Thursday 10-25-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, October 25

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NASHVILLE (7-2-0-0, 14 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (4-2-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/25/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW JERSEY is 50-44 ATS (-3.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW JERSEY is 26-18 ATS (+6.0 Units) first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 67-38 ATS (+15.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 17-6 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games after scoring 4 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 43-20 ATS (+18.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NASHVILLE is 19-7 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW JERSEY is 2-2 (+0.8 Units) against the spread versus NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
NEW JERSEY is 2-2-0 straight up against NASHVILLE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

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MONTREAL (5-1-0-2, 12 pts.) at BUFFALO (5-4-0-0, 10 pts.) - 10/25/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MONTREAL is 34-57 ATS (-28.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MONTREAL is 12-34 ATS (+49.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 288-265 ATS (-23.4 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
BUFFALO is 11-26 ATS (+46.7 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5.5 over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 6-2 (+2.9 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.2 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (4-5-0-0, 8 pts.) at BOSTON (5-2-0-2, 12 pts.) - 10/25/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 4-13 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 87-80 ATS (+185.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the first half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 50-58 ATS (-46.1 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
BOSTON is 218-173 ATS (-49.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 4-2 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 4-2-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.8 Units)

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LOS ANGELES (2-6-0-1, 5 pts.) at MINNESOTA (4-2-0-2, 10 pts.) - 10/25/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 86-92 ATS (-33.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 10-17 ATS (-11.8 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 7-15 ATS (-11.9 Units) after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 188-120 ATS (+24.2 Units) in home games first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-2 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 4-2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+6.6 Units)

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COLUMBUS (4-4-0-0, 8 pts.) at ST LOUIS (2-3-0-3, 7 pts.) - 10/25/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLUMBUS is 52-31 ATS (+14.2 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 39-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 171-158 ATS (+343.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
COLUMBUS is 14-6 ATS (+20.7 Units) in road games after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
COLUMBUS is 12-3 ATS (+8.3 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+2.2 Units) against the spread versus COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
ST LOUIS is 3-1-0 straight up against COLUMBUS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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ANAHEIM (5-4-0-1, 11 pts.) at DALLAS (4-4-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/25/2018, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 (+1.0 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-3-0 straight up against ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.1 Units)

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NY RANGERS (3-5-0-1, 7 pts.) at CHICAGO (5-2-0-2, 12 pts.) - 10/25/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 38-54 ATS (-19.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 359-360 ATS (-81.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
CHICAGO is 100-88 ATS (-58.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-1 (+1.9 Units) against the spread versus NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-1-0 straight up against NY RANGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.0 Units)

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WASHINGTON (4-2-0-2, 10 pts.) at EDMONTON (3-3-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/25/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 70-45 ATS (+5.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 43-21 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 9-14 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 5-13 ATS (-14.3 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.7 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 (+1.5 Units) against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-1-0 straight up against EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.9 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (4-1-0-2, 10 pts.) at CALGARY (5-4-0-0, 10 pts.) - 10/25/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 13-25 ATS (-16.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 54-24 ATS (+16.2 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
CALGARY is 5-12 ATS (-11.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 3-1 (+2.6 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 3-1-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

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VANCOUVER (6-4-0-0, 12 pts.) at ARIZONA (3-5-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/25/2018, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 5-4 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 5-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.9 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, October 25

Cleveland is 0-4 (1-3 vs spread, 1-1 as AU). Over is 3-1 in their games. Detroit won its first three games (over 2-1); they’re 1-1 as home favorites. Home side won seven of last eight Cleveland-Detroit games; Cavaliers are 1-4 vs spread in last five trips to the Motor City. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games.

First road game for 2-1 Portland (over 3-0) team that lost in OT to the Wizards Monday. Magic split their first four games (under 3-1); they split two home games. Trailblazers won their last three games with Orlando; under is 5-1 in last six series games. Portland won its last two visits here, by 9-7 points.

Oklahoma City lost its first three games (over 2-1); they lost only home game to the Kings. Boston split its first four games (under 3-1); they split two road games (0-2 vs spread). Thunder won seven of last ten games with Boston, but lost last two; Celtics are 3-0-1 vs spread in their last four visits here. Under is 3-1 in last four series games.

