Saturday 11-3-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Info Plays

Nov 03 '18, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Air Force vs Army
Play on: UNDER 45½ -110

1* Free Play on Air Force vs Army under 45½ -110

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Doc's Sports

Nov 03 '18, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Minnesota vs Illinois
Play on: Illinois +9½ -110 at BMaker

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #358 Illinois Fighting Illini over Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 3 BTN) Minnesota is coming off their first victory of the season in Big 10 play but they are not good enough to be laying this many points against anyone in the league. Illinois is terrible and may not win a game the rest of the season, but I feel they can keep this game close. Minnesota is 1-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 7 road games.

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Stephen Nover

Nov 03 '18, 12:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-F | Memphis vs East Carolina
Play on: Memphis -11 -110 at sportsbook

East Carolina has lost by 43, 22 and 27 points during its last three games. Those demoralizing losses have dropped the Pirates to 2-5. Memphis has bowl aspirations. East Carolina doesn't. The Pirates aren't going to be able to slow down Memphis' balanced offense that features a good quarterback in Brady White and a star running back in Darrell Henderson, who is the second-leading rusher in the nation and leads everyone with a 10.0 average per run. The Pirates are last in the country in turnover margin. So they are going to need to get stops, which isn't likely to happen. The Pirates are also going to have to keep up with the Tigers by matching their scoring. I don't see them staying within two touchdowns. Memphis will be keying on East Carolina's freshman quarterback Holton Ahlers. East Carolina is averaging only 12 points per game during its past three games. The Tigers enter this matchup with the confidence of having buried the Pirates, 70-13, last season.

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Doug Upstone

Nov 03 '18, 12:15 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Georgia Tech vs North Carolina
Play on: Georgia Tech -4½ -106 at pinnacle

On Saturday, Play On road favorites like GEORGIA TECH after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards in three straight games, against opponent after being outrushed by 125 or more yards in last game. In the last 10 years, teams like the Yellow Jackets are 25-3 ATS, 89.3 percent!

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Brandon Lee

Nov 03 '18, 12:15 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Georgia Tech vs North Carolina
Play on: North Carolina +5½ -115 at Bovada

10* FREE NCAAF PICK (North Carolina +5.5)
I'll take my chances here with the Tar Heels as a home dog against the Yellow Jackets. North Carolina comes into this game having lost 4 straight, while Georgia Tech has won 3 of their last 4 and are fresh off an impressive 49-28 win at Virginia Tech as a mere 3-point dog. The betting public won't be able to help themselves. All the money here is going to be on the Yellow Jackets and right now there's close to 75% of the tickets on Georgia Tech. Whenever something looks this far off, I look to take the other side and I've been on this UNC team of late. While they have lost 4 straight, they have played much better of late. They only lost by 3-points at home to Virginia Tech and really gave that game away late. They then lost by just 3-points at Syracuse and by 10 on the road to a really good Virginia team. I think the Tar Heels really want this game, while Georgia Tech might be still enjoying last weeks big upset win and looking ahead to their home game against Miami. Note we have already seen the Yellow Jackets lose outright twice this season as short road favorites (USF & Pitt). Give me the Tar Heels +5.5!

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Bobby Conn

Nov 03 '18, 3:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Georgia Southern vs UL-Monroe
Play on: UL-Monroe +7½ -110 at 5Dimes

1* Free Play on UL-Monroe +7½ -110

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Ross Benjamin

Nov 03 '18, 3:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | Marshall vs Southern Miss
Play on: Marshall -2½ -110 at YouWager



Marshall @ Southern Mississippi 3:00 PM ET
Game# 375-376
Play On: Marshall -2.5
Marshall is coming off a 31-7 conference win at Florida Atlantic and covered as a 2.5-point road underdog in their previous game. That win improved the Thundering Herd’s season record to 5-2 (.714). Conversely, Southern Mississippi is coming off last Saturday’s 20-17 conference loss at Charlotte and they failed to cover as a 3.0-point favorite.
Any college football team playing in a conference away game in which they’re +3.0 to -3.0 with a win percentage of .625 or better, and it’s after Game 2 of their season, and they’re coming off a conference ATS win during which they won straight up by 17 points or more, versus an opponent (Southern Mississippi) coming off a conference loss by 7 points or fewer in which they allowed 40 points or less, resulted in those away teams going 24-2 ATS (92.3%) and 23-3 (88.5%) straight up since 1992. Bet on Marshall minus the points for my Saturday 11/3 free pick.

