Service Plays Sunday 12/2/18

[Bigcesil]

BMC 900??

[Can'tPickAWinner]

SkyBluePicks

Jaguars +4

Patriots -5

Steelers -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

ZCODE



Carolina Panthers versus Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Panthers come in at 6-5 but have lost their last three. They are a 3.5 road favorite against the 4-7 Buccaneers, who are coming off a win. Carolina took the first meeting between the teams this year, 42-28 on November 4. They hold a +20 to +5 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. Both teams aren’t trending particularly well, as “average down” for Carolina and “ice cold up” for Tampa Bay. The teams are nearly equal in terms of stability and the Panthers have a 57 percent chance of winning, as can be seen in our VIP Picks sections. The Panthers will remain very much in the playoff race and defeat the Buccaneers and cover.

Baltimore Ravens versus Atlanta Falcons
The Ravens can keep the pressure on the Steelers in the AFC North with a win. They enter a 2.5 point road favorite over the Falcons, who have lost three straight and sit at 4-7. Atlanta is in a must win situation to keep their playoff hopes alive. Baltimore holds a +17 to +13 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “burning hot” versus “average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Despite the recent trends, the Ravens are only slight favorites with a 53 percent chance of winning. Baltimore is only 2-3 on the road and with Atlanta in a must win situation, I am leaning towards the Falcons to pull off the upset.

Chicago Bears versus New York Giants
The Bears are one of the hottest teams in the league, winners of their last five. They hold a +27 to +11 advantage over the Giants on the Power Ranking Indicator and “burning hot” versus “ice cold down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Both teams are among the most stable in the league according to the Team Volatility Oscillator. This means it’s wise to take note of favorite/underdog status for both teams in this one. As 4.5 point favorites, the Bears are too hot for the Giants to handle. The Bears will win to extend their streak to six.

Los Angeles Chargers versus Pittsburgh Steelers
In one of the top games of the week, the 8-3 Chargers take on the 7-3-1 Steelers. The Steelers six-game winning streak came to an end last week, while the Chargers are coming off a win to stay close to the Chiefs in the AFC West. Pittsburgh has a +30 to +23 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator, while the Chargers are “burning hot” versus “burning hot down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Los Angeles is a bit more stable than the Steelers, so it’s advisable not to consider the favorite/underdog status of the Steelers too highly. Los Angeles is 4-1 on the road and despite being 3.5 point underdogs, take the Chargers plus the points and they could win outright.

Minnesota Vikings versus New England Patriots
The Vikings are coming off a divisional victory over the Packers. At 5-5-1, they are a 6.5 point road underdog at New England. The Patriots are 5-0 at home and have a +24 to +21 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. New England is “burning hot” versus “average up” and both teams rank high in stability on the Team Volatility Oscillator. The Vikings are 2-2-1 on the road and there is little to indicate they can pull off the upset. This is the time of the season where the Patriots generally kick it into gear. I suspect much of the same this week. Take New England to win and cover.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

DWAYNE BRYANT
SUNDAY, December 2, 2018
NFL -- 1 PM ET
[369] Arizona Cardinals vs [370] Green Bay Packers
PLAY: UNDER 43.5 (-110)
BET SIZE: 3%
My football totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.


Projected Points Scored = 39 (Packers 27, Cardinals 12)


3% play at 42 or higher
No play below 42


===


NFL -- 4:25 PM ET
[375] Minnesota Vikings vs [376] New England Patriots
PLAY: [376] NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS -5 (-110)
BET SIZE: 5%
The Patriots have been incredibly tough at home with Belichick and Brady. A square play? Yes, but consider these numbers: Since 2001 with Belichick and Brady, NE is 131-22 SU (86%) and 92-57-4 ATS (62%) at home. As a regular season home favorite of -7 or less, the Belichick/Brady combo is 54-12 SU (82%) and 48-15-3 ATS (76%). Since the 2013 season, the Belichick/Brady combo is a perfect 18-0 SU and 16-1-1 ATS (94%) as a regular season home favorite of -7 or less as long as it's not a Week 17 game in which they rested some starters.


