Wednesday 9-12-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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The first game on the MLB betting board this afternoon has the top Over umpire calling balls and strikes. Over is 18-5 in Chris Cuccione's games BHP this season, and nine of his last 10 games have cashed for Over bettors.
LAD/CIN Total: 8.5

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MLB

Wednesday, September 12


Streaking and Slumping Starting Pitchers

Streaking: Wade LeBlanc, Seattle Mariners (8-3, 3.56 ERA, $765)

Although the Mariners are in a bit of a tailspin in the American League West, it hasn't been because of Wade LeBlanc's work on the mound. The crafty lefty is 8-3 with a 3.56 ERA for the season, but over his last three starts he's been even better with a team win/loss record of 2-1 and an ERA of 0.47 (only one run allowed in 19 innings of work).

LeBlanc and the Mariners are -150 home favorites this evening against Joey Lucchesi and the San Diego Padres.

Slumping: Andrew Cashner, Baltimore Orioles (4-14, 4.89 ERA, $-727)

Things haven't exactly gone the Baltimore Orioles' way in 2018, and their starting pitching can certainly been one of the blaming points. Veteran starting pitcher Andrew Cashner can absorb some of that blame with a team win/loss record of 8-19 and an ERA of 4.89 for the full season. He's been especially bad in his last four outings with a team win/loss of 0-4, an ERA of 5.87, and a WHIP of 1.8261.

Cashner and the O's are +165 underdogs at home this evening against Liam Hendriks and the Oakland Athletics.


Early Offense With Guccione?

Chris Guccione will be calling balls and strikes this afternoon in the first game on today's betting board between the Los Angeles Dodgers and the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. Guccione is the top Over umpire in Major League Baseball this season with an Over record of 18-5 (78.26 percent) and has cashed Over tickets in nine of his last 10 games behind the plate.

The total for this afternoon is current at 8.5 or 9, depending on your book, but either number should be a safe Over wager.


The Price Is Right

The Toronto Blue Jays and the Boston Red Sox will play the second game of their three-game series at Fenway Park this evening. The Sox took Game 1 by a score of 7-2 and we are expecting much more of the same tonight.

Boston has taken down 11 of the last 13 meetings with Toronto and in those 11 victories they have covered the -1.5 runline every time, with an average margin of victory of 3.54 runs.

With Jays starter Aaron Sanchez still re-learning how to pitch and Red Sox hurler David Price enjoying a tremendous season - especially at home where he has a team win/loss record of 11-3 to go along with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.09 - take the Sox on the -1.5 runline at -130 and sprinkle on the alternative runline of -2.5 at +120.

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Storm coronation only a matter of time

SEATTLE (AP) If history is any indicator, the WNBA Finals are already over.

That may not be a fair assessment to make about the Washington Mystics, who head back home facing a 2-0 deficit to the Seattle Storm in the best-of-five series, and nearly pulled off a split in Seattle before falling short 75-73 in Game 2 on Sunday.

But the history of teams that have faced a 2-0 deficit since the league went to a best-of-five format in 2005 doesn't paint an optimistic picture for the Mystics. Four times before, the higher seed has swept the first two games at home. In all four occasions the series ended in Game 3.

''We feel really good, we feel really positive. We're going to be better,'' Washington guard Kristi Toliver said after Game 2. ''We were better from the day before. We're going to be better when we get home, and we're going to knock down shots.''

Whether it happens in a sweep or not, Seattle has positioned itself to join the elite of WNBA franchises. Seattle could become just the sixth franchise in league history to win three or more titles and join the defunct Houston Comets as the only franchise to have never lost a Finals appearance. The Comets were four-for-four before folding after the 2008 season.

Seattle is on the cusp of being three-for-three in the Finals, all of them with Sue Bird at the helm. Her running mate for Seattle's first two titles was Lauren Jackson. Now it's league MVP Breanna Stewart, who had an MVP-type performance in Game 2.

''For somebody who consistently has presence and consistently wants the ball and consistently is winning your team basketball games that's an MVP. ... In all honesty, she's been showing it all season,'' Bird said.

There's still a lot for Washington to overcome when it returns home for Game 3 on Wednesday night. After getting blown out in Game 1, the Mystics had a chance to get out of Seattle with a split, only to watch the Storm rally in the fourth quarter behind Stewart.

Seattle made a point of making sure Stewart got her hands on the ball in the fourth quarter. She made both of her shot attempts, took six free throws, grabbed two rebounds and had two steals in the fourth quarter alone, when Seattle outscored Washington 17-12.

