Thursday 6-21-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc Lawrence

Jun 21 '18, 1:10 PM in 4h
MLB | Red Sox vs Twins
Play on: Twins +107 at pinnacle

Play - Minnesota Twins w/Gibson vs Porcello (Game 914).
Edges - Twins: 6-1 home Game Three of a series this season; and Gibson 3.04 ERA with 1.14 WHIP last seven starts… Red Sox: Porcello 2-6 last eight team starts in this series; and 4-8 last twelve away team starts during June… With that we recommend a 1* play on Minnesota. Thank you and good luck as always.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Red Dog Sports

Jun 21 '18, 2:00 PM in 5h
Soccer | Croatia vs Argentina
Play on: Argentina +112 at BMaker

Argentina +112
Take Argentina +112 over Croatia in World Cup soccer action on Thursday. Look for Lionel Messi to play well.
Croatia 1
Argentina 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Lundin

Jun 21 '18, 8:10 PM in 11h
MLB | A's vs White Sox
Play on: A's -139 at BetPhoenix

#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN
The Oakland Athetlics have heated up and are gunning for their season-high fifth win in a row when they take on the Chicago White Sox Thursday night.
They slugged five homers in a 12-4 rout of the Padres on Wednesday and I think their bats will find plenty of success off White Sox right-hander Lucas Giolito (4-7, 7.19 ERA) as well. He's 1-4 with a 11.05 ERA in seven home starts on the season and gave up five runs on six hits with a pair of homers in 5 1/3 innings his last time out.
Chris Bassitt (0-2, 2.45 ERA) will take the ball for Oakland for his third start of the season. He was it up by the Halos his last time out but here he'll face a White Sox team which has averaged just 3.70 rpg on the season.
Athletics are 13-3 in their last 16 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. White Sox are 1-8 in Giolito's last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Free pick on Oakland Athletics.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Jun 21 '18, 10:05 PM in 13h
MLB | Blue Jays vs Angels
Play on: Angels -152 at pinnacle

My free play is on the LA Angels at 10:05 ET. The LA Angels were once 13-3 but as the team's superstar Mike Trout gets sets to play his 1,000th career game, the Angels sit 39-35 and find themselves 10 games back of the first-place Houston Astros. The two-time AL Most Valuable Player leads the majors in HRs (23), runs (60) and on-base percentage (.469) and is 16-for-23 with four HRs, nine RBI and 11 walks during his eight-game hitting streak to boost his June batting average to a .448 (26-for-58. However, the Angels are just 2-6 during his eight-game hitting streak. LA opens a four-game series vs the visiting Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday. Toronto has answered a demoralizing 4-15 stretch by winning eight of its last 12 but the team's modest 35-39 record leaves them a whopping 16 games back of the first-place NY Yankees in the AL East.
Thursday night's pitching matchup features Toronto's Aaron Sanchez (3-5, 4.35 ERA) going up LA lefty Tyler Skaggs (6-4, 2.81 ERA). Sanchez is coming off striking out a season high-tying eight battlers while allowing three runs in six innings against Washington last Friday, failing to earn a decision in a 6-5 Blue Jays win. The Blue Jays are just 6-8 in Sanchez 2018 starts and Sanchez owns an 0-1 mark with a 2.03 ERA in three career appearances against the Angels. Meanwhile, LA's Skaggs improved to 3-0 with an 0.45 ERA in his last three starts after allowing two runs and striking out eight over seven innings in an 8-4 triumph at Oakland. The Angels are now 8-6 in all of his 2018 starts. Skaggs owns a 2-2 record with a 4.11 ERA in five career starts versus Toronto, including getting a no decision in a 5-4 Toronto win back on May 23 when he surrendered two HRs over five innings but just three runs.
Sure, Trout continues to make a strong case as MLB's best player but his team limps in just 2-7 in its last nine games and welcomes Toronto to Anaheim only 18-19 at home (minus-$564 vs the moneyline) on the season. The Blue Jays have played much better lately but note that in going 8-4 over their last 12 games, the breakdown is 8-1 at home and 0-3 on the road. Those three losses at Tampa Bay (June 11-13) leaves Toronto 1-8 in its last nine road games. Facing a red-hot Skaggs extends Toronto's road woes. Play the Angels.
Good luck...Larry

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, June 21


National League
Mets (31-40) @ Rockies (36-38)
Matz is 2-1, 1.88 in his last five starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 7-6.
5-inning record: 5-7-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-13

Freeland is 2-2, 4.31 in his last five starts (under 10-4). Team in his starts: 7-7.
5-inning record: 7-4-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-14

Mets won three of their last five games; over is 3-0 in their last three games. Colorado lost nine of its last 13 games, but won last two; over is 17-1 in their last 18 games.

