Thursday 9-27-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Tech Trends - Week 4
Bruce Marshall

Thursday, Sept. 27

MINNESOTA at L.A. RAMS (FOX/NFL, 8:30 p.m. ET)
Zimmer 19-9 as dog since arriving at Vikes in 2014. Also 6-3 vs. spread last nine away.
Tech Edge: Slight to Vikings, based on team trends.

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RAMS, VIKINGS HURTING

Minnesota visits the L.A. Rams on Thursday Night Football in a game where multiple impact players could be missing. We know for sure that Rams CB Aqib Talib (ankle) is out and CB Marcus Peters (calf) isn’t expected to play, though he hasn’t officially been ruled out. For the Vikings, defensive end Everson Griffen (personal) is out, while running back Dalvin Cook (hamstring) is questionable.

So, what does it all mean? Well, it might be a good night to look the Over. Even without the defensive injuries, the Rams seem to be trending in that direction as the total has gone Over in two of their three games this season (and only didn’t go Over in Week 2 because Arizona put up a goose egg). The Rams are unstoppable on offense and seem to be content keeping their foot on the gas and piling up points right until the end. Additionally, they’re catching the Vikings defense at the right time as it has given up 56 points over the last two games. Finally, the Vikings might be throwing all night due to Cook’s injury and to L.A.’s cornerback issues. The total is high at 49.5 but we’re still feeling good about the Over.

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Teams to Watch - Week 4

Futures Forecast Predictions, top picks, teams to avoid for Week 4

As we look ahead to Week 4 of the 2018 NFL season, we are putting together our weekly set of teams to play and avoid. It has been a bit of a strange start to the season, with some of the teams we expected to be on top struggling in the early going. There are a couple of dark horse teams emerging, too, but with a large portion of the season still to be played, we are trying not to get too carried away with those guys.

We will, as always, be taking a look at 4 teams this week, picking 2 to play and 2 to avoid, so let’s get right to the selections and their odds, props and futures.

Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots
I can’t remember the last time I looked at the standings and did not see the New England Patriots on top of the AFC East. They have started the season at 1-2 and do not look anything like the Patriots team that we have come to expect over the past decade or so, especially on the offensive side of the football. The Patriots will be hosting their division rivals, the Miami Dolphins, this week and will have their hands full with a team brimming with confidence after starting the season at 3-0. While the Patriots have dominated the Dolphins in recent years, I have my doubts about this weekend, particularly ATS, which is why I plan to avoid the New England Patriots.

Minnesota Vikings at LA Rams
There have been few teams that have lived up to the preseason hype through the opening 4 weeks, although the Rams are certainly not in that group. The Rams spent a small fortune in the offseason building a team designed to make a run at the Super Bowl. That big investment is paying off in spades, as they are one of only 3 unbeaten teams heading into Week 4. This will be a big test for the Rams, as they will be hosting a Minnesota Vikings team sure to be smarting after a loss to the Buffalo Bills last week. The Vikings are another big favorite this season, but they are off to a slow start, which is why I will be looking at the SU as I I play the LA Rams.

San Francisco 49ers at LA Chargers
A season that started with so much hope and promise is quickly turning into a nightmare for the San Francisco 49ers. The believed that Jimmy Garoppolo was going to be the man to lead them back to elite status, but the QB tore his ACL last week and is now done for the year. Throw in an injury to Richard Sherman and you are looking that a team that has injuries starting to pile up. Things do not get any easier for the 49ers this weekend, as they will be on the road to face Phillip Rivers and the Chargers. Until I see how this tam reacts to the loss of their QB, I am going to avoid the San Francisco 49ers.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos
At the start of this piece, I spoke about the importance of not getting too carried away by a dark horse team, but it’s impossible not to be impressed by what the Kansas City Chiefs are doing right now. Specifically, the play of young QB Patrick Mahomes has been a joy to behold, as he seems to be doing nothing but throwing TD passes through the opening 3 weeks of the season. The Chiefs have a tough road trip on Monday night, as they head into Denver to face the Broncos. It’s never an easy place to go and get a win, but I am ready to play the Kansas City Chiefs.