Denver won/covered its first four games (under 3-1); they won only road game by 9 over the Clippers in this building. Lakers got their first win (1-3) last night (over 4-0); they’re 0-2 at home, allowing 124-143 points (0-2 vs spread). Home side won last six Nugget-Laker games; Denver lost last three series games played here, by 4-18-9 points. Over is 8-2 in last ten series games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Thursday, October 25

Trend Report

Portland Trail Blazers
Portland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Portland is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
Portland is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Portland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games on the road
Portland is 4-8-1 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Orlando
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Orlando
Portland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando Magic
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Orlando is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
Orlando is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Portland
Orlando is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
Orlando is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland


Cleveland Cavaliers
Cleveland is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Cleveland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Detroit is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Detroit is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland


Boston Celtics
Boston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Boston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oklahoma City
Boston is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City Thunder
Oklahoma City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Oklahoma City is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Boston
Oklahoma City is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Boston
Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston
Oklahoma City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against Boston


Denver Nuggets
Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games when playing LA Lakers
Denver is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 12 games when playing LA Lakers
Denver is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Denver is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Los Angeles Lakers
LA Lakers is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
LA Lakers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 6 games at home
LA Lakers is 6-15 ATS in its last 21 games when playing Denver
LA Lakers is 5-16 SU in its last 21 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 10 of LA Lakers's last 12 games when playing Denver
LA Lakers is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Denver
LA Lakers is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, October 25


Cleveland @ Detroit

Game 701-702
October 25, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
115.458
Detroit
114.129
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 8
221 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+8); Under

Portland @ Orlando

Game 703-704
October 25, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
115.550
Orlando
117.259
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 1 1/2
230
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 4
216
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+4); Over

Boston @ Oklahoma City

Game 705-706
October 25, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
117.964
Oklahoma City
118.710
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 1
195
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 1
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+1); Under

Denver @ LA Lakers

Game 707-708
October 25, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
120.533
LA Lakers
122.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 2
234
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4
239
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+4); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 25

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CLEVELAND (0 - 4) at DETROIT (3 - 0) - 10/25/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 43-63 ATS (-26.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-3 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (2 - 1) at ORLANDO (2 - 2) - 10/25/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 72-93 ATS (-30.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 63-93 ATS (-39.3 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
ORLANDO is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 2-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (2 - 2) at OKLAHOMA CITY (0 - 3) - 10/25/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 61-40 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 58-39 ATS (+15.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 37-52 ATS (-20.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-2 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (4 - 0) at LA LAKERS (1 - 3) - 10/25/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 139-97 ATS (+32.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Inside the Paint - Thursday
October 25, 2018
By Chris David

The 2018 NBA regular season is nine days old and bettors are certainly watching a different game with less dunks and a ridiculous amount of 3-pointers. Through yesterday’s action, 20 of the 30 teams are averaging 30-plus attempts from 3-point land compared to just 10 last season. The number of fouls being called is up as well, from 19.9 to 23.1 per team a game and that certainly has helped the scoring boost.

The oddsmakers have done a nice job of adjusting their totals and we’ve already started to see the numbers balance out. The ‘over’ was hitting at a 69 percent (27-12) clip through last Sunday but the ‘under’ has posted a 13-10 mark the last three days and that includes a 7-4 record to the low side on Wednesday.

Even though favorites have gone 42-20 straight up this season, underdogs have gone 32-30 against the spread.

Thursday’s card has four games on tap, including a nationally televised double-header on TNT.

Cleveland (0-4 SU, 1-3 ATS) at Detroit (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS)

The post-LeBron James era in Cleveland hasn’t started out well as the Cavaliers have lost their first four games of the season. The latest setback occurred last night as the Cavs dropped a 102-86 decision to the Nets as three-point home favorites.

Cleveland will now be playing on no rest Thursday and the oddsmakers have the club listed as a seven-point road underdog at Detroit. Most books have pushed the number to Pistons (-8) as of Thursday morning. While the Cavs are winless, the Pistons have started with a perfect 3-0 mark but the three victories came by a combined six points.

On Tuesday, Detroit captured a 133-132 overtime win over Philadelphia as a one-point underdog. Blake Griffin led the pace for the Pistons with 50 points, which included a game-wining layup and free throw. While the number on the Pistons might seem a tad inflated, they’ve won seven straight games (5-2 ATS) when listed as home favorites going back to last season.

Cleveland went 3-1 both SU and ATS against Detroit last season but those numbers were with LeBron and should definitely be taken lightly.

