Saturday 11-3-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 10

Trend Report

Saturday, November 3

Texas A&M @ Auburn
Texas A&M
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas A&M's last 6 games
Texas A&M is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games

Auburn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Auburn's last 6 games
Auburn is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home

South Carolina @ Mississippi
South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Carolina's last 5 games on the road
South Carolina is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

Mississippi
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Mississippi's last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi's last 6 games at home

Oklahoma State @ Baylor
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Baylor

Baylor
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baylor's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baylor's last 7 games

Iowa State @ Kansas
Iowa State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing Kansas
Iowa State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Kansas

Kansas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas's last 5 games when playing Iowa State
Kansas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Iowa State

Louisville @ Clemson
Louisville
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Louisville's last 5 games
Louisville is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Clemson
Clemson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Clemson is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home

Syracuse @ Wake Forest
Syracuse
Syracuse is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Syracuse is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

Wake Forest
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 7 games

Air Force @ Army
Air Force
Air Force is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Army
Air Force is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Army

Army
Army is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Army is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Michigan State @ Maryland
Michigan State
Michigan State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Maryland
Maryland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Maryland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Nebraska @ Ohio State
Nebraska
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nebraska's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nebraska's last 6 games

Ohio State
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Ohio State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games

Rutgers @ Wisconsin
Rutgers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers's last 5 games on the road
Rutgers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

Wisconsin
Wisconsin is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
Wisconsin is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games

Memphis @ East Carolina
Memphis
Memphis is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

East Carolina
East Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
East Carolina is 11-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Memphis

Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan
Central Michigan
Central Michigan is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Eastern Michigan
Central Michigan is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

Eastern Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Eastern Michigan's last 11 games when playing Central Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games

Georgia Tech @ North Carolina
Georgia Tech
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 5 games

North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 5 of North Carolina's last 6 games
North Carolina is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Texas State @ Georgia State
Texas State
Texas State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas State's last 5 games

Georgia State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Georgia State's last 6 games
Georgia State is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games

San Jose State @ Wyoming
San Jose State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Jose State's last 5 games

Wyoming
Wyoming is 15-6 ATS in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Wyoming's last 16 games

Marshall @ Southern Miss
Marshall
Marshall is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Southern Miss
Marshall is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

Southern Miss
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Miss's last 5 games when playing at home against Marshall

South Alabama @ Arkansas State
South Alabama
The total has gone OVER in 7 of South Alabama's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of South Alabama's last 6 games on the road

Arkansas State
Arkansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing South Alabama
Arkansas State is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games at home

Georgia Southern @ Louisiana-Monroe
Georgia Southern
Georgia Southern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Georgia Southern is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

Louisiana-Monroe
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

Georgia @ Kentucky
Georgia
Georgia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky
Georgia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky

Kentucky
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kentucky's last 5 games
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Kansas State @ Texas Christian
Kansas State
Kansas State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Kansas State is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Texas Christian
Texas Christian is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games at home
Texas Christian is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

West Virginia @ Texas
West Virginia
West Virginia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
West Virginia is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

Texas
Texas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

Florida State @ North Carolina State
Florida State
Florida State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida State's last 5 games on the road

North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Florida State
North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Liberty @ Massachusetts
Liberty
Liberty is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Liberty is 12-4-1 ATS in its last 17 games

Massachusetts
Massachusetts is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Massachusetts's last 10 games

Minnesota @ Illinois
Minnesota
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Illinois
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Illinois

Illinois
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games

Iowa @ Purdue
Iowa
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iowa's last 5 games on the road
Iowa is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Purdue

Purdue
Purdue is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Purdue is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Texas El Paso @ Rice
Texas El Paso
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas El Paso's last 5 games when playing Rice
Texas El Paso is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

Rice
Rice is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas El Paso
Rice is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Texas El Paso

Navy @ Cincinnati
Navy
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Navy's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Navy's last 6 games

Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Tulane @ South Florida
Tulane
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulane's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulane's last 6 games on the road

South Florida
South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
South Florida is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

Louisiana-Lafayette @ Troy
Louisiana-Lafayette
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Lafayette's last 6 games on the road

Troy
Troy is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Troy is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Boston College @ Virginia Tech
Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston College's last 5 games when playing on the road against Virginia Tech
Boston College is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road

Virginia Tech
Virginia Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston College
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Virginia Tech's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston College

Penn State @ Michigan
Penn State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Penn State's last 5 games on the road
Penn State is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

Michigan
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Missouri @ Florida
Missouri
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Missouri's last 7 games
Missouri is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games

Florida
Florida is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Charlotte @ Tennessee
Charlotte
Charlotte is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games
Charlotte is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games on the road

Tennessee
Tennessee is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games at home
Tennessee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

Utah @ Arizona State
Utah
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Arizona State
Arizona State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Arizona State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

Alcorn State @ New Mexico State
Alcorn State
Alcorn State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Alcorn State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road

New Mexico State
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of New Mexico State's last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Mexico State's last 8 games

Appalachian State @ Coastal Carolina
Appalachian State
Appalachian State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Appalachian State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road

Coastal Carolina
Coastal Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Coastal Carolina is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

Duke @ Miami-FL
Duke
Duke is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Duke is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Miami-FL
Miami-FL is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Duke
Miami-FL is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home

Connecticut @ Tulsa
Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games
Connecticut is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road

Tulsa
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tulsa's last 5 games
Tulsa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

Houston @ Southern Methodist
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing Southern Methodist

Southern Methodist
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

Notre Dame @ Northwestern
Notre Dame
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games on the road

Northwestern
Northwestern is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
Northwestern is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home

Louisiana Tech @ Mississippi State
Louisiana Tech
Louisiana Tech is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Louisiana Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road

Mississippi State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 5 games
Mississippi State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

California-Los Angeles @ Oregon
California-Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of California-Los Angeles's last 9 games when playing Oregon
California-Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oregon

Oregon
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against California-Los Angele
Oregon is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Florida Atlantic @ Florida International
Florida Atlantic
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida Atlantic's last 6 games when playing on the road against Florida Internati
Florida Atlantic is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games

Florida International
Florida International is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Florida International's last 6 games when playing at home against Florida Atlantic

Texas-San Antonio @ Alabama-Birmingham
Texas-San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas-San Antonio's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas-San Antonio's last 8 games on the road

Alabama-Birmingham
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Alabama-Birmingham is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

Alabama @ Louisiana State
Alabama
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana State

Louisiana State
Louisiana State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Louisiana State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Oklahoma @ Texas Tech
Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas Tech
Oklahoma is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games on the road

Texas Tech
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas Tech's last 7 games when playing Oklahoma
Texas Tech is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma

Stanford @ Washington
Stanford
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Stanford's last 5 games
Stanford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 9 games

Southern California @ Oregon State
Southern California
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Southern California's last 7 games when playing Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern California's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oregon State

Oregon State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oregon State's last 7 games when playing Southern California
Oregon State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Southern California

Brigham Young @ Boise State
Brigham Young
Brigham Young is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Brigham Young is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road

Boise State
Boise State is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
Boise State is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games

San Diego State @ New Mexico
San Diego State
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico

New Mexico
New Mexico is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Diego State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games when playing San Diego State

Fresno State @ Nevada-Las Vegas
Fresno State
Fresno State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Fresno State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

Nevada-Las Vegas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nevada-Las Vegas's last 5 games at home

California @ Washington State
California
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of California's last 5 games on the road
California is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Washington State

Washington State
Washington State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

Utah State @ Hawaii
Utah State
Utah State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Hawaii

Hawaii
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Hawaii's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah State
Hawaii is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Betting Recap - Week 9
Joe Williams

Overall Notes

College Football Week 9 Results
WAGER Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 33-23
Against the Spread 26-29-1

WAGER Home-Away
Straight Up 32-24
Against the Spread 30-25-1

WAGER Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 38-18

The largest underdogs to win straight up
Oregon State (+24.5, ML +1700) at Colorado, 41-34 (OT)
Kansas (+13.5, ML +400) vs. Texas Christian, 27-26
California (+12, ML +400) vs. Washington, 12-10
Georgia Southern (+11, ML +340) vs. Appalachian State, 34-14

The largest favorites to cover
Fresno State (-24.5) vs. Hawaii, 50-20
Oklahoma (-24.5) vs. Kansas State, 51-14
Utah State (-19.5) vs. New Mexico, 61-19
Clemson (-17.5) at Florida State, 59-10

Top 25 Notes

-- The Pac-12 continues to cannibalize itself, and now only Washington State has a remote shot at a playoff spot. That's because Washington lost again, this time to an unranked California side, while Oregon was curb-stomped by Arizona in the desert by a 44-15 score. Washington State won by a 41-38 score at Stanford, and it's likely that Wazzu, Utah and maybe Washington make the Top 25 rankings this week.

-- It was a battle between ranked teams in the Big Ten, and Iowa-Penn State turned out to be a good game. The Nittany Lions picked up the 30-24 win against the Hawkeyes. Penn State booted a field goal to push the total over (52.5) with 8:24, but they were unable to add to their total as Iowa hung on for the cover.

-- Clemson went down to Florida State and absolutely killed the Seminoles. That's not an exaggeration, either. The 59-10 win was FSU's worst-ever loss on their home field, and it was so bad in the second half that the telecast caught an old man reading a book with no shirt on. Not a pretty scene, literally and figuratively. The mighty have fallen hard in the Panhandle of Florida.

-- In Jacksonville, Florida was dropped in the Cocktail Party by Georgia, setting up a winner-take-all for the SEC East in Lexington. Wait, wuuuuut? Lexington? Yep, Kentucky scratched out an ugly, defensive last-second victory at Missouri, 15-14. Vegas had the Wildcats as 7 1/2-point 'dogs, and for about 55 minutes they looked absolutely correct. But the Wildcats ripped off a punt return for score, then a touchdown with :00 on the clock to steal one in Mizzou. The Wildcats are now 7-1 SU, but still just 4-4 ATS. The 'under' has hit in five in a row for UK.

Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)

-- N.C. State-Syracuse was like watching a video game. The total (65) was set rather high for an ACC game, but obviously not nearly high enough. The Wolfpack and Orange exchanged haymakers and this was a three-point game late into the fourth quarter before the Orange pulled away for a 51-41 win and cover. ... Wake Forest took care of Louisville 56-35 for their first ACC victory and just their second cover in eight outings. The 'over' is now 6-1 in the past seven for the Deacs.