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Marc Lawrence Incredible Stat of the Day:

The Minnesota Vikings are 2-10 UNDER on the non-division road, and 1-5 UNDER in games after scoring 7 or fewer points. In addition, NFL Thursday non-division games with a total of more than 38 points have gone 3-11 UNDER the last 3 years.

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New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays Preview and Predictions 09-27-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 27th September 2018 by Gracenote
The New York Yankees were unable to take that next step toward hosting the American League wild-card game after seeing their late rally fall short in an 8-7 setback to the Tampa Bay Rays on Wednesday. The Yankees (97-61) won't have long to dust themselves off as they return to Tropicana Field on Thursday afternoon when they conclude their four-game series against the Rays (88-70).

Neil Walker's three-run homer in the first inning was all New York could muster before its four-run uprising in the ninth versus Tampa Bay, who saw Tommy Pham extend his hitting streak to 10 games with a solo shot in the third. Pham is 16-for-36 during his hitting streak and carries a career-best on-base run of 28 straight contests heading into Thursday's tilt versus the Yankees, against whom he is 5-for-12 with four extra-base hits (three doubles, one homer). While Tampa Bay was mathematically eliminated earlier this week, New York holds a 1 1/2-game lead over Oakland for the honor of hosting next Wednesday's wild-card game. Luke Voit had three singles to increase his hit total to five in the series and improve to 23-for-76 with 15 runs scored in September.

TV: 1:10 p.m. ET, MLB Network, YES (New York), FS Sun Tampa Bay

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees LH CC Sabathia (8-7, 3.77 ERA) vs. Rays RH Jaime Schultz (2-1, 4.55)

Sabathia snapped a five-start winless stretch with a strong outing against Baltimore on Friday, allowing two runs on six hits in six innings of a 10-8 triumph. The 38-year-old has struggled versus Tampa Bay this season, dropping both starts while permitting the Rays to record 19 hits and bat .358 against him. Matt Duffy (5-for-9) and Carlos Gomez (9-for-21) have enjoyed success versus Sabathia, who needs to pitch seven innings to reach 155 for the season and receive a $500,000 bonus.

Schultz will receive his first start of the season in the series finale after striking out two in one inning against the Yankees on Monday. That outing likely gave the 27-year-old a boost in confidence after he was shredded for four runs on three hits while recording just one out at Toronto on Thursday. Schultz has made three appearances versus New York this season, allowing two runs on one hit in four innings without picking up a decision.

WALK-OFFS

1. New York OF Andrew McCutchen is 5-for-11 with five runs scored in the series.

2. Tampa Bay OF Kevin Kiermaier sustained a hairline fracture in his right foot during Wednesday's game..

3. Yankees DH Aaron Judge is 4-for-12 with two RBIs and two runs scored in the series.

PREDICTION: Yankees 3, Rays 2

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Philadelphia Phillies vs. Colorado Rockies Preview and Predictions 09-27-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 27th September 2018 by Gracenote
The red-hot Colorado Rockies aim to complete a four-game dismantling of the visiting Philadelphia Phillies when the series concludes on Thursday afternoon. The Rockies have outscored Philadelphia 34-4 while winning the first three games to move into first place in the National League West - one-half game ahead of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Colorado is riding a six-game winning streak during which it has outscored its opponents 47-7. David Dahl has homered in all three games of the series and is 6-for-14 with nine RBIs for the Rockies, who racked up 16 hits - four homers - in Wednesday's 14-0 shellacking. Trevor Story went 3-for-4 with a two-run blast and has belted eight shots this month despite missing five games due to an elbow injury. Philadelphia's late-season decline includes a season-worst seven-game slide and losses in 26 of its last 36 contests.

TV: 3:10 p.m. ET, NBCS Philadelphia, AT&T SportsNet-Rocky Mountain (Colorado)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Phillies RH Jake Arrieta (10-10, 3.94 ERA) vs. Rockies RH Antonio Senzatela (6-6, 4.52)

Arrieta lasted just two innings in his last turn as he gave up four runs and four hits in a loss to Atlanta. The 32-year-old is just 1-4 with a 6.64 ERA in his last eight turns, working five frames of fewer in five of the outings. Arrieta is 2-2 with a 6.61 ERA in five career starts against the Rockies and has struggled in two at Coors Field, losing both while compiling a 14.54 ERA.