Portland (2-1 SU, 2-1 ATS) at Orlando (2-2 SU, 3-1 ATS)

After beginning the season with a 2-1 record at the Moda Center, the Trail Blazers (-3) begin a four-game road trip as favorites against Orlando on Thursday. Portland was a solid bet in this role last season, going 12-5 SU and 10-7 ATS when laying points on the road. Total bettors should note that the ‘under’ went 13-4 in those games.

Orlando will enter this game with confidence after upsetting Boston 93-90 on Monday as an 11-point road underdog. Including this game, the Magic have been listed as an underdog in every matchup this season and they haven’t been able to win back-to-back games yet. Through four games, the defense has carried them in the wins (96.5 PPG) but has been missing in the losses (118 PPG).

The Trail Blazers swept the Magic last season and that included a 95-88 win as a 4 ½-point road favorite last December in Orlando. The ‘under’ has cashed in five of the last six encounters between the pair.

I’ve often identified Portland as a bully team and its 25-7 record against teams below .500 certainly helps that status. The Blazers went 18-12 last season versus the East and that includes an 8-7 record on the road. Meanwhile, Orlando was 10-20 vs. the West but seven of the wins came at home.

Boston (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) at Oklahoma City (0-3 SU, 1-2 ATS)

Oddsmakers sent out winless Oklahoma City as a 1 ½-point road favorite and I thought that line was a tad confusing. The number is now Boston -1 at most betting shops as of this morning.

The Celtics owned the third best road record (28-13 ATS) in the league last season but they haven’t looked like the same team, despite being healthy this season. Boston was stunned by Orlando 93-90 on Monday as an 11-point home favorite. The offense (99.8 PPG) is ranked last in the league and they can’t buy a shot from 3-point land (31.2%). Fortunately for coach Brad Stevens, the defense is ranked first (98.5 PPG).

The Thunder were run out of their own building on Sunday as they dropped a 131-120 decision to the Kings as an 11-point home favorite. Russell Westbrook made his debut for OKC and he put up solid numbers (32 points, 12 rebounds, 8 assists) but he did miss six free throws. Similar to Boston, the Thunder have struggled from distance as well and the team is ranked last in shooting (23.9%).

Boston got the better of OKC last season, winning and covering both meetings. The ‘under’ went 2-0 as the Celtics held the Thunder to 99 and 94 points.

The total on this game opened 209 and was pushed up to 212 ½, which is the lowest number on the board. The Celtics (3-1) and Thunder (2-1) have both leaned to the ‘under’ so far.

Tip-off is set for 8:05 p.m. ET and TNT will provide national coverage.

Denver (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS)

The Nuggets just missed out on the playoffs last season but they’re showing everybody that they should be in the mix again next April. Denver remains unbeaten through four games on the hardwood and at the betting counter.

Monday’s wire-to-wire 126-112 win over Sacramento helped the club sweep their three-game homestand. While beating the Kings and Suns was expected, a 100-98 victory over the Warriors last Sunday from the Pepsi Center was very impressive.

Oddsmakers opened Denver as a 3 ½-point road favorite over Los Angeles, who will be looking to win its first home game of the season on Thursday. The Lakers earned their first win of the season last night with a 131-113 victory over the Suns as 5 ½-point road favorites. The ‘over’ connected and the high side is a perfect 4-0 for the Purple and Gold.

It’s still early in the season but Denver is currently ranked second in scoring defense (99.8 PPG) and that’s helped the ‘under’ go 3-1. While the Nuggets have been strong defensively, the Lakers enter this game with the worst defense (127 PPG) in the league.

Tonight’s total is hovering between 237 and 238 points. One factor that could have you leaning low is the 3-point shooting percentages for the Lakers (30.2%) and Nuggets (29.8%), ranked 27th and 28th respectively.

Denver has only played one road game, which occurred at Thursday’s venue. The club defeated the Clippers 107-98 on opening night as 2 ½-point road favorites. The Lakers have gone 0-2 at the Staples Center, dropping decisions to the Rockets and Spurs.

Different faces on these squads but the recent meetings have watched the ‘over’ cash in eight of the last 10 encounters and the home team has won and covered the last six matchups.

Brandon Ingram and Rajon Rondo remain ‘out’ for the Lakers due to serving suspensions.

