Saturday 11-10-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Jimmy Boyd

Nov 10 '18, 12:20 PM in 44m
NCAA-F | North Carolina vs Duke
Play on: North Carolina +10½ -102 at 5Dimes

1* Free Pick on North Carolina +
I like the value here with the Tar Heels as a double-digit dog against their hated in-state rival Duke. While North Carolina comes in having lost 5 straight, they have been playing much better of late. Each of their last 4 losses have come by 10-points or less.
Last week they were tied 28-28 in the 4th quarter with Georgia Tech and lost by 10, the previous game they led Virginia by a touchdown at the half and lost by 10. Prior to that Syracuse scored a TD late to force OT and won by 3. In their 22-19 loss to Virginia Tech they had the ball 1st & Goal leading 19-14 with 9:04 left to play. They fumbled and Va Tech went 98 yards for the game-winning TD with 19 seconds on the clock.
Needless to say the Tar Heels could easily be riding a 4-game winning streak. Some teams might just throw in the towel after a stretch like this, but I don't think that UNC is that kind of a team and there's no way they aren't getting up for a game against Duke. Blue Devils are off a big upset win at Miami and could be really easy for them to look past this game, knowing they got a road game at Clemson next week.
Tar Heels are 21-9 ATS in their last 30 road games off a conference home loss and a sizzling 9-1 ATS in their last 10 when they come in having lost 5 or more games in a row. Take North Carolina!

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Scott Rickenbach

Nov 10 '18, 1:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Canucks vs Sabres
Play on: OVER 6 +105

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NHL Game #51 Saturday Free Pick OVER the total in Buffalo Sabres vs Vancouver Canucks @ 1:05 ET - The Sabres have scored an average of 4 goals per game their last 9 games. The over is 7-2-1 in Buffalo's last 10 games. The Canucks have scored 5.2 goals per game in their last 5 games! The over is 4-1 in Vancouver's last 5 games. Not only are these teams hot right now and playing with confidence as a result of plenty of pucks finding the back of the net, I also like playing overs in non-conference match-ups. They certainly tend to be less intense than conference match-ups and especially divisional match-ups in terms of intensity on defense. This tends to lead to more open ice and more open looks at the net and, overall, just better scoring chances than you see on average. Look for the over to improve to 4-1 this season in Canucks games when Vancouver is off a win by a margin of 2 goals or more in their prior game. Only 26 of the Sabres last 67 non-conference games have stayed under the total. I look for this one to continue that trend. Free Pick OVER the total in Buffalo

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Will Rogers

Nov 10 '18, 1:05 PM in 1h
NHL | Blackhawks vs Flyers
Play on: Flyers -127 at betonline

The set-up: Chicago is 6-7-3 overall, including 3-4-1 on the road. Philadelphia is 8-7-1 overall, including 3-4 at home. The Flyers come in off consecutive victories over the Coyotes and I think they carry that momentum over here. Philly already beat Chicago 3-1 at the beginning of November and note that the Hawks come in completely on tilt, having lost six straight.
The pick: Take it for what you will as well, but Philadelphia is 7-2 in its last nine after two or more SU wins. Consider the Flyers to continue the Blackhawks’ miserable start to the 2018/19 campaign on Saturday afternoon.

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Matt Josephs

Nov 10 '18, 3:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Bowling Green vs Central Michigan
Play on: Bowling Green +7½ -110 at 5Dimes

This game won't be making ripples on the college football landscape but there is money to be made. Bowling Green can't stop anyone allowing over 500 yards per game and they are facing the anemic attack of Central Michigan which is averaging only 271.4 yards per contest. The Falcons have lost six straight, but they've been able to put up some points. BG has scored 36, 35, 14 and 28 the last four weeks. They've also covered two of those contests. Central Michigan has put up 10, 10, 7 their last three weeks as the passing attack continues to fail miserably. They are turning it over too much and not getting any momentum. The defense has forced seven turnovers the last two weeks, but if the offense can't do anything with it, then who cares. I'll take the road team as long as I can get the hook.