Meanwhile, the Mystics couldn't figure out how to find Elena Delle Donne. Yes, she's not at 100 percent playing with a bone bruise in her left knee, but the absence of Delle Donne in the fourth quarter was a major factor in Game 2. She had just one shot attempt, no rebounds, no free throws in the final 10 minutes.

Seattle coach Dan Hughes said it was a focus from the outset of the game to get Stewart as many touches as possible.

''Your chances, your analytics for success with Breanna Stewart catching the ball twice is good, and I don't even know the exact number, but I've watched enough tape to know,'' Hughes said.

Washington coach Mike Thibault was annoyed with several things after Game 2, most dealing with officiating.

His opening statement noted the free throw difference between Stewart and Delle Donne (14 to 3), and an apparent non-call on Washington's next-to-last possession where Bird knocked the ball from Toliver as she drove the baseline. The scramble for the loose ball led to a jump ball that Seattle won and ended Washington's chance to escape the Pacific Northwest with a split.

''Obviously, it's really frustrating to not come away with the win, but we were able to see a lot of things, and we get to build on it for these next three games,'' Delle Donne said.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, September 12

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SEATTLE (31 - 10) at WASHINGTON (25 - 16) - 9/12/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) in road games on Wednesday since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SEATTLE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games this season.
SEATTLE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in a road game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 this season.
SEATTLE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SEATTLE is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
WASHINGTON is 34-56 ATS (-27.6 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 7-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Wednesday, September 12

Trend Report

Seattle Storm
Seattle is 17-8 ATS in its last 25 games
Seattle is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games
Seattle is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Seattle is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Seattle is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Mystics
Washington is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Washington is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Seattle
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

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WNBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 12


Seattle @ Washington

Game 617-618
September 12, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
112.119
Washington
120.849
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 8 1/2
172
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
166
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-3 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Sep 12 '18, 6:40 PM in 2h
MLB | Padres vs Mariners
Play on: Mariners -143 at BMaker

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Seattle Mariners -143
The Mariners are on their last life here and need wins in bunches. They should be able to handle the San Diego Padres tonight with Wade LeBlanc on the mound. The Padres are just 14-32 against left-handed starters this season. The left-hander is 8-3 with a 3.45 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 0.47 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in his last three starts. The Mariners are 15-3 in LeBlanc’s last 18 home starts. Seattle is 10-1 in LeBlanc’s last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The Padres are 4-22 in their last 26 interleague road games against left-handed starters. Give me the Mariners.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sean Murphy

Sep 12 '18, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | WAS vs PHI
Play on: UNDER 7½ -120

Wednesday MLB Free play. My selection is on the 'under' between Washington and Philadelphia at 7:05 pm et on Wednesday.
I'll back the 'under' at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday night.
Nationals starter Stephen Strasburg hasn't exactly been lights out since returning to the rotation following another injury, but has held his own over his last three starts, giving up just six earned runs in 17 2/3 innings of work. In his last five starts here in Philadelphia he has given up just seven earned runs in 33 2/3 innings pitched. The 'under' is 5-1 in Strasburg's last six outings against the Phillies.
Aaron Nola will counter for Philadelphia. He has worked at least into the sixth inning in each of his last eight starts. Note that he has given up two earned runs or less in six of those eight outings. In Nola's last three starts against Washington he has allowed a grand total of two earned runs on 14 hits over 22 2/3 innings of work. The 'under' is 6-1 in his last seven starts overall.
While both teams have been putting runs on the board with some consistency over the last week or so, I see this as an ideal pitching matchup to put a stop to that. Both clubs have trended to the 'under' overall this season. Take the under (8*).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Sep 12 '18, 7:05 PM in 2h
MLB | Nationals vs Phillies
Play on: Phillies -131 at GTBets

10* FREE MLB PICK (Phillies -131)
I'll take my chances here with the Phillies at home with ace Aaron Nola on the mound. It's do or die for Philadelphia right now. After losing both games in yesterday's double-header the Phillies have now lost 4 straight and are just 2-8 in their last 10. They are 6.5-games back of the Braves in the NL East and 6.5-games back of the Cardinals for the final Wild Card spot. Nola is just the guy to have on the mound to get them back on track. He's 9-1 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.993 WHIP in 14 home starts (12-2 team record). He's also owned the Nationals' in his 4 starts against them this season. In those 4 starts, Nola has allowed a mere 5 runs on 18 hits in 28 2/3 innings of work. Give me the Phillies -131!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Kenny Walker