TNT will provide national coverage of this game at 10:35 p.m. ET

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 25

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TOLEDO (3 - 4) at W MICHIGAN (6 - 2) - 10/25/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in home games in October games since 1992.
W MICHIGAN is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BALL ST (3 - 5) at OHIO U (4 - 3) - 10/25/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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APPALACHIAN ST (5 - 1) at GA SOUTHERN (6 - 1) - 10/25/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
APPALACHIAN ST is 2-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (3 - 4) at VIRGINIA TECH (4 - 2) - 10/25/2018, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
GEORGIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BAYLOR (4 - 3) at W VIRGINIA (5 - 1) - 10/25/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 2-0 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 9

Trend Report

Thursday, October 25

Baylor @ West Virginia
Baylor
Baylor is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing West Virginia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games on the road

West Virginia
West Virginia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 6 games at home

Ball State @ Ohio
Ball State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ball State's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ball State's last 6 games on the road

Ohio
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

Toledo @ Western Michigan
Toledo
Toledo is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Western Michigan
Toledo is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games on the road

Western Michigan
Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Western Michigan is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games at home

Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech
Georgia Tech
Georgia Tech is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech

Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 6 games when playing Georgia Tech

Appalachian State @ Georgia Southern
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Appalachian State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Georgia Southern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 9

Thursday, October 25

Ball State @ Ohio

Game 107-108
October 25, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ball State
64.620
Ohio
83.583
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio
by 19
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 10 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(-10 1/2); Under

Appalachian St @ Georgia Southern

Game 109-110
October 25, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
96.198
Georgia Southern
78.290
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 18
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 9 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Appalachian St
(-9 1/2); Over

Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech

Game 111-112
October 25, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
87.495
Virginia Tech
93.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Virginia Tech
by 6
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Virginia Tech
by 3
59
Dunkel Pick:
Virginia Tech
(-3); Under

Baylor @ West Virginia

Game 113-114
October 25, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
84.158
West Virginia
102.923
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 19
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 13 1/2
67 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(-13 1/2); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 9

Thursday’s games
Toledo lost three of its last four games; they’ve allowed 39.5 ppg vs I-A teams this year. under Candle, Rockets are 2-3 as road underdogs- they completed lesss than half their passes in each of last three games. Western Michigan won its last six games after an 0-2 start (Syr/Mich); Broncos ran ball for 282/305 yards in last two games. Under Lester, WMU is 3-4 as a home favorite. Toledo won four of last six games with WMU; Rockets won two of last three visits to Kalamazoo. MAC home favorites are 5-7 vs spread this year.

Ball State is 2-5 vs I-A teams this year, 2-3 vs spread as an underdog; under Neu, Cardinals are 8-6 as road underdogs, 2-1 this year. Ohio U won three of last four games, allowing 26-24-14 points, after giving up average of 38.3 ppg in first four games. Bobcats covered six of their last seven games as a home favorite. Ball/Ohio split their last four meetings, last of which was in 2015; teams split last two games played here. Five of seven Ball games stayed under total, as did Ohio’s last three games.

Appalachian State won its last four I-A games, three by 26+ points, after OT loss at Penn State; Mountaineers are 11-5 vs spread in last 16 games as road favorites- they ran ball for average of 321 ypg in last four games. ASU won its last three games with Georgia Southern, winning 34-10 in their last visit here. Favorites covered last four series games. Eagles won their last four games since losing at Clemson, scoring 34.8 ppg; GSU are 4-3-1 as I-A home underdogs. Four of their six games this season stayed under the total.

Underdogs covered last six Georgia Tech-Virginia Tech games, winning last five SU; GT won its last two visits to Blacksburg, 30-20/27-24. Jackets covered last three visits here. GT lost four of its last six games, despite being favored in every game but one; they scored 63-66 in their wins. Jackets are 7-2-1 in last ten games as road underdogs. VT split its last four games; they’re 7-4 in last 11 games as home favorites. Hokies allowed 49-45 points in their two losses, at ODU and vs Notre Dame at home. ACC home favorites are 5-7 vs spread this year.

West Virginia had only nine FD’s in their last game, a 30-14 loss at Iowa State; under Holgorsen, WV is 15-22 as home favorites, 1-1 this year. Mountaineers scored 35+ points in all their wins this year. Under Rhule, Baylor is 3-3 as road dogs, 1-1 this year- they lost 66-33 at Oklahoma, 23-17 at Texas. West Virginia beat Baylor last two years, 38-36/24-21; home side won five of last six series games. Bears lost last three visits here, by 3-14-7 points. Big X home favorites are 4-7 vs spread this year. Over is 4-2 in Baylor games so far this season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 9
Bruce Marshall


Thursday, Oct. 25

TOLEDO at WESTERN MICHIGAN...Toledo 5-2 last 7 as visiting chalk. WMU 5-9-1 spread vs. line since mid 2017.
Toledo, based on team trends.