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Larry Ness

Nov 03 '18, 3:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-F | UCLA vs Oregon
Play on: Oregon -10 -106 at pinnacle

My free play is on Oregon at 7:30 ET.
Think Chip Kelly regrets leaving Oregon back in 2013? His NFL stay was a disaster and his return to the Pac-12 (with UCLA) has been pretty sad. Kelly's Oregon teams went 46-7 in four years but his three-year NFL stay in Philly ended with him being fired after 15 games of the 2015 season. The 49ers grabbed him and San Fran wet 2-14. Now, back in the college ranks with UCLA, the Bruins opened 0-5 for the first time since 1943. UCLA (2-6 / 2-3 Pac-12) visits Autzen Stadium on Saturday, coming off its worst home loss (41-10) in eight years against Utah on Oct 26. The Ducks came into last weekend ranked 19th in the AP poll but were dismantled 44-15 at Arizona on last Saturday. It was Oregon's second straight loss, as the Ducks fell to 5-3, including just 2-3 in Pac-12 play (matching UCLA's league mark).
The QB situation at UCLA may have cleared up this week. Senior graduate transfer Wilton Speight (Michigan) won the starting job out of camp and started the season opener against Cincinnati but was unable to finish the 26-17 loss because of a back injury. Dorian Thompson-Robinson started the next six games and appeared to be finding his groove when he went down with an injury in a 31-30 win against visiting Arizona on Oct. 20. However, Speight practiced with the first team on Wednesday after starting against Utah, leading many to believe he'll start again this week. However, UCLA is 119th in scoring( 21.2 PPG) and 116th in total yards (346.1 YPG). The defense is allowing 32.5 PPG (97th) on 431.8 YPG (94th)
Three different RBs for the Ducks have posted 100-yard rushing performances this season but none seem to be able to fill the roll of "featured" back. The running game averages a middle-of-the-road 175.8 YPG (63rd). QB Herbert has 20 TDs and just six INTs for an offense which averages 36.6 PPG (25th) on 437.8 YPG (43rd). Oregon picked up a huge win in their last home game against Washington but has looked like a different team, since with back to back lackluster performances against Washington State and Arizona.
Will Chip Kelly's return to Eugene end well? I think not. Oregon is 4-1 at home, averaging 43.2 PPG. The Bruins are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 conference games and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
Good luck...Larry

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Sal Michaels

Nov 03 '18, 3:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Iowa vs Purdue
Play on: UNDER 52 -109

Free Play on Iowa vs Purdue under 52 -109

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Cole Faxon

Nov 03 '18, 3:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Iowa vs Purdue
Play on: UNDER 52 -109

FREE PLAY on Iowa/Purdue under 52 -109

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Jack Jones

Nov 03 '18, 3:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Iowa vs Purdue
Play on: Purdue -2½ -106 at pinnacle