Senzatela has won back-to-back starts, allowing two runs and eight hits over 12 innings. The 23-year-old picked up a key win over Arizona in his last turn as he gave up one run and three hits over seven frames. Senzatela's lone career appearance against the Phillies came in relief on Aug. 4, 2017, when he permitted two runs and three hits over two innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Rockies RHP German Marquez matched the modern-day record by striking out the first eight batters he faced on Wednesday, and his 11 for the game raised his season total to a franchise record 221, surpassing Ubaldo Jimenez (214 in 2010).

2. Washington C Wilson Ramos (wrist) sat out Wednesday after going 0-for-11 over his previous four contests.

3. Colorado CF Charlie Blackmon was hitless in four at-bats on Wednesday as his career-high 17-game hitting streak came to an end.

PREDICTION: Rockies 12, Phillies 1

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Houston Astros vs. Baltimore Orioles Preview and Predictions 09-27-2018 in MLB

Prior to testing their mettle against baseball's best in the upcoming playoffs, the Houston Astros will conclude the regular season against the majors-worst Baltimore Orioles in the opener of a four-game series on Thursday. The Astros (100-58) need three wins to break the club mark for victories in a season while the Orioles (46-112) set their franchise record in losses with Wednesday's 19-3 drubbing in the opener of a doubleheader versus Boston.

Braves vs. Mets Preview and Predictions

Carlos Correa returned following a six-game absence due to a sore back and had an RBI single in Wednesday's 3-1 setback to Toronto, marking just the fifth loss in 23 contests this month for American League West champion Houston. The 23-year-old had an inside-the-park homer as part of a two-hit, three-RBI performance as the Astros highlighted a three-game sweep of Baltimore with a 10-6 triumph on April 3. The Orioles' fortunes sadly didn't improve from there, and their 6-18 mark in their last 24 contests aren't making them feel any better. Trey Mancini, who is 9-for-26 during his six-game hitting streak, drove in three runs and scored twice during Baltimore's 10-3 win over the Red Sox in Wednesday's nightcap.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, AT&T SportsNet Southwest (Houston), MASN (Baltimore)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Astros RH Gerrit Cole (15-5, 2.92 ERA) vs. Orioles RH David Hess (3-10, 5.14)
Cole is looking to finish the regular-season with a flourish, as he enters his final start with a 5-0 mark and 3.54 ERA in his past seven outings. The 28-year-old struck out 12 in seven innings of Friday's 11-3 win against the Los Angeles Angels, increasing his total to 65 over his last 40 2/3 frames. Cole will be making his first career appearance versus Baltimore, although Jace Peterson is 3-for-7 and three walks against him.

Hess has received a pair of no-decisions in his last two starts despite surrendering five homers in that stretch and four walks in his last trip to the mound on Saturday. The 25-year-old has permitted 21 homers and 35 walks in 20 outings (96 1/3 innings) this season. Hess will be making his first career start versus Houston.

WALK-OFFS

1. Houston 1B Yuli Gurriel is 19-for-45 with three homers, 15 RBIs and eight runs scored during his 11-game hitting streak.

2. Orioles OF Adam Jones, who had three hits in the nightcap, went 5-for-12 with a homer and four RBIs in the previous series versus the Astros.

3. Houston CF Jake Marisnick has a double and triple with two runs scored during his four-game hitting streak.

PREDICTION: Astros 7, Orioles 2

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Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Preview and Predictions 09-27-2018 in MLB

The combination of injuries and poor performance has resulted in a lost season for Dominic Smith, but as the New York Mets host the Atlanta Braves for the final time in 2018 on Thursday, their first baseman looks to build off an encouraging finish. Smith has at least one hit in four of his past five games, going 2-for-4 with a homer and two RBIs Wednesday as New York gave Jacob deGrom a victory in his final start, a 3-0 triumph that evened the series at one game apiece.

