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4.5-Star Seahawks +9.5 over RAMS - The Rams suffered their first loss of the season last week and the conventional thought process is to believe that they will bounce back here. However, a check of the results reveals that NFL teams are 57-83-4 ATS in the history of the database after their first losses of the season following at least three wins. The SDQL text is:
p:L and losses=1 and wins>=3
The Rams themselves are 0-10 ATS (-13.45 ppg) vs a divisional opponent when they are off a loss by more than a TD in which they had more third downs made than punts. The SDQL text is:
team=Rams and DIV and p:margin < -7 and p:3DM>p
unts and date>=20041205
The Rams beat the Seahawks 33-31 earlier this season laying 7 in Seattle, and they were trailing 31-24 entering the fourth quarter. This is worth mentioning because the Rams are 0-11 ATS as a favorite over a team they beat earlier in the season while allowing more than 25 yards rushing. The SDQL text is:
team=Rams and F and P:W and P:season=season and Po:RY>25 and date>=20020127
Finally, Robert Woods, who came over from the Bills for the 2017 season, caught seven passes on nine targets for the Rams last week against the Saints, but none went for 20-plus yards. We mention this because the Rams are 0-4 ATS in franchise history at home off a game in which Woods didnt have a 20-plus yard reception, losing every game straight up. The SDQL is:
team=Rams and H and Robert Woods:longest reception<20 and season>=2017
Turning our attention to the Seahawks, we see that they have been very tough vs teams that have a powerful offense. Seattle is 9-0 ATS on grass vs any team that has averaged 375-plus yards of offense per game season-to-date, covering by an average of 13.5 points per game. The SDQL text is:
team=Seahawks and surface=grass and oA(TY) >= 375 and date>=20121018
In their last three in this spot, they allowed 6, 10, and 3 points and the second of this trio was a 16-10 win over these Rams last season.
Finally, the Seahawks are 11-0 ATS (+11.59 ppg) vs a divisional opponent that is averaging less than 1.28 turnovers per game.
This is the greatest number of points Russell Wilson has gotten in his NFL career. He has only been a TD-plus dog three times and he is 3-0 ATS in those games. Seattle will not roll over. We are grabbing the points.
MTis FORECAST: RAMS 24 Seahawks 23
4.5-Star Seahawks +9.5 over RAMS - The Rams suffered their first loss of the season last week and the conventional thought process is to believe that they will bounce back here. However, a check of the results reveals that NFL teams are 57-83-4 ATS in the history of the database after their first losses of the season following at least three wins. The SDQL text is:
p:L and losses=1 and wins>=3
The Rams themselves are 0-10 ATS (-13.45 ppg) vs a divisional opponent when they are off a loss by more than a TD in which they had more third downs made than punts. The SDQL text is:
team=Rams and DIV and p:margin < -7 and p:3DM>p
unts and date>=20041205 The Rams beat the Seahawks 33-31 earlier this season laying 7 in Seattle, and they were trailing 31-24 entering the fourth quarter. This is worth mentioning because the Rams are 0-11 ATS as a favorite over a team they beat earlier in the season while allowing more than 25 yards rushing. The SDQL text is:
team=Rams and F and P:W and P:season=season and Po:RY>25 and date>=20020127
Finally, Robert Woods, who came over from the Bills for the 2017 season, caught seven passes on nine targets for the Rams last week against the Saints, but none went for 20-plus yards. We mention this because the Rams are 0-4 ATS in franchise history at home off a game in which Woods didnt have a 20-plus yard reception, losing every game straight up. The SDQL is:
team=Rams and H and Robert Woods
:longest reception<20 and season>=2017 Turning our attention to the Seahawks, we see that they have been very tough vs teams that have a powerful offense. Seattle is 9-0 ATS on grass vs any team that has averaged 375-plus yards of offense per game season-to-date, covering by an average of 13.5 points per game. The SDQL text is:
team=Seahawks and surface=grass and oA(TY) >= 375 and date>=20121018
In their last three in this spot, they allowed 6, 10, and 3 points and the second of this trio was a 16-10 win over these Rams last season.
Finally, the Seahawks are 11-0 ATS (+11.59 ppg) vs a divisional opponent that is averaging less than 1.28 turnovers per game.
This is the greatest number of points Russell Wilson has gotten in his NFL career. He has only been a TD-plus dog three times and he is 3-0 ATS in those games. Seattle will not roll over. We are grabbing the points.
MTis FORECAST: RAMS 24 Seahawks 23
and P:day=Sunday and -3<=line<0 and rest>=10 and H and DIV and date >= 19901015 
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