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For Tuesday, Top-Rated 1000♦ on Western Michigan-Ball State UNDER the total. At 7:00 am eastern time, the total for the game is 55 points in Vegas and offshore.
Update: as of 2:30 pm eastern the total for this game is now 57 points.
It's MACtion time in Muncie this Tuesday as Western Michigan and Ball State renew acquaintances. Over the past 2 series meetings, the Broncos and Cardinals have played OVER the total, as Western Michigan has done the bulk of the scoring with 107 points totaled in those 2 wins.
I don't see the Broncos getting to that number tonight though, as quarterback Jon Wassink is out for the year, and freshman signal-caller Kaleb Eleby has not been able to keep the Western offense cranking in Wassink's absence. They have been held to just 38 points total in their last pair of games. Both of those game did land OVER however, as they have surrendered 110 points to some offensive teams in Toledo and Ohio.
Don't worry, Ball State will not be confused with either Toledo or Ohio on offense, as the Cards have been held to 20 points or less in each of their last 3, and 7 of their last 9 games on the season. Ball State is 2-7-1 UNDER the total for the year, and they too are without their starting quarterback Riley Neal who missed the last game with a knee injury. It will be Drew Plitt who started the Cardinals last game and could only engineer 13 points in a loss at Toledo.
Both of the backup quarterbacks have thrown a pair of picks in their last starts, so while the saying is "you can't handicap turnovers", I think in this case there is a strong chance there will be a turnover or two. That can work well for scoring on a short field, but not always. Sometimes those turnovers make the field a little longer, and on a cold night at Scheumann Stadium, I am going to look for this year's Western Michigan-Ball State to stay UNDER the posted price by a few points.
7 Unit Play. Take #507 Wisconsin (pk) over Xavier (6:30p.m., Tuesday, November 13 FS1) Xavier is in a complete rebuilding mode this year and will have a new coach on the end line as well with Chris Mack bolting to Louisville. Wisconsin had a terrible season last year but had a couple of key injuries and everyone is back and they should be able to return to the NCAA Tournament. They have the best player on the floor in Ethan Happ and look for them to return the favor of winning this game on the road (Xavier won in Madison last year). This is an important game for Wisconsin to keep their confidence high and for their unproven coach. Wisconsin has covered the spread in 6 straight road games. Xavier is 0-4 ATS (1 push) in their last 5 home games. Wisconsin opened as a favorite for this game and that lets me believe they are the right side for this play.
Best of Luck - Doc's Sports
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