Thursday 10-4-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Bobby Conn

Oct 04 '18, 7:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Georgia State vs Troy
Play on: Georgia State +15½ -110 at BMaker

1* Free Play on Georgia State +15½ -110

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Info Plays

Oct 04 '18, 7:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Georgia State vs Troy
Play on: Georgia State +15½ -110 at YouWager

1* Free Play on Georgia State +15½ -110

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John Martin

Oct 04 '18, 7:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Georgia State vs Troy
Play on: Troy -15 -110 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Troy -15
I’m good with laying the number with the Troy Trojans today at home against the Georgia State Panthers. Troy is off to a 4-1 start this season with its only loss to Boise State. The Trojans are once again one of the best teams in the Sun Belt. They beat Florida A&M 59-7 and Coastal Carolina 45-21 in their two home games. They also covered as 10.5-point dogs in a 24-19 upset at Nebraska and as 4-point favorites in a 35-27 road win at LA Monroe. Georgia State has been blasted in its two road games at NC State 7-41 and at Memphis 22-59. Troy beat Georgia State 34-10 on the road last year as 7.5-point favorites. The Trojans are 7-1 ATS n their last eight games overall. The Panthers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a win. Georgia State is 0-4 ATS in its last four road games. The Panthers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games overall. Give me Troy.

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Frank Sawyer

Oct 04 '18, 7:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Georgia State vs Troy
Play on: Troy -16½ -108 at 5Dimes

Take the Troy Trojans minus the points versus the Georgia State Panthers. Georgia State (2-3) snapped a three-game losing streak on Saturday with their 46-14 victory over UL-Monroe — but they have then failed to cover the point spread in 5 straight games after a straight-up win. The Panthers have also failed to cover the point spread in 4 straight games on the road. Troy (4-1) has won four in a row with their 45-21 win over Coastal Carolina last week. The Trojans have covered the point spread in 6 straight games after a straight-up win. Troy has also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 7 games after scoring at least 40 points in their last game. Lay the points with Troy. Best of luck — Frank.

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Steve Janus

Oct 04 '18, 7:30 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Georgia State vs Troy
Play on: Georgia State +16 -110 at Bovada

1* Free Sharp Play on Georgia State +16 -110
My money is on the Panthers to cash in a cover against Troy tonight. Georgia State got rolled in 3 straight games against Memphis, NC State and Western Michigan, but responded in a big way last week with a 46-14 thrashing of ULM as a 5.5-point dog. I look for the Panthers to carry over that momentum with another strong showing against the Trojans. Troy has won and covered 4 straight since that opening week loss to Boise State, but it's come against a soft schedule. Note that 1 of those wins was a mere 8-point win over the same ULM team that Georgia State just annihilated. Troy likely wins the game at home, but this will be a lot closer than most people think. Bet the Panthers +16!

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Mike Williams

Oct 04 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Blue Jackets vs Red Wings
Play on: Red Wings +120 at BMaker

1* on Red Wings +120

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Kenny Walker

Oct 04 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Predators vs Rangers
Play on: Predators -150 at sportsbook

Free Pick on Predators

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Stephen Nover

Oct 04 '18, 7:35 PM in 1h
NHL | Blue Jackets vs Red Wings
Play on: OVER 5½ -101

This shapes up as a higher-scoring game than the oddsmakers think considering the circumstances. Columbus has one of the best goalies in hockey, Sergei Bobrovsky. But he's not getting the start. Instead it will be backup Joonas Korpisalo in net. That's a huge dropoff. Bobrovsky wasn't sharpe during preseason, but neither was Korpisalo with an .889 saves percentage and allowing 4.4 goals a game. Remember, too, the Blue Jackets won't have their star defenseman, Seth Jones, during at least the first month due to a sprained MCL he suffered in preseason. The Blue Jackets also will be without defensemen Ryan Murray, further weakening their blue line depth. The Red Wings should be faster this season with a lot of young players. They went 7-1 in preseason averaging 4.5 goals. Detroit scored at least three goals in each of its preseason games. Detroit, though, is dealing with a cluster injury problem on defense. The Red Wings are likely to be missing at least three of their top six defensemen. Definitely out are MIke Green and Niklas Kronwall. Jonathan Ericsson is doubtful. Trevor Daley is banged-up, too, but is expected to play although at less than 100 percent. These injuries mean the Red Wings will be playing at least four rookie defensemen, including Joe Hicketts and Filip Hronek, both of whom were supposed to be assigned to the American Hockey League but are now forced to play. The Blue Jackets' top line of Artemi Panarin, Cam Atkinson and Pierre-Luc Dubois can take advantage. Panarin scored a franchise-best 82 points last season with 27 goals and 55 assists. Sparked by that line, the Blue Jackets went Over the total in 19 of their last 26 games. The Blue Jackets averaged 4.7 goals in eight preseason games, scoring at least four goals in seven of the preseason matchups.