Sep 12 '18, 8:05 PM in 3h
MLB | Brewers vs Cubs
Play on: Cubs -148 at GTBets

Free Pick on Cubs

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Dave Price

Sep 12 '18, 8:05 PM in 3h
MLB | Brewers vs Cubs
Play on: Brewers +147 at 5Dimes

Dave’s Wednesday Free Play:
1* on Milwaukee Brewers +147
The Key: The Brewers are just 2 games behind the Cubs for 1st place in the NL Central. I like the price we are getting with the Brewers today over the Cubs because I believe they have the edge on the mound. Chase Anderson has been at his best on the road this season, going 4-4 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 13 road starts. Kyle Hendricks has been very beatable this year at 11-10 with a 3.71 ERA through 29 starts. Anderson is 4-4 with a 2.91 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against the Cubs. He has yielded just 3 earned runs in 20 innings in his 3 starts against the Cubs in 2018. Hendricks has yielded 8 earned runs in 18 innings in his 3 starts against the Brewers in 2018. Take Milwaukee.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joseph D'Amico

Sep 12 '18, 8:10 PM in 3h
MLB | Yankees vs Twins
Play on: Yankees -1½ -125 at 5Dimes

I am on a 75-37 baseball run. Today, I continue to get you paid as I have my MLB 7-1 EARLY WINNER and my 21-6 AL EAST GAME OF THE WEEK. Get both and go 2-0.
Wednesday's FREE MLB WINNER: New York Yankees on the RUN LINE over Minnesota Twins.
Game 923.
5:10 pm pst.
New York has dominated Minnesota, taking 5 of the 6 meetings this season, and 9 of the L10, going back to last season, outscoring the Twins, 66-33 during that span. Team ERA and Wins Leader, Luis Severino takes the mound here. The RH is 17-7 with a 3.52 ERA on the season. RH, Jake Odorizzi gets the nod at home. The RH owns a 5-10, 4.57 mark on the campaign, getting plowed for 5 ER's in just 4.2 IP, in his only turn vs. the Yankees in 2018. New York is 42-20 the L62 in Minnesota, 56-18 the L74 overall vs. Minnesota, and 8-1 in Severino's L9 starts vs. the AL Central. Minnesota is 1-4 the L5 vs. the AL East, 1-7 the L8 vs. teams with a winning percentage of over .600, and 1-5 in Odorizzi's L6 starts vs. teams with a winning record. Take the Yankees on the RUN LINE. Thank you.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ryan Worden

Sep 12 '18, 8:15 PM in 3h
MLB | White Sox vs Royals
Play on: White Sox -126 at betonline

In August Carlos Rodon started five games in the month against teams like Tampa, Cleveland and the Yankees and got the win in three of them. In the other two games he recieved a no decision despite pitching fantastic. He struggled a little in two September starts against The Red Sox and Angels but that's to be expected with those two offenses.
Due to those losses we're getting a little value here against the Royals and pitcher Eric Skoglund who is making his second start since his three month stint on the DL. Rodon has another strong performance and the Sox win. Take Chicago On The Money Line.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Sep 12 '18, 8:15 PM in 3h
MLB | White Sox vs Royals
Play on: White Sox -126 at betonline

Jack’s Free Pick Wednesday: Chicago White Sox -126
The White Sox should be motivated for a victory here Wednesday night. They have lost seven straight and will be looking to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Royals. They have a big advantage on the mound tonight.
Carlos Rodon has been a huge bright spot for the White Sox this season. He is 6-5 with a 3.11 ERA and 1.083 WHIP in 16 starts. Rodon is also 2-2 with a 3.90 ERA in five career starts against Kansas City.
The Royals will counter with Eric Skoglund, who will be making his first start since late May and will clearly be on a pitch count. Skoglund is 1-5 with a 6.70 ERA and 1.389 WHIP in nine starts this season.
The White Sox are 4-0 in Rodon’s last four road starts. Chicago is 11-5 in its last 16 road games, including 5-1 in its last six road games vs. a left-handed starter. The Royals are 0-4 in Skoglund’s last four starts. Kansas City is 10-42 in its last 52 during Game 3 of a series. Bet the White Sox Wednesday.

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Dustin Hawkins

Sep 12 '18, 8:15 PM in 3h
MLB | White Sox vs Royals
Play on: Royals +117 at BMaker

Free Play on Royals +117