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Sal Michaels

Nov 10 '18, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Mississippi State vs Alabama
Play on: Mississippi State +24½ -110 at Bovada

Free Play on Mississippi State +24½ -110

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Bobby Conn

Nov 10 '18, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Mississippi State vs Alabama
Play on: Mississippi State +24½ -110 at Bovada

1* Free Play on Mississippi State +24½ -110

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Jack Jones

Nov 10 '18, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Mississippi State vs Alabama
Play on: Mississippi State +24½ -115 at Bovada

Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Mississippi State +24.5
The Alabama Crimson Tide are coming off their ‘game of the year’ against LSU last week. They passed the test in an impressive 29-0 road victory in Baton Rouge. If they were ever going to be flat, it would be this week against Mississippi State.
The Crimson Tide realize now that they could actually afford a loss and still make the four-team playoff. They have already clinched the SEC West title, which means they’ll be going to the Georgia Dome for the SEC Championship against Georgia. They could lose this game to Mississippi State and beat Georgia and still make the four-team playoff.
Of course, I’m not saying they’re going to lose to Mississippi State this week. I’m just saying this number is too high given the bad spot for Alabama. They put everything into that LSU game and certainly could suffer a ‘hangover’ effect here from it.
I also like that Mississippi State had an easy, stress-free win over Louisiana Tech 45-3 as 23-point favorites last week. That means they’ll have plenty left in the tank here for Alabama. And this team is really starting to playbill as they beat Texas A&M 28-13 as 1-point home favorites the previous week as well.
What gives Mississippi State a chance to be competitive in this game is a defense that has been the best scoring defense in the country this season. The Bulldogs are only giving up 12.3 points per game on the year. They are also only allowing 278.7 yards per game and 4.3 yards per play. There is a ton of NFL talent on this defense, especially along the defensive line.
The Bulldogs are giving up just 111 rushing yards per game and 3.3 yards per carry this season. They have been excellent against the pass as well, allowing 167 passing yards per game and 5.4 per attempt. Alabama hasn’t faced a defense this good yet.
Mississippi State has been one team that has given Alabama problems in recent years. Only three times in the last 14 meetings have the Crimson Tide beaten the Bulldogs by more than 25 points. Nine of those 14 were decided by 20 points or fewer. And Alabama has struggled over the years with mobile quarterbacks like Nick Fitzgerald, which is what the Bulldogs always seem to have. Bet Mississippi State Saturday.

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Ray Monohan

Nov 10 '18, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma
Play on: Oklahoma State +21 -106 at pinnacle

Oklahoma State +21
The Cowboys are catching too many points here.
Rivalry games are ones you'll see teams get up for. The Cowboys come in off a heartbreaking loss to Baylor last week, which is more of a reason for them to come out with some fire.
Oklahoma has also been a team who has failed to blow others out. The Sooners are just 4-5 ATS this season and escaped Texas Tech last week.
Given Oklahoma State scoring 38.3 points per game, they can certainly keep up here.
Some trends to note. Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game. Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Grab the number.
Back Oklahoma State.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
Saturday 5* FREE CFB ATS Play

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Dustin Hawkins

Nov 10 '18, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Virginia Tech vs Pittsburgh
Play on: Virginia Tech +2½ -110 at 5Dimes

Free Play on Virginia Tech +2½ -110

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Mark Wilson

Nov 10 '18, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Kentucky vs Tennessee
Play on: Kentucky -4 -110 at 5Dimes

Free Play on Kentucky -4 -110

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Cappers Club

Nov 10 '18, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Washington State vs Colorado
Play on: Washington State -6 -105 at 5Dimes

Washington State -6
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Washington State Cougars and the Colorado Buffaloes face off on Saturday and in this game the Cougars have the value.
The Buffaloes got off to a fast start to the season, but now they are really struggling having lost four games in a row, all by at least seven points.
For Washington State they have the offense that can light up the scoreboard and I think they should be able to do that against the Buffaloes.
Back the Cougars
Good Luck, Cappers Club.