As bad as the Mets season has been - New York is 63-83 since starting the year 11-1 - deGrom has been just as good despite winning only his 10th game Wednesday as New York struggled all season to provide him run support. The Braves pitched well in seeing their six-game winning streak snapped, but finished with a season low-tying two hits. Atlanta, the National League East champions, began Wednesday 1 � games ahead of the Dodgers for the second seed in the NL playoffs and home-field advantage in the NL Division Series, starting Oct. 4. Left fielder Ronald Acuna Jr. stole his 16th base and collected one of the Braves hits Wednesday, and has at least one hit in six of his past nine games.

TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, FS Southeast (Atlanta), SNY (New York)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Braves RH Julio Teheran (9-8, 4.03 ERA) vs. Mets LH Jason Vargas (6-9, 6.25)

Teheran has one final shot to show the Braves he belongs in the playoff rotation, after an outstanding start Friday against Philadelphia in which a misplayed ball in the outfield resulted in three earned runs. Teheran gave up four runs in all against the Phillies on five hits in 6 1/3 innings, and since July 30 the 27-year-old is 2-1 with a 3.32 ERA and a .177 opponents batting average. Teheran is 1-1 in four starts against the Mets this season with a 1.69 ERA.

The Mets had high hopes for Vargas, who led the majors with 18 wins while making the AL All-Star team in 2017 with Kansas City, but he enters his 20th start of the season with a career-worst ERA. The 35-year-old has pitched better lately, posting a 3.79 ERA while going 4-2 in his past eight starts, and has allowed fewer than three earned runs in six of his past seven outings. Vargas is 1-2 with a 6.14 ERA in three starts against Atlanta this season, giving up 19 hits in 14 2/3 innings.

WALK-OFFS

1. Atlanta SS Dansby Swanson (partially torn ligament in left hand) will miss the final four games of the regular season, but the Braves hope he can return next week for the NLDS.

2. New York LF Michael Conforto recorded a homer and a double Wednesday, and has 14 homers and 43 RBIs since Aug. 1.

3. Mets RF Brandon Nimmo drew two walks Wednesday, and has walked eight times in the past three games while drawing at least one free pass in 12 of his past 13 games.

PREDICTION: Braves 6, Mets 3

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubs Preview and Predictions 09-27-2018 in MLB

For one day only, there will be no scoreboard-watching for the Chicago Cubs. The Cubs take their one-half game lead over idle Milwaukee in the National League Central into the finale of their four-game series against the visiting Pittsburgh Pirates on Thursday.

The Cubs and Brewers both clinched playoff spots on Wednesday, but Chicago's 7-6 win in 10 innings ensured it at least one more day alone in first place. Albert Almora's RBI single in the 10th, after the Pirates scored twice in both the eighth and ninth to tie it, reduced the Cubs' magic number to win the division to four. It was a welcomed outburst for an offense that had totaled only five runs in its previous six games against the Pirates, including one in the first two contests of this series. The Pirates have relished the role of spoiler in recent weeks, but Thursday's game is their last chance before finishing with three contests at Cincinnati.

TV: 8:05 p.m. ET, MLB Network, AT&T SportsNet-Pittsburgh, NBCS Chicago

PITCHING MATCHUP: Pirates RH Trevor Williams (14-9, 3.04 ERA) vs. Cubs LH Jon Lester (17-6, 3.43)

Williams is enjoying a breakout season thanks to a dominant second half. The 26-year-old has recorded eight scoreless outings in his last 12 starts, posting a 1.00 ERA over that stretch. Williams is 2-3 with a 3.41 ERA in seven career games (five starts) against the Cubs.

Lester is 3-1 with a 1.90 ERA in four starts this month after limiting the Chicago White Sox to three runs - two earned - over five innings in a victory last time out. The 34-year-old has been better on the road than at home, though, as he is 6-4 with a 3.96 ERA in 16 starts at Wrigley Field. Lester is 8-6 with a 3.38 ERA in 17 career starts against Pittsburgh.

WALK-OFFS

1. Cubs 3B-OF Kris Bryant (wrist) did not play on Wednesday

2. Chicago 2B Daniel Murphy is 10-for-28 during his six-game hitting streak.

3. Pirates RHP Edgar Santana will undergo Tommy John surgery and miss the 2019 season, the club announced Wednesday.

PREDICTION: Pirates 2, Cubs 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Detroit Tigers vs. Minnesota Twins Preview and Predictions 09-27-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 27th September 2018 by Gracenote
Tigers vs. Twins Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 09/27/2018

The Minnesota Twins have had their way with the Detroit Tigers of late, winning seven of the last nine meetings between the American League Central rivals. Minnesota looks to complete the season series with another victory when it hosts Detroit on Thursday for the rubber match of their three-game set.

