Service Plays Sunday 9/23/18

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11th Hour

11th: SUN NFL, 8u: 476 WAS+.5 1st Q. WAS+2 1st H. WAS+3g. 486 SEA-.5 1st Q SEA-1 1st H. SEA-1.5g. 470 BAL-.5 1st Q. BAL-3 1st H. BAL-5g.

11th: SUN NFL, 8u: 474 MIA-1.5 1st H. MIA-3g, 488 DET+.5 1st Q. DET+4 1st H. DET+7g. 480 KC O 7.5 1st Q. KC O 27.5 1st H. KC O 55g.

[FATMANWINS]

allan desrosiers
10 cinci
10 colts
7 sf
7 lac
7 zona
7 seattle ML

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Scott Rickenbach

10* TOM

New England / Detroit under 54.5

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Betting Resource

Sep 23: NFL: New Orleans - Atlanta
Back: New Orleans win Odds: 2.16
Risk: 8 Units Return:

Sep 23: NFL: Detroit - New England
Back: Detroit +7 Odds: 1.91
Risk: 8 Units Return:

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Chris Jordan
400♦ NFC
Game of the Month
Redskins +2

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Al DeMarco
Top-Rated 15 Dime Winner
Texans -6

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Cal Sports
5% Houston Texans

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Mti


Teasers
2 team 6 point 4 STAR
LAC±12.5 and NOS+9


3 team 10 point 4.5 STAR
BALT+5 ARI+14 KC+3.5

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Philly Godfather

Eagles Under 47
Saints +3
Seattle -2

[GetTheseDimes]