BALL STATE at OHIO...Solich has covered four straight at Athens, and 5-1 last 6 as home chalk. Cards 3-6 last nine as road dog (though 2-1 in role this season).
Ohio, based on team trends.


APPALACHIAN STATE at GEORGIA SOUTHERN...App 5-1, GaSo 6-1 vs. line in 2018. Mounties 11-5 last 16 as visiting chalk and have won and covered last three vs. Eagles.
App State, based on team and series trends.


GEORGIA TECH at VIRGINIA TECH...Paul Johnson has upsets in outright wins as dog last two years vs. Fuente. Johnson 13-7-1 as dog since 2014. Dog team 5-0-1 last six in series. Hokies 4-8 vs. points since late 2017.
Georgia Tech, base don team and series trends.


BAYLOR at WEST VIRGINIA...Baylor has covered last three in series, and Bears 7-4 last 11 vs. spread away from Waco. Holgorsen just 2-6 vs. points last 8 as Big 12 host.
Baylor, based on team and series trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Baylor at West Virginia
Joe Nelson

This week’s Thursday night game is a prominent Big XII clash as Baylor and West Virginia face off. Baylor looks to build on its season of improvement having already quadrupled last season’s win count while West Virginia is still a Big XII title threat despite its ugly loss at Iowa State two weeks ago.

Here is a look at Thursday’s Big XII game to start the final October college football weekend.

Match-up: Baylor Bears at West Virginia Mountaineers
Venue: At Milan Pusker Stadium in Morgantown, West Virginia
Time/TV: Thursday, October 25, 7:00 PM ET ESPN
Line: West Virginia -14, Over/Under 62
Last Meeting: 2017, West Virginia (-10) 38, at Baylor 36

The Mountaineers climbed to No. 6 in the polls with a 5-0 start to the season but hopes of emerging as a sleeper in the national picture were extinguished with a mid-October loss at Iowa State. The 30-14 final score didn’t do justice to how badly West Virginia lost as one of its touchdowns came on a blocked field goal return while they wound up out-gained 498-152 in what head coach Dan Hologorsen called “the worst offensive performance I have ever seen.”

Having a bye week to regroup should be useful for West Virginia, who still controls its destiny in the Big XII race. Next week West Virginia head to Austin to face the current conference leader Texas while the Mountaineers host Oklahoma in the regular season finale. West Virginia is 3-0 at home with dominant numbers including a 35-6 win over Kansas State and they beat the other one-loss squad Texas Tech on the road.

The offense is led by Will Grier, who has thrown for over 1,900 yards with 22 touchdowns and 10.0 yards per attempt. He owns the third best QB Rating in the nation but has thrown seven interceptions while taking 18 sacks as a lot is asked of him in Holgorsen’s offense. Grier has a very talented receiving corps to work with and big plays have been the norm in this offense that features about a 50/50 run/pass split.

After allowing 20 points in the first two FBS games of the season West Virginia has allowed 86 points in the past three Big XII games. Last season West Virginia surrendered over 31 points per game and 446 yards per game while finishing 7-6 and improvement defensively down the stretch will be the key to keeping the Mountaineers in Big XII contention.

Holgorsen is in his eighth season and despite some setbacks he has posted a 58-38 record and has had the Mountaineers in a bowl games in all but one season. Two years ago the Mountaineers won 10 games with a 7-2 Big XII record and getting his team in the Big XII title game would be a big milestone for the program.

Matt Rhule stepped into a challenging situation last year at Baylor following the multi-year fallout surrounding the departure of Art Briles. Rhule had a successful rebuild at Temple and was a respected hire if not a flashy choice. His tenure could not have started worse, losing to then FCS level Liberty as well as Texas-San Antonio in the first two games and eventually winding up 1-11 with only a win over Kansas.

Several results were competitive for the Bears however with an eight-point loss to Oklahoma and a two-point loss in this matchup with West Virginia. That game was fairly even statistically but West Virginia had a 38-13 lead before a great fourth quarter rally from Baylor.

