Service Plays Saturday 11/3/18

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

389 Texas A&M +5
363 Tulane +7.5:
397 Liberty +2.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

allen Eastman


7-Unit Play. Take #318 Middle Tennessee (-13.5) over Western Kentucky (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 2)
I see a blowout in this game. WKU has lost nine of its last 10 games. They were blown out at home by Florida International last week. Now they have to go on the road and face a hot MTSU team. Western Kentucky has beaten Middle Tennessee three straight years. The last two wins have been heartbreakers, with WKU winning in overtime the last two seasons. Four of the last six meetings have gone to overtime, with the Hilltoppers winning three of them. But I think that Middle Tennessee will get revenge in this one. The Blue Raiders have won four of their last five games. That includes big wins over Florida Atlantic and at Marshall. This team is coming off a 34-point win over Old Dominion. And that Old Dominion team beat Western Kentucky by three points on the road two weeks ago. The Hilltoppers lost their quarterback early in the season and they have not been the same since. Middle Tennessee is still fighting for the CUSA East title and a spot in the league championship. The home team is 4-0 ATS in this series and the Blue Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games. Western Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in its last five league games and they are 1-4 ATS against teams that are above .500. Middle Tennessee will play one of its best games of the season and they should get a 30+ point win.

4-Unit Play. Take #351 West Virginia (+2) over Texas (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
Ths line jumped out at me. The public loves Texas. But I think this team is overrated. The Longhorns are just 1-3 ATS in their last four games and they are coming off a tough 38-35 loss at Oklahoma State last week. That game ruined any chance Texas had of making the college playoffs. West Virginia blew out Baylor 58-14 last week. They have one of the top offenses in the Big 12 and I think they will be able to score enough to win a shootout with Texas. West Virginia has won two of the last three meetings and the road team has won back-to-back games in this series. The Mountaineers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against teams with a winning record. Texas is dealing with some injuries, including their quarterback. I think they will be flat in this one and I think that West Virginia will be able to score enough to run away with this one in the second half.

3-Unit Play. Take #371 San Jose State (+14) over Wyoming (2 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
These are two of the worst teams in the Mountain West. But I do not think that Wyoming deserves to be this big of a favorite. I think that the Cowboys will win this game. But I think it will be close to the final seconds. San Jose State beat Wyoming last year. That Cowboys team had NFL first round draft pick Josh Allen at quarterback. San Jose State has actually beaten Wyoming in three straight meetings since 2013. The Spartans are coming off their first win of the season, beating UNLV. The week before that they only lost by three points at San Diego State. SDSU is one of the best teams in the league. San Jose State also has close losses to Colorado State, Hawaii and Oregon. Wyoming is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games. They are 1-4 SU in their last five games. I do think they will win. But I do not think that this game will be a blowout at all and I will take the points with the Spartans.

3-Unit Play. Take #387 Iowa State (-14.5) over Kansas (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 3)
Iowa State is hot. They have won three straight games. They are on a 4-0 ATS run. This team is coming off wins over Oklahoma State, West Virginia and Texas Tech. They are stepping down to face Kansas. The Jayhawks are coming off a huge win over TCU. That was a bit upset for the Jayhawks as 13.5-point underdogs. But Kansas is still one of the worst programs and one of the weakest teams in college football and I don't think that they will play well in back-to-back weeks. Before they had lost to TUC they had lost four straight games by an average of 22 points per game. The Jayhawks are just 3-10 ATS after a win. They are not used to winning games and this team struggles to play well in back-to-back weeks. They are 8-21 ATS after an ATS win. Kansas is 8-20 ATS against teams with a winning record and Iowa State is 7-3 ATS against teams with a losing record. The Cyclones are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 games overall and 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games. They will take care of Kansas here. Lay the points.