-- Michigan State was an underdog at home against red-hot Purdue, but dinged up Sparty told the Boilers to slow their roll. The Spartans held off the Boilermakers 23-13 for just their third cover in eight outings. The 'under' has cashed in a season-high three in a row for MSU. ... Maryland pounded Illinois by a 63-33 count, rebounding after being blanked at Iowa last week. The Terps have alternated straight-up wins and losses and covers and non-covers in each of their first seven games so far.

-- Iowa State took care of business against Texas Tech, 40-31. The Red Raiders fired out to a 10-0 lead, and they had a 17-14 lead at halftime. In addition, it was 31-31 late until Texas Tech's freshman QB was whistled for an intentional grounding call in the end zone for a safety, and then a late interception cost side bettors a cover. ... Oklahoma State rolled out to a 31-14 halftime lead, and they were up 10 after three on Texas. The Longhorns cut the lead to three, but could get no closer, losing 38-35. With the loss the Longhorns are likely eliminated from the playoff conversation, with Oklahoma still alive, although the light is flickering.

-- Oregon State headed to Boulder as 24 1/2-point underdogs, and they fell behind 31-10 heading to the fourth quarter. However, Colorado folded, and they folded hard. The Beavers outscored the Buffs 24-3 in the final quarter, and 7-0 in OT for the miracle victory. Technically, the Beavs are still alive for bowl eligibility, but that will take another miracle. ... Utah stepped all over UCLA by a 41-10 score in the Rose Bowl on Friday night. This game was a disappointment if you were holding an 'over' (54.5) ticket.

-- Mississippi State was a one-point favorite at home against Texas A&M, which raised some eyebrows. The Bulldogs got it done at home, however, pulling away with a 14-0 fourth quarter to win it 28-13. The Aggies are likely still hearing cowbells ringing in their ears. ... Tennessee gave South Carolina all they could handle, but in the end the Gamecocks hung on for the home win, but they never threatened to cover. They're 3-4 ATS, and they haven't had consecutive covers all season. The 'under' is 4-1 in the past five for the 'Cocks.

Bad Beats

-- The 'under' (52) looked to be in OK shape with just 37 points on the board in Florida-Georgia through three quarters. However, UGA push the total over by just one point with a TD at 4:29 to take a 36-17 lead, which is what the game ended up.

-- If you were holding a moneyline ticket with Southern Methodist, ouch. They were tied up 20-20 with Cincinnati in OT. The Mustangs had the ball first and they were looking to take the lead in the extra session. However, the Bearcats picked it off and returned it for a pick-six to spoil the upset bid and dreams of SMU moneyliners.

-- Florida International-Western Kentucky (54) looked like a certain under, with FIU up 28-3 heading to the fourth quarter. However, Western scored a touchdown and two-point conversion with 1:55 left to make it 48. Still, it should have ended up under, but D'Vonte Price for FIU ripped off a 58-yard touchdown just 20 seconds after the onside kick attempt, turning a sure under into a losing ticket.

-- Going back to Thursday's Sun Belt (Fun Belt!) action, the rawest bad beat of the weekend happened in Statesboro, Ga. Georgia Southern was routing Appalachian State 34-7, scoring a TD with 3:28 to go in regulation. The 'under' (47.5) looked to be in good shape, but the Mountaineers scored with just :10 left to push the total over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

4th Quarter Covers - Week 9
Joe Nelson

Glancing at the scoreboard won’t tell you the whole story in most games. Here are some of the games that went down to the wire relative to the spread in the fourth quarter last week in the ninth big college football weekend to close October.

Each week there are several teams that cover despite not necessarily deserving it, as well as other teams that played much better than the final score shows.

Minnesota (+2½) 38, Indiana 31: Off to a 0-4 Big Ten start after a 3-0 non-conference run, Minnesota played behind backup quarterback Tanner Morgan with strong results, leading 21-9 at halftime and extending that lead to 31-9 through three quarters as the underdog cover seemed all but certain. The Hoosiers hit a big play early in the fourth to cut the margin to 31-15, failing going for two and Minnesota followed with a fumble to hand Indiana good field position. Six plays later the Hoosiers were within a single-score getting a touchdown and the two-point conversion to trail 31-23 with still 10 minutes remaining. The quarterbacks traded interceptions and Minnesota had to punt in rainy conditions to give Indiana the ball back near midfield with about seven minutes remaining. Peyton Ramsey led the touchdown drive and with another successful two-point conversion, the game was tied with about four minutes to go. Minnesota again had a 3-and-out with all the momentum in favor of Indiana but the Hoosiers opted to run three times despite the success in the passing game and didn’t pick up a first down. Minnesota got the ball back with fewer than two minutes on the clock and took a shot on 1st down, connecting for a 67-yard touchdown. Ramsey was sacked on 1st down with Minnesota recovering a fumble to seal the win despite the wild fourth quarter collapse.

Pittsburgh (+2½) 54, Duke 45: Duke led 21-10 late in the second quarter before Pittsburgh connected for a 50-yard touchdown pass to climb within four at halftime. Duke led by seven through three quarters before the game was tied. Duke settled for a short field goal with eight minutes remaining to lead by three but Pittsburgh used a nice kickoff return to tie the game with a 48-yard field goal with just over two minutes remaining. Duke was forced to punt and the Panthers managed to score with just five seconds remaining. It didn’t impact the outcome but the Panthers added two points with a safety after a Duke fumble on the final kickoff trying to set-up a miracle return with a lateral.

Massachusetts (-3½) 22, Connecticut 17: This line opened as high as -6 but came down steadily throughout the week. A pair of northeastern squads desperate for a win faced off with a surprisingly low scoring first half with just 10 points. Connecticut led 14-9 through three quarters and extended the advantage to 17-9 in the fourth. Massachusetts hit a 67-yard touchdown to climb within two, failing going for two and the tie. Massachusetts forced a 3-and-out on defense and then went 81 yards on its next possession to take a five-point edge which held for the final margin.

Coastal Carolina (-2½) 37, Georgia State 34: The Chanticleers were favored by -3½ or -3 much of the week before sliding to -2½ by kickoff. It didn’t seem likely to matter with a 17-0 start for Coastal Carolina. Georgia State made a rally with three third quarter touchdowns to lead 34-27 but Coastal Carolina regrouped in the fourth to tie the game early in the final quarter with a 12-play touchdown drive. Coastal Carolina got the ball back in good field position and after reaching the 5-yard-line settled for a short field goal to lead by just three. Georgia State threatened to extend the game reaching the 36-yard-line but fell short going for it on 4th down.

Oregon State (+26) 41, Colorado 34: When a nearly four-touchdown underdog wins outright there generally isn’t against-the-spread drama but Colorado led 31-3 early in the third quarter of this game to sit past the heavy favorite spread. The Beavers didn’t mail it in however and had climbed to within 14 by the first minute of the fourth quarter. Up 14 Colorado opted to go for it on 4th-and-1 just across midfield on its next possession and came up short and Oregon State added a field goal and an eight-point touchdown to suddenly sit within three with seven minutes to go. Colorado reached the Oregon State 10-yard-line before a holding penalty and settled for a field goal to lead by six, allowing Oregon State to seemingly win the game with a touchdown in the final minute. The extra-point was blocked however in a stunning finish. Colorado picked up 39 yards in the final seconds to get off a 53-yard field goal attempt but the kick missed an overtime was needed. The Beavers went first and delivered seven and Colorado was unable to match it.

Arizona State (+3) 38, USC 35: USC trailed by 10 at halftime behind Jack Sears but the Trojans scored two touchdowns in 25 seconds of game clock early in the third quarter. Late in the third Arizona State delivered a 92-yard punt return touchdown to lead by three before a tense final quarter. USC opted to go for it on 4th-and-1 from the Arizona State 20-yard-line with about 10 minutes remaining but the Sun Devils got the stop. After a pair of punts Arizona State put the game away with quarterback Manny Wilkins scrambling for a 45-yard touchdown run in the final two minutes. USC would score in the final seconds to close within three but didn’t get the on-side kick attempt.

Georgia (-7) 36, Florida 17: Florida dug a hole with early turnovers in the big SEC East matchup but only trailed by six at halftime. The Gators briefly took the lead in the second half but Georgia added nine points to lead 23-14 through three quarters with the field goal for Georgia coming after a Florida fumble at its own 1-yard-line as Georgia had a 3-0 turnover edge in the game. Florida added a field goal in the fourth to sit within the number down by six but the Bulldogs turned in two late touchdown drives to win by 19 points.

Kentucky (+7½) 15, Missouri 14: Missouri led 14-3 through three quarters and appeared to get the stop of the game holding Kentucky on 4th-and-short from the 3-yard-line halfway through the fourth quarter to hold the 11-point edge for the home favorite. Missouri looked to burn some clock with the lead and the limited Kentucky offense, running the ball three times before punting but the Wildcats got back in the game with a 67-yard punt return touchdown. Kentucky went for two and failed but was within the number down five. Kentucky would get the ball back with just over four minutes remaining but had an interception taking a deep shot. Missouri only was able to burn a minute of clock and had an incomplete pass to stop the clock on 3rd-and-2. Kentucky was punned at its own 19 with just over a minute remaining and took a sack on 1st down. The Wildcats were able to get down the field and eventually wound up with an untimed down from the 2-yard-line after a pass interference call. Terry Wilson hit C.J. Conrad for the winning score.

Houston (-10) 57, South Florida 36: The big AAC showdown lived up to its billing with a back-and-forth affair. Houston led 28-21 at halftime but South Florida got five points early in the third quarter with a safety and a short field goal to climb within two on a spread that climbed from +7½ to +10. 21 points were exchanged in the rest of the third quarter as Houston led 43-36 heading into the fourth. Houston would pull away in the final frame with two touchdowns while South Florida had two fourth quarter turnovers as the Cougars escaped with the cover in a game with 1,149 total yards.

Penn State (-5) 30, Iowa 24: The line on this game was near -6 most of the week but hit -6½ and -5½ at times before landing at -5. The underdog was promising as Iowa took a 12-0 early lead but Penn State battled back to reach a 17-17 tie by halftime. Penn State took over in the third quarter with a 51-yard run from Trace McSorley and a long field goal for a 10-point advantage. Iowa got the break it needed to get back in the game with a pick-6 in the fourth quarter to trail by three but a long kickoff return put Penn State in business to extend its lead though the Lions ultimately settled for a short field goal to lead by six, right on the number for many. Iowa reached the Penn State 3-yard-line on its next possession but Nate Stanley was intercepted on 1st-and-goal. The Hawkeyes got a final opportunity and went 48 yards in the final minute but stalled just across midfield and ran out of time.