Ferringo Action SUNDAY NFL SELECTIONS 1-Unit Play. Take #463 Cincinnati (+3) over Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23) I think that the Bengals are the better team in this one. We went against Carolina for our Game of the Year last week. And even though they put up 400 yards of offense it never seemed like they were ever really a threat to win that game. Yes, the Panthers are tough at home. But they have also had to deal with a lot of hurricane-related distractions this week and that could take its toll. Also, the Bengals defense is tougher in the front seven than Atlanta's. And I think that the Bengals can dominate Carolina's beaten-up offensive line. The Bengals had extra time to rest and prep for this game and including the preseason they are on a 7-1 ATS rush. I have this Carolina team struggling this season and I think that they are going to take a loss here. 5-Unit Play. Take #466 Jacksonville (-6.5) over Tennessee (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23) There is pretty much no way that Tennessee should've beaten Houston last week. They scored on a fake punt and took advantage of some breathtaking Houston stupidity to absolutely steal a win at home last week. Now they are on the road and I think they are going to get pummeled. It absolutely doesn't matter who starts for the Titans this week. Blaine Gabbert sucks and will get lit up by the Jacksonville defense. And injured Marcus Mariotta stinks and will get lit up by the Jacksonville defense. The Titans lost their best receiving option and they might still be without their top three tackles. Tennessee was outgained by 154 yards last week and if you include the preseason they have been outgained in seven straight contests dating back to last season. Not great! They have a rookie head coach going on the road here and that didn't work so well in their game at Miami in Week 1. Jacksonville is an entirely different animal and this team is tough. They are playing at a high level and have a lot of confidence after dismantling the Patriots last week. That was a big revenge win for the Jags. Now they want to get a revenge win against a Titans team that swept the series last year. The home team has won seven of the last eight meetings and the favorite has gone 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. I don't see any way that this game isn't a bludgeoning. 2-Unit Play. Take #468 Atlanta (-3) over New Orleans (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23) New Orleans should be 0-2 right now. And those two losses should've come at home against the Bucs and Browns - not exactly top competition. And both games were at home. So the red flags are flying all over this group right now. The New Orleans defense looks terrible. And that's bad news going up against an Atlanta offense that just dominated a very good Carolina offense one week after it dominated a very good Philadelphia defense. The Falcons rang up 31 points against Carolina and they should've scored much, much more against the Eagles. I don't think that will be a worry this week. The home team has won three straight and the Falcons have won three of four in this series. I know the underdog has done well when these two meet. But I just think that Atlanta looks like the better team right now. They are one of the best home teams in the NFL. And the Saints, who have been outgained in back-to-back weeks and nearly lost back-to-back weeks as a double-digit favorite - are clearly being overrated by the public and the market. 2-Unit Play. Take #475 Green Bay (-3) over Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23) I am stunned at how good Washington looked in Week 1 and then how bad they looked in Week 2. This team obviously doesn't have a home field advantage and there is now bad karma surrounding this group again. Aaron Rodgers is absolutely slinging it right now. The Packers have scored 53 points against two of arguably the top five defenses in football right now. The Redskins couldn't get off the field against Andrew Luck and the Colts so I don't expect much more against Rodgers and the Packers. Also, Captain Checkdown, Alex Smith, is going to have to make some plays if he is going to want to beat Rodgers. And I don't know that he has it in him with this well below average receiving group, which is worlds worse than what Smith was packing when he was in Kansas City. Green Bay is 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings with the Redskins, dating all the way back to the mid-80's. I think it is tough to pass on Rodgers against just about anyone with this short number and I will bit here with the Skins. 2-Unit Play. Take #482 L.A. Rams (-7) over L.A. Chargers (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23) I will take the home team in the ?Battle for L.A.?. (God that is a lame slogan.) The Rams are just the better team. And for my money they are the best team in football. Over the last six quarters they have outscored their opponents 57-0. And the games haven't even been that close. I don't buy all the Chargers hype. At all. Why does everyone love this team so much? I like Phil Rivers as much as the next guy. But he's not getting any younger. And when was the last big road game that this team has won? They were no competitive in their home opener against the Chiefs, a team that has an offense that is as potent as the Rams'. San Diego doesn't have a very good offensive line, their lead running back is banged up, they still don't have Joey Bosa, and their secondary is mediocre on its best day. There are too many holes on this team that they expect Rivers to cover for. And it is not as if Rivers hasn't had his share of two- and three-interception games trying to keep this team afloat. That's exactly what I see here. I think the Rams front seven will dominate this game and force Rivers into some mistakes. From their the cool efficiency of the Rams offense should take control of this game. 1-Unit Play. Take #484 Arizona (+6) over Chicago (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23) Win on Monday, lose on Sunday. Just look at the Jets. They looked like world beaters in their dominating MNF week in Week 1. What happened? They came back home on a short week and threw up on themselves against the Dolphins. Now its Chicago's turn after a big MNF win at home against Seattle. The Bears still don't have a quarterback. And I don't think their offense is good enough where they can be expected to just walk into an opponent's stadium and be expected to come home with a win by a touchdown or more. Arizona is in early season desperation mode. They can be excused for getting thrashed by the Rams last week; L.A. is going to do that to a lot of teams this year. I think the Cardinals can show a baseline competence in this game and while I expect them to lose I think they will do it in a close, sloppy, poorly executed game that I can see being somewhere around 23-20. 7-Unit Play. Take #487 New England (-6.5) over Detroit (8 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23) I don't see any way that this game isn't a blowout for the Patriots. First off, you never need an excuse to bet on the Patriots. Over the last 15 years this is the most profitable team in NFL history against the spread. They have covered nearly 65 percent of their games during that stretch and the Patriots are 39-18 ATS in their last 57 games over the last four seasons. New England is also coming off a loss. They are a phenomenal 43-18 (70.1 percent) ATS in their last 61 games after a loss and this team usually goes bonkers on opponents after taking an L. Bill Belichick is also facing one of his old assistants, Matt Patricia. Patricia is a pud. He did next to nothing to earn that job and he has been nothing but incompetent to this point in it. I think that Belichick can and will absolutely bury his former defensive coordinator. The Lions have looked like trash in both of their games. They were blown out by 47-10 in their home opener by the Jets. (Read that sentence again.) Then they were down 30-13 late in the fourth quarter against the 49ers before some vintage Matt Stafford garbage time scores made that final score look way, way closer than it should've been. This team is not good. By all reports the players don't really like Patricia and haven't taken to his style. And they don't have the personnel to really get after the Patriots in this one. These guys were one of the worst teams in the league in the preseason and have been one of the worst teams in the league to this point in the season. We've seen what the Pats do to bad teams: they bury them. That's exactly what I think they do here. 1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #479 San Francisco (+13.5) over Kansas City (1 p.m.) AND Take #461 Indianapolis (+13.5) over Philadelphia (1 p.m.) 1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #482 L.A. Rams (-0.5) over L.A. Chargers (4 p.m.) AND Take #466 Jacksonville (PK) over Tennessee (1 p.m., 1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #478 Minnesota (-10) over Buffalo (1 p.m.) AND Take #487 New England (Pk) over Detroit (8 p.m.) This Week's Totals 1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 44.0 Denver at Baltimore (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23) 6-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 43.5 Oakland at Miami (1 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23) I see a good old fashioned shootout between two teams with gunslinging quarterbacks and shaky defenses. The Raiders have only put up 32 points in their two games. But they have faced two very strong defenses in the Rams and Broncos. The Dolphins are not in that class. And I think that their defense has been playing over its head a bit. The Jets squandered several opportunities last week and rang up nearly 400 yards. I think the Raiders will be able to take advantage of those opportunities. The Dolphins are just No. 26 in total yards on offense. But I think they have more talent in the passing game than they've let on. And I expect them to take some shots down the field against a Raiders secondary that has been up and down. The 'over' is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these two teams, including a 27-24 contest down in South Beach last November. And the 'over' is 10-4 in Miami's last 14 home games. In fact, the Fins have gone 'over' in nine of their last 13 games overall. Oakland has gone 'under' in nine straight regular season games and 12 of 13 games overall, dating back to last year. I know you never want to bet against a streak. But those numbers are unsustainable. Both teams are going to ring up at least 20 points and I see this one getting 'over'. 3-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 37.5 Chicago at Arizona (4 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23) 1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 52.0 New England at Detroit (8 p.m., Sunday, Sept. 23)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Sprietzer

8-U NFL O/U GOY!

Cardinals/Bears over 38 1/2

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NFL Football(Bob Balfe)
1:00PM EST
Rotation #463-464
Bengals +3 over Panthers
Carolina came into this year without their left guard and left tackle healthy. In week 3 they are now without their right guard and right tackle. At the skill position this team only has 2 of their top 8 receiving targets from last year playing in this game. The Bengals are a healthier football team and for the most part field the same team from last year. This is a Cincinnati team that can always beat you with AJ Green and the comradery between these players goes a long way. Look for the Panthers to be a little off today. Take the Bengals.


Added

Saints +2

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Wiseguy Insider

49ers +6.5

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Paul Leiner

2500* Seahawks -1
100* Patriots -7
100* Vikings -16.5
100* Over 54.5 Niners/Chiefs

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Northcoast

3.5 Dal/Sea Under 41
3 Miami -3
3 LA Chargers +7