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Doc's Sports

Nov 10 '18, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Mississippi State vs Alabama
Play on: Mississippi State +26 -125 at betonline

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #181 Mississippi State Bulldogs over Alabama Crimson Tide (3:30p.m., Saturday, November 10 CBS) This line is inviting you to take Alabama after their dominating performance last week against LSU. But unlike the Tigers, the Bulldogs can score some points in this game and keep it under this big number. Mississippi State has been under the radar and they will enter this game having won two straight games including a dominating victory over Texas A&M. The Bulldogs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games against teams with a winning record. Alabama will just go through the motions and win this game by 17-20 points allowing us to collect with the underdog. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports weekend card featuring picks from football, basketball, and hockey. Sign-up now with a veteran handicapper that has 47 years of experience.

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Stephen Nover

Nov 10 '18, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Mississippi State vs Alabama
Play on: UNDER 54 -115

Alabama has piled up more than 500 yards in nine straight games. Tua Tagovailoa very well could win the Heisman Trophy. But what impresses me so much about the Crimson Tide is their defense. Every year, it seems, during the Nick Saban era the Tide seem to have multiple defensive players taken high in the NFL draft. Right now I project five Alabama defensive players to go in the first round this spring. Opponents are averaging just 14.1 points versus Alabama and 295.4 yards. Mississippi State is going to have problems denting this level of defense. Bulldogs quarterback Nick Fitzgerald has experience, moxie and can be a dual threat. I don't consider him an accurate passer, though, and he's not an elite quarterback. The Bulldogs did nothing offensively in their three losses this season falling to Kentucky 28-7, Florida 13-6 and LSU 19-3. That's an average of 5.3 points in those defeats. The Crimson Tide lead the nation in scoring averaging 51.3 points per game. There is some padding in that number, though. Alabama scored 51 or more points against Louisville, Arkansas State and Lafayette. Mississippi State is the best defensive team the Tide have faced. Alabama scored 29 points against LSU last week. LSU ranks 40th in yards allowed. Mississippi State gives up the sixth-fewest yards in the nation and third-fewest points at 12.3. Tagovailoa is dealing with a sore knee that he aggravated against LSU. Najee Harris, the Tide's leading rusher, is dealing with an ankle injury and Henry Ruggs III, probably Alabama's second-best wide receiver, has a leg injury. All three are expected to play, but could be at less than 100 percent. Note, too, that both teams play well below average in terms of pace ranking among the bottom 35 in that category. A slow pace certainly is a plus for the Under.

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Jesse Schule

Nov 10 '18, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Mississippi State vs Alabama
Play on: Mississippi State +24½ -110 at Bovada

This is a Free #NCAAF play on Mississippi State.
Alabama is on top of the world, coming off a 29-0 road win at LSU, and unanimously ranked #1 overall in the college football rankings. If there was ever a let down spot, this would be it. With Mississippi State at home this week, and then a minnow next week, the focus is likely on their final two games at home versus Auburn and Georgia. They aren't likely to have much trouble against the Bulldogs, heck they could probably beat them by 50+ if they really wanted to. The first order of business this week should be staying healthy. Saban would be wise to rest some starters if he has a chance to, and running up the score shouldn't be a priority. The Bulldogs aren't exactly allowing teams to run up the score this season, ranking #1 in the SEC in passing defense. They have held five consecutive opponents to less than 20 points. That's even more impressive when you consider that during that span they played Florida, Texas A&M, Auburn and LSU in Baton Rouge. I'll take the 24.5 points with Mississippi State.
GL,
Jesse Schule

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Steve Janus

Nov 10 '18, 3:30 PM in 3h
NCAA-F | Northwestern vs Iowa
Play on: UNDER 46½ -110

1* Free Sharp Play on Northwestern vs Iowa under 46½ -110
My money is on the UNDER 46.5 in Saturday's Big Ten West clash between Northwestern and Iowa. Hard to see a lot of points being scored in this one. Two of the better defensive teams in the Big 10 and will be playing in frigid conditions at Kinnick Field. Iowa has the 8th ranked defense in the country, but are just 76th in offense. Northwestern is 59th in total defense, but a miserable 109th in total offense. Both teams are going to struggle to sustain drives and when they do, chances are they will have to settle for field goals. Iowa did go OVER the total last time out at Purdue, but the UNDER is a perfect 6-0 over the last 3 seasons when the Hawkeyes are playing at home off a game that finished over the total and the average score in this spot is 34.1. Bet the UNDER 46.5!