110 at pinnacle

                  10* FREE MLB PICK (Diamondbacks +110)
                  I'll take my chances here with Arizona as a dog with Pat Corbin on the mound. Corbin has been one of the bigger surprises early on in 2018. He's 4-0 with a 2.15 ERA and 0.761 WHIP in 7 starts and has racked up a ridiculous 60 strikeouts in 46 innings of work. He's already made two starts against the Dodgers and only given up 1 run on 4 hits with 17 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings. Not very often will you find a pitcher throwing at an elite level against an opponent he's fared extremely well against as an underdog. Let's also not overlook the Dodgers struggles. LA has lost 3 straight and are just 3-7 in their last 10 overall. Give me the Diamondbacks +110!
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 369858

                    #99
                    Art Aronson

                    May 09 '18, 8:00 PM in 6h
                    NBA | 76ers vs Celtics
                    Play on: Celtics +1 -109 at 5Dimes

                    This is a 1* Free Play on the Boston Celtics.
                    We had a play on Philadelphia in its Game 4 victory and while many will likely once again be back on the 76ers, we’re going to go the other way as we look for the hungry home side to risk life and limb in trying to end this series right here and now. We’ll be the first to admit that we’re surprised at how well the Celtics have played in the postseason without Kyrie Irving, but regardless, home floor advantage simply can’t be overlooked in this situation. Also note that the 76ers are just 2-4 ATS in their last six following a SU victory, while the Celtics are 8-1 ATS this year following a loss by ten points or more. Consider BOSTON in Game 5.
                    AAA Sports
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 369858

                      #100
                      Alex Smart
                      mlb

                      Houston vs. Oakland, 05/09/2018 15:35 EDT

                      Point Spread: +1½/-105 Oakland

                      Sportsbook:
                      Bookmaker

                      GERRIT COLE (R) vs. DANIEL MENGDEN (R)

                      Oakland when playing at home really gets keyed up to go against top tier pitchers like the Astros starting hurler , Gerrit Cole as is evident by the following record

                      OAKLAND is 9-0 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons and is 10-1 L/11 against the money line in home games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.100 or better.

                      Athletics are also 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

                      Meanwhile, As starter Mengdens has seen his Athletics go 4-1 in last 5 starts overall.

                      OAKLAND is 5-0 L/5 against the money line as a home underdog of +150 to +200 .. OAKLAND is also 9-2 against the money line in home games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) dating back to last season.

                      Play on the Oakland As on the runline +1.5
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 369858

                        #101
                        Scott Rickenbach

                        Free Pick Wednesday NBA

                        Philadelphia vs. Boston, 05/09/2018 20:00 EDT

                        Total: -108/+204 Over

                        Sportsbook:
                        PinnacleSports

                        Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Free Pick OVER the total in Boston Celtics vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 8 ET - The Sixers held the Celtics to just 92 points on Monday. The last 4 times the 76ers were off of a game in which they held a team under 100 points the over is a perfect 4-0. The Celtics are 5-1 to the over the last 6 times when they enter a game after being held to 100 points or less in their prior game. The over is also a solid 10-1 the last 11 times that Boston enters a game off of a loss by a margin of a half dozen points or more. Overall, the Celtics are 9-1 to the over their last 10 games. Free Pick OVER the total in Boston
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 369858

                          #102
                          Tony Brown

                          Tony's *5 Nba free play

                          Philadelphia vs. Boston, 05/09/2018 20:00 EDT

                          Point Spread: +1/-105 Philadelphia

                          Sportsbook:
                          Bodog

                          Fp Boston won 3 in a row to take a 3-0 lead Philly looking to win 3 in a row and force a game 7 . Coming off an impressive game 4 win I like the 76ers to stay hot making it 2 in a row for my Nba free play.
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 369858

                            #103
                            MIT Simulator

                            Wed MLB Free Pick

                            Washington vs. San Diego, 05/09/2018 21:10 EDT

                            Money Line: -123 Washington

                            Sportsbook:
                            TopBet

                            MIT Wednesday MLB Free Pick: Washington -123 - Nationals Gonzalez 2.33 ERA YTD. Nats 3-1 his L4 starts. San Diego's Lucchesi 5.17 ERA his L3 starts. Padres 1-4 YTD when Lucchesi is an underdog.
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 369858

                              #104
                              Vernon Croy NBA

                              4 Unit 76ers +1.5
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