Service Plays Sunday 11/4/18

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-31-2018, 05:24 AM

Steve Oh (NFL)

Kansas City -8
New England -6.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-31-2018, 05:24 AM

Micah Roberts (NFL)

Pittsburgh +3

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-31-2018, 05:58 PM

Fezzik

Steelers +3
Cheifs/ browns under 51.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-31-2018, 05:58 PM

Sleepyj

3*GOY

New Orleans saints

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 10-31-2018, 05:59 PM

Mike Barner (NFL 6-2 Last 8)

Denver -8

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-01-2018, 05:53 PM

King creole

3* Carolina / Tampa Bay over 54.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-01-2018, 05:53 PM

Allen Eastman

5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 48.0 Atlanta at Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 4)
This line opened at 48.0 and has come down. Atlanta is not as strong offensively on the road as they are at home. The 'under' is 9-3 in their last 12 games against teams in the NFC and the 'under' is 21-8 in Atlanta's last 29 games in November as the weather starts to help to limit their scoring. The 'under' is 5-1 in Atlanta's last six road games. Washington has a Top 5 defense. This team has gone 'under' in six of their last seven home games and has played 'under' in three straight games and is 9-2 in Washington's last 11 games. Washington has gone 'under' in five straight games against teams that are below .500. This team is running the ball with Adrian Peterson. And Alex Smith is one of the most conservative quarterbacks in the NFL. I think the Redskins will be able to slow down Matt Ryan and the Atlanta offense. And I think that both teams are going to try to run the ball a lot and that will keep the clock going. This number is too high and I can see this one with a 23-17 final. Play 'under'.

4-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 47.5 Pittsburgh at Baltimore (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 4)
This is a big rivalry game in the AFC North. And this is a big game. The Steelers are at the top of the division but the Ravens are looking for the upset. These two teams are going to play a tough defensive game. The 'under' is 6-2 in the last eight meetings and when they met earlier this year it was a 26-14 win for the Ravens. These two teams don't usually play high-scoring games when they face each other and they have only topped 50 points in three of their last 10 meetings over the last five years. The Ravens have one of the best defenses in football. The 'under' is 5-1 in their last six games and after giving up 36 points to the Panthers last week I think they are going to come back strong. The 'under' is 4-0 in the last four meetings in Baltimore. The 'under' is 24-8 in Pittsburgh's last 32 road games and is 10-4 in Baltimore's last 14 divisional games. Go with the 'under' here.

7-Unit Play. Take #467 Los Angeles Chargers (+2) over Seattle (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 4)
This play is from my NFL 411 System.
I love the Chargers in this one. This team has had two weeks off and they will be well-rested and ready to play in this game. The Chargers have won four straight and five of their last six. Going back to last season the Chargers are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games and 11-3 SU in their last 14 games. The underdog has covered the spread in seven straight meetings between these two teams and is 9-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Seattle has back-to-back wins against weak teams in Oakland and Detroit. I don't think that they will be able to keep up with Los Angeles' high-scoring offense. Seattle has one of the youngest rosters in the NFL. That means that they are going to be inconsistent. And they have been this year. That will continue here. After a strong win last week in Detroit I think they are going to struggle in this one. Philip Rivers is having one of the best years of his career. He has completed nearly 70 percent of his passes and has 17 touchdowns to just 3 interceptions. The Chargers defense is allowing just 23.3 points per game and I think that Los Angeles will be able to shut down Seattle's offense here. The Seahawks are just No. 26 in total offense and No. 18 in points scored. The Chargers are 6-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread. The Seahawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five games in November. Take the points and look for the Chargers to win here.

5-Unit Play. Take #469 Los Angeles Rams (+1.5) over New Orleans (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 4)
This play is from my NFL 411 System.
This is a meeting between two of the best teams in the NFL. I will go with the Rams in this one. New Orleans has been very tough at home. But the Rams are undefeated and they have proven themselves as the best team in the league. The Rams beat the Saints easily last season. And I think they will do it again here. The Rams made a big trade to get Dante Fowler this week and improve their defense. The Rams are No. 8 in total defense and No. 6 in points allowed. They are outscoring teams by an average of 14 points per game. The Saints are No. 23 in total defense and No. 23 in points allowed. The Rams have a better offense and a much better defense. That means there is a lot of value with them getting the points in this one. Take the points here.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-01-2018, 07:07 PM