Iowa State (-6) 40, Texas Tech 31: The spread on the Cyclones climbed from -3½ to -6 and it looked like it might matter as a Texas Tech tied the game in the fourth quarter with a fumble recovery touchdown. The Cyclones got an interception later in the fourth quarter to keep the game tied and then after pinning Texas Tech deep, Iowa State took the lead with a safety. The 33-31 edge wasn’t enough to cover but Iowa State hit a 48-yard touchdown pass with just over two minutes to go to lead by nine and then intercepted Alan Bowman again in Iowa State territory to hang on to the win and cover in a key Big XII game.

UAB (-15½) 19, UTEP 0: The winless Miners attracted some attention as this spread fell from opening at -17½. UTAB led 10-0 in the first quarter but did not score again until a third quarter safety and the Blazers led just 12-0 well into the fourth quarter. UTEP missed a field goal in late in the third but wasn’t a significant scoring threat and with four minutes remaining UAB snuck past the spread with a late touchdown.

Washington State (+3) 41, Stanford 38: Perfect ATS this season, Washington State was dogged at Stanford and trailed by 11 at halftime and by seven through three quarters. Washington State tied the game early in the fourth and then stopped Stanford going for it on 4th down in long field goal range with nine minutes remaining. Washington State converted a similar 4th down try on its next possession and eventually found the end zone to go up by seven with four minutes to go. Stanford answered and tied the game with more than a minute remaining but Washington State did enough to hit a 42-yard field goal to take a three-point lead. Stanford reached midfield in the final seconds but ran out of time as the Cougars took the Pac-12 North lead.

Tulane (-2) 24, Tulsa 17: Tulsa never trailed in this game until the final score but was unable to pull away despite having a 10-point lead in the second half. Tulane tied the game with 12 minutes to go and then Tulsa fumbled halfway through the fourth quarter in Tulane territory. Quarterback Justin McMillan broke free for a 39-yard touchdown run with fewer than four minutes to go to give Tulane its first lead in the game and Tulsa was unable to answer, going backwards after reaching Tulane territory on its final drive.

UL-Lafayette (+3) 47, Arkansas State 43: UL-Lafayette never trailed in the first three quarters but Arkansas State hit a 73-yard touchdown pass early in the fourth to move in front 35-34. UL-Lafayette answered quickly but Arkansas State would respond as well, making its two-point conversion to go up three after the Ragin’ Cajuns were unable to get its own conversion attempt on the previous score. UL-Lafayette burned nearly five minutes in 11 plays before turning in the game-winning touchdown with just over a minute to go.

Boise State (-10) 48, Air Force 38: These Mountain West foes were tied at halftime before Boise State pulled ahead by 10 early in the fourth quarter. Air Force cut the margin to three with five minutes to go but the Broncos responded with a 61-yard touchdown pass to close right on the number with a 10-point win.

Mississippi State (-1) 28, Texas A&M 13: There were many possible outcomes with the Bulldogs leading by one through three quarters with the spread on this game bouncing around before kickoff. Mississippi State went up by eight early in the fourth quarter and with just over two minutes remaining sealed the win with an interception in the end zone to hold A&M off the board. Two plays later the Bulldogs got a long run from Nick Fitzgerald to pad the final margin.

Notre Dame (-22½) 44, Navy 22: Notre Dame led 27-0 at halftime but Navy put forth a good effort in the second half to put up 22 points, climbing to within two scores early in the fourth quarter with a two-point conversion successful. The Irish answered to lead by 22 while Navy turned it over in Notre Dame territory on its next two possessions. Notre Dame didn’t add points as Navy barely held on with an underdog spread that dipped from 24 to 22½.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Week 10

Saturday’s best 13 games

Purdue is favored over Iowa for first time since ’07; Boilers (+7) upset Iowa in Iowa City 24-15 LY, ending a 4-game series skid. Hawkeyes won last three visits here, by 14-14-24 points. Purdue won four of its last five games; they’re 7-3 in last ten games as a home favorite, 0-2 this year. Boilers allowed 972 TY in last two weeks, 788 thru the air- all of their wins this year are by 17+ points- three of their four losses are by 4 or fewer points. Iowa is 1-4 in its last five games as a road underdog. Over is 4-1 in last five Hawkeye games.

Kentucky is 7-1 this year, despite scoring 15-14-14 points in their last three games; last five Wildcat games stayed under total. Under Stoops, Kentucky is 4-11-2 as home underdogs, but 1-0 this year- they’re 11-6 vs spread in last 17 games as an underdog. Georgia won its last eight games with Kentucky, covering last five; they won their last five visits here (3-2 vs spread). Under Smart, Dawgs are 7-4 as road favorites, 2-2 this year; they scored 36+ points in all their wins this year, were held to 16 in their 36-16 loss at LSU.

Duke lost three of last four games; they scored 45 points at Pitt LW but still lost, 54-45. Blue Devils gave up 484 rushing yards LW!!! Duke is 13-8 in last 21 games as road underdogs, 3-0 this year. Miami lost its last two games, scoring 13-14 points; ‘canes are 2-6 in last eight games as a home favorite. In its last three games, Miami completed only 47-100 passes- not good. Miami won its last four games with Duke; Blue Devils lost last three visits here, by 19-12-35 points. Three of last four Duke games stayed under the total.

Florida State lost 59-10 at home to Clemson LW, its worse home loss ever; Seminoles lost two of last three games, are 1-2 on road, with win 28-24 over lowly Louisville. FSU covered three of last four games as road underdogs. NC State lost its last two games after a 5-0 start, giving up 41-51 points; under Doeren, State is 12-13 as home favorites, 2-1 this year. Wolfpack (+11) upset Florida State in Tallahassee LW, snapping 4-game series skid; FSU won its last two visits here, 24-20/56-41. Four of last five FSU games went over;

Boston College won three of last four games, but lost last two road games, at Purdue/NC State; under Addazio, Eagles are 5-6 as road favorites. BC ran ball for 251/223 yards the last couple weeks. Virginia Tech won its last three games with Boston College, winning last meeting here 49-0 two years ago. Hokies gave up 700 rushing yards in last two games, getting lit up for 465 RY by Ga Tech’s option attack LW; under Fuente, Hokies are 0-2 as home underdogs, 0-1 this year. Va Tech is 1-4 vs spread in game following their last five losses.

Oklahoma won its last six games with Texas Tech, winning last three visits to Lubbock by 7-12-21 points; average total in last five series games is 86.2. Sooners scored 52.8 ppg in their last four games, running ball for 323/322 yards in last two; under Riley, they’re 2-3 as a road favorite, 1-1 this year. Texas Tech won five of last seven games and scored 31-34 points in the two losses; Red Raiders are 3-5 in their last eight games as home underdogs. Over is 6-1 in Oklahoma games, 6-2 in Texas Tech games this year.

West Virginia is 6-1, losing its last road game at Iowa State; Mountaineers are underdogs for first time this year- they’re 3-1 in last four games as road underdogs, 7-4 vs spread in last 11 true road games. WVU gained 464+ TY in all six of its wins; they were held to 152 at ISU. West Virginia/Texas split their last six games; WVU won two of its last three visits to Austin. Longhorns had 6-game win streak snapped in 38-35 loss at Oklahoma St LW; under Herman, Texas is 2-6 vs spread as home favorites- they allowed 500 TY in two of last three games.

Notre Dame is 8-0 this season, covering all three games as single digit favorites; Irish scored 56-45 points in winning their two true road games, by 29-22. ND is is 5-2 in its last seven games as road favorites, 2-0 this year. Northwestern won its last four games, upsetting Wisconsin LW when Badgers’ #1 QB didn’t play. Wildcats covered four of their last five games as a home dog. Northwestern (+17) upset Irish 43-30 in South Bend in last meeting, four years ago. Four of last five ND games went over the total. Northwestern held three of last four for under 20 points.

Utah won its last four games, scoring 40+ points in all four games; Utes ran ball for 200+ yards in each of last five games. Utah is 5-4 in its last nine games as road favorites, 1-2 this year. Arizona State won four of last six games with Utah; Utes lost two of last three visits to Tempe, but won last one. ASU lost four of last six games but won at USC LW (Trojans played their #3 QB); all four of Sun Devils’ losses this year by exactly 7 points. ASU is 6-3 in its last nine games as a home underdog, 1-1 this season.

Chip Kelly returns to Eugene with his 2-6 Bruins team that gave up 614 rushing yards in its last two games- six of their last seven opponents scored 30+ points. UCLA covered four of its last six games as road underdogs. Bruins beat Oregon 31-13 LY, snapping 4-game series skid- they lost last three visits here by 28-18-17 points. Ducks lost their last two games, giving up 34-44 points; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home favorites. Under is 5-2 in last seven Oregon games. UCLA scored 31-37 points in its two wins; they’re 0-6 scoring less than 31 points.

Road team won last six Texas A&M-Auburn games; Aggies won last three visits here, by 13-3-42 points. A&M is on road for 3rd straight game; Aggies covered three of last four games as a road underdog- they’re 0-3 when giving up more than 328 TY- Auburn gained 448-484 in their last two games. Auburn is 5-14-1 vs spread in its last 20 games as home favorites; they lost two of last three games overall but won at Ole Miss LW. Tigers game up 328/324 PY in their last two games. Last four A&M games, five of last six Auburn tilts stayed under the total.

Michigan won three of last four games with Penn State- they lost 42-13 in Happy Valley LY. PSU lost its last two visits here, 49-10/18-13. Wolverines won its last seven games, holding last two opponents to 13-7 points; Michigan held last five opponents to 283 or less TY, Michigan State to 94 TY in their last game two weeks ago. Penn State is 6-2 with both losses at home; they were outgained in their last three games. Nittany Lions are 3-7 in last ten games as road underdogs. Four of last six Michigan games, six of eight PSU games went over the total.