4-Unit Play. Take #389 Texas A&M (+4) over Auburn (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 3)
I like the underdog in this game. Auburn has been one of the most disappointing teams in college football this season throughout the whole country. This is a team that was hoping to compete for the college football playoffs. They have lost two of their last three games and that includes an ugly home loss to a terrible Tennessee team, 30-24. Auburn is just 2-5 ATS in its last seven games. They are coming off a bye week but I think that they will be rusty. Texas A&M had won three in a row before taking a tough loss at Mississippi State last week. Jimbo Fisher has turned this team around quickly and they are now 7-2 ATS in their last nine games. The road team has been the play in this series. The road team has won six straight meetings outright! The road team is 6-0 ATS. The underdog is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings and Auburn is just 1-4 ATS in its last five home games. I think this will be a close game. I will take the points and look for the Aggies to get another win.

6-Uni Play. Take #397 Liberty (+2.5) over Massachusetts (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
The wrong team is favored in this game! I like Liberty to win this one outright. This line opened with Massachusetts at +3 and the line has dropped. That tells me where the sharp money is coming in this game. Massachusetts has won just two of its last 10 games. They are coming off a big win over Connecticut last week. That was one of their biggest games of the year and they played one of their best games of the season. Two weeks ago this team was favored over Coastal Carolina at home and they lost 24-13. I think they will have a letdown in this game after beating the Huskies. Liberty has won three of its last four games. They are playing their best football right now. The Flames are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games and 13-3 ATS in their last 16 road games. Massachusetts is just 2-6 ATS in its last eight games. This game is not on many people's card this week. But I think there is a lot of value with the road team and I like Liberty to win this one outright. Take the points.

3-Unit Play. Take #420 LSU (+14.5) over Alabama (8 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I will take the points in this one. This is the biggest game in college football this week. Alabama is No. 1 and LSU is No. 4. These teams are too close in talent for a two touchdown spread. And the sharp action in this game is taking the points. LSU pulled the upset over the last Top 10 team that they faced in Baton Rouge when Georgia came down and the Tigers beat them 36-16 as 7-point underdogs. LSU also went on the road and beat Auburn as a 10-point underdog and they blew out Miami 33-17 as a 3-point underdog. This team has been undervalued this year and they are going to play tough in this game. Alabama has played a terrible schedule this year. They have played one of the easiest schedules in the country. The only two teams they have played that will go to a bowl game are Missouri and Texas A&M. Their other six opponents are some of the worst teams in the country. Over the last 15 years only one game in this series has been decided by more than two touchdowns. The last four meetings have been decided by two touchdowns or less and I think that will continue here. LSU is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 SEC games and 7-3 ATS at home. They are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games. Take the points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog

CFB

Utah/Arizona State 56 Under.

[Iowethe man]

Stanford Steve Coughlin

Behind the Bets Podcast Picks (Season Record 32-11-1)

UConn at Tulsa – Over (59)
Memphis at East Carolina – Over (64.5)
South Carolina at Ole Miss – South Carolina (pk)
Iowa St. at Kansas – Iowa St. (-14.5)
Nebraska at Ohio St. – Ohio St. (-17.5)
Navy at Cincinnati – Navy (+13.5)
Southern California at Oregon St. – Over (61)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

7 georgia southern-7.5
4 michigan state-2.5
4 florida-6
3 georgia-9
3 oklahoma-13.5
3 oregon-10
3 lsu+14.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

VSI

COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYS

4 Unit Play. Take #330 Kentucky +9.5 over Georgia (3:30p.m., Saturday November 3 CBS)
Lexington Kentucky will host the biggest home game in the history of Kentucky football Saturday afternoon at Kroger Field and this game will have the 'Upset Alert' from kickoff. I know the Georgia Bulldogs beat Kentucky last year 42-13 but this Wildcats defense is so much better then last year and the defense keeps this game close and again we could see an upset in Lexington. Give me the plus points and Big Blue Nation to cover this home underdog number.