The Twins cruised to an 11-4 triumph on Wednesday, registering 14 hits en route to improving to 11-7 versus the Tigers this year and 18-8 in their last 26 matchups. Johnny Field went deep twice for his first career multi-homer performance and Tyler Austin belted a two-run shot as eight of Minnesota's nine players in the starting lineup recorded at least one hit. Detroit squandered an early 1-0 lead but battled back to forge a 4-4 tie before surrendering two runs in the fourth inning and five in the following frame. Christian Stewart tripled and drove in a pair of runs as the Tigers were thwarted in their attempt to post back-to-back victories for the first time in more than two weeks.

TV: 8:10 p.m. ET, FS Detroit, FS North (Minnesota)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Tigers LH Francisco Liriano (5-11, 4.40 ERA) vs. Twins LH Gabriel Moya (3-1, 4.72)

Liriano has struggled to get in the win column since capturing three of his four decisions in April but had won two of three starts before suffering a loss against Kansas City on Friday, when he yielded four runs - one earned - and six hits in six innings. The 34-year-old Dominican has kept the ball in the park in each of his four outings in September after serving up seven home runs over 21 1/3 frames in five turns last month. Liriano, who spent the first 6 1/2 years of his career with the Twins, is 3-3 with a 6.40 ERA in seven career starts against his former club - including two losses in as many outings this season.

Moya will be making his sixth start of the season and second in three games after issuing one walk in a scoreless inning against Detroit on Tuesday. The 23-year-old Venezuelan has made each of his last three turns as the "opener" versus the Tigers, allowing three hits over three scoreless frames. Moya also made three relief appearances against Detroit this year and permitted one hit over three innings without yielding a run.

WALK-OFFS

1. Wednesday's triumph gave Minnesota's Paul Molitor the 300th victory of his managerial career.

2. Tigers C James McCann has gone 3-for-7 with three RBIs over the first two contests of the series.

3. Twins SS Jorge Polanco has feasted on Detroit pitching in the set, going 4-for-9 with four RBIs over the first two games.

PREDICTION: Tigers 5, Twins 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cleveland Indians vs. Kansas City Royals Preview and Predictions 09-27-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 27th September 2018 by Gracenote
Indians vs. Royals Preview and Predictions

by Gracenote on 09/27/2018

The Cleveland Indians are looking forward to next week's American League Division Series matchup with Houston and have little for which to play as they open a four-game series against the host Kansas City Royals on Thursday. However, the Royals need at least one win to assure they won't match the franchise record for most losses (106 in 2005).

Kansas City, which has won three straight games, is riding the hot bat of Whit Merrifield, who owns a 16-game hitting streak to go with a .307 average. Merrifield, who has hit 42 doubles this year, recorded two stolen bases in Wednesday's 6-1 interleague victory in Cincinnati to increase his AL-leading total to 41 and join Johnny Damon (42, 46 in 2000) as the only players in franchise history with at least 40 doubles and 40 steals in a season. The Indians rolled to a 10-2 victory over the Chicago White Sox on Wednesday as Edwin Encarnacion went 3-for-4 with a homer and four RBIs while Francisco Lindor launched his ninth leadoff blast of the season. Cleveland has won four of its last five games and needs one victory in the series to reach 90 for the third straight campaign.

TV: 8:15 p.m. ET, SportsTime Ohio (Cleveland), FS Kansas City

PITCHING MATCHUP: Indians RH Josh Tomlin (2-5, 6.44 ERA) vs. Royals RH Glenn Sparkman (0-3, 4.86)

Tomlin, who is on the bubble for a postseason roster spot, will be making his ninth start of the season. The 33-year-old lasted just four innings in his most recent outing as he yielded four runs and eight hits in a no-decision against the White Sox. Tomlin is 10-5 with a 3.93 ERA in 26 career appearances (21 starts) against the Royals and has been torched by Salvador Perez (20-for-40, one homer, eight doubles, six RBIs).