Diamondbacks (40-33) @ Pirates (36-37)
Godley is 2-0, 2.92 in his last two starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 8-6
5-inning record: 7-7. Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-14

Kuhl is 1-1, 3.63 in his last three starts; his last five stayed under. Team in his starts: 8-6.
5-inning record: 6-6-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-14

Arizona lost three of its last four games; they’re 9-3 in road series openers. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight road games. Pittsburgh won four of its last six games; under is 4-1 in their last five games.

Cubs (42-29) @ Reds (28-45)
Hendricks is 1-3, 4.71 in his last four starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 5-9
5-inning record: 3-7-4. Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-14

Harvey is 0-3, 7.17 in his last four starts (over 3-2-2). Team in his starts: 3-4
5-inning record: 4-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-7

Cubs won four of their last six games; they’re 9-2 in road series openers. Chicago’s last four games stayed under. Reds won their last three games; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight home games. Cincinnati is 5-7 in home series openers.

Cardinals (38-34) @ Brewers (43-30)
Martinez is 0-3, 7.13 in his last four starts; over is 2-0-1 in his last three. Team in his starts: 6-5.
5-inning record: 4-5-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-11

Suter is 5-1, 3.24 in his last six starts (over 6-0); Brewers scored 50 runs in those five wins. Team in his starts: 7-6

Cardinals lost six of their last eight games; over is 6-3-1 in their last ten road games. St Louis is 5-6 in road series openers. Brewers are 6-8 in their last 14 games, 5-6 in home series openers; under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Padres (34-42) @ Giants (37-38)
Ross is 1-1, 4.98 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Team in his starts: 9-5.
5-inning record: 8-4-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-14

Bumgarner is 0-2, 4.67 in three starts this year (under 2-1). Team in his starts: 0-3.
5-inning record: 1-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-3

San Diego lost its last four games; they’re 1-15 in last 16 series openers. Under is 9-2 in their last 11 road games. Giants won three of their last four games; over is 5-1 in their last six home games. SF is 7-4 in home series openers.

American League
Mariners (46-28) @ New York (49-22)
Paxton is 4-0, 3.55 in his last six starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 10-5.
5-inning record: 7-5-3. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15

Severino is 5-1, 2.15 in his last seven starts; under is 8-2-1 in his last 11. Team in his starts: 13-2.
5-inning record: 11-2-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15

Seattle lost its last three games; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight road games. New York won six of its last eight games; under is 12-2-1 in their last 15 games.

Red Sox (49-26) @ Twins (33-37)
Porcello is 2-2, 5.97 in his last five starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 10-4
5-inning record: 9-6. Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-15

Gibson is 1-1, 1.69 in his last four starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 7-7
5-inning record: 7-6-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-14

Red Sox lost four of their last five games; under is 11-4 in their last 15 games. Minnesota won four of its last five games; under is 6-2-1 in their last nine home games.

A’s (38-36) @ White Sox (24-49)
Bassitt is 0-2, 5.73 in two starts this year (over 1-1). Team in his starts: 0-2.
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2

Giolito is 1-3, 8.75 in his last five starts (under 8-6). Team in his starts: 5-9.
5-inning record: 3-10-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-14

A’s won their last four games; they’re 7-2 in last nine road series openers. Seven of last eight Oakland games went over the total. White Sox lost their last seven games; under is 15-2-2 in their last 19 games. Chicago is 4-7 in home series openers.

Blue Jays (34-39) @ Angels (39-35)
Sanchez is 1-0, 2.95 in his last three starts; over is 5-1 in his last six. Team in his starts: 6-8
5-inning record: 3-7-4. Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-14

Skaggs is 3-0, 1.35 in his last three starts; over is 5-2-1 in his last eight. Team in his starts: 8-6.
5-inning record: 8-4-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-14

Toronto won four of its last five games but is 1-8 in last nine road games, 6-6 in road series openers. Over is 4-1 in their last five games. Angels lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 5-2 in last seven home series openers. Over is 6-0-1 in their last seven games.