Alabama won its last seven games with LSU, winning last three visits here, by 10-7-4 points. Crimson Tide is 8-0 this year, 5-3 vs spread; they scored 62-65-58 points in winning/covering their three true road games. Bama is 9-5 in its last 14 games as road favorites, 2-1 this season. LSU gained only 239 TY in a 19-3 home win over Miss State LW; Tigers is 3-0 vs spread as an underdog this year; since ’10, they’re 4-2 as home underdogs. Over last 11 years, LSU is 1-1 as a double digit underdog. Four of last five Alabama games, four of last five LSU tilts went over.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 10


Saturday, November 3

Houston @ SMU

Game 321-322
November 3, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
91.170
SMU
80.119
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 14 1/2
71 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
SMU
(+14 1/2); Under

Iowa @ Purdue

Game 323-324
November 3, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa
101.708
Purdue
100.959
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa
by 1
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Purdue
by 3
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Iowa
(+3); Over

Texas State @ Georgia State

Game 325-326
November 3, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas State
66.355
Georgia State
64.443
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas State
by 2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia State
by 6
52
Dunkel Pick:
Texas State
(+6); Over

Syracuse @ Wake Forest

Game 327-328
November 3, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Syracuse
93.450
Wake Forest
83.916
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 9 1/2
78
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Syracuse
by 6
75 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(-6); Over

Georgia @ Kentucky

Game 329-330
November 3, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia
108.978
Kentucky
97.813
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia
by 11
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia
by 8
44
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia
(-8); Under

Navy @ Cincinnati

Game 331-332
November 3, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Navy
73.363
Cincinnati
92.207
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 19
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
by 13
50
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(-13); Over

Nebraska @ Ohio State

Game 333-334
November 3, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nebraska
84.654
Ohio State
106.773
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 22
76
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 17 1/2
72 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio State
(-17 1/2); Over

Georgia Tech @ North Carolina

Game 335-336
November 3, 2018 @ 12:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Tech
89.086
North Carolina
88.347
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Tech
by 1
69
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Tech
by 7
63
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(+7); Over

Missouri @ Florida

Game 337-338
November 3, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Missouri
97.884
Florida
96.226
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Missouri
by 1 1/2
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Florida
by 6
57
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(+6); Under

Duke @ Miami-FL

Game 339-340
November 3, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Duke
82.903
Miami-FL
99.214
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 17 1/2
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 9 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-FL
(-9 1/2); Over

Florida State @ NC State

Game 341-342
November 3, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida State
81.619
NC State
99.037
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 17 1/2
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 8 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC State
(-8 1/2); Over

Memphis @ East Carolina

Game 343-344
November 3, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
86.951
East Carolina
71.453
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 15 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 12
64 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(-12); Over

Boston College @ Virginia Tech

Game 345-346
November 3, 2018 @ 3:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston College
97.811
Virginia Tech
87.364
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston College
by 10 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston College
by 2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston College
(-2); Under

Michigan State @ Maryland

Game 347-348
November 3, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Michigan State
92.365
Maryland
93.595
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Maryland
by 1
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 3
46
Dunkel Pick:
Maryland
(+3); Over

Oklahoma @ Texas Tech

Game 349-350
November 3, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma
109.046
Texas Tech
105.850
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma
by 3
75
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma
by 13 1/2
77 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Tech
(+13 1/2); Under

West Virginia @ Texas

Game 351-352
November 3, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
West Virginia
102.268
Texas
98.722
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 3 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 2 1/2
57 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(+2 1/2); Over

Rutgers @ Wisconsin

Game 353-354
November 3, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rutgers
68.120
Wisconsin
94.411
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 26 1/2
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 28 1/2
50 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Rutgers
(+28 1/2); Over

Notre Dame @ Northwestern

Game 355-356
November 3, 2018 @ 7:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
103.825
Northwestern
91.420
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Notre Dame
by 12 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Notre Dame
by 9 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Notre Dame
(-9 1/2); Over

Minnesota @ Illinois

Game 357-358
November 3, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
83.758
Illinois
72.223
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 11 1/2
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 9 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-9 1/2); Over

Central Michigan @ Eastern Michigan

Game 359-360
November 3, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Michigan
72.983
Eastern Michigan
77.208
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 4 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 14
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Michigan
(+14); Under

Air Force @ Army

Game 361-362
November 3, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Air Force
88.195
Army
91.049
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Army
by 3
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Army
by 7
43
Dunkel Pick:
Air Force
(+7); Under

Tulane @ South Florida

Game 363-364
November 3, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tulane
79.467
South Florida
80.843
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
by 1 1/2
50
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Florida
by 7 1/2
59
Dunkel Pick:
Tulane
(+7 1/2); Under

Appalachian St @ Coastal Carolina

Game 365-366
November 3, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Appalachian St
85.540
Coastal Carolina
75.310
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Appalachian St
by 10
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Appalachian St
by 15 1/2
56 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Coastal Carolina
(+15 1/2); Under

Brigham Young @ Boise State

Game 367-368
November 3, 2018 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brigham Young
79.475
Boise State
98.169
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boise State
by 18 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 13
55
Dunkel Pick:
Boise State
(-13); Over

San Diego St @ New Mexico

Game 369-370
November 3, 2018 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Diego St
85.506
New Mexico
68.218
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego St
by 17 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego St
by 10 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego St
(-10 1/2); Under

San Jose St @ Wyoming

Game 371-372
November 3, 2018 @ 2:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose St
67.840
Wyoming
78.955
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wyoming
by 11
33
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wyoming
by 14
39 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose St
(+14); Under

California @ Washington St

Game 373-374
November 3, 2018 @ 10:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
California
91.517
Washington St
92.931
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington St
by 1 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington St
by 10
49 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
California
(+10); Under

Marshall @ Southern Miss

Game 375-376
November 3, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Marshall
82.769
Southern Miss
71.906
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marshall
by 11
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marshall
by 3
47
Dunkel Pick:
Marshall
(-3); Under

Georgia Southern @ LA-Monroe

Game 377-378
November 3, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Georgia Southern
83.948
LA-Monroe
64.755
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Georgia Southern
by 19
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Georgia Southern
by 7 1/2
59 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Georgia Southern
(-7 1/2); Under

Utah @ Arizona State

Game 379-380
November 3, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
106.530
Arizona State
91.568
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 15
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 7
56
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-7); Over

UCLA @ Oregon

Game 381-382
November 3, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UCLA
77.741
Oregon
93.406
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 15 1/2
60
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 10
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oregon
(-10); Under

USC @ Oregon State

Game 383-384
November 3, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
USC
91.538
Oregon State
73.067
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
USC
by 18 1/2
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
USC
by 16 1/2
61 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
USC
(-16 1/2); Over

Stanford @ Washington

Game 385-386
November 3, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Stanford
88.667
Washington
102.064
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 13 1/2
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 10
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-10); Over

Iowa State @ Kansas

Game 387-388
November 3, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iowa State
100.240
Kansas
87.787
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iowa State
by 12 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iowa State
by 14 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas
(+14 1/2); Under

Texas A&M @ Auburn

Game 389-390
November 3, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas A&M
94.878
Auburn
92.247
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 2 1/2
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Auburn
by 4
49
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M
(+4); Under

Charlotte @ Tennessee

Game 391-392
November 3, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
66.964
Tennessee
85.671
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tennessee
by 18 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tennessee
by 21
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+21); Under

Louisiana Tech @ Mississippi St

Game 393-394
November 3, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana Tech
80.503
Mississippi St
98.941
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi St
by 18 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi St
by 24
48
Dunkel Pick:
Louisiana Tech
(+24); Under

Oklahoma State @ Baylor

Game 395-396
November 3, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
88.613
Baylor
90.012
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 1 1/2
63
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 7 1/2
68
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(+7 1/2); Under

Liberty @ Massachusetts

Game 397-398
November 3, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Liberty
71.726
Massachusetts
63.297
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Liberty
by 8 1/2
74
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Massachusetts
by 2 1/2
71
Dunkel Pick:
Liberty
(+2 1/2); Over

Kansas State @ TCU

Game 399-400
November 3, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas State
84.360
TCU
96.865
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
TCU
by 12 1/2
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
TCU
by 8
46
Dunkel Pick:
TCU
(-8); Under

Connecticut @ Tulsa

Game 401-402
November 3, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
55.675
Tulsa
78.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tulsa
by 22 1/2
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tulsa
by 17 1/2
58
Dunkel Pick:
Tulsa
(-17 1/2); Over

Louisville @ Clemson

Game 403-404
November 3, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisville
73.677
Clemson
118.623
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Clemson
by 45
65
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Clemson
by 38 1/2
61
Dunkel Pick:
Clemson
(-38 1/2); Over

Penn State @ Michigan

Game 405-406
November 3, 2018 @ 3:45 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Penn State
100.417
Michigan
113.020
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan
by 12 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan
by 10 1/2
52
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan
(-10 1/2); Over

South Carolina @ Mississippi

Game 407-408
November 3, 2018 @ 12:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Carolina
89.267
Mississippi
91.450
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mississippi
by 2
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Carolina
by 1
68 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Mississippi
(+1); Under

UTEP @ Rice

Game 409-410
November 3, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
UTEP
60.969
Rice
56.300
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UTEP
by 4 1/2
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rice
by 1 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
UTEP
(+1 1/2); Under

LA-Lafayette @ Troy

Game 411-412
November 3, 2018 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
77.706
Troy
82.550
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Troy
by 5
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Troy
by 10 1/2
64
Dunkel Pick:
LA-Lafayette
(+10 1/2); Under

South Alabama @ Arkansas St

Game 413-414
November 3, 2018 @ 3:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Alabama
63.994
Arkansas St
76.810
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas St
by 13
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas St
by 16
63 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Alabama
(+16); Under

TX-San Antonio @ UAB

Game 415-416
November 3, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TX-San Antonio
84.489
UAB
84.633
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
UAB
by 20
40
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
UAB
by 22 1/2
43 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
TX-San Antonio
(+22 1/2); Under

Florida Atlantic @ FIU

Game 417-418
November 3, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Florida Atlantic
81.932
FIU
75.334
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Florida Atlantic
by 6 1/2
55
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
FIU
by 3
59
Dunkel Pick:
Florida Atlantic
(+3); Under

Alabama @ LSU

Game 419-420
November 3, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama
122.308
LSU
105.874
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alabama
by 16 1/2
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alabama
by 14 1/2
53 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama
(-14 1/2); Over

Fresno State @ UNLV

Game 421-422
November 3, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fresno State
99.693
UNLV
65.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Fresno State
by 34
64
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Fresno State
by 25 1/2
60
Dunkel Pick:
Fresno State
(-25 1/2); Over

Utah State @ Hawaii

Game 423-424
November 3, 2018 @ 12:00 am

Dunkel Rating:
Utah State
95.528
Hawaii
71.811
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah State
by 24
67
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah State
by 18
71
Dunkel Pick:
Utah State
(-18); Under

Alcorn State @ New Mexico St

Game 425-426
November 3, 2018 @ 4:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alcorn State
48.309
New Mexico St
63.361
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Mexico St
by 15
68
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Mexico St
by 10 1/2
62 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico St
(-10 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College Football's Top ATS Teams:

1. Washington St 8-0 ATS
t2. Fresno St 7-1 ATS
t2. Georgia Southern 7-1 ATS
t2. UAB 7-1 ATS
t2. Utah St 7-1 ATS
t2. Virginia 7-1 ATS
t7. 8 teams tied at 6-2 ATS (Buffalo, BC, Florida, Florida Int, Iowa, Temple, Texas A&M, UL-Lafayette)


College Football's Worst ATS Teams:

t130. Navy 1-7 ATS
t130. Louisville 1-7 ATS
t130. Florida Atlantic 1-7 ATS
127. Connecticut 1-6-1 ATS
t125. Washington 2-7 ATS
t125. New Mexico St 2-7 ATS
t116. 9 teams tied at 2-6 ATS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

LSU's odds improve slightly for college football clash vs. big fave Alabama
Patrick Everson

Tua Tagovailoa's unbeaten and top-ranked Alabama squad opened as a hefty 15-point road favorite at No. 4 LSU. However, a little early action on the Tigers tightened that number a tick to 14

The highly anticipated, hotly debated College Football Playoff rankings debut on Tuesday night, followed at the end of the week by some matchups that will be key to future CFP releases. We check in on the opening lines and early action on four Week 10 tilts, with insights from Cameron Coombs, supervisor at The SuperBook at Westgate.