2 Unit Play. Take #347 Michigan St -2.5 over Maryland (12:00p.m., Saturday November 3 ESPN2)
The locker room and the outside noise around the Maryland football team is the reason why we are fading the Terps in this home game. Michigan St had a big home win last week beating Purdue 23-13 and the Spartans defense will cause the Terps tons of problems on Saturday. Michigan St takes this game and again defense will bee the big reason!

3 Unit Play. Take #373 Over 49.5 California at Washington St (10:45p.m., Saturday November 3 ESPN)
This play is all on the offense at home that Washington St will produce and lets throw in that the Cougars 8 games this year 6 of them have gone over the total. I know Cal is coming off a big home win against Washington last week winning 12-10 but their last road game they beat Oregon St 49-7 and if the Cal Bears want to hang around in this game they will need to score with the Cougars. Washington St is 7-1 O/U against a team with a winning record and too much offense on the Cougars side for the Cal Bears.

3 Unit Play. Take #382 Oregon -10 over UCLA (7:30p.m., Saturday November 3 FOX)
Ducks QB Justin Herbert is now probable for this home game against UCLA and if Herbert gets hot this game will have the same outcome Utah had against UCLA. Oregon is coming off back-to-back losses but both of those games were on the road and the last time Oregon were at home they beat Washington 30-27. Ducks win and win big at home! UCLA is 5-12 ATS in their last 7 road games and the favorite in this series is 5-1 ATS.

6 Unit Play. Take #418 Florida INTL -2.5 over FAU (7:30p.m., Saturday November 3)
Seems like it was yesterday when FAU at home beat up FIU 52-24 and yesterday was last year and paybacks will be painful this year. It was no secret that Head Coach Lane Kiffin rang up the score last year against the Panthers and with this game being played at Riccardo Silva Stadium home field will hold. FAU has injuries on both sides of the ball and the FAU Owls are only 1-7 ATS this season and last week they lost at home to Louisiana Tech. FIU has won 4-Straight and last week we had the Panthers beating/covering the Hilltoppers and I see the same outcome happening Saturday night. Paybacks are a bitch and wouldn't shock me to see the FIU Golden Panthers pile up the scoreboard at home against the Owls. The Owls are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games and the Golden Panthers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games. Also, the home team has covered 5-straight meetings and this trend continues tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Doc Sports

7 georgia southern-7.5
4 michigan state-2.5
4 florida-6
3 georgia-9
3 oklahoma-13.5
3 oregon-10
3 lsu+14.5

DOC SPORTS

3 Unit Play. Take #329 Georgia Bulldogs -9 over Kentucky Wildcats (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 3 CBS) Kentucky has been winning games with smoke and mirrors and expect that to come to an end today in Lexington. Georgia has an explosive offense and Kentucky will not be able to keep pace with them for 60 minutes.

4 Unit Play. Take #338 Florida Gators -6 over Missouri Tigers (4p.m., Saturday, November 3 SECN) Expect Florida to bounce back in a big way after losing to Georgia last Saturday in Jacksonville. The Tigers have trouble when playing conference opponents (0-4) and have trouble moving the football against teams with speed on defense. The Gators have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games. The Tigers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 SEC games. Florida jumps on them early and wins this game by double digits.

4 Unit Play. Take #347 Michigan State Spartans -2.5 over Maryland Terrapins (12p.m., Saturday, November 3 ESPN 2) The Spartans have the defense that can contain the Terrapins, and they become bowl eligible after a victory on Saturday. Maryland is 3-19 ATS in their last 22 games following a victory in their previous game. QB Rocky Lombardi appeared to give the Spartans life on offense last week, and look for that to continue this Saturday. This game comes down to the fact that Michigan State is great at stopping the run, and if that holds true again they will win this game going away. Maryland is 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against teams with a winning record.