Interleague
Orioles (21-51) @ Nationals (39-33)
Gausman is 0-3, 7.97 in his last four starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 4-10
5-inning record:5-7-2. Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-14

Scherzer is 3-2, 2.57 in his last five starts, losing last two 2-0/2-0. His last four starts stayed under the total. Team in his starts: 11-4
5-inning record: 9-5-1. Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-15

Baltimore lost 10 of its last 12 games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Nationals are 6-11 in their last 17 games; over is 7-5 in their last 12 games.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 6/20
Ariz 16-14-4……18-12-8……..34-26
Atl 19-15-5…..15-11-8………34-26
Cubs 14-13-9……17-13-5…….31-26
Reds 10-23-4……11-21-3….…21-44
Colo 23-13-7……19-12-2……42-26
LA 15-15-4…….18-15-7……33-30
Miami 15-22-3…..14-14-7…….29-36
Milw 17-14-7…..18-14-3…….35-28
Mets 15-20-2……14-14-7…..28-32
Philly 13-15-7…..19-11-6……32-26
Pitt 15-15-5……15-12-10…….30-27
StL 17-12-4……17-19-3………34-31
SD 12-19-6……15-19-4…….27-37
SF 16-18-9…..14-16-3………30-34
Wash 18-11-8..…17-14-4………35-25

Orioles 9-20-9…….11-21-3……20-41
Boston 20-14-8……18-12-4……..38-26
White Sox 12-22-4…….9-22-5….21-44
Cleveland 15-13-8……24-9-5……39-22
Detroit 15-16-4……16-17-10…..31-33
Astros 20-12-9……18-11-7…….38-22
KC 11-18-6…….13-21-6…..24-39
Angels 21-12-4……14-16-7……35-28
Twins 14-15-7……15-16-6…..29-31
NYY 17-9-6……22-11-6…….39-20
A’s 12-15-7……13-18-9……25-33
Seattle 21-13-4……17-13-9……38-26
TB 19-16-8……13-13-5……32-28
Texas 13-19-5…..10-24-5…….23-43
Toronto 9-18-6……14-18-9……23-36

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 6/20)
Ariz 13-33…….13-37…..….26
Atl 13-38……12-35……….25
Cubs 7-36……..17-37………24
Reds 9-36……..6-34………..15
Colo 16-41…….16-33..…….32
LA 11-34……..14-38..…….25
Miami 10-40……..11-36…….21
Milw 13-39……..9-34…..…22
Mets 14-36……..11-33…….25
Philly 8-36……..15-37…..…23
Pitt 9-35……..11-38………20
StL 11-32……..10-39…….21
SD 9-37……..8-39……….17
SF 9-40………14-33….…23
Wash 16-39……..10-34……..26

Orioles 13-38……..12-35………25
Boston 12-42……14-34………26
White Sox 12-38……11-36…..…23
Clev 9-37…….12-37………21
Detroit 11-34……..12-42……23
Astros 12-39…..…8-35……….20
KC 10-36..…….10-39…….20
Angels 11-36…..…..8-36………19
Twins 12-36………8-42……..20
NYY 6-31……..14-39……….20
A’s 7-35…..…..11-39………18
Seattle 13-36………12-39……..25
TB 14-43..……9-31………23
Texas 6-37…….…10-38……16
Toronto 6-35………10-39….…16

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 38-31 NL, favorites +$390
AL @ NL– 24-24, favorites -$856
Total: 62-55 NL, favorites -$466

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Recap - Week 1
Joe Williams


League Betting Notes

-- Favorites went 3-1 SU in Week 1
-- Favorites/underdogs went 2-2 ATS in Week 1
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 SU record in Week 1
-- Home teams posted a 3-1 ATS record in Week 1
-- The 'Under' went 3-1 in Week 1

Analysis

The opening weekend was a disaster forthe East Division, as all three teams lost their initial game of the season. It was a great weekend for Ottawa (0-0), as they will head into Week 2 in first place as a result of everyone else's misfortune.