Then a freshman, Charlie Brewer took over at quarterback in that game and posted solid numbers the rest of the season. This year Brewer has just three interceptions along with 10 touchdowns leading the offense. He has already surpassed last season’s passing yardage total but is completing passes at a much lower completion rate this season while also posting a lower yards per attempt average.

Baylor hasn’t been a great rushing team but after averaging only 3.4 yards per rush last season the Bears are posting 4.4 yards per rush this season with a committee approach led by JaMycal Hasty. Jalen Hurd has been the go-to receiver with 622 receiving yards and 47 receptions this season.

Baylor and West Virginia had fairly similar defensive statistics last season despite the contrasting records. This season the pass defense numbers are also very close with a slight edge to the Bears in completion rate and yards per attempt but Baylor has allowed more passing touchdowns while generating fewer interceptions. Run defense was the weakness for Baylor last season and this year the Bears have surrendered 5.7 yards per rush, seventh worst nationally and it will be interesting to see if the Mountaineers attack on the ground more than usual this week.

This year Baylor has allowed 31 points per game but surrendering 66 at Oklahoma weighs on the numbers. The Bears have already played Oklahoma and Texas while West Virginia is still to play both of the conference heavyweights to factor into the numbers. In its last game Baylor had the ball down six at Texas seeking a major upset. Brewer led the Bears inside the Texas 20-yard line but his final three passes all fell incomplete for a narrow defeat but it was a confidence-building effort as the Bears will feel like they can compete in every conference game.

Last season: West Virginia was in the national top 25 visiting winless Baylor in late October. The Mountaineers led 17-6 at halftime and 38-13 through three quarters to sit comfortably in front. Baylor scored two quick touchdowns early in the fourth quarter with a successful on-side kick in-between the scores. The Bears would add a field goal to trail by eight, eventually getting the ball back with fewer than five minutes remaining. Baylor was able to complete an 86-yard touchdown drive with 17 seconds remaining with a 3rd down score but failed on the two-point conversion that could have forced overtime. Grier threw five touchdowns in the game while the Bears out-rushed West Virginia 127-118 in a contest without a turnover.

Series History: Since West Virginia joined the Big XII in 2012 the Mountaineers are 4-2 S/U but just 1-5 ATS in this series. There has been great variance in the spreads with Baylor -30 in the 2013 meeting while West Virginia was -17½ in 2016. The most memorable and consequential meeting was the 2014 upset in Morgantown by West Virginia, winning 41-27 as an 8-point underdog. That was Baylor’s only loss on the regular season and they finished 11-1 and ranked #5 in the College Football Playoff rankings by season’s end. Ohio State controversially passed up TCU, who had been ranked #3 and shared the Big XII title with Baylor, in the final rankings to leave the Big XII out of the playoffs that season.

Historical Trends:

-- West Virginia is 33-44-3 ATS at home since 2006, going 28-38-3 ATS as a favorite, and 20-25-3 ATS as a double-digit favorite.

-- Baylor is 16-20 ATS on the road since 2011, going 8-7 ATS as a road underdog and 6-5 ATS as a double-digit underdog.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College Football's Top ATS Teams (based on cover %):

1. Washington St. 7-0 ATS
t2. Florida 6-1 ATS
t2. Fresno St. 6-1 ATS
t2. Georgia Southern 6-1 ATS
t2. Iowa 6-1 ATS
t2. UAB 6-1 ATS
t2. Utah St. 6-1 ATS
t2. Texas A&M 6-1 ATS
t2. Virginia 6-1 ATS
10. App. St. 5-1 ATS


College Football's Worst ATS Teams (based on cover %):

t130. Navy 1-6 ATS
t130. Louisville 1-6 ATS
t130. Wake Forest 1-6 ATS
t130. Florida Atlantic 1-6 ATS
127. Connecticut 1-5-1 ATS
t121. 5 teams tied at 2-6 ATS (Washington, UL-Monroe, UMass, New Mexico St., Wyoming)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 8

Thursday. October 25

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MIAMI (4 - 3) at HOUSTON (4 - 3) - 10/25/2018, 8:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a division game over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a win against a division rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Week 8

Trend Report

Thursday. October 25

Miami Dolphins
Miami is 6-10-2 ATS in its last 18 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Miami's last 18 games
Miami is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Houston
Houston Texans
Houston is 2-10 ATS in its last 12 games
Houston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 9 games
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Miami