No. 1 Alabama Crimson Tide at No. 4 Louisiana State Tigers (+15)

Despite playing on the road against a top-five outfit, Alabama is a huge favorite for this Saturday night SEC showdown. The Crimson Tide (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS) have beaten all their foes by at least 22 points, including a 58-21 shellacking of Tennessee as 29.5-point road favorites in Week 8. Alabama had a bye in Week 9.

Louisiana State stumbled in Week 6 at Florida, but rebounded on its home field by upsetting Georgia in Week 7. In Week 8, the Tigers (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) posted a 19-3 victory over Mississippi State as 5-point home faves. Like Alabama, LSU had a bye in Week 9.

“We have not received much action on this so far. The line has steamed down a little bit,” Coombs said. “I think it’s due to the big matchup. As the week goes on, I assume we will see a lot of Alabama money, as we do every week. Who knows, maybe the Alabama quarterback (Tua Tagovailoa) will play past the first half.”

No. 5 Georgia Bulldogs at No. 12 Kentucky Wildcats (+9.5)

Georgia had a bye in Week 8 to regroup after its upset loss at LSU, then got a key neutral-site win in Week 9. The Bulldogs (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) went to Jacksonville as 7-point favorites against Florida and left with a 36-17 victory.

Kentucky is certainly one of the surprise teams of the season and still controls its own destiny in the SEC East. The Wildcats’ only loss was at Texas A&M in overtime in Week 6. In Week 9, Kentucky (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) got a TD on the final play of the game for a 15-14 victory at Missouri catching 7.5 points.

“This line hasn’t moved at all, and we have seen any significant wagers on it,” Coombs said. “I want to see how Georgia comes out and plays. The Bulldogs’ game against Florida was much closer than what the scoreboard said.”

No. 13 Penn State Nittany Lions at No. 5 Michigan Wolverines (-10)

Michigan is running perfect since its Week 1 loss at Notre Dame. The Wolverines (7-1 SU, 5-3 ATS) enter this Big 10 showdown off a bye week, after dumping Michigan State 21-7 giving 7.5 points on the road in Week 8.

Penn State soiled its season with back-to-back home losses, blowing a big fourth-quarter lead against Ohio State and giving up a last-minute TD against Michigan State. The Nittany Lions (6-2 SU, 5-3 ATS) followed with a pair of close wins, edging Iowa 30-24 as 5.5-point home favorites in Week 9.

“Both of Penn State’s losses have been close games, and with Michigan’s defense, I think this will be a close game,” Coombs said. “Throughout the week, I could see the spread dropping.”

No. 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Northwestern Wildcats (+8)

Notre Dame is right in the thick of the four-team CFP chase, riding a perfect record into Week 10. The Fighting Irish (8-0 SU, 5-3 ATS) rumbled over Navy 44-22 in Week 9, narrowly cashing as 21.5-point faves in a neutral-site game in San Diego.

Northwestern followed a three-game losing streak by winning four in a row. In Week 9, the Wildcats (5-3 SU, 4-3-1 ATS) built a 31-10 lead against visiting Wisconsin and coasted to a 31-17 victory catching 3.5 points at home.

“This is a game we have received some money on. We took a sharp bet at -8, and the line has steamed up since,” Coombs said of action that took the Fighting Irish from -8 to -9.5. “I think the line will continue to go up. Notre Dame is a powerhouse this year, and I’m not sure Northwestern will be able to keep up with the Irish.”

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SEMINOLES TAKE HIT

Discipline issues have forced the Florida State Seminoles to be without their top receiving option for the first half of their Saturday afternoon matchup with host N.C. State. Senior wide receiver Nyqwan Murray has been suspended for the opening two quarters against the Wolfpack after throwing punches during last week's loss to Clemson. Florida State head coach Willie Taggart was blunt in his assessment of Murray's actions, calling him "mentally weak." Murray has had a sensational season to date, racking up 40 catches for 536 yards and four touchdowns in eight games.

With Murray out of the lineup, the Wolfpack look like a solid choice to cover both the first-quarter and first-half spreads. N.C. State is also a strong play at -7 on the full-game spread.


DUCKS’ WINGS GET CLIPPED

The Oregon Ducks could be in a whole heap of trouble on the offensive side of the ball this weekend against visiting UCLA. Junior quarterback Justin Herbert missed practice Tuesday as he recovers from a concussion suffered in last weekend's game against the Arizona Wildcats. He was placed in the concussion protocol after the game despite not being removed from the 44-15 loss. Herbert has had an up-and-down campaign in his third year at the helm of the Ducks' offense, completing just 59.6 percent of his passes for 2,069 yards with 20 touchdowns and six interceptions in eight games.

Oddsmakers are bracing for Herbert's absence, dropping the line from Oregon -13 all the way down to -7.5. We recommend jumping on the Bruins at this number, which will likely shrink even further if Herbert doesn't show progress in his recovery.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tech Trends - Week 10
Bruce Marshall

Saturday, Nov. 3

HOUSTON at SMU...SMU has covered 2 of last 3 meetings including big upset at Dallas in 2016. Cougs have covered last two on road TY but just 4-10 vs. spread last 14 away from home.
Slight to SMU, based on team trends.


IOWA at PURDUE... Road team has covered all seven meetings since 2011 (eight in a road for road team back to 2008). Ferentz 12-5 vs. spread last 17 as visitor. Brohm, however, 14-8 vs. line with Purdue.
Slight to Iowa, based on series trends.


TEXAS STATE at GEORGIA STATE... GSU just 1-6 vs. line last seven TY and 2-6 vs. spread at Turner Field (GSU Stadium) since moving in LY.
Slight to Texas State, based on team trends.


SYRACUSE at WAKE FOREST...Clawson has won and covered last two vs. Babers, and Deacs were 10-3-1 as dog entering 2018 (they’re 1-4 in role TY). Cuse only 2 covers last 5 TY.
Slight to Wake Forest, based on team trends.


GEORGIA at KENTUCKY...Ga has covered last five and won last 8 vs. UK. Kirby Smart is 12-3 vs. spread last 15 away from Athens. Stoops just 7-13 last 20 vs. line in reg season.
Georgia, based on series and team trends.


NAVY at CINCINNATI...Mids 2-6 vs. spread in 2016. Navy 0-3 vs. line as visitor after 8-2 mark vs. spread away.
Cincy, based on recent trends.


NEBRASKA at OHIO STATE...Frost has covered last three vs. Big Ten this season. Though Urban won and covered last two vs. Huskers by combined 118-17 score! Nebraska 5-2 as away dog since LY (2-1 Frost). Urban no covers last four this season, just 3-7 vs. points last ten as Big Ten host.
Nebraska, based on recent trends.


GEORGIA TECH at NORTH CAROLINA...Fedora has covered 3 of last 4 vs. Paul Johnson. Heels actually on 8-3 spread run since late 2017.
Slight to UNC, based on series and team trends.


MISSOURI at FLORIDA...Dan Mullen 6-2 vs. line TY, his teams are 14-7 vs. spread last 20 in reg season (MSU & UF). Mizzou 4-7 vs. spread in games with single-digit spread since LY, also no covers last five away from Columbia. Home team has covered eight of last nine Tiger reg season games.
Florida, based on team trends.


DUKE at MIAMI-FLA... Richt 1-4 vs. line last five TY, on 3-9 spread skid since late 2017. Though Canes have won and covered four straight vs. Duke. Cutcliffe has covered five of last six away from Durham.
Slight to Duke, based on team trends.


FLORIDA STATE at NC STATE...NCS has covered last 2 and 3 of last 4 in series, but Wolfpack 1-7 last 8 as Raleigh chalk.
Slight to Florida State, based on team trends.


MEMPHIS at EAST CAROLINA...ECU no covers last four TY, 8-22-1 vs. line since 2016. Tigers 0-3 vs. line on road TY.
Memphis, based on ECU negatives.


BOSTON COLLEGE at VIRGINIA TECH...BC now on 15-2 spread uptick in reg season since early 2017. Addazio has also covered five straight as road dog. VPI just 1-4 vs. spread last five TY.
Boston College, based on team trends.


MICHIGAN STATE at MARYLAND... Terps have covered last two meetings. Dantonio just 2-9 last 11 as visiting chalk since 2015, though Md just 2-7 last 9 as dog.
Maryland, based on team trends.


OKLAHOMA at TEXAS TECH...Home team has covered last five in series. Kingsbury on 5-2 spread run TY.
Slight to Texas Tech, based on series and team trends.


WEST VIRGINIA at TEXAS...Holgorsen 3-9 vs. spread last 12 as dog.
Slight to Texas, based on team trends.


RUTGERS at WISCONSIN...Scarlet Knights on 3-7 spread skid since late LY. Rutgers 0-4 SU and vs. line last 4 away, total score 24-182! Though Badgers only 1-4 vs. line at Camp Randall TY.
Wisconsin, based on Rutgers negatives.


NOTRE DAME at NORTHWESTERN...Irish haven’t played at Evanston since 1976. Pat Fitzgerald 3-0 as dog TY and 19-9 in role since 2014.
Northwestern, based on team trends.


