Wednesday 12-12-18 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Sal Michaels

Dec 12 '18, 9:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Portland State vs BYU
Play on: Portland State +16½ -109 at GTBets

Free Play on Portland State +16½ -109

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Mike Williams

Dec 12 '18, 9:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | Portland State vs BYU
Play on: Portland State +16½ -109 at GTBets

1* on Portland State +16½ -109

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Brandon Lee

Dec 12 '18, 9:00 PM in 3h
NCAA-B | LSU vs Houston
Play on: Houston -3 -109 at GTBets

10* FREE NCAAB PICK (Houston -3)
The line move here has me a bit concerned, but I just can't pass up the Cougars as a small 3-point home favorite. Houston has started out 8-0, including a 6-0 record at home, but all the talk right now is about when the Cougars' perfect start will come to an end. It seems like a lot of people think LSU is going to hand them a loss tonight, but I just don't see it happening. I know you can't read too much into common opponents, but it's hard to ignore the fact that Houston just won by double-digits at Oklahoma State, who beat LSU on a neutral court by 13. One thing that really stands out to me is how much better the Cougars defense was against the Cowboys. Houston held Oklahoma State to just 35.1% shooting on their home court and the Tigers let the Cowboys hit on 58.5% of their shots. Houston might not be a Power 5 program, but they got a Power 5 head coach in Kelvin Sampson. Give me the Cougars -3!

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Brad Diamond

Dec 12 '18, 10:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | San Diego vs Oregon
Play on: San Diego +10½ -110 at BMaker

SAN DIEGO+ over Oregon
San Diego (8-2) has had to face a number of quality teams in the early going,
so they should not be shaken by a road game in Oregon. On the other hand,
the Ducks (5-3) are going to be difficult as they are an effective defensive
unit (#2 FG%), have been tough on the opposing arc builders with the #23
rated defense disallowing the three ball (27.8%) consistently. With the road
scenario for San Diego, we do expect a SU win for Oregon. On the technical
we have SD 4-1 ATS vs. the Pac-12 and 9-4 ATS vs. >.600 units. Oregon comes in
0-4 ATS Wednesdays, and 1-6-1 ATS off a SU win. TAKE THE POINTS!

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Will Rogers

Dec 12 '18, 10:00 PM in 4h
NCAA-B | San Diego vs Oregon
Play on: Oregon -9½ -107 at pinnacle

The set-up: The Toreros are no joke, entering with an 8-2 record. The hungry Ducks are 5-3 and they’ll be eager for a win here as well. San Diego’s early numbers are skewed due to the level of the competition, most recently coming in off an 82-68 home win over CS Northridge. Oregon on the other hand will look to build off an 84-61 home win over Nebraska Omaha. Overall San Diego averages 77.8 PPG and it allows 65, while Oregon averages 78 PPG and it allows 66.7.
The pick: This is a difficult non-conference road venue and note that the Toreros are just 4-11 ATS in their last 15 after having won three of their last four games straight-up. I’m banking on the step up in competition to be too much for the Toreros to handle tonight. Consider Oregon.

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Alex Smart

Dec 12 '18, 10:05 PM in 4h
NBA | Wolves vs Kings
Play on: Wolves -3½ -106 at pinnacle

The Wolves have revenge on board for a loss they suffered to the Kings at home earlier this season, when Jimmy Butler was still there and making life miserable for this group. Minnesota owned this series before that and swept the season series from Sacramento last year, winning by an average of 15.3 points and they get the nod again according to my power ranking stats.
The Kings are 0-14 SU/ATS as a home dog off a win in a road game when they are taking on a team that is averaging more than five blocks per game. The closest margin of defeat was 5 points, and the average margin of defeat came by 15.7 ppg.
NBA Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MINNESOTA) - revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off 2 or more consecutive road losses are 31-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the Minnesota Wolves to cover

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John Martin

Dec 12 '18, 10:35 PM in 5h
NBA | Raptors vs Warriors
Play on: Warriors -7 -105 at pinnacle

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