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-Oklahoma State hits the road after their big home win over Texas; major flat spot for this game
-offense is averaging 30 points per game on the road vs. defenses that allow 32 points per game
-Cowboys allowing 5.6 yards per play on the road vs. offenses that average 5.4 yards per play
-Baylor returns home off back-to-back road losses; 2 days of extra rest as well; expect big effort
-offense is averaging 6.7 yards per play at home vs. defenses that are giving up 6.0 yards per play
-Bears' defense allows just 27 points per game at home vs. offenses that average 30.5 ppg
3-Unit Play: Take 331 Navy +14 over Cincinnati (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm taking the double digits with Navy on Saturday. It's virtual must win time for the Midshipmen if they plan on bowling at the end of the year. They've taken their share of lumps but the ground game is improving and they're facing a Bearcats team that doesn't build on leads and has been involved in several close games, including winning their last 2 games but not before going to OT. Navy's attack keeps this one close throughout in our opinion The Middies have been known for turning up the heat in November and Cincy has covered just 4 of their last 18 home games. We're grabbing the points with Navy on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: Take 334 Ohio St. -18 over Nebraska (12 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm laying the points with the Buckeyes on Saturday. Urban Meyer has had 2 weeks to prep for the Huskers and more importantly, to get after his team after their ugly loss to Purdue. Nebraska's offense has kicked it into gear, but the defense still lacks the talent it needs to compete with the Big-10's best (see games against Michigan & Wisconsin). The Buckeyes ground game has struggled, but you can bet Meyer and company worked on it during the bye week...and once Haskins rips the Nebraska secondary up top, the ground game should flourish. Ohio State has crushed Nebraska in the last 2 meetings and we expect a wide margin win again. I'm laying the points with Ohio State on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
4-Unit Play: Take 363 Tulane +7.5 over South Florida (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm taking the points with Tulane on Saturday. We are going against the Bulls for the second straight week (won last week with Houston). The Bulls are off a bubble-bursting loss and have to get back on track against a decent and undervalued Tulane team. USF simply plays no defense and were one of the bigger undefeated frauds we've seen in some time. They had close calls against UConn and Tulsa and once the schedule of creampuffs was completed, the Bulls true level reared its ugly head. Tulane is not only undervalued but they need 3 wins for bowl eligibility. They own the ground game to pound away at the suspect USF defense and control the flow of this game. USF enters on a 1-8 ATS slide in conference play and we'll go against them again. I'm grabbing the points with Tulane on Saturday.
7-Unit Play: Take 387 Iowa State -14.5 over Kansas (12 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 3)
I'm laying the points with Iowa State on Saturday. This marks the third time we'll have backed the Cyclones since Brock Purdy took over at QB and so far we're 2-0. They own the best RB in the conference in David Montgomery and have averaged nearly 40 ppg and over 450 yards per game with Purdy at the helm. He can run...and he can be counted on to deliver the pass when needed. Kansas comes in off a misleading win over TCU. The fact is, the Jayhawks are horrible on offense and own an even worse defense. They were out-gained by nearly 200 yards in the 27-26 win over TCU. The Horned Frogs gained 504 yards and held KU to 307. TCU QB Michael Collins completed 23 of 33 passes for 351 yards but the Horned Frogs committed untimely turnovers and that was the difference. Before the win, KU had allowed 134 points during a 3 game losing streak, losing by an average margin of 23 ppg. They're 100th in passing yards per game and 96th running the football. KU gained just 58 yards on 38 carries last week and have averaged just 2.5 yards per carry in their last 3 games. KU was also out-gained by an average of 522-304 in those 3 contests. We're betting Iowa State rolls in Lawrence. The Cyclones enter on a 20-5-1 ATS conference run and they're on an 8-1-1 spread run on the road. I'm laying the points with Iowa State on Saturday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
3-Unit Play: Take 393 Louisiana Tech +23.5 over Miss. St. (7:30 p.m., Sat. Nov. 3)
I'm taking the points with Louisiana Tech on Saturday night. If you've ever wondered what a true sandwich spot is in college football, look no further than this game for the perfect example. Miss State is off a big win over Texas A&M last weekend and they have a date with top-ranked Alabama next. Doing enough to win without doing a whole lot more is likely the situation the SEC entry is in this week. The fact they have zero passing game (107th in the nation) means a fast moving ground and pound contest with little chance to extend the lead to a wide enough margin to cover this number. You may recall the scare La Tech gave LSU earlier this season. The Tigers pulled away for a 17 point win, but it was a 3 point game almost midway through the 4th quarter. La Tech actually out-gained LSU. La Tech has been a bankroll building road warrior, entering on a 37-17 ATS run in their last 54 road games and they're on an 8-2 ATS run against SEC opponents. We'll take the points with Louisiana Tech on Saturday.
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