MINNESOTA at ILLINOIS...Minny has won SU last three in series but Fleck 1-5-1 vs. line away for Gophers since LY. Lovie just 5-13 vs. points at Champaign-Urbana since 2016.
Slight to Minnesota, based on series trends.


CENTRAL MICHIGAN at EASTERN MICHIGAN...Chips 7-1 vs. line L8 as a visitor. Also 9-5 vs. spread last 14 reg season since mid 2017. EMU however on 23-8-1 spread run since early 2016.
Slight to Eastern Michigan, based on team trends.


AIR FORCE at ARMY...Note Calhoun 16-6-2 as dog since 2014 (3-0 TY) and Falcs have won and covered last two at Michie. Force was 4-0 SU and 3-0-1 vs. line vs. Army prior to ugh 21-0 loss LY. Black Knights 2-5-1 as Michie chalk since LY (1-1-1 TY).
Air Force, based on team and series trends.


TULANE at SOUTH FLORIDA...USF just 3-11 vs. line last 14 reg season games and 1-9 last 10 as reg season chalk.
Tulane, based on team trends.


APP STATE at COASTAL CAROLINA...After covering 9 in row, App has now dropped last 2 vs. spread. Though Mounties have still covered last five away from Boone. Chants 4-1 last four as dog.
Slight to App State, based on team trends.


BYU at BOISE STATE...Boise has actually covered 4 of last 6 as blue carpet chalk, gradually reducing a previous shortcoming. Cougs however have covered 4 of last 6 meetings. Sitake 2-1 as dog TY but was just 2-5 in role a year ago.
Slight to BYU, based on team trends.


SAN DIEGO STATE at NEW MEXICO...Rocky Long back at UNM! Aztecs 12-4 vs. spread last 16 on MW trail. Rocky has also covered last two vs. Lobos. Davie no covers last five in Albuquerque.
San Diego State, based on team trends.


SAN JOSE STATE at WYOMING...SJSU won this game LY at home and have covered all three on road this season. Wyo now on 2-game cover streak but still just 2-6 vs. line TY, 3-8 last 11 reg season.
San Jose State, based on team trends.


CAL at WASHINGTON STATE...Cal 4-1 vs. spread last five away. Leach on 6-game cover streak, and has covered six straight Pac-12 games at Pullman. Big revenge for Cougs from LY 37-3 loss.
Washington State, based on team trends.


MARSHALL at SOUTHERN MISS...Doc 0-2 SU vs. Jay Hopson though Herd covered LY. MU 8-2 vs. line last ten away from home since LY. Hopson just 5-8 as Hattiesburg chalk since 2016.
Marshall, based on team trends.


GEORGIA SOUTHERN at ULM...GS on 7-1 and 9-2 runs vs. spread. Matt Viator on 2-8 spread skid.
Georgia Southern, based on team trends.


UTAH at ARIZONA STATE...Surging Utes have won and covered 4 in a row after UCLA romp, scoring 40 or more in all. Utes 21-9 vs. line last 30 away from Salt Lake City. Also won last 3 and covered last 5 vs. ASU. Herm 3-1 vs. spread at Tempe TY, and Sun Devils 7-2 vs. line last nine at home.
Utah, based on team and series trends.


UCLA at OREGON...Chip returns to Eugene! Bruins beat banged-up no-Herbert Ducks LY. UCLA broke long road losing streak in last away game but is still 2-1 vs. line as visitor TY. And just 7-13-1 last 21 on broad since late 2016. Cristobal just 1-3-1 vs. line at home TY .
Slight to Oregon, based on extended trends.


USC at OREGON STATE...Helton on 6-17 spread skid since late 2016, 3-9 last 12 away from Coliseum, 1-7 last 8 laying DD.
Slight to Oregon State, based on team trends.


STANFORD at WASHINGTON...Revenge for UW after loss at Tree LY. That game was a revenge for Shaw after blowout in 2016. Home team has covered last seven in series. Tree 2-6 last 8 vs. line as visitor (2-1 TY). Shaw 12-5 as dog with Tree. Huskies only 2-8 vs. spread last ten since late LY.
Slight to Stanford, based on team trends.


IOWA STATE at KANSAS... Matt Campbell on a 10-8-1 spread run since early 2016 with ISU. Home team has covered last five meetings.
Iowa State, based on team trends.


TEXAS A&M at AUBURN...Jimbo 6-2 vs. line this season, Malzahn on 20-37-2 spread skid since early 2014. Road team 4-0-1 vs. line last five meetings.
Texas A&M, based on team and series trends.


CHARLOTTE at TENNESSEE..Pruitt 1-3 vs. line at home TY, Vols 2-9 vs. spread at Knoxville since LY.
Slight to Charlotte, based on Vol negatives.


LA TECH at MISSISSIPPI STATE...MSU 9-3 vs. line at Starkville since LY, 4-1 for Moorhead, though Bulldogs SU and spread Ls 3 of last 5 overall TY. Skip Holtz 3-0 as dog TY, 15-5 in role since 2014.
La Tech, based on team trends.


OKLAHOMA STATE at BAYLOR...Baylor just 3-8 vs. spread last 11 at Waco. Though home sides won and covered last 2 in series.
Oklahoma State, based on team trends.


LIBERTY at UMASS...Flames 0-2 as chalk TY (Flames road chalk?), but UMass on 3-7 spread skid since late LY. Minutemen are 4-3 vs. spread last 7 as host however.
Slight to Liberty, based on team trends.


KANSAS STATE at TCU...Bill Snyder 32-15 last 47 as dog. Frogs 2-14-1 vs. spread last 17 at Fort Worth.
Kansas State, based on team trends.


UCONN at TULSA...Ugh! Edsall 1-7-1 vs. line TY, Huskies 6-18-1 vs. points since mid 2016. Though Edsall not-too-bad 4-4-1 as road dog since LY. Tulsa just 2-7 vs. points last 8 as host, 1-5 as chalk since LY.
Slight to Tulsa, based on team trends.


LOUISVILLE at CLEMSON...Petrino 1-7 vs. line TY, 6-19 since late in 2016. Dabo 4-1 vs. line last 5 TY.
Clemson, based on team trends.


PENN STATE at MICHIGAN... Home team has won and covered in romps past two years. Harbaugh has covered last 3 and 4 of last 5 TY, though James Franklin 6-1 as dog since 2016.
Slight to Penn State, based on James Franklin dog marks.


SOUTH CAROLINA at OLE MISS...Muschamp 8-1 vs. spread last nine away from Williams-Brice. Matt Luke on 1-5 spread skid.
South Carolina, based on team trends.


UTEP at RICE...UTEP has covered 4 of its last 6 TY, though Rice won and covered last two series meetings. Owls 2-7 vs. points last nine at home.
Slight to UTEP, based on team trends.


ULL at TROY...Ragin’ Cajuns are flying with 5 covers in a row TY including three straight away. Though Troy on 6-1 spread uptick itself. Trojans 3-0 as home chalk TY after 1-5 mark in role LY.
Slight to ULL, based on team trends.


SOUTH ALABAMA at ARKANSAS STATE...USA just 2-5 vs. spread last seven away, though Jags 6-4 as dog since LY (2-2 TY). Red Wolves on 3-10 spread skid, 1-5 vs. points last 6 at Jonesboro.
Slight to South Alabama, based on team trends.


UTSA at UAB...UAB 17-5-1 last 11 on board for Bill Clark. Blazers also 10-0-1 vs. spread last 11 at Legion Field! UTSA on 3-13 spread skid.
UAB, based on team trends.


FAU at FIU...Lane Kiffin 1-7 vs. line TY, Butch Davis 11-4 last 15 vs. spread in reg season.
FIU, based on recent trends.


ALABAMA at LSU...Saban has covered 4 of last 5 in series and hasn’t lost to Tigers since first 2011 meeting. Oregron however 3-0 as dog TY and has covered last six in role.
Slight to LSU, based on team trends.


FRESNO STATE at UNLV...Tedford 17-3-2 vs. spread since arriving at Fresno and 7-1 TY, though Bulldogs have lost last two vs. Sanchez. Rebs just 4-9 vs. spread last 13 at Sam Boyd, Sanchez 2-5 as home dog.
Fresno State, based on team trends.


UTAH STATE at HAWAII...Utags 6-1-1 vs. line TY, UH 1-6-1 last eight on board. Bows 7-21-1 vs. line at Aloha since mid 2014.
Utah State, based on team trends.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WHO’S UNDER CENTER FOR UCLA?

There's some mystery surrounding who will be under center for UCLA this weekend as the Bruins face off against the host Oregon Ducks. Senior Wilton Speight practiced with the starting unit Wednesday after getting the start in place of the injured Dorian Thompson-Robinson last week. But Thompson-Robinson returned to practice Tuesday, leaving both players' status for the Oregon game in doubt. Thompson-Robinson has thrown for 1,176 yards with six touchdowns and three interceptions, while Speight has 413 passing yards with two TDs and three INTs.

The uncertainty surrounding UCLA's QB situation, combined with Oregon's Justin Herbert returning to practice as he continues his recovery from a concussion, puts the betting focus back on the Ducks. This line dropped from Oregon -13 to -8.5 with word that Herbert might miss the game, so now is the time to consider backing the hosts.


MARSHALL THE MAN FOR G-TECH

TaQuon Marshall is ready to return to the Georgia Tech lineup for this Saturday's encounter with rival North Carolina. Head coach Paul Johnson says Marshall will be the starting quarterback for this weekend's game after missing last week's 49-28 win over Virginia Tech with an upper-body injury. Freshman Tobias Oliver filled in, and promptly ran for 215 yards and three scores in the one-sided victory, earning conference Rookie of the Week honors. Oliver and Marshall rank first and second on the team in rushing yards and have combined for 19 scores on the ground.

The return of Marshall will enhance the Yellow Jackets' triple-option attack sufficiently to make the over on their team total an attractive option. With the favorite having gone 4-1 ATS in the last five games of the series, bettors might also want to consider the Yellow Jackets to cover at -6.


NO HARNESS ON HENDERSON

Memphis' electrifying running back will have no limitations when he hits the gridiron this weekend against East Carolina. Darrell Henderson aggravated a leg injury early in the Tigers' 65-33 loss to Missouri on Oct. 20, finishing with just four carries for 15 yards. Head coach Mike Norvell says Henderson won't be on a snap count against ECU as he looks to reach the 100-yard plateau for the sixth time in nine games. The junior standout ranks second in the nation in rushing yards with 1,155, just seven behind Wisconsin Badgers star Jonathan Taylor.