3 Unit Play. Take #349 Oklahoma Sooners -13.5 over Texas Tech Red Raiders (8p.m., Saturday, November 3 ABC) The Sooners are starting to turn it on and put up 702 total yards against Kansas State last Saturday. They will not be able to fully shut down the Red Raiders in this game, but I truly believe they will outscore them and win this game by double digits. Oklahoma has played two great games after losing to Texas, and they have scored 53.5 points per game over their last 4. The Sooners have covered the spread in 5 of their last 6 games played in November.

7 Unit Play. Take #377 Georgia Southern Eagles -7.5 over ULM Warhawks (3p.m., Saturday, November 3 ESPN 3) TOP COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEK. The Eagles continue to cover spread (7-1 ATS run), and the oddsmakers cannot get a handle on the talent they have. They will enter this game having won five straight games and have been controlling the time of possession in nearly every game that they play. Georgia Southern has beaten ULM all three times they have faced each other as conference opponents. This selection is simple, ULM has trouble stopping the run and Georgia Southern is an outstanding triple-option team. The Warhawks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. The Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in the month of November.

3 Unit Play. Take #382 Oregon Ducks -10 over UCLA Bruins (7:30p.m., Saturday, November 3 FOX) The Chip Kelly game takes place Saturday afternoon in Eugene, OR. The Ducks laid an egg last week in Tucson and need to bounce back in a big way against an inferior opponent. UCLA is in full rebuild mode, and they will enter this game having lost 10 of their last 11 conference road games by an average of 16 points per game. The favorite is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings between UCLA and Oregon. Many fans are still skeptical about Mario Cristobal, and this can be his chance for a statement win against a former coach that has great success with Oregon.

3 Unit Play. Take #420 LSU Tigers +14.5 over Alabama Crimson Tide (8p.m., Saturday, November 3 CBS) Just too many points for Alabama to be giving on the road against a team full of athletes on defense. It will be important that LSU not beat themselves in this game with turnovers and special teams. Coach Orgeron is 15-4 in SEC games, and this is likely the only chance Alabama has to lose a game during the regular season. There is just something special about night games in Baton Rouge, and the fans will be into the game from the start. Alabama is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played during the month of November. LSU is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

STRIKE POINT SPORTS

NCAA:

3-Unit Play. Take #330 Kentucky (+9) over Georgia (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
This Kentucky team is solid on both sides of the ball and they will give Georgia all they can handle this weekend. The team from the blue belt has only given up more than 19 points twice all season long and that was only 20 points each time. Kentucky knows how to defend and they know how to get teams to play at their pace throughout a football game. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six games against a team with a winning record which bodes well in this matchup. Look for this game to be much closer than the line says.

3-Unit Play. Take #327 Syracuse (-6) over Wake Forest (12 p.m., Saturday, November 3)
The Orange are ranked for the first time in seemingly forever (2001) and they deserve to be. They are 6-2 but could very easily be undefeated this season. Their losses are to Clemson and Pittsburgh but Cuse was in both games until literally the final seconds. Dino Babers has this team humming along offensively and that should continue this week against Wake. The Demon Deacons are fresh off a beating of Louisville last week but they do not have enough on either side of the ball to stay with the Orangemen. This will be as simple as if Syracuse comes to play because if they do they will run away and hide.

5-Unit Play. Take #345 Boston College (-2) over Virginia Tech (3:45 p.m., Saturday, November 3)
Boston College is playing very well right now and with a 6-2 record they are one of the top teams in the ACC so they cannot afford to let down against a mediocre Hokie squad. Going to Blacksburg is never an easy task but the Eagles have a team that can go anywhere and compete so expect a great effort from Steve Addazio's team. Va Tech has dropped two of three and have some ugly performances on this season's resume, including a loss to FCS ODU. This is not the normal Virginia Tech team and with the physicality and effort BC plays with coupled with the 49-0 blasting the Eagles took last time they came to play here this should be an easy BC W.