Toronto (0-1) lost a rematch of last season's East Final, as Saskatchewan (1-0) exacted a little revenge, 27-19. The Argonauts seemed to have a multitude of chances to get on top and bail out the betting public, but a pick-six late in the game sealed the win for the Roughriders. There were also just 22 total points heading into the fourth quarter, but 'under' (50) needed to chew their nails at the end of the 27-19 victory by the Riders.

Hamilton (0-1) took it on the chin in a 28-14 loss at Calgary (1-0), 28-14. QB Jeremiah Masoli rolled up 344 passing yards while also running for a touchdown, but it wasn't nearly enough for the Ti-Cats. QB Bo Levi Mitchell was up to his normal tricks, tossing for 297 yards and a touchdown while running for 12 yards. The Stamps pass defense isn't likely to be a problem this season, it's just that the Ti-Cats turned to the pass game and abandoned the run after being down late.

The most entertaining game of the weekend was the Thursday night opener in Winnipeg (0-1), as Edmonton (1-0) outlasted the Bombers 33-30. The Blue Bombers were able to hang on for the cover (+7.5), and that was never really in doubt. However, the Esks picked up a touchdown with 1:36 remaining, tying it up with a two-point conversion at 1:22 and then they posted the game-winning field foal from Sean Whyte with just :13 left in regulation. It was a punch in the gut for Winnipeg, and it will be interesting to see how they bounce back in Montreal this weekend.

Team Betting Notes

-- The Alouettes and Blue Bombers were battle in Montreal in a battle between 0-1 teams. The Bombers are 4-1 ATS in their past five following a straight-up loss, and they're 21-8 ATS in their past 29 on the road. In addition, they're 6-2 ATS in their past eight against teams with a losing record.

-- For Montreal, they're 0-11 ATS in their past 11 following a straight up loss, and they're 3-14 ATS in the past 17 overall dating back to last season. On their home turf, they're 5-16 ATS in the past 21 home games and 2-5 ATS in the past seven in June. In this series, Montreal is 1-6 ATS in their past seven home games against Winnipeg. The 'over' has cashed in each of the past five meetings in Montreal, and four of the past five overall.

-- The 'under' is an impressive 23-3 in the past 26 games for Montreal in the month of June.

-- The RedBlacks make their season debut in Week 2 against the Riders. Ottawa has covered in each of their past five outings in June, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven contests on Thursday. The 'under' is 12-4-1 in the past 17 for the RedBlacks, while going 3-1-1 in their past five against teams with a winning overall mark.

-- For Saskatchewan, the under is 10-1 in their past 11 games overall while cashing in each of their past six road outings. The under is also 4-1 in their past five games in the month of June.

-- The Ti-Cats head to Edmonton with a 2-7 ATS mark over their past nine games in the month of June. They're also just 5-12-2 ATS in the past 19 against teams with a winning overall mark. Hamilton has covered five consecutive meetings in Edmonton, while the 'over' is 5-1 in the past six meetings in Northern Alberta. The 'under' is 19-5 in the past 24 games in June.

-- The Esks are 5-0 ATS in the past five games following a straight-up victory, while going 5-1 ATS in the past six overall. However, they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five in June, and 6-13 ATS in the past 19 games at home. The 'under' is 9-4 in the past 13 games in June for Edmonton.

-- The Argos look to bounce back in Week 2, but they're just 5-15 ATS in their past 20 following a straight-up loss. They're also 4-9 ATS in their past 13 against teams with a winning overall mark.

-- The Stamps have posted a 19-9-1 ATS mark in the past 29 following a straight-up wein, but they're just 1-4 ATS in the past five in June and 1-4-1 ATS in the past six on the road. Calgary travels to meet Toronto in Week 2, and they're 5-1 ATS in the past six trips to Ontario. They're also 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings while the 'under' has hit in five of the past seven in this series.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 2
David Schwab

Thursday, June 21

Saskatchewan Roughriders (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Ottawa RedBlacks (0-0 SU, 0-0 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3
Total: 51

Game Overview

Saskatchewan will be looking to take down its second-straight opponent from the East coming off last week’s win. Zach Collaros made a successful debut as the Roughriders’ new starting quarterback with 203 yards passing and one touchdown throw, while completing 72 percent of his 25 passing attempts. Jerome Messam was another big offseason addition at running back and he added 72 yards rushing on 21 carries in Friday’s victory.

Credit Saskatchewan’s defense for holding Ricky Ray to just 232 yards through the air and Toronto’s ground game to 54 total yards.