With the Tigers favored by nearly two touchdowns and Henderson averaging an absurd 10.1 yards per carry on the season, taking a Memphis touchdown as the first scoring play is a decent option at +120.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

POINTS AT A PREMIUM

You don't often see Division I college football games with totals south of 40 – but that's in the offing Thursday night as Northern Illinois visits Akron in MAC action. The host Zips have had all sorts of problems scoring points this season, particularly in the early going: they're averaging just four first-quarter points per game against FBS opponents, ranking outside the top 100 nationally. But the visiting Huskies have it even worse: They've managed just two first-quarter points per contest in 2018, ranking 126th out of 130 qualifying Division I schools.

Given both teams' first-quarter struggles, we recommend taking the under on the first-quarter total of 7 (-110). And if you're feeling particularly brave, you could opt for the Zips to win the opening quarter to nil (+500).


BRONCOS TURN TO ELEBY

Western Michigan will have a new starting quarterback for its Thursday night encounter with visiting Ohio. Freshman Kaleb Eleby will take his turn under center after the Broncos lost regular No. 1 Jon Wassink to an ankle injury in last week's 51-24 drubbing at the hands of Toledo. Eleby fared well (23-for-28, 293 yards, two TDs) but was sacked five times; Western Michigan had allowed just four total sacks in its previous eight games. Ohio ranks below average in sacks per game (1.88) and sits 125th overall in passing yards allowed per game (292.4).

WMU is a three-point underdog against the Bobcats but shouldn't see any dip in production moving from Wassink to Eleby given Ohio's poor pass rush and even worse overall pass defense. We suggest taking the home team to not only cover, but to surpass its team total of 30.5 (-110).


CAN TEMPLE TOPPLE UCF?

If there's a team on Central Florida's schedule that could cause the Knights a whole heap of problems, it's the Temple Owls, who visit Spectrum Stadium for a pivotal Thursday night encounter. UCF's 20-game winning streak will be on the line, and the Knights will look to continue their incredible run of success – particularly in the red zone, where their 90-percent conversion ranks 23rd in the country. But they could have their hands full against a stout Temple defense that has limited opponents to just 13 touchdowns and four field goals in 26 red-zone opportunities.

Even a slight downturn in UCF's red-zone proficiency will compromise both their ability to cover the -10.5 spread and their chances of surpassing their 37.5-point team total (-110). Also, worth considering: The Owls are a sensational 22-5 ATS in their last 27 conference games.


MILTON A GAME-TIME DECISION

To make matters worse for UCF and its backers, starting quarterback McKenzie Milton will be a "game-time" decision according to head coach Josh Heupel. Milton dressed but didn’t play due to an undisclosed injury in UCF’s 37-10 win over East Carolina two weeks ago, in a game the Knights (-21.5) were able to cover without their star signal caller.

Backup Darriel Mack Jr. played in place of Milton and threw for just 69 yards with no touchdowns and no interceptions on 12-of-20 passing. The Knights leaned heavily on the ground game in Milton’s absence, totalling 55 carries for 316 yards (5.7 yards per rush) and two touchdowns. Temple’s weakness on defense is against the run, ranking 91st in the country in that category.


OLIVER GOOD TO GO

The Houston Cougars might have their best defensive player back in the fold for Saturday's game against Southern Methodist. Defensive tackle Ed Oliver missed last week's 57-36 victory over South Florida with a knee injury but was reportedly close to playing. He's considered day-to-day but is trending upward for this weekend's showdown with the Mustangs. Oliver is widely expected to be a first-round pick in next year's NFL draft; the Houston native has had a sensational season to date, with 51 tackles, three sacks and a forced fumble.

If Oliver returns as expected, bettors should downgrade their expectations for the SMU offense; look at the under on their 27.5-point team total (-110) if he's back in the fold.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RED ZONE REVOLUTION

The Pitt Panthers haven't exactly been a force in the red zone so far this season – but that might change Friday night as they visit the Virginia Cavaliers in an ACC showdown. The Panthers come into the game with one of the worst scoring rates inside the opponents' 20-yard line of any team in the nation, turning 23 red-zone visits into 15 touchdowns and three field goals. But the TD rate is actually decent compared to the rest of Division I – and things are set up to turn around for the Panthers against a Cavaliers defense that has given up points on 16 of its opponents' 17 voyages into the red zone.

Virginia is a seven-point favorite for Friday's game, but the Cavs' red-zone struggles combined with Pitt having averaged better than 37 points over its last three games makes the road team a decent cover option here.


WILDCATS’ FIRST-QUARTER WALL

The Arizona Wildcats have had their share of ups and downs this season, but their first-quarter defense – particularly at home – remains one of the best of the nation entering Friday's meeting with the visiting Colorado Buffaloes. The Wildcats have faced four Division I opponents at Arizona Stadium (BYU, USC, California, Oregon) and have allowed only seven points on a Trojans touchdown and conversion in their Sept. 29 encounter. Colorado, meanwhile, might be without the services of top receiving threat Leviska Shenault, who has missed the previous two games with a toe injury.

Whether Shenault plays or sits, the Wildcats have been sensational enough in the early stages of home games to make the under on Colorado's first-quarter total of 6.5 (-110) the recommended option. If you're looking for an even better payout, take Arizona to win the first quarter at nil, which pays +250.


PRIMED FOR PICK 6

Middle Tennessee State has proven capable of scoring on both sides of the football as it prepares to host Western Kentucky in a Friday night Conference USA encounter. The Blue Raiders not only sit third in the conference in interceptions with nine, they also lead C-USA with three interception returns for touchdowns. And that bodes well for MTSU Friday night, as they'll host a Hilltoppers team that has thrown just 10 touchdown passes against six interceptions. With the host Blue Raiders favored by nearly two touchdowns, WKU will need to throw a lot – and that plays right into MTSU's hands.

Bettors should consider the defensive/special teams touchdown here, which pays out at +150.


BACKFIELD REINFORCEMENTS FOR AZTECS

The San Diego State backfield is about to be a lot more robust, with two key players returning to the fold. Running back Juwan Washington will return to action for the first time since suffering a fractured collarbone in a Sept. 22 victory over Eastern Michigan. Washington is one of the top rushing threats in the nation, with 513 yards and five touchdowns through parts of four games. He won't start Saturday against New Mexico – Chase Jasmin will assume that role – but should see carries. Fullback Isaac Lessard (neck) will also return to the lineup, though he won't start, either.

SDSU should use its potent rush attack to punish a Lobos team that ranks eighth in the 12-team Mountain West in rushing yards allowed per game (171.5) and tied for second in rushing scores allowed (17). The Aztecs are a good play both against the spread (-10) and on the over for their team total of 28.5 (-110).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Alabama at LSU
Brian Edwards

Alabama (8-0 straight up, 5-3 against the spread) is ranked No. 1 in the newest College Football Rankings and that title is certainly well deserved. Nick Saban’s team has won all eight of its games by at least 22 points. The Crimson Tide has been so dominant that its star QB Tua Tagovailoa hasn’t taken a snap in the fourth quarter all season.

On paper and by just about anyone’s eye test, this squad appears to be Saban’s best and one of the most dominant in college football history. But nobody earns the latter honor through only eight games. In fact, this team can’t even claim the former billing unless it wins the CFP. So obviously, Alabama still has plenty of work to do.

With that said, let’s take a moment to consider what this club has accomplished to date. For gamblers who have backed the Tide in the first quarter and the first half, in addition to taking its team total ‘over’ in the first quarter, first half and for the game, those bettors have cashed tickets at an insane 36-3-1 clip.

For those gamblers who regularly read my weekly SEC Notebook, you’re freakin’ welcome since I’ve been pointing you toward this sequence of bets since Week 3! When I write my SEC content on Friday, the lines for the first quarter and the teams totals in the first quarter and first half usually aren’t available yet.

As I write this on Friday afternoon, we do have a first-half line already as ‘Bama is a 7.5-point favorite with a total of 27.5. We also have a team total for the game (34.5 pts. for the Tide; LSU’s is 19.5). Most books have Alabama installed as a 14.5-point favorite (we’re talking about the game now) with a total of 53.5. The Tigers are anywhere from +450 to +500 on the money line.

Tagovailoa is a monster -400 ‘chalk’ to win the Heisman Trophy at Sportsbook.ag. He has 25 TD passes without an interception, in addition to a pair of rushing scores. The true sophomore QB has connected on 70.4 percent of his passes for 2,066 yards.

Najee Harris has run for a team-best 489 yards and four TDs with a 6.3 yards-per-carry average. Damien Harris has 435 rushing yards and five TDs while averaging 6.4 YPC.

Jerry Jeudy reminds me of former Florida Gator WRs Jack Jackson and Jacquez Green. He has lightning-fast speed and an incredibly quick burst. Jeudy has 31 receptions for 777 yards and 10 TDs, while Jaylen Waddle has 21 catches for 457 yards and three TDs. Henry Ruggs has caught 24 balls for 444 yards and a team-best seven TDs. Devonta Smith, who was upgraded to ‘probable' on Friday, has 21 grabs for 409 yards and three TDs.

Since giving up backdoor covers in three straight games, Alabama has covered the number in back-to-back outings vs. Missouri (39-10) and at Tennessee (58-21). Tagovailoa threw for 306 yards and four TDs against the Vols, while Josh Jacobs ran for 68 yards and two scores on 12 carries.

LSU (7-1 SU, ATS) will be without its best player in junior LB Devin White for the first half. White was flagged for a shaky targeting penalty in the second half of his team’s 19-3 win over Mississippi State two weeks ago. The enormity of his absence for the first 30 minutes can’t be overstated. White was a second-team All-American last season and is en route to garnering first-team honors in 2018. He has recorded 76 tackles, six TFL’s, one sack, six QB hurries, four PBU, one forced fumble and one fumble return for 29 yards.

LSU has notable wins over Miami (33-17 at Jerry World), at Auburn (22-21 on a walk-off FG), vs. La. Tech (38-21), vs. Ole Miss (45-16), vs. UGA (36-16) and vs. MSU (19-3). The Tigers took their lone defeat at Florida by a 27-19 score.

LSU intercepted Mississippi State QB Nick Fitzgerald four times at Tiger Stadium two weeks ago. Grant Delpit had a pair of picks, Nick Brossette scored on a one-yard TD run and Cole Tracy buried four FGs against the Bulldogs.