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Purdue -2.5
It was certainly understandable last week to see Purdue go on the road and lose at Michigan State. The Boilermakers were coming off one of the biggest wins in program history against Ohio State the previous week at home. I was big on Purdue in that game against the Buckeyes and they delivered, winning 49-20 as 12-point underdogs.
The Boilermakers had their chances against Michigan State but they clearly didn’t bring their ‘A’ game. Now, sitting at 3-2 in the Big Ten, the Boilermakers still have a legitimate shot to win the West Division. They still host Wisconsin coming up and Iowa this week. Everything is in front of them. And at 4-4 on the season overall, they still need two wins for bowl eligibility. They should be able to refocus and get back to playing the football that saw them go 4-1 SU & 5-0 ATS in their previous five games prior to the Michigan State game.
I think Iowa’s loss at Penn State last week is much tougher to recover from than Purdue’s loss. The Hawkeyes controlled that game most the way. They let an early double-digit lead slip away, but then rebounded and had first and goal from the 3-yard line in the closing minutes. But Nathan Stanley was intercepted on first down instead of running the football, and the rest is history.
Stanley came out of that game with a thumb injury and was trying to hide his hand from the media in the press conference. I think the injury is more serious than the Hawkeyes are leading on. And we saw last year Iowa not respond well from crushing losses. After losing on the final play of the game to Penn State, they went on to lose to Michigan State the next week. And after losing to Wisconsin after beating Ohio State, the Hawkeyes went on to get upset by Purdue at home 15-24 as 6-point favorites.
Iowa doesn’t see many of these spread offenses like Purdue likes to run. The Hawkeyes are better against teams that just like to run the football. But now they will be up against the best offense they’ve seen yet outside of perhaps Penn State.
Purdue has really been clicking offensively since David Blough took over full-time at quarterback. The Boilermakers are averaging 36.2 points and 498.5 yards per game in their last six games. And they’ve faced the meat of their schedule during this stretch. They can certainly move the football and score points against this Iowa defense that will still be shaking off the cobwebs from the loss to Penn State last week.
Purdue is expected to have Tyler Trent in attendance again this week. He sparked the team to that win over Ohio State and was in the locker room after the game celebrating with the team. He has terminal cancer and it’s a great story getting to watch him live out his life doing the things that he enjoys most, and watching Purdue football is one of them. Coaches and players can’t help but be inspired by this kid. Bet Purdue Saturday.

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Hunter Price

Nov 03 '18, 3:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Florida State vs NC State
Play on: Florida State +9 -104 at pinnacle

1* Free Pick on Florida State +9 -104

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Freddy Wills

Nov 03 '18, 3:30 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | West Virginia vs Texas
Play on: Texas -1½ -110 at BMaker

Texas -1.5 2.2% Free Pick **37-13 Run on College Free Picks - Including Cal +375 WINNER LAST WEEK!
Several reasons for some value here this week with Texas. It almost feels like they are under dogs in their own building against West Virginia. I really don't understand it. I get they were off a bye going to Oklahoma State and they lost by 3, because they started that game miserably. Two factors there. Tom Herman benched two starting CB's and Oklahoma State got off to a great start taking advantage, and Sam Ehlinger made his return and was rusty starting 5-15, but the rust was shaken off in the second half and he nearly came all the way back to win.
Everything is still ahead of Texas and they can get to the Big 12 Championship game against Oklahoma. They beat this same West Virginia team last year 28-14 as West Virginia struggled to move the ball and protect Will Grier. West Virginia also struggled against Iowa State last year the same type of defense, and they went on the road and were even worse. I expect Texas can win special teams, TO margin, and get pressure on Grier, and they'll win this game by a TD.

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Jimmy Boyd

Nov 03 '18, 3:45 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Penn State vs Michigan
Play on: Michigan -10½ -105 at Bovada

1* Free Pick on Michigan Wolverines -10.5
I think a lot of people will be tempted to grab the points with Penn State in this one, but I like the Wolverines to lay it on the Nittany Lions Saturday afternoon in Ann Arbor. Coming off of their bye week and with a cupcake game on deck at Rutgers, Michigan will be 100% locked in for this game.
For those that don't remember, Penn State laid it on Michigan a year ago, beating the Wolverines 42-13 as a 9-point home favorite. No doubt this team has forgot about that embarrassing loss and knowing Harbaugh, he'll be looking to lay it on the Nittany Lions if given the chance.
We have already seen Michigan get their revenge against both Wisconsin and Michigan State. Covering at least a touchdown spread in each of those games. They cruised past the Badgers 38-13 as a 9.5-point home favorite and won 21-7 at the Spartans as a 7-point favorite.
I know Penn State has won two in a row since the back-to-back losses to Ohio State and Michigan State, but they could have easily lost at Indiana and Iowa had 1st and goal down 6 late in the 4th and threw an interception to let the Nittany Lions hold on for the win.
I just think that Michigan defense will be too much for Trace McSorely and that Penn State offense to overcome. At the same time, I think the Nittany Lions have some big holes defensively and this Wolverines offense keeps getting better and should have really benefited from the bye week. Take Michigan -10.5!

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Mark Wilson

Nov 03 '18, 3:45 PM in 5h
NCAA-F | Penn State vs Michigan
Play on: Penn State +11 -110 at BMaker

Free Play on Penn State +11 -110