2-Unit Play. Take ##351 West Virginia (+2) over Texas (3:30 p.m., Saturday, November 3)
This is one of the best games on the College slate this weekend and has a ton of Big 12 implications. WVU is 6-1, ranked 13th and in a tie with Oklahoma for the conference top spot so a game in Texas is huge for Will Grier and company and the veteran gunslinger will be ready. Grier lost his chance to get a win in this game last year when a broken throwing hand sent him to the bench early in the game so he will have so extra incentive this time around. Texas is coming off a tough 38-35 loss to Oklahoma State and need to keep pace with WVU and OU in the standings so they will be a little tight. This game will have a postseason New Years Day type of vibe so take the points but don't be shocked if the mountaineers take this one outright.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marc lawrence

---

Playbook data play = byu

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Vernon Croy CFL

6-Unit Play. Take #657 Calgary -6.5 over B.C. (Saturday, November 3rd at 10:00 PM ET)

Take Calgary ATS as my 6-Unit CFL Smash for Saturday. This pick falls into one of my top CFL systems and this is a very meaningful game for the Stampeders. The Stamps are the superior team here and they have averaged 30.9 ppg on the road this season. The Stamps also have the revenge factor here and they are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games revenging a loss against an opponent. The Stampeders are also 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 trips to B.C. and I have them winning this game by 10+ points to wrap up the West Saturday night. Play Calgary ATS as we move to 15-6 this CFL season.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

SOCCER 3* TOTAL OF WEEK

I'm playing on Brighton and Everton to finish UNDER 2.5 goals (3* TOTAL OF WEEK). While I successfully played against Everton last time out, both these teams are improved from last season. Lately, that improvement has been due in large part to stingy defense. Prior to last week's 2-1 loss against Man U, Everton was off a 2-0 win. Everton has now conceded two or fewer goals in each of its last six games, allowing only four combined goals in its past five games. Brighton, meanwhile, is off three consecutive 1-0 victories and has now allowed two or fewer goals in 33 straight. Last two meetings had scores of 2-0 and 1-1. Expect another relatively tight, low-scoring affair

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Cokin:

323 Iowa +3
372 Wyoming -13.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy

8-Unit Play. #386. Take Washington Huskies -9.5 over Stanford (Saturday @ 9pm est)
The Washington Huskies remember last year's loss to the Stanford Cardinal and will be absolutely fired up here and will likely do very well this weekend. Remember, you have a squad here that comes off it's worst offensive output of the year scoring just 10 points at Cal. Remember, this team scored just 16 points against Auburn in the opening week and then bounced-back nicely with over 40 points in their next game. As this team comes off scoring just 10 points last week, look for them to be angry and motivated to do well here against a Cardinal team who they lost to 22-30 last year. Washington is the same team that beat BYU 35-7, Colorado by 2 touchdowns and still sports a top 15 defense and still top 60 in passing yards in the nation. This team is top 30 in stopping the run as well. You combine that with Stanford who is outside the top 100 in overall offense and top 115 in passing defense and outside the top 80 in defense in general and it sets up for a great opportunity for Washington to do well here on the bounce-back and with revenge.

6-Unit Play #327. Take Syracuse -6.5 over Wake Forrest (Saturday @ 12pm est)
Syracuse gave up 60+ points to Wake Forrest last year and has lost back to back years to Wake and will be more than motivated to do well here. This is a Wake Forrest team that comes off scoring 50+ points last week as well and they are in for a classic let down here as they return home to face a Syracuse team looking for a little payback and a Syracuse team that sports a top 15 offense and top 10 in points scored. Wake Forrest can certainly run the ball but they are outside the top 80 in passing and at the end of the day, I think Syracuse just scores a few times more and that will make the difference in this high scoring affair here. Remember, Wake lost 17-38 to FSU, lost 27-56 to Notre Dame, lost 3-63 to Clemson and they are not a stranger to gettign blown out. Syracuse probably wins this game by 10-13 points this weekend.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Robert Ferringo

SATURDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS

2-Unit Play. Take #329 Georgia (-8) over Kentucky (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm not buying Kentucky. You are high if you think that the Wildcats are the ninth-best team in the country, as the college football playoff rankings have them. That's insane. What have they done to garner that ranking? Barely beat Missouri and Vanderbilt by a combined eight points? Or was it their loss at Texas A&M, in a game in which they were outgained by 200 yards, that so impressed the voters? SEC football is the most overrated thing in sports. I don't love Georgia. But they have a roster full of top recruits. They are big and strong and physical and they have absolutely manhandled teams this year. Every win they have had has come by double-digits. In fact, over the last two years their only two wins by fewer than 10 points came at Notre Dame and against Oklahoma in the Rose Bowl. Kentucky isn't Notre Dame or Oklahoma! Sorry, but I'm not buying UK and I think they will get squashed somewhere in the 26-10 range.

3-Unit Play. Take #347 Michigan State (-2.5) over Maryland (Noon, Saturday, Nov. 3)
Maryland is an absolute mess right now. I don't know how this team could be focused on a very good Michigan State team after all the distractions they have been dealing with this week behind D.J. Durkin. He was reinstated, then fired two days later amidst a possible player mutiny. It is chaos. This team has held things together pretty well this season, all things considered. But Michigan State is not screwing around. They are 5-3 and desperate and they don't give a damn about Maryland's issues. Maryland's win over Texas in the opener was an absolute fluke. And past that their conference wins have come against Minnesota, Rutgers and Illinois. That's pretty gross. Michigan State is the far superior team here and they should be able to hold their focus and get a road win.

3-Unit Play. Take #358 Illinois (+9.5) over Minnesota (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
Illinois is a joke. Lovie Smith has been terrible as a coach at Illinois. This is one of the worst football programs in the country. But all that being said, I still don't see how they are nearly 10-point home underdogs to Minnesota. The Golden Gophers aren't any good. And they certainly aren't any good on the road (1-6 ATS in L7 road games). Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last five games and that win came over Indiana, at home. Illinois has played a much tougher schedule than the Golden Gophers. And, really, the Illini have beaten the teams they were supposed to and lost to the teams that they were supposed to this year. I think this is too many points here and the underdog is 6-3 ATS in this series.

1-Unit Play. Take #386 Washington (-10) over Stanford (9 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)

1-Unit Play. Take #373 California (+10) over Washington State (10:45 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
Again, Washington State is not the No. 8 team in the country. They just aren't. I don't care what the CFP Poll says. As such, this is just a blind play against an overrated team. I will be betting against the Cougars the rest of the way. And the only reason this isn't a bigger play is because Cal is in a letdown spot here after pulling an upset over Washington last week.

3-Unit Play. Take #402 Connecticut (+18) over Tulsa (7 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
Whoa. Who the hell is Tulsa going to beat by three touchdowns? I know Connecticut is bad. But look at their schedule. These guys have played one of the most difficult schedules in the country. It's no wonder they have just one win. But Tulsa only has one win too! Both teams have beaten one FCS opponent this year and Connecticut actually beat Tulsa in the matchup of these teams last year. Both teams play terrible, horrible defense. But that gives these points some more value. Tulsa is not big or strong. They aren't going to just push Connecticut around and manhandle them. And if the Huskies can move the ball a little bit and put some points on the board I think they will find a way to hang around in this one. About 75 percent of the action on this game is on Tulsa. Why? I don't see it and I think that this is way too many points.

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #332 Cincinnati (-6) over Navy (3:30 p.m.) AND Take #337 Missouri (+13) over Florida (4 p.m.)

1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #355 Notre Dame (-2.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jason Sharp

7 unit Liberty +2 over Mass
5 unit FAU +2.5 over FIY
4 unit La Tech + 23.5 over Miss St.
4 unit Mich St. -2.5 over Maryland
3 unit Texas A&M +4 over Auburn
3 unit La Monroe +7.5 over Ga Southern
3 unit Duke +9.5 over Miami Fl