Based on last weekend's spread (-13) and total (47), the Patriots were expected to score 30 points. They scored 27. That's interesting to note because since 1/16/2016, the Patriots are a perfect 10-0 ATS as a home favorite coming off a game in which they scored less points than expected. New England won those ten games by an average of 17.9 points per game, covering the spread by 8.75 points per contest.


The Vikings have played two road games this season against teams currently holding a winning record. They lost 38-31 to the Rams in LA, and they lost 25-20 to the Bears in Chicago. In both games, the Vikings scored a late TD to make the game appear closer than it really was. The Patriots don't usually give up those late TDs, especially at home.


This game reminds me of the Packers visit to Foxboro a few weeks ago. The line was about the same, and most were jumping on Aaron Rodgers and the Packers as dogs. But Brady and company took care of Green Bay, 31-17. The Patriots clearly get up for home games against quality opponents (see records above), so they should be ready to play another great game in front of the home crowd in this one.


====


NBA -- 6:05 PM ET
[707] Utah Jazz at [708] Miami Heat
PLAY: UNDER 208.5 (-110)
BET SIZE: 3%
My basketball totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.


Projected Points Scored = 204 (Utah 104, Miami 100)


3% play at 207 or higher
No play below 207


==============================


NBA -- 7:05 PM ET
[709] Portland Trail Blazers at [710] San Antonio Spurs
PLAY: UNDER 216 (-110)
BET SIZE: 3%
My basketball totals system is a combination of relevant statistical data, history involving similar games, and current market data. A play is made when enough of these factors align. The size of the play is determined by a combination of how many of these factors align, how much value is perceived, and how confident I am about the play.


Projected Points Scored = 211 (San Antonio 106, Portland 105)


3% play at 214 or higher
No play below 214

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Adam Silverstein

Texans -5 1/2

Colts -4

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Midwest Handicapping

NFL BLANK CHECK GOTY
PITTSBURG -3

TRENDS
PITT OFF A LOSS LAST 2 YEARS
5-0
PITT OFF A LOSS LAST 5 YEARS
15-6 ATS
BIG BEN VS PHILLIP RIVERS IN PITTSBURG
6-1 SU & 5-2 ATS
PITT VS SD LAST 15 MEETINGS
11-4 ATS
PITT IN DECEMBER LAST 20
18-2 SU

If your going to bet against trends you better have a damn good reason.

11 DIME TITANIC PLAYS
WASHINGTON +6
ATLANTA +3

7 DIME JUMBO PLAYS
NY GIANTS +5.5

TEASERS
DENVER +2/ATLANTA +9
CHICAGO +3.5/NE PK
WASHINGTON +12/NYG +9.5
ARIZ -19.5/SEA -4
PITT+3/CAR +2

OVER/UNDER
BUFFALO/MIAMI OVER 41
DETROIT/LAR OVER 54

PROP BET
DESHAUN WASTSON OVER 33 YARDS

132-64-7 on the year.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Tierney

Chargers +3 1/2

Raiders +15

Colts -4

Browns +6

Patriots -5

Jets +8

Panthers -3 1/2

Ravens U48

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Micah Roberts

Chargers +3 1/2

Falcons -1 1/2

Broncos -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sports Unlimited/Marco D'Angelo

5 Miami -3'
4 Pittsburg under 52'
3 Houston over 47

[Calidreaming]

Matt Rivers
My Blank Check release is on New England at home against Minnesota. The Patriots are -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WWP - NFL

Super pick - Denver
Tennessee
Baltimore
Cleveland

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Seabass

300 10 team, 10 point teaser Giants under, GB, Jax
300 Cincy
400 Miami
400 Niners
500 Falcons
800 J E T S
1000 Giants

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wolf from pgf

3% Falcons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Nfac


ATL ML

[swaminator]

Larry Ness’ 10* Sunday NFL AFC Game of the Month
Houston

Larry Ness' 10* Sunday NFL Week 13 Las Vegas Insider
Pitsburgh