Sparkman is making his third career start and 15th appearance as he strives to record his first major-league win. The 26-year-old last started on Aug. 21, when he gave up three runs and seven hits over four innings in a loss to Tampa Bay. Sparkman owns a 1.71 WHIP and opponents are batting .309 against him.

WALK-OFFS

1. The Indians are 10-5 versus the Royals this season.

2. Cleveland INF Erik Gonzalez got hit in the head by a pitch during Wednesday's game and will be re-evaluated on Thursday.

3. Kansas City LF Alex Gordon went 2-for-4 with a homer and two RBIs on Wednesday, giving him 18 RBIs in September after entering the month with 37.

PREDICTION: Indians 7, Royals 4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners Preview and Predictions 09-27-2018 in MLB

MLB Previews 27th September 2018 by Gracenote
by Gracenote on 09/27/2018

The first leg of the Texas Rangers' season-ending seven-game road trip was anything but a success, but the team hopes to conclude 2018 on a high note, starting with the opener of its four-game series against the Seattle Mariners on Thursday. Texas, which took two of three from the Mariners at home last weekend, lost a pair of one-run decisions as it began its trek by being swept by the Los Angeles Angels.

The Rangers held a pair of one-run leads in Wednesday's 3-2 setback as Adrian Beltre and Jurickson Profar belted solo homers before reliever Chris Martin served up a tiebreaking blast by Shohei Ohtani in the eighth inning. Seattle's Ben Gamel delivered a two-run double in Wednesday's 9-3 loss to Oakland, the Mariners' fourth setback in their six contests. Seattle's pitching staff has been roughed up in that span, surrendering a total of 38 runs - and at least six in each of the last four games. Slugger Nelson Cruz lifted a sacrifice fly Wednesday and needs to drive in four runs over his last four contests to reach the 100-RBI plateau for a third consecutive season and fourth time in five years.

TV: 10:10 p.m. ET, FS Southwest (Texas), ROOT Northwest (Seattle)

PITCHING MATCHUP: Rangers RH Ariel Jurado (4-5, 6.66 ERA) vs. Mariners LH Marco Gonzales (13-9, 4.12)

After getting the start in each of his first seven appearances this season, Jurado has entered behind an "opener" on four straight occasions and recorded the win in the last two. The 22-year-old Panamanian rookie worked five innings in his first career meeting with Seattle on Friday, allowing two runs and six hits. Jurado has posted a ghastly 7.96 ERA on the road, which is nearly three runs higher than his mark at home (5.16).

Gonzales lost all four of his starts in August but has rebounded nicely, going 1-0 while allowing four runs over 16 innings in three outings this month. The victory came Saturday at Texas, where the 26-year-old native of Colorado permitted one hit over six scoreless frames. Gonzales is 2-1 with a 3.57 ERA in three outings against the Rangers this year, allowing an unearned run and five hits over 12 2/3 innings in the triumphs.

WALK-OFFS

1. Mariners INF Robinson Cano is riding an eight-game hitting streak during which he has gone 16-for-33 with two homers and eight RBIs.

2. Texas OF Joey Gallo, who hit his 40th home run a day earlier, struck out in all four at-bats Wednesday to extend his team record to 204 on the season.

3. Seattle has yet to name starters for the final two games of the series, although LHP James Paxton likely will take the mound Saturday.

PREDICTION: Mariners 6, Rangers 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 27

National League
Phillies (78-80) @ Rockies (88-70)
Arrieta is 0-1, 8.25 in his last three starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Team in his starts: 14-16, 5-8 road
5-inning record: 15-10-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-30

Senzatela is 2-0, 1.50 in his last two starts (under 10-2). Team in his starts: 6-6, 3-2 home
5-inning record: 4-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-12

Phillies are 7-23 in their last 30 road games; over is 9-4-2 in their last 15 road games. Colorado won its last six games; under is 9-5-1 in their last 15 games.

Braves (89-69) @ Mets (74-84)
Teheran is 0-1, 4.41 in his last three starts; under is 10-5 in his last 15. Team in his starts: 18-12, 7-5 away
5-inning record: 11-12-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 15-30 (8 of last 11)

Vargas is 4-1, 3.41 in his last six starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 7-12, 3-4 home
5-inning record: 8-11 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-19

Atlanta won six of its last seven games; under is 11-5 in their last 16 road games. Mets won four of their last six games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 games.

