Friday 5-18-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

May 18 '18, 7:10 PM in 2h
MLB | Orioles vs Red Sox
Play on: Red Sox -1½ +130 at 5Dimes

Dave’s Friday Free Play:
1* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+130)
The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Red Sox to win by multiple runs tonight over the Baltimore Orioles. We are getting +130 back on our investment here. The Red Sox are scoring 6.4 RPG at home this season. The Orioles are 3-16 on the road, hitting just .229 and scoring 3.7 RPG. Alex Cobb is still looking for his first win for the Orioles. Cobb is 0-5 with a 7.06 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in 6 starts this year. One of those came against the Red Sox on April 14th as Cobb gave up 8 runs in 3 2/3 innings of a 3-10 loss in Boston. Drew Pomeranz is 2-2 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.28 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Baltimore. The Orioles are 7-34 as an underdog of +150 or more over the last 2 seasons. They are losing by 3.3 RPG in this situation. Baltimore is 0-6 in Cobb’s last 6 starts. The Red Sox are 7-0 in the last 7 meetings. Take Boston on the Run Line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brad Diamond

May 18 '18, 10:15 PM in 5h
MLB | Rockies vs Giants
Play on: Giants +101 at pinnacle

10-0 PERFECT RUN IN BASEBALL....8-0 MLB TOTALS L8.
SF over Colorado @ 10:15 Eastern
Realize the Rocks won last night out in the bay area but, they are just 3-8 L11 and been struggling scoring runs. Lefty Freeland goes (Rockies) with a recent 1.65 ERA, 1.75 BA vs. opposing units, however, the Colorado hurler is just 2-6 against the NL West. SF is 5-0 L5 home versus LHP and 7-0 L7 overall. The Giants have won 5-of-6 challenging Colorado at home. Good Luck.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

May 18 '18, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | CLE vs HOU
Play on: UNDER 8 -109

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach MLB Game #920 Friday Free Pick UNDER the total in Houston Astros vs Cleveland Indians @ 8:10 ET - The Astros are 13-2-1 to the under their last 16 games. Houston has not had a game go over the total since May 7th. With a good pitching match-up on tap for tonight this trend of games staying under the total certainly should continue. Cleveland's Mike Clevinger has been fantastic this season and this has been particularly true on the road as he has a 0.83 ERA in his 3 starts away from home this season. Houston's Charlie Morton has a stellar 2.03 ERA on the season and each of his last 3 starts have stayed under the total. Morton had more strikeouts (14) in his last start than earned runs allowed (11) in all 8 of his starts combined this season! Only 73 of the Indians last 188 road games have gone over the total. In home games with a posted total of 8 or 8.5 runs, the under is 13-4 in Houston's games this season. Also, the under is a long-term 16-7 when the Astros are off of a shutout win and their night games are 21-7 to the under this season. Free Pick UNDER the total in Houston

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ross Benjamin

May 18 '18, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Indians vs Astros
Play on: Indians +160 at betonline

2018 NHL Playoffs are 12-7 (63%) L19. Since 2012, NHL Playoff Picks are 144-98 (60%) . MLB picks are 18-10 (64%) L28 including 7 winners at money line underdog prices.
Cleveland (Clevinger) @ Houston (Morton) 8:10 PM ET
Game# 919-920
Play On: Cleveland +160
Mike Clevinger has made 3 starts on the road and compiled a microscopic 0.83 ERA while doing so. He’s also averaging 7.2 innings pitched per start over his last 3 appearances. The longevity of his recent outings is huge when considering Cleveland’s bullpen issues this season. Furthermore, Clevinger is allowing only 5.4 hits per start. Meanwhile, Houston is 0-6 this season when facing a starting pitcher that’s allowing 5.5 or less hits per start, and they averaged a paltry 1.0 run scored per game. Cleveland has averaged 7.0 runs scored per game, smacked 13 home runs, and amassed an inspiring .879 OPS throughout their previous 7 times out.
The Indians are coming off a 6-0 win at Detroit in their previous game. Conversely, Houston was a 2-0 winner over the Los Angeles Angels during its last game. These results qualify for a money-making money line betting angle elucidated below.
Any road team (Indians) coming off a win by 4 runs or more, versus an opponent (Astros) coming off a shutout win, resulted in those road teams going 32-14 (69.6%) since 2014. Bet the Cleveland Indians as a money line underdog for my free pick on Friday 5/18.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

May 18 '18, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Indians vs Astros
Play on: Astros -169 at betonline

Friday MLB Free play. My selection is on Houston over Cleveland at 8:10 pm et on Friday.
Charlie Morton remains one of the most undervalued commodities in baseball as far as starting pitchers go. While we're dealing with a fairly lofty price to back the veteran right-hander in this matchup, I believe the line could be even higher.
Morton is coming off an incredible performance against the Rangers last time out, giving up four hits and one earned run while striking out 14 and not walking a batter in seven innings of work. He checks in 4-0 with a 1.96 ERA and 1.01 WHIP at home this season.
Mike Clevinger will counter for Cleveland. He has also pitched well this season, working 7 1/3 and 7 2/3 innings over his last two starts, giving up a grand total of only four earned runs on nine hits while striking out 15. The issue I see is that he needed to throw 115 and 116 pitches to get through those two outings. Note that the Indians have lost three of his last four starts.
Surprisingly enough, the Astros haven't been a great home team this season, going 12-10. But with that being said, the Indians have gone just 8-12 on the road. The price is warranted here. Take Houston (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

May 18 '18, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Rangers vs White Sox
Play on: White Sox -108 at 5Dimes

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Chicago White Sox -108
Matt Moore has been the worst starter in baseball over the last two seasons. He went 6-15 with a 5.52 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in 31 starts for the Giants last season. The Rangers inexplicably picked him up this season and he’s been even worse, going 1-5 with an 8.03 ERA and 2.03 WHIP in eight starts for them. Even the light-hitting White Sox should have their way with him tonight. Moore is 11-32 in night games over the last two seasons. Chicago is 16-5 in its last 21 home meetings with Texas. Give me the White Sox.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

May 18 '18, 8:15 PM in 3h
MLB | Phillies vs Cardinals
Play on: Cardinals -115 at betonline

10* FREE MLB PICK (Cardinals -115)
I'll take my chances here with St Louis as a short home favorite against the Phillies on Friday. The Cardinals will be out to even up the series after dropping the opener on Thursday and have just the guy on the mound to get the win. St Louis will send out Michael Wacha, who is 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA in 5 home starts (5-0 team record). Philadelphia will counter with Jake Arrieta, who hasn't been nearly as effective on the road as he has at home. Arrieta has a 2.59 ERA in 7 starts overall, but owns a mere 4.96 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in 3 road starts. Phillies as a team are also just 16-42 in their last 58 road games against a team with a winning home record, while the Cardinals are a ridiculous 40-19 in Wacha's last 59 home starts. Give me St Louis -115!