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Jimmy Boyd

Oct 04 '18, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Tulsa vs Houston
Play on: OVER 70 -102

1* Free Pick on Tulsa/Houston OVER 70
I'm expecting a lot of offensive fireworks and a easy cash on the OVER in Thursday's AAC action that has the Houston Cougars hosting the Tulsa Golden Hurricane.
This Houston offense is no joke. The Cougars are 2nd in the country in scoring at 52.3 ppg and lead the nation in total offense at 608.5 ypg. They have scored a minimum of 45 points in each of their 4 games. They have one of the more electric quarterbacks in D'Eriq King, who comes in completing 63% of his attempts with a 15-1 TD-INT ratio and has rushed for 107 yards and 5 scores. It's not just him, they got playmakers at both receiver and out of the backfield.
I just don't see this Tulsa defense being able to slow them down, especially on the road in a prime time matchup. The numbers aren't terrible for the Golden Hurricane defense so far, but a lot of that has to do with the schedule. I know they held Texas to 28 points, but the Longhorns had close to 500 yards and were up 21-0 before letting their foot off the gas in the 2nd half leading up to their game against USC.
The key here is that I think this Tulsa offense is going to be able to move the ball and put up some points against this Houston defense. The Golden Hurricane have shown the ability to pick up big chunks of yards, but turnovers have killed them. They have coughed up the football 13 times in 4 games. The Cougars have a great defensive player in Ed Oliver, but have allowed over 400 yards in each of their 3 games against FBS opponents and that includes 439 to a bad Rice offense.
I think we see more of the same with Houston scoring close to 50 and I see Tulsa flirting with 30 to have this thing flying past the mark. Take the OVER!

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Mark Wilson

Oct 04 '18, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Tulsa vs Houston
Play on: UNDER 71 -110

Free Play on Tulsa vs Houston under 71 -110

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Ross Benjamin

Oct 04 '18, 8:00 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Tulsa vs Houston
Play on: Houston -17½ -106 at pinnacle

Ross Benjamin has an ATS winning side on Thursday’s Colts/Patriots (8:20 ET) game. That pick is backed by a remarkable 40-7 NFL ATS (85.1%) betting angle which has been extremely profitable since 1987. Ross is a sparkling 27-15 (64%) L42 with his NFL picks. Begin your NFL Week 5 wagering with this golden winning pick by acting urgently and purchasing immediately!
Tulsa @ Houston 8:00 PM ET
Game# 303-304
Play On: Houston -17.5
Tulsa enters this game on a 3-game losing streak and they allowed 28 points or more during each of those contests. Conversely, Houston is coming off a 70-14 massacre of Texas Southern in their previous outing and they covered as a massive 55.5-point favorite. The combination these results leads us to a never lost college football ATS betting angle which is illustrated below.
Any home favorite of 17.0 to 34.0-points in games 2 through 10, and they’re coming off a double-digit favorite ATS cover in which they scored 35 points or more, versus an opponent that’s lost 2 or more games in a row and allowed 26 points or greater during their previous contest, resulted in those home favorites going a perfect 21-0 ATS since 1983. Bet on Houston minus the points for my Thursday 10/4 college football free pick.

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Dustin Hawkins

Oct 04 '18, 8:05 PM in 2h
NHL | Jets vs Blues
Play on: Jets +110 at BMaker

Free Play on Jets +110

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Marc Lawrence

Oct 04 '18, 8:20 PM in 2h
NFL | Colts vs Patriots
Play on: OVER 52½ -110

Play - Patriots-Colts OVER (Game 302-301).
Edges: Pats: 5-1 OVER as double-digit home favorites last season … Colts: 7-0-1 OVER last eight games in this series … We recommend a 1* play on the OVER total in this game. Thank you and good luck as always.

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Jack Jones

Oct 04 '18, 8:35 PM in 2h
MLB | Braves vs Dodgers
Play on: Dodgers -1½ +120 at 5Dimes

Jack’s Free Pick Thursday: Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+120)
I’m taking a shot with the Dodgers today on the run line against the Braves as my free pick for Thursday. I think they win this game by two runs or more to open this divisional round series. The Dodgers beat the Braves 5-2 in the season series and averaged 5.0 runs per game compared to 2.6 for Atlanta.
Hyun-Jin Ryu certainly deserves the Game 1 start tonight. The left-handed has posted a 1.88 ERA in 52 2/3 innings since returning on August 15th from a groin strain. He has gone 5-2 with a 1.65 ERA and 0.915 WHIP in nine home starts this season.
Mike Foltynewicz had a great season for the Braves as well. But he has posted a 4.76 ERA in his last three starts coming in, and two of those were against a Phillies team that laid down. Folty is 1-1 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in two career starts against Los Angeles. He gave up 4 earned runs in 5 innings of a 1-4 loss to the Dodgers back on July 27th.
The Braves are 1-6 in they last seven playoff games. Atlanta is 1-6 in Folty’s last seven starts against NL West opponents. The Dodgers are 7-0 in their last seven home games vs. a team with a winning record. Los Angeles is 27-10 in their last 37 during game 1 of a series. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Thursday.

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Brad Diamond

Oct 04 '18, 10:05 PM in 4h
NHL | Flyers vs Golden Knights
Play on: Flyers +140 at 5Dimes