Pirates (80-77) @ Cubs (92-66)
Williams is 4-0, 1.21 in his last five starts; under is 9-1 in his last ten. Team in his starts: 16-14, 7-6 away
5-inning record: 12-11-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-30

Lester is 2-0, 2.25 in his last two starts; over is 12-4 in his last 16. Team in his starts: 23-8, 11-5 home
5-inning record: 17-18-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-31

Pittsburgh won eight of their last 11 games; under is 10-4-1 in their last 15 road games. Cubs lost four of their last seven games; five of their last eight games went over.

American League
New York (96-61) @ Tampa Bay (88-69)
Sabathia is 1-3, 6.75 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 15-13, 5-7 away
5-inning record: 13-11-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-28

Glasnow is 1-2, 2.37 in his last three starts (under 7-2-1). Team in his starts: 4-6, 3-1 home
5-inning record: 3-6-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-10

New York won six of its last nine games; under is 5-3-1 in their last nine road games. Tampa Bay lost three of its last five games; over is 9-4 in their last 13 home games.

Astros (100-58) @ Orioles (46-112)
Cole is 4-0, 3.94 in his last five starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 23-8, 11-5 away
5-inning record: 18-7-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-31

Ramirez is 0-3, 10.22 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 3-8, 2-4 home
5-inning record: 2-6-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-11

Houston won eight of its last 11 games; under is 3-0 in their last three games. Orioles played a DH yesterday; they’re 5-8 in their last 13 games; three of their last four games went over.

Tigers (64-94) @ Twins (73-84)
Liriano is 1-2, 4.74 in his last three starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Team in his starts: 10-16, 6-10 away
5-inning record: 9-12-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-26

Berrios is 0-3, 5.40 in his last five starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Team in his starts: 15-16, 11-6 home
5-inning record: 10-15-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-31

Tigers lost six of their last nine games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine road games. Minnesota won six of its last nine games; under is 7-3-1 in their last 11 home games.

Indians (89-69) @ Royals (56-102)
Tomlin is 0-0, 6.64 in his last four starts (over 5-2-1). Team in his starts: 1-7, 0-3 away
5-inning record: 2-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-8

Sparkman is 0-1, 5.63 in his two starts (under 2-0). Team in his starts: 1-1, 1-0 home
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-2

Indians won four of their last five games; they’re 11-6 in last 17 road series openers- over is 12-9 in their last 21 road games. Kansas City won four of its last five games; they’re 6-0 in last six home series openers. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

Rangers (66-92) @ Mariners (85-72)
Jurado is 0-3, 8.85 in his last four starts (over 5-2). Team in his starts: 3-4, 1-3 away
5-inning record: 2-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-7

Gonzales is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine. Team in his starts: 16-12, 8-5 home
5-inning record: 15-10-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-28

Texas lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 9-5 in last 14 road series openers- under is 3-0-1 in their last four games. Seattle is 4-6 in its last ten games; over is 5-1 in their last six games.

______________________________

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/18
Ariz 38-28-12……35-25-13……..73-53
Atl 32-30-13…..35-31-10………67-61
Cubs 31-32-14……33-31-11…….64-63
Reds 25-45-6……29-34-11….…54-79
Colo 35-29-15……37-26-11……71-55
LA 40-28-8…….34-29-16……74-57
Mia 25-38-10…..32-31-15…….57-69
Milw 31-34-10…..39-30-8…….70-64
Mets 36-33-10……28-28-16…..64-61
Philly 27-30-16…..37-28-11……64-58
Pitt 34-31-9……34-28-14……..68-59
StL 38-26-13……32-35-8………70-61
SD 23-42-12……27-38-9…….50-80
SF 30-33-15…..31-27-16……61-60
Wash 34-31-13..…32-31-11……66-62

