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NFL Football
Ravens/Dolphins Under 38
This will be a great matchup between two teams nobody expected to make the playoffs. Baltimore has a great defense and rookie QB Joe Flacco has played great this season. Miami has been excellent this year and had the fewest turnovers in NFL History during a regular season. I do not see a lot of scoring in this game. Flacco is just a rookie and might struggle a bit in his first postseason game. The Ravens are good at forcing turnovers for points, but Miami just does not turn it over. Look for a lot of FG's today. Take the Under.
Eagles/Vikings Over 42
Philly comes into this game with a ton of momentum and are lucky that the Minnesota Defensive Line is hurting. The Vikings have a great run defense, but lucky for the Eagles that they are a pass happy team. Look for the Eagles to run a lot of screen plays today. When Minnesota has the ball you will see a lot of run as their offense is huge compared to the Philly Defense. Both teams should be able to run their preferred offenses with ease. Take the Over.
4 Unit Play. Take Over 37.5 between the Baltimore Ravens @ Miami Dolphins (January 4th @ 1pm). Whenever the Baltimore Ravens face teams on the road and are in competitive games, the games go over. Look at the Dallas game where the final score was 57 points. In fact, on the road this year, Baltimore has gone over the posted total to a tune of 6-1-1. Remember, the game against the Steelers went over, a rare under in Indianapolis (which favors our under when the Colts play the Chargers), the over in Dallas, the over in Miami, the over in Cleveland, the over in Houston, and the over in Cincinnati. The Ravens have put up 33 @ Dallas, 34@ Cincy, 41 @ Houston, 37@ Cleveland and 27@ Miami. This Ravens team is on a mission and by no means hesitates to blow teams out. Look for a slow pace to start off with but Miami has to be dynamic on offense this time around at home where I expect them to do better on offense. I think Baltimore pushes the envelope and it forces Miami to take more shots down the field in the second half. Once agian, the Ravens are 6-1-1 to the over on the road this year. Remember, when this team played New England, the total ended up finishing off at 76 total points so totals can go over in Miami when they face competent teams.
DECEMBER TO REMEMBER
Sunday, January 04, 2009
AFC Wild Card Game
5 Units
Ravens (-3½) over Dolphins
1:00 PM -- AFC Wildcard Game - Dolphin Stadium
Baltimore by 7
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.
NFC Wild Card Game
10 Units
Eagles (-3) over Vikings
4:30 PM -- NFC Wildcard Game - Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome
Philadelphia by 7-10
Game played in dome. 01/04 10:01:24 ET
AFC Wild Card Total
3 Units
Ravens/Dolphins UNDER 38 Points
1:00 PM -- AFC Wildcard Game - Dolphin Stadium
35 or less points
Partly cloudy. Winds blowing from the Northeast at 10-15 m.p.h. Game-time temperature: Around 80.
NFC Wild Card Total
3 Units
Eagles/Vikings OVER 41 Points
4:30 PM -- NFC Wildcard Game - Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome
45 or more points
STAN IS BETTING MINNESOTA TODAY. PHILLY WILL ONLY GO AS FAR AS DNOVAN MCNABB WILL TAKE THEM . MINNESOTA OWNS THE BETTER RUNNING GAME AND WILL TAKE THAT RUNNING ON TO VICTORY TODAY . LOOK FOR MINNESOTA TO WIN BT 7-10 POINTS TODAY.
Miami won 9 of their last 10 games and Baltimore won 9 of their last 11. The difference is when Baltimore played against .666 or better teams, they were 0-4 straight up and 1-3 ATS. Playoff teams, of equal or better win precentage than their favored opponent, are 19-5-1 ATS.
Booooj
Picked up his NFL games for today. Says he was 0-2 yesterday, but today is his big play. Hope it's good.
Sunday, January 4th NFL Wild Card plays…
Baltimore (11-5) vs. Miami (11-5)
Dolphin Stadium, Miami, Florida
50 Units on Baltimore (-3.5) over Miami
Both of these teams have come a long way since they met in week 7 of the season. The Ravens have won 9 of their last 11, and have watched QB Joe Flacco turn from a concern of their offense to a weapon on offense. Flacco has a big arm, and has given this offense the ability to stretch a defense with the deep ball. Baltimore is at its best when the running game is working with LeRon McClain pounding it inside and Willis McGahee slashing on cutback runs. The Raven defense has been outstanding as usual and may be at its best since the 2000 Super Bowl run. Ray Lewis is still a rock in the middle of the D, and safety Ed Reed has a nose for the ball like no one I’ve ever seen. The Dolphins come in red hot as well winning 5 straight, and 9 of their last 10. The Dolphins amazing turnaround has been led by a tough defense and a steady offense. QB Chad Pennington came in and has really been a steadying influence for the offense. Running backs Ronnie Brown and Ricky Williams give the Dolphins a very good 1-2 punch in the backfield and the coaching staff has done a great job creating ways to get them on the field at the same time, which has created all types of headaches for opposing defenses. The Miami offense has been solid all year, but is simply overmatched by this Raven defense, as most teams are. Look for the Ravens defense to dominate, create a couple turnovers, and possibly even score. The Ravens offense won’t light up the scoreboard, but will do enough to make this a comfortable win. Expect a low scoring affair, probably under the total of 38. Baltimore by 10-14.
Philadelphia (9-6-1) vs. Minnesota (10-6)
Hubert H. Humphrey Metrodome, Minneapolis, Minnesota
10 Units on Philadelphia (-3) over Minnesota
As is fairly common in the post season, these teams come in playing some of their best football of the year. Philadelphia is coming off an impressive thumping of Dallas, which secured their playoff spot. Donovan McNabb has returned to form since being benched earlier in the season. McNabb is at his best when he is getting the ball out quickly and letting his playmakers do the rest. Brian Westbrook appears to be healthy, and when he is, there aren’t many better backs. One who could be considered better is Adrian Peterson of the Vikings. He is as explosive a runner as there is in the NFL today. QB Tarvaris Jackson will be making his 4th consecutive game, after regaining his job from an injured Gus Frerotte. Jackson has played well, but may have a difficult time with Jim Johnson’s blitzing defense. The Eagles are able to confuse QB’s by blitzing so much because they have three outstanding cornerbacks, who can play in man coverage. The Eagles defense will be able to confuse Jackson and create some turnovers. Don’t expect the Eagles to have a field day against a very tough Minnesota defense, which ranks near the top of the league in run defense, but they should be able to capitalize on some favorable situations created by their defense. Minnesota has been very tough at home, but the inexperience at the QB position could be costly. Lean towards the under, but wouldn’t play the total one way or the other due to the possibility of a lot of turnovers. Philadelphia by 4-7.
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