The RedBlacks come off that Week 1 bye fresh and ready to go. They lost to Saskatchewan 31-20 as 2 ½-point home favorites in the opening round of last season’s CFL playoffs with the Roughriders coming over from the West as a crossover team.

Heading into this season, Ottawa has Trevor Harris back as its starting quarterback after missing time in 2017 due to injury. Its offensive line was also banged up heading down the stretch last year. Harris proved he could move the ball down the field through the air with 4,679 yards passing in 15 games.

Betting Trends

-- The road team has won the last four meetings both SU and ATS with the total going OVER in four of the last six matchups in this inter-division clash.

Friday, June 22

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Montreal Alouettes (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Winnipeg -2
Total: 46 ½

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers turned to Chris Streveler as their starting quarterback for the injured Matt Nichols and he ended the game against Edmonton with three scoring strikes to keep things interesting for all four quarters.

He ended the game with 178 yards passing on 15 completions. Weston Dressler was his top target with four catches for 74 yards and a score and Andrew Harris racked-up 77 yards on 14 rushing attempts.

Montreal had the fewest straight-up victories of any CFL team last season (three) and its opening-day effort against BC could point towards another long campaign in 2018.

The Alouettes scored all 10 of their points in the opening quarter before their offense ground to a halt. Drew Willy got the start at quarterback and he ended the night with 281 yards passing, but just one touchdown pass against one interception.

Betting Trends

-- Winnipeg has covered in six of its last seven road games against the Alouettes with the total going OVER in the last five meetings in Montreal.

Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (1-0 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -6 ½
Total: 55

Game Overview

CFL fans waiting for the debut of Johnny Manziel as the Tiger-Cats newest quarterback will have to wait a bit longer after starter Jeremiah Masoli put on an aerial show that included 200 yards passing in the first two quarters of last week’s opener. He ended the game with 344 total yards passing, while completing 25 of his 36 attempts, but he did not find the end zone through the air. The Tiger-Cats only gained 56 yards on the ground on 12 rushing attempts.

Edmonton had its hands full with Winnipeg in Week 1 with the only difference in the final score being a field goal as time expired. Mike Reilly led the CFL in both passing yards and touchdown throws last season and he started the 2018 season with 408 yards and one score through the air. He was also the team’s leading rusher last Thursday night with 43 yards and two touchdowns on 11 carries. Derel Walker hauled in eight receptions for 176 yards as one of eight different players to catch a ball from Reilly in that game.

Betting Trends

-- Hamilton is a perfect 5-0 ATS in its last five road games against the Eskimos and the total has gone OVER in five of the last six games of this inter-division tilt played in Edmonton.

Saturday, June 23

Calgary Stampeders (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS) at Toronto Argonauts (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Calgary -3 ½
Total: 52 ½

Game Overview

Calgary needed all four quarters to get past Hamilton last Saturday in a game that was closer than the final score might indicate. Bo Levi Mitchell threw for 297 total yards with 200 coming in the first half. It was the Stampeders’ ground game that helped generate 19 points in the fourth quarter. Don Jackson and Terry Williams rushed for a combined 117 yards and a score on 18 rushing attempts overall. Calgary did get a solid effort from its defense when it needed it the most.

The Argonauts scored a grand total of five points in the first three quarters of last week’s loss before posting 14 points in the fourth quarter to keep things interesting. Ricky Ray did not have his best night throwing the ball against Saskatchewan, especially in the first half when Toronto was held to 71 yards through the air. He ended the game with 232 yards passing with no touchdown throws against one interception.

Betting Trends

-- Calgary has gone 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings overall and it is also 5-1 ATS in its last six road games against Toronto. The total has stayed UNDER in five of the last seven meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Long Sheet

Week 2

Thursday, June 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SASKATCHEWAN (1 - 0) at OTTAWA (0-0) - 6/21/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OTTAWA is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 since 1996.
OTTAWA is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in June games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 135-98 ATS (+27.2 Units) as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-1 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 2

Trend Report

Thursday, June 21

Saskatchewan Roughriders
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 5 games
Saskatchewan is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games on the road
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Ottawa
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing Ottawa
Saskatchewan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Saskatchewan's last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
Ottawa RedBlacks
Ottawa is 14-7 ATS in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 9 games
Ottawa is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Ottawa is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing Saskatchewan
Ottawa is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games when playing at home against Saskatchewan