Orioles 19-45-12……24-41-12……43-86
Boston 37-28-14……47-20-7……..84-48
W Sox 25-43-8…..…24-40-11……49-83
Clev 30-30-14……46-21-10……..76-51
Det 27-38-10…..…32-34-15.……59-72
Astros 41-20-15……41-21-15…….82-41
KC 23-41-10…….31-36-12…..53-77
Angels 32-30-15……31-35-9……63-65
Twins 25-42-13……34-32-11…..59-74
NYY 34-24-15……44-25-8………78-48
A’s 27-34-12……36-28-14…..63-62
Sea 36-33-11……32-26-17…….68-57
TB 35-28-13……38-26-10……72-53
Texas 25-40-9…..28-41-8…….53-81
Toronto 21-44-12…24-34-16……45-78

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/18)
Ariz 32-77…….28-74…..…60
Atl 23-74……31-77………54
Cubs 15-76……..23-72……..38
Reds 20-78……..18-76……..38
Colo 23-78…….29-74.…….52
LA 26-75……..29-78..…..55
Miami 14-73……..21-77…….35
Milw 27-74…..…30-79…….57
Mets 28-76……..22-75……50
Philly 18-73……..23-77…..41
Pitt 16-74……..21-78…….37
StL 26-76……..23-75…….49
SD 20-78……..21-74…….41
SF 16-77………21-76..…..37
Wash 28-78……..22-74……50

Orioles 21-76……..23-76……..44
Boston 19-76……29-74………47
White Sox 20-74……21-75…….41
Clev 20-73…….31-76…….51
Detroit 26-75……..21-78….…47
Astros 21-75…..…18-76………39
KC 16-74..…….26-77…….42
Angels 20-75…..….19-75…….39
Twins 17-77………15-74…….32
NYY 18-74……..31-76………49
A’s 18-77…..…..23-76…….41
Seattle 29-78………23-75…….52
TB 23-75..……24-73…….47
Texas 11-73……20-76…….…31
Toronto 18-77………16-74….….34

Interleague play- 2018
NL @ AL– 78-72 NL, favorites -$593
AL @ NL– 73-64 NL, favorites -$25
Total: 151-136 NL, favorites -$618

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, September 27

Trend Report

New York Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games
NY Yankees is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
NY Yankees is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
NY Yankees is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
NY Yankees is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Yankees's last 13 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games
Tampa Bay is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games
Tampa Bay is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games at home
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Tampa Bay is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
Tampa Bay is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games when playing NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Tampa Bay is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Tampa Bay's last 13 games when playing at home against NY Yankees


Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games
Philadelphia is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Colorado
Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Philadelphia is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado Rockies
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games
Colorado is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Colorado is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games at home
Colorado is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Colorado is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Colorado is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


Houston Astros
Houston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Houston is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
Houston is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Baltimore
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore is 6-18 SU in its last 24 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baltimore's last 6 games
Baltimore is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games at home
Baltimore is 3-9 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Houston
Baltimore is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing Houston
Baltimore is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Baltimore is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing at home against Houston


Atlanta Braves
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 10 games
Atlanta is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing NY Mets
Atlanta is 17-7 ATS in its last 24 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Atlanta is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
New York Mets
NY Mets is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
NY Mets is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
NY Mets is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games at home
NY Mets is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
NY Mets is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Mets's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
NY Mets is 7-17 ATS in its last 24 games when playing at home against Atlanta
NY Mets is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of NY Mets's last 12 games when playing at home against Atlanta


Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Pittsburgh is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
Pittsburgh is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chicago Cubs
Chi Cubs is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Chi Cubs is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games at home
Chi Cubs is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh


Detroit Tigers
Detroit is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Detroit is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games
Detroit is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 8-16 SU in its last 24 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Detroit's last 20 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Detroit is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games
Minnesota is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Minnesota's last 20 games when playing Detroit
Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit
Minnesota is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit


Cleveland Indians
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Cleveland is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Kansas City
Cleveland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Kansas City
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games
Kansas City is 15-4 ATS in its last 19 games at home
Kansas City is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
Kansas City is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing Cleveland
Kansas City is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Cleveland


Texas Rangers
Texas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Texas is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Texas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games on the road
Texas is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Seattle
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Texas is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Texas is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle Mariners
Seattle is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games
Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
Seattle is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Texas
Seattle is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Texas
Seattle is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Texas

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Weather report

Thursday, September 27