The difference for LSU this season has been the timely play of Ohio State grad transfer QB Joe Burrow, who doesn’t have the cleanest stats but has been money at crunch time. Burrow has run for 250 yards and four TDs and wasn’t intercepted for the first time until Week 6.

Brossette has rushed for a team-high 697 yards and 10 TDs, averaging 4.6 yards per carry. Clyde Edwards-Helaire has run for 521 yards and five TDs with a 5.0 YPC average. WR Justin Jefferson has 30 receptions for 471 yards and two TDs.

Since Ed Orgeron replaced Les Miles as head coach, he has compiled a 15-4 spread record in 19 SEC games. Oregon owns an 11-1 spread record in his past 12 SEC contests. As a home underdog on his watch, LSU is 2-1 both SU and ATS.

Since LSU won a 9-6 overtime decision at Alabama in 2011, the Crimson Tide has won seven games in a row over the Tigers while going 5-2 ATS. The past three wins and four of the last five have come by double-digit margins.

When these bitter rivals squared off in Tuscaloosa last season, Alabama won by a 24-10 count but LSU took the cash as a 20.5-point road underdog. The 44 combined points slithered ‘under’ the 45-point tally. QB Jalen Hurts, who is ‘questionable’ Saturday night due to a sprained ankle, threw one TD pass and ran for another score.

This rivalry has seen the ‘under’ hit in four straight games and nine of the past 10. The ‘under’ is on a 5-0 run when the game is played in Baton Rouge. The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the past five head-to-head meetings.

The ‘over’ is 6-2 overall for ‘Bama this season, 2-1 in its three road contests. Both ‘unders’ came when the total was in the 70s. In fact, both totals were the highest we’ve seen in Alabama football history. The Tide’s games have averaged combined scores of 70.0 PPG.

The ‘over’ is 5-3 overall for LSU, 3-2 in its home games. The ‘over’ had hit in four consecutive outings for the Tigers until their win over MSU fell way below the 45.5-point total. LSU’s games have averaged combined scores of 45.5 PPG.

CBS will provide the broadcast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Triple Option: College football Week 10 picks and predictions
Andrew Caley

Halloween is over. The calendar has flipped to November. That means a few things. The fun part of fall is has come to an end, and the two-month stress fueled build up to Christmas is upon us.

I am legitimately shocked about how fast my house transforms from the oranges and browns of October to the halls being decked out with Christmas trimmings. Now don’t get me wrong, I love Christmas as much as anyone and I can’t wait to watch Jingle All The Way multiple times in a few weeks, but it is too god damned early to be hearing Christmas songs and for the lady to be bugging me about when the lights can go up.

Thank goodness I’m a bit of a traditionalist and require a real tree, or there might be one standing up in my living room already. But the main point of this is we can’t get ahead of ourselves, whether its Christmas or college football.

Because the Christmas switch getting flipped means something else: Another college football season is flying by. It’s already Week 10, which means the College Football Playoff (still hate that name) selection committee gave us our first look at the initial CFP rankings and there were no surprises.

Alabama, of course led the way, followed by Clemson, then LSU at No. 3 and Notre Dame rounded out the top 4. But an interesting stat surfaced this week. The No. 3 ranked team in the initial rankings have never made the Playoff in the four previous seasons of this process. And I’m sorry Tigers fans, the way things are set up, it might happen again.

Oddsmakers certainly think they’re still a long shot to make it to the CFP, at least in terms of the Tigers national championship odds. LSU’s odds are also a little perilous at 40/1. Here’s what the Top 4 would look like according to the Superbook at Westgate in terms of national title odds:

* 1: Alabama 2/5
* 2: Clemson 7/2
* 3: Notre Dame 6/1
* T-4: Ohio State 12/1
* T-4: Michigan 12/1
* T-4: Georgia 12/1

But first and foremost, the biggest reason LSU is a longshot to make the CFP, is staring it right in the face this weekend. Alabama. The No. 1 ranked Crimson Tide head to Death Valley Tide for a huge SEC matchup where they are currently two-touchdown faves.

Two touchdowns may seem like a lot considering the Tigers are the third ranked team in the country, have an elite defense, have played the tougher schedule and are at home. Well, that’s just how impressive the Tide and quarterback Tua Tagovailoa have been this season.

Tagovailoa, the runaway Heisman favorite, has thrown for 2,066 yards on 70.4 percent passing with 25 touchdowns and no interceptions and he still hasn’t played a fourth quarter yet this season. He is special and a true difference maker. While the Tigers have Joe Burrow, who is a game manager at best.

And don’t give me the “Tagovailoa hasn’t faced the pressure he will in Death Valley” argument. He came into the national championship at halftime, down 13-0, and just led the Tide to one of the most exciting comeback victories in recent memory.

Alabama won’t only dash LSU’s CFP hopes this weekend (no two-loss team has qualified for the CFP so far). They’ll cover the spread as well. I’m going to play it a little safe though and buy a half-point.

Pick: Alabama -13.5

West Virginia Mountaineers at Texas Longhorns (-2, 58)

Everyone knows not to fade Todd Herman when he’s an underdog. Luckily, for us Texas is a slight home favorite for this week’s matchup with West Virginia.

Texas has struggled since its impressive win over Oklahoma. It followed that victory up by having to tough out a 6-point win over Baylor as 14-point home favorites and lost outright at Oklahoma State last week 38-35 as 2.5-point road faves.

West Virginia meanwhile, followed up its disappointing loss to Iowa State by beating the snot out of Baylor 58-14 as 14.5-point faves and it matches up very well against Texas. The Mountaineers are one of the best passing teams in the nation behind senior quarterback Will Grier, while the Longhorns rank 90th against the pass. Grier has passed for 2,272 with 25 touchdowns compared to just seven interceptions on 70.3 percent passing.

While both teams still have a shot at the Big 12 title, only West Virginia still has a shot at the CFP and Grier has too many weapons for the Longhorns to handle. The Mountaineers won’t just cover but win outright.

Pick: West Virginia +2

Penn State Nittany Lions at Michigan Wolverines (-12, 52.5)

Michigan definitely has a shot at the CFP if it can win out and claim a Big Ten title, but just like everyone else a second loss can dash those hopes in a hurry.

There’s no doubting the awesomeness of the Wolverines defense. They rank sixth in points allowed per game and first in total and passing yards. However, Trace McSorely is the most talented quarterback they have gone up against this year and Penn State is probably a little better than its record suggests.

After a gut-punch of a loss to Ohio State, the Nittany Lions dropped its second in a row in an obvious letdown spot against Michigan State. But James Franklin should have his team up for this matchup with Michigan.

While the Wolverines defense is great, the other side of the ball has been a little more of a question mark. The biggest being whether Shea Patterson step up in a big game?

This matchup is much closer than 12-points.

Pick: Penn State +12

Last week: 2-1
Season to date: 15-12

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 21
David Schwab

Calgary may still have the best record in the CFL, but it heads into the final week of the regular season on a straight-up three-game losing streak after falling to Winnipeg 29-21 on Friday night as a 3 ½-point road underdog.

In the first of two Saturday games, Ottawa tripped up Hamilton 3013 as a 4 ½-point road underdog to sweep the home-and-home series while also locking up the East Division title. Saskatchewan remained in the hunt for the division title in the West with a 35-16 victory against British Columbia as a 4 ½-point home favorite.

Week 20 wrapped things up on Sunday with Montreal playing its best game of the season in a 40-10 victory against Toronto as a rare three-point home favorite.

Saturday, Nov. 3

Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-7 SU, 10-6-1 ATS) at Edmonton Eskimos (8-9 SU, 7-10 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -5
Total: 55

Game Overview

The Blue Bombers eliminated Edmonton from the playoffs with Friday’s win against Calgary. They also extended their current winning streak to five games both SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in four of the five victories. Matt Nichols played one of his best games of the season at just the right time with 358 yards passing and two scoring strikes against the Stampeders.

Coming off a Week 20 bye, the Eskimos can point to a 1-4 slide both SU and ATS in their previous five games as the main reason why their season will come to an end after this game. They could also point to an offense that ran out of steam down the stretch with 15 points or less in three of its last five contests. Mike Reilly still leads the CFL in total passing yards (5,242).

Betting Trends

-- The first two games of this season series was split with the road team winning SU. Winnipeg covered in both contests as part of a 4-1 record ATS in its last five games against the Eskimos. The total has stayed UNDER in the last five meetings in Edmonton.

Montreal Alouettes (4-13 SU, 10-7 ATS) at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (8-9 SU, 7-9-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -6
Total: 53

Game Overview

Alouettes’ fans have to be happy that another dismal season finally comes to an end. Other than this Sunday’s win, it has been a very hard campaign to endure with an offense that has averaged 18.5 points per game. With three different players under center on Sunday, Montreal gained 246 yards through the air to complement a ground game that racked up 180 yards on 24 carries.

The Tiger-Cats cannot be all too happy with 2-4 (SU and ATS) slide in their last six games, but they can still rest their starters if they want ahead of next week’s home game in the first round of the playoffs. The total stayed UNDER 53 ½ points in Saturday’s loss to Ottawa after going OVER or ending as a PUSH in Hamilton’s previous seven games. It went OVER 50 ½ points in a 50-11 road win against Montreal as a seven-point favorite on Aug. 3.

Betting Trends

-- The Tiger-Cats have gone 12-2 SU in their last 14 home games against Montreal and the total has stayed UNDER in six of the last eight meetings in Hamilton.

Calgary Stampeders (12-5 SU, 8-9 ATS) at British Columbia Lions (9-8 AU, 10-7 ATS)
Point-spread: OFF
Total: OFF

Game Overview

A second-straight season-ending collapse has bettors questioning the value in betting with the Stampeders as the top team in the league. After losing their final three games last season (SU and ATS), they are 0-3 SU in their last three outings this time around with a costly 2-6 mark ATS over their last eight games. They still need to win on Saturday to win the West and earn a first round bye.

The Lions’ loss to Saskatchewan on Saturday snapped a SU three-game winning streak. After failing to cover in that game, they are 2-3 ATS in their last five games. The total ended as a PUSH on a closing line of 51 points and it has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 10 of BC’s last 12 games. Travis Lulay turned in a dismal performance on Saturday with 94 yards passing and two interceptions while completing just nine of his 20 passing attempts.

Betting Trends

-- The Stampeders have won eight of the last 10 meetings SU, but this season’s series has been evenly split SU with each team winning once in Calgary. The Lions covered in both games with the total staying UNDER each time as well.