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 2

Thursday, June 21

Saskatchewan @ Ottawa

Game 361-362
June 21, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
111.779
Ottawa
118.365
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ottawa
by 6 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 2
51
Dunkel Pick:
Ottawa
(-2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL

Week 2


Saskatchewan (1-0) @ Ottawa (0-0)— Roughriders won four of last five games with Ottawa; winning last three visits here, by 2-1-11 points. Underdogs covered last six series games. Over is 6-3 in series games. Riders held off Toronto 27-19 at home LW, breaking open close game with a pick-6 midway thru 4th quarter. RedBlacks had the bye last week. (Ottawa -1.5, 50.5)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, June 21


STREAKING AND SLUMPING STARTING PITCHERS

Streaking: Tyson Ross, San Diego Padres (5-4, 3.51 ERA, $704)

Ross is the perfect value pitcher; as a member of the Padres' starting rotation, he won't often be favored to win, but is good enough to pull out the victory at often-terrific prices. The Padres had won six straight Ross starts prior to his previous outing and went into five of those games as the underdog – making it no surprise that he's near the top of the earnings list at the moment.

Ross is in tough against Madison Bumgarner and the Giants on Thursday, but at a healthy +135 and facing a Giants lineup that isn't exactly the New York Yankees, you could do worse in this spot.

Slumping: Kyle Hendricks, Chicago Cubs (5-6, 3.55 ERA, $-1,074)

Ah, the wonder of betting odds. Compare Hendricks' basic stats to Ross' and there is precious little difference. But when you pitch for the Cubs, you are almost always going to be the fave – and in that regard, Hendricks has been a major disappointment. Chicago has dropped five of his previous seven starts overall, with three of those coming with the Cubs at -185 or better.

Hendricks is at -164 for today's encounter with Matt Harvey and the Cincinnati Reds; while Chicago is in a good spot here, there are just too many superior plays on the board.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, June 21


NY Mets @ Colorado

Game 901-902
June 21, 2018 @ 3:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Matz) 13.947
Colorado
(Freeland) 14.976
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-145
11
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-145); Over

Arizona @ Pittsburgh

Game 903-904
June 21, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Godley) 16.062
Pittsburgh
(Kuhl) 15.053
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-115); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati

Game 905-906
June 21, 2018 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Hendrcks) 15.701
Cincinnati
(Harvey) 17.145
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-165
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+145); Under

St. Louis @ Milwaukee

Game 907-908
June 21, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Martinez) 16.345
Milwaukee
(Suter) 13.878
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+105); Under

San Diego @ San Francisco

Game 909-910
June 21, 2018 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Ross) 13.582
San Francisco
(Bmgrner) 16.743
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-155
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-155); Over

Seattle @ NY Yankees

Game 911-912
June 21, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Paxton) 14.584
NY Yankees
(Severino) 17.154
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-200
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-200); Over

Boston @ Minnesota

Game 913-914
June 21, 2018 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Porcello) 16.051
Minnesota
(Gibson) 18.297
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-115
9
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-105); Under

Oakland @ Chicago White Sox

Game 915-916
June 21, 2018 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Bassitt) 13.983
Chicago White Sox
(Giolito) 15.728
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+100); Under

Toronto @ LA Angels

Game 917-918
June 21, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Sanchez) 15.791
LA Angels
(Skaggs) 14.650
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-155
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+135); Over

Baltimore @ Washington

Game 919-920
June 21, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Gausman) 15.684
Washington
(Scherzer) 14.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-330
7
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(+270); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Mariners at Yankees
Gracenote
Jun 21, 2018

Two pitchers in contention for a spot on the American League All-Star team square off Thursday afternoon, when the New York Yankees look to complete a three-game sweep of the visiting Seattle Mariners in the series finale. New York's Luis Severino is attempting to join Cleveland's Corey Kluber as the major leagues' only 11-game winners and ranks seventh with 118 strikeouts, with Seattle's James Paxton ninth at 115.