Doc Sports

nfl

6 seattle-1
4 texans+1
4 minnesota-4.5
3 brown+8.5
3 pittsburgh+3
3 patriots-5.5

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-01-2018, 11:09 PM

VSI

NFL FOOTBALL WEEK #9 PLAYS

3 Unit Play. Take #452 Minnesota -4.5 over Detroit (1:00p.m., Sunday November 4)
The Minnesota Vikings had a very poor showing at home last week against the Saints losing 30-20 but redemption the Vikings will get this Sunday against division rivals. The Lions got blown out at home last week against the Seattle Seahawks 28-14 and the Seahawks were able to shut down the run of the Lions and I see the Vikings shutting down the run this Sunday. Give me Minnesota at home as I don't see the Viking losing 3 out 4 home games.

4 Unit Play. Take #458 Carolina -6 over Tampa Bay (1:00p.m., Sunday November 4)
Since the lost to the Atlanta Falcons on Week #2 the Panthers have rung up 4 out 5 wins and the Panthers defense has played outstanding. Tampa Bay on the other hand is going back QB Ryan Fitzpatrick but the Bucs are still having issues on defense giving up an average of 34.4ppg in their last 5 games. With Cam Newton having offensive weapons all over the field and getting this game at home I see the Panthers winning and winning big. The last 10 meetings between these two teams the Panthers are 7-3 ATS and the Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 home games.

5 Unit Play. Take #470 New Orleans +1.5 over Los Angeles Rams (4:25p.m., Sunday November 4 FOX)
Talk about an outstanding matchup Sunday late afternoon in New Orleans as the undefeated Los Angeles Rams come in tow to face off Drew Brees and the Saints. Last year these two teams played in LA and the Rams beat New Orleans 26-20 and I see redemption being served in the Crescent City. The Rams have had some close calls this season beating the Seahawks on the road 33-31, Denver on the road 23-20, and last week at home beating the Packers 29-27 but close won't do it this Sunday. Give me the Saints, Drew Brees, and the loud fans at the Mercedes-Benz Superdome on Sunday as the Saints will give the Rams their first loss of the season. The Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and the Saints are a perfect 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-01-2018, 11:10 PM

Strike Point Sports

NFL:

3-Unit Play. Take #452 Minnesota (-4.5) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, November 4)
The 4-3 Vikings are still trying to find their momentum and the Saints swarmed them Sunday night so they need this division win. Kirk Cousins is built to win games just like this because it is perceived to be a big game and its at home so you can almost guarantee a great game from Kirk. Minnesota caught a break when the Lions traded Golden Tate away this week so Stafford will be without on of his most reliable weapons. Detroit is about as average as a team can be and that does not bode well for them this week. Take the Vikings to get a win with little trouble 24-10 Minny.

7-Unit Play. Take #458 Carolina (-6) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, November 4)
The Panthers are 5-3 and have one of the most balanced attacks in all of the NFL. They can beat you with their run game, pass game, and their defense can also show up when needed but they start and stop with Cam. Newton is a weapon like no other team has and his play is getting better each week so the Bucs and their non-existent defense are in big trouble this week. Tampa is bringing back Fitzmagic and their fans are certainly happy about it. Jameis Winston has been a turnover machine and Fitzy always finds a way to keep them in games but this one is going to be rough for the Bucs. Tampa has little chance to stay with the Panthers and the line is a little low so go ahead and take Carolina to cover this one 33-17.

Best of Luck - Strike Point Sports

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-01-2018, 11:11 PM

Originally posted by Can'tPickAWinner

Doc Sports

nfl

6 seattle-1
4 texans+1
4 minnesota-4.5
3 brown+8.5
3 pittsburgh+3
3 patriots-5.5

DOC SPORTS

4 Unit Play. Take #452 Minnesota Vikings -4.5 over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 4 FOX) The NFC North is still anybody's division to win, and the Vikings will bounce back in a big way against the Lions. Minnesota has already lost two games at home this season and cannot afford any more home setbacks. Detroit has a habit of getting down big early, and if that happens on Sunday they will not be able to recover. Minnesota is 16-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 21 games as a home favorite. Detroit has had some success against Minnesota in recent years, but that will change on Sunday. The quarterbacks are a wash, but the Vikings defense will be the difference in this game.

3 Unit Play. Take #454 Cleveland Browns +8.5 over Kansas City Chiefs (1p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) The Browns have had an eventful week, firing their head coach and offensive coordinator. The Browns have a good defense, and now that their defensive coordinator is the head coach I expect them to be aggressive attacking this young explosive quarterback. Just feel the Chiefs will look past this game with a game against the Rams on the slate in two games. This is the definition of a flat spot for Kansas City. They will go through the motions and win this game by 6-7 points. The underdog has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games in this match-up.

3 Unit Play. Take #455 Pittsburgh Steelers +3 over Baltimore Ravens (1p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) The Steelers can all but knock out the Ravens in the AFC North with a victory today in Baltimore. Pittsburgh already lost to them at home and expect them to return the favor on Sunday. Pittsburgh has won three straight games since that loss (3-0 ATS as well) and should be able to outscore Baltimore in this game. Getting points is just icing on the cake.

4 Unit Play. Take #465 Houston Texans +1 over Denver Broncos (4:05p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) Houston is clearly the team to beat in the AFC South and just picked up some added ammunition at the wide receiver position for this game. Denver is just not the same team at home in November compared to September, and their head coach is likely on the way out come January. Houston is 5-0 in their last 5 games, and Denver is 1-5 in their last 6 games. The Broncos do not have the same defense as they had the last few years, and Houston will be able to move the football on them. Denver is 5-14 ATS in their last 20 games.

6 Unit Play. Take #468 Seattle Seahawks -1 over Los Angeles Chargers (1:05p.m., Sunday, November 4 CBS) TOP NFL PLAY OF THE WEEK The Seahawks have been playing outstanding football of late and will enter this game having won 4 of their last 5 games. It could be 5-0 if not for a 2-point loss to the Rams. QB Wilson is getting the job done with a bunch of unheralded playmakers around him. They were dominant for three quarters last week against the Lions, and look for more of the same this Sunday at home against the Chargers. LA is still banged up on both sides of the football and might be without some key playmakers for this game. LA is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a bye. Seattle still has a lot of home games remaining this season, and I look for them to win all of them and make the playoffs as a wild card. The Chargers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games against teams with a winning record. Seattle has covered the spread 4 of their last 5 games.

3 Unit Play. Take #472 New England Patriots -5.5 over Green Bay Packers (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 4 NBC)

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-02-2018, 10:33 AM

Indian Cowboy

3-Unit Play. #459. Take New York Jets +3 over the Miami Dolphins (Sunday @ 1pm)
We roll with the Jets here as they come off back to back losses and desperately need to pick up a win here. Remember, you have a Jets team that just lost 10-24 to the Bears and only scored 10 points, their season is a bit on the line here and this is the same team that beat the Colts by 8 and Denver by 18 points. The Dolphins are reeling on defense giving up 40+ Points last game and we like the team bouncing back on offense and a defense that is a bit undervalued here.

3-Unit Play. #457. Take Over 54.5 Tampa Bay Bucs vs. Carolina Panthers (Sunday @ 1pm est)
You have the #1 Offense in the league in Tampa Bay that just loves to throw the ball to its athletes on the wings which features the #29th best defense - so needless to say it makes for some great overs. Plus, the Panthers can ill afford to lose another divisional game and will likely have a strong offensive effort here to boost their offensive stats which have lacked a bit lately until they put up 31 points on the #1 defense in the league. The Bucs will show up big for this game and we like this game to be a very high scoring affair that sees this game go over the posted total.

3-Unit Play. #461. Take Under 48 points Atlanta Falcons vs. Washington Redskins (Sunday @ 1pm est)
The Falcons strength is their defense actually - not their offense all the time with Sark calling the shots. The Redskins strength is their defense and certainly not their offense. Atlanta is rested and comes off a bye and these two teams went to 44 points back in 2015 in overtime. Washington has the 4th best defense in the league and 5th in points allowed and as they face Atlanta and come off 3 straight wins, they probably have a bit of a let down here on the offensive end and we like this game to probably go under the posted total this weekend.

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-02-2018, 10:34 AM

Football Jesus Text

NFL SAINTS

**Can'tPickAWinner** · 11-02-2018, 11:51 AM

Robert Ferringo

SUNDAY NFL SELECTIONS

3-Unit Play. Take #452 Minnesota (-4.5) over Detroit (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 4)
A week ago the Lions had just traded for Damon Harrison, they were at .500, and they were feeling good after a big win and were listed as a home favorite over Seattle. Flash forward a week. They are coming off an ugly loss, are in last place in their division, and they just traded their best offensive player. Huh? I don't know who the Lions are. I can't tell if they just stink or not. But I know the vibe around this team can't be good right now. I think that Minnesota will bounce back after a frustrating loss to a good Saints team. I think that the odds of the Vikings losing back-to-back home games is low. And if they win this game the odds are that they will cover. If you kick out that weird New England game, Detroit has not played well this year. Their next biggest win came against Green Bay in a game they were outgained by 260 yards. I just don't think they are any good. Minnesota has their own weird game this year: the loss to Buffalo. But if you kick out that game (which game after a tie in Green Bay and four days before their big showdown with the Rams) this team hasn't really had a bad game this year. They outgained the Saints by 150 yards last week and just had a few miscues turn into points for New Orleans. Detroit has shown an improved running game. But they aren't going to run the ball against the Vikings. At all. That will put the onus on their now-weakened passing game. And I don't see that happening. The Vikings are 46-22 ATS in their last 68 games and 35-16 ATS at home. They are also 25-9 ATS after a loss and I think they will drop the hammer on a wobbly Lions team.

3-Unit Play. Take #458 Carolina (-6) over Tampa Bay (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 4)
The Panthers have been fantastic at home this year. I don't see any reason that won't continue. The Bucs switched quarterbacks (again), DeSean Jackson tried to beg out at the trade deadline, the coach is as good as fired, the defensive coordinator was fired, and injuries have crippled this feeble roster on both sides of the ball. Basically, Tampa Bay is terrible. And there's no reason to think they will be competitive in this game. Their 2-0 start was a long, long time ago. And really they haven't been all that competitive over the last month. Their lone win came at home against the horrible Browns - in overtime. And they were getting blown out by both the Bengals and the Falcons before some garbage time scoring made those games look closer than they were. I think the Panthers will manhandle the Bucs in this one.

1-Unit Play. Take #462 Washington (-1) over Atlanta (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 4)

2-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #453 Kansas City (-1.5) over Cleveland (1 p.m.) AND Take #463 Chicago (-3) over Buffalo (1 p.m.)

Today's Totals
2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 48.0 Pittsburgh at Baltimore (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 4)

7-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 55.0 Tampa Bay at Carolina (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 4)
Normally when I see a number this out of whack I will just ignore it completely. But I'm not going to do that here. This total doesn't make any sense. I think that 47.5 would've been a more appropriate number, and even then I would look at the 'under'. It's November. These high scoring games are going to start the peter out a bit the later we get in the season. And this is a matchup between two division rivals so there aren't going to be any surprises. Here are the total points scored in the last 10 meetings between these two teams: 41, 20, 33, 31, 48, 60, 36, 34, 33 and 44. Just one time have they combined to score more than 55 points! The average is 38 points per game! Tampa Bay is going to Ryan Fitzpatrick. I don't think he wants to lose this job again. And in order to do that I think he'll be more careful with the ball. Carolina's defense can dominate at home. I know that they have played three straight high-scoring games. But last week's game against the Ravens was bizarre, with tipped passes, botched pitches, and all manner of absurdity contributing to Carolina's scoring output and 10.7 yards per point. I don't think they will do that again. Tampa Bay lost a 37-34 barn burner with Cincinnati. But A) Cincinnati's defense stinks. And B) that game featured two 60+ yard touchdowns and a pick six. I don't think that's going to happen here. Carolina runs the ball. A lot. And the Panthers are good at limiting big plays in the passing game. I think they will grind the Bucs and Fitzpatrick down. And I don't see either team scoring 40 points, which I think one team (Carolina) would need to do in order to get this one over the total. I'll go the other way.

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 48.0 Atlanta at Washington (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Over' 37.5 Chicago at Buffalo (1 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 4)

1-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 46.0 Houston at Denver (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 4)

2-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 60.0 L.A. Rams at New Orleans (4 p.m., Sunday, Nov. 4)

Service Plays Sunday 11/4/18

Service Plays Sunday 11/4/18

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