Tuesday 11-6-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Matt Josephs

Nov 06 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Towson vs Virginia
Play on: Virginia -25 -108 at pinnacle

The Cavaliers begin their campaign with Towson on Tuesday night. The Tigers lost three senior starters and are looking to reload with youth and transfers. They are woefully undersized as well which doesn't play well against the Cavaliers. UVA will be playing with a chip on their shoulder. This is a team that clamps down on offenses and cover a lot of their big numbers. They are 20-9-1 in their last 30 games against the spread and 7-2 ATS in their last nine non-conference games. I don't like the Tigers chances to keep this close.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

Nov 06 '18, 7:00 PM in 1h
NCAA-B | Pennsylvania vs George Mason
Play on: Pennsylvania +6 -115 at BMaker

This line has climbed from its opener, enough that I feel we're now getting solid value with the underdog. Keep in mind that the Quakers made it to the NCAA Tournament last season, the first time in a decade. Coach Donahue had this to say: "With a veteran group that we have coming back, I think we'll be ready to compete and execute." Consider grabbing the points with PENN.

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John Martin

Nov 06 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Hawks vs Hornets
Play on: OVER 231½ -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Hawks/Hornets OVER 231.5
The Atlanta Hawks have been an OVER team this season. They are 6-3 OVER and scoring 111 PPG while giving up over 120 PPG. The Hornets have certainly improved dramatically on offense this season at nearly 116 PPG. They are giving up 108 PPG on defense. Recent meetings in this series suggest the OVER is a good bet as well since the OVER is 3-0 in the last three meetings with an average score of 236.7 PPG and a low of 231 points. The OVER is 5-1 in Hawks last six road games. The OVER is 16-6-1 in Hornets last 23 home games. Give me the OVER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Ryan

Nov 06 '18, 7:05 PM in 1h
NBA | Hawks vs Hornets
Play on: Hornets -11½ -104 at 5Dimes

John Ryan Sports Research Report
@JohnRyanSports1

The Play and the Matchup
Charlotte (702)
Atlanta (3 - 6) at Charlotte (5 - 5)
Tuesday, 11/6/2018 7:05 PM

SIM grading and Recommended Strategy
Place a 5-star wager (5,7, or 10-Star grading) on Charlotte, who is currently priced as a 10.5-point home favorite.
SIM Projections and Results
Projection summary calls for Charlotte to score more between 112 and 120 points, have 12 or fewer turnovers, and will have a minimum advantage of 8 more total rebounds. Atlanta is just 9-29 ATS (-22.9 Units) when they allow 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) when they allow 117 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons. Charlotte is 25-10 ATS (+14.0 Units) when they score 112 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons; 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) when they score 117 or more points in a game over the last 2 seasons.
In games where 112 to 120 points were scored, had 12 or fewer turnovers, and had a minimum rebounding edge of at least 8 boards, the Hornets are a perfect 6-0 ATS.

The following database situational query has produced a 66-29 ATS mark good for 70% winners since 1996. Play on home favorites off a home blowout win by 20 points or more and is now facing an opponent off an home win scoring 110 or more points.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sal Michaels

Nov 06 '18, 7:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Kent State vs Buffalo
Play on: UNDER 52 -110

Free Play on Kent State vs Buffalo under 52 -110

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Dustin Hawkins

Nov 06 '18, 7:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Kent State vs Buffalo
Play on: Kent State +21½ -110 at Bovada

Free Play on Kent State +21½ -110

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Info Plays

Nov 06 '18, 7:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-F | Kent State vs Buffalo
Play on: UNDER 52 -110

1* Free Play on Kent State vs Buffalo under 52 -110

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Steve Janus

Nov 06 '18, 7:30 PM in 2h
NCAA-B | La Salle vs Temple
Play on: Temple -8½ -110 at BMaker

1* Free Sharp Play on Temple -8½ -110
My money is on the Owls to easily win here at home by double-digits against La Salle. Temple was a lot better than their 17-16 record a year ago and will be bringing back their top two scorers in Quinton Rose and Shizz Alston Jr. This is also a special season for the Owls, as head coach Fran Dunphy has announced it will be his last. Expect the players to play extra hard for him, as they want to at least send him out with an NCAA Tournament bid. It starts by taking care of the Explorers, who figure to have a tough time improving on last year's 13-19 record, given they lost B.J. Johnson, who averaged 20.8 ppg and 8.3 rpg. Bet Temple -8.5!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Rickenbach

Nov 06 '18, 7:35 PM in 2h
NHL | Oilers vs Lightning
Play on: OVER 6 +103

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Game #61 Tuesday Free Pick OVER the total in Tampa Bay Lightning vs Edmonton Oilers @ 7:35 ET - No matter how hard you work, there are good breaks and bad breaks in sports betting that come with the territory. The key to long-term success is that you overall make strong plays and understand that the breaks (both good and bad) will even out in the long run. Why the intro here? Because I certainly had one that fell into the "bad break" category with the Edmonton Over yesterday. The Oilers and Capitals combined for 6 goals in the first two periods and then went scoreless in the 3rd to hand me a very tough push with a top play. As noted above, it is part of the business. Now, as a result, I won't hesitate to come right back with the Oilers Over again today! The over is 3-0 in Edmonton's Tuesday games this season. The over is 20-10 in Tampa Bay's Tuesday games the past 2+ seasons. The Lightning have scored an average of 4 goals per game their last dozen games. The Oilers had scored an average of 4 goals per game their last 7 games prior to being held to just 2 goals at Washington last night. Both the Bolts and Edmonton have been strong on the power play this season but the Oilers penalty kill has struggled. Look for plenty of goals in this one. Free Pick OVER the total in Tampa Bay

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Ross Benjamin

Nov 06 '18, 7:35 PM in 2h
NHL | Oilers vs Lightning
Play on: UNDER 6 -110



Edmonton @ Tampa Bay 7:35 ET
Game# 61-62
Play On: Under 6.0
Edmonton will be playing in its 3rd road game in 4 days. The Oilers will go with backup goaltender Mikko Koskinen for today’s game. However, Koskinen has been brilliant in his 3 starts this season while posting an outstanding .935 save percentage. Edmonton has compiled a respectable win percentage of .571 through its first 14 games of the season.
Tampa Bay is once again expected to go with #1 goaltender Andrei Vasilevskiy on Tuesday. Vasilevskiy has posted a stellar .935 save percentage this season during 10 starts and 7 of those games went under the total. Tampa Bay is currently averaging 3.6 goals scored per game. Nevertheless, Edmonton has gone 27-13 (68%) under the total in road games during the past 2 seasons when facing teams that average 3.0 or more goals scored per game.
Any NHL team with a total of 3.0 or more that’s playing in its 3rd road game in 4 days during a first half of their season, and they possess a win percentage of .510 to .600, resulted in those games going 26-6 (81.2%) under the total since 1996.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Will Rogers

Nov 06 '18, 7:35 PM in 2h
NHL | Canucks vs Red Wings
Play on: Red Wings -104 at pinnacle

The set-up: Vancouver already has 18 points through 17 games, a surprise for sure after finishing with just 30 wins last year. But after a 7-6 win over the Avs, I think Vancouver stumbles in this difficult East Coast road venue. The Red Wings will look to take advantage of a contented Canucks side and to get back on track after their three-game win streak was snapped in a tight 4-3 setback to the Oilers most recently.
The pick: Note that the Canucks have been downright terrible in this spot, going just 8-28 (-19.3 units) in their last 36 after playing three consecutive home games. I think the Wings are the correct call in this one.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Nov 06 '18, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Nets vs Suns
Play on: OVER 221 -103

Jack’s Free Pick Tuesday: Nets/Suns OVER 221
I expect a shootout tonight between two bad teams that play little defense in the Phoenix Suns and Brooklyn Nets. This total of 221 is too low in my opinion, so we’ll back the OVER as Tuesday’s free pick.
The Nets have actually been efficient on offense, scoring 109.9 points per game this season. But they are giving up 111.3 points per game on defense. The Suns have been even worse on that end, allowing 114.9 points per game on 50.7% shooting.
A big reason the Suns have been held in check offensively thus far is due to injuries, most notably to Devin Booker. But he’s back healthy now and should give them a big boost moving forward. He is one of the premier scorers in the NBA today.
The Nets and Suns have combined for 222 or more combined points in four of their last five meetings. That fact alone shows there’s value with the OVER tonight. The OVER is 5-0 in Nets last five vs. Western Conference opponents. The OVER is 22-9 in Suns last 31 games following a win. The OVER is 7-1 in the last eight meetings in Phoenix. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Nov 06 '18, 9:05 PM in 3h
NBA | Nets vs Suns
Play on: Suns +1 +102 at 5Dimes

My free play is on the Pho Suns at 9:05 ET.
Devin Booker missed three games with a hamstring injury before returning for the Suns' Friday's loss against the Toronto Raptors. However, he looked "back on his game" on Sunday when he scored 25 points and hit the game-winning shot with 1.7 seconds remaining against the Grizzlies. Sunday's 102-100 victory over the Memphis Grizzlies ended Phoenix's seven-game slide. The 2-7 Suns will welcome the Brooklyn Nets to Phoenix tonight, a team which is a modest 4-6 but one which is coming off a strong performance in its 122-97 triumph over the Philadelphia 76ers on Sunday.
This game in Phoenix begins a stretch in which the Nets will play four straight and seven of nine on the road. Forward Rondae Hollis-Jefferson (9.9 & 5.9) enjoyed his top offensive performance of the season against Philadelphia by scoring 21 points on 9-of-14 shooting, leading the way along with D'Angelo Russell (15.4), who also had 21. Shooting guard Caris LeVert had points in the win and has now scored 20 or more points in back-to-back games and six times overall this season (he's averaging 20.0 PPG).
Booker (25.7 PPG) had 14 points in the fourth quarter Sunday and may have found a new running mate in rookie small forward Mikal Bridges, who has played more than 20 minutes in four of the past five games and is carving himself a role while impressing his teammates. Let's NOT forget the No. 1 pick in the last draft, the 7-1 Deandre Ayton (16.0 & 10.7).
The Nets have used the same starting five -- LeVert, Russell, Joe Harris, Jarrett Allen and two-time former Sun Jared Dudley -- in each of their first 10 games, which is the good news. The bad news is, they are just 1-4 SU on the road this season and would need to win here, to cover. The Suns ended the game against Memphis on a 21-7 run and won for the first time since Booker scored 35 points in a 121-100 victory over Dallas on opening night. Expect the Suns to make it back-to-back wins for the first time this season by earning a victory here vs the highly beatable Nets.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dave Price

Nov 06 '18, 9:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Duke vs Kentucky
Play on: Duke +2½ -110 at YouWager

Dave’s Tuesday Free Play:
1* on Duke +2.5
The Key: The Duke Blue Devils brought in the consensus No. 1 recruiting class and four of those players are expected to start right away. They’re led by preseason AP All-American R.J. Barrett and the athletic freak Zion Williamson. Point guard Tre Jones is the younger brother of Tyus Jones, who was the most outstanding player at the 2015 Final Four for Duke. Head coach Mike Krzyzewski is embracing the new one-and-done at Duke, and he’s mastering it. I think they make a statement here in the opener against Kentucky. Take Duke.

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Brandon Lee

Nov 06 '18, 9:30 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | Duke vs Kentucky
Play on: Kentucky -1 -105 at 5Dimes

10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Kentucky -1)
I'll take my chances here with Kentucky at basically a pick'em in the much-anticipated season opener against Duke. The public loves the Blue Devils and there's a ton of hype around this year's team because of Zion Williamson and another loaded freshman class. I wouldn't doubt Coach K to turn this team into a title contender, but they lost all their key guys from last year. I just think it's going to take some time for this team to gel. Kentucky also has an equally strong freshmen crop, but they got some experienced guys back from last year's team, plus added in senior All-Pac-12 center Reid Travis (Stanford grad transfer). I think this could be one of the better Wildcat teams we have seen in recent years and I'm confident they take care of business tonight. Give me Kentucky -1!