Severino has emerged as New York's ace by compiling a 24-8 record since the start of the 2017 campaign, and Paxton is well aware it will be a challenging afternoon. "You go out there knowing he's going to be pretty good," Paxton said during a television interview prior to Wednesday's game. "So you have to be pretty good as well. At the same time, it's just like every other game. I don't go out there and take my foot off the gas pedal, no matter who I'm facing." Giancarlo Stanton smacked a game-winning two-run homer in the bottom of the ninth inning in Wednesday's 7-5 triumph as the Yankees overcame a 5-0 deficit. Gary Sanchez hit a two-run shot in the eighth to forge a tie as New York moved a season-best 27 games above .500.

TV: 1:05 p.m. ET, ROOT Northwest (Seattle), YES (New York)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Mariners LH James Paxton (6-1, 3.53 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Luis Severino (10-2, 2.09)

Paxton is coming off his shortest start of the season at 2 1/3 innings as he escaped with a no-decision after being roughed up by Boston for six runs and six hits. The 29-year-old has won his last six decisions after suffering his only loss of the year against Cleveland in his season debut. Paxton has struck out 10 or more batters on five occasions and has issued fewer than two walks nine times.

Severino has won eight of his last nine decisions and has given up fewer than three runs in 12 of his 15 outings. The 24-year-old was superb while beating Tampa Bay in his last turn, when he struck out nine and allowed three hits over eight scoreless innings. Severino is 1-1 with a 2.84 ERA in two career starts against the Mariners, with the loss coming at Yankee Stadium on April 15, 2016.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Yankees have won nine of their last 11 meetings with the Mariners and 18 of the last 24.

2. New York CF Brett Gardner (knee) is slated to miss his fifth straight game, but the team still believes he will avoid a stint on the disabled list.

3. Seattle DH Nelson Cruz has recorded eight homers and 14 RBIs in June after entering the month with 10 blasts.

PREDICTION: Yankees 4, Mariners 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Red Sox at Twins
Gracenote
Jun 21, 2018

The Minnesota Twins have had their way with two of the best teams in the American League in the past week and look to complete a three-game sweep of the visiting Boston Red Sox on Thursday afternoon. The Twins took two of three at AL Central-leading Cleveland last weekend before winning the first two games from Boston after Robbie Grossman and Max Kepler homered in a 4-1 victory Wednesday.

All-Star Game candidate Eddie Rosario added a pair of hits in the triumph for Minnesota and is 12-for-32 over his last eight games while improving his career batting average against the Red Sox to .322 in 18 contests. Snakebit right-hander Kyle Gibson will try to string together a pair of victories for the first time this season when he takes the mound for the Twins in the finale against 2016 AL Cy Young winner Rick Porcello. Boston is 2-for-22 with runners in scoring position in the series, including 0-for-9 in Wednesday’s setback, to fall two games behind the first-place New York Yankees in the AL East after losing four of five. Mookie Betts snapped out of a 3-for-18 swoon with a pair of hits in the loss for the Red Sox to raise his average to .340 - second in the majors.

TV: 1:10 p.m. ET, MLB Network, NESN (Boston), FS North (Minnesota)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox RH Rick Porcello (8-3, 3.70 ERA) vs. Twins RH Kyle Gibson (2-4, 3.27)

Porcello gave up four runs on seven hits with nine strikeouts over six innings last Friday in a no-decision after posting three consecutive quality starts. The 29-year-old New Jersey native was 5-0 with a 2.14 ERA through May 4, but is 3-3 over the last eight starts with a 5.28 mark. Brian Dozier is just 8-for-40 but has launched three homers against Porcello, who is 10-10 with a 3.90 ERA in 29 starts versus Minnesota.

Gibson put an end to a 12-game winless stretch last Friday by limiting Cleveland to one run on three hits and four walks across seven innings in a 6-3 triumph. The 30-year-old Indiana native owns seven quality starts in his last 10 outings, but is just 1-3 during that stretch. Betts (4-for-8) and J.D. Martinez (9-for-25) have each homered twice versus Gibson, who is 1-2 with a 3.08 ERA in four career games against Boston.

WALK-OFFS

1. Martinez is tied for second in the majors with 22 homers, but registered just one along with one RBI in his last 10 contests.

2. Minnesota RHP Fernando Rodney notched his 316th career save Wednesday, moving within two of Rick Aguilera for 20th in major league history.

3. Red Sox 1B Mitch Moreland scored the 400th run of his career in Wednesday’s loss and is 4-for-11 in the last three games.

PREDICTION: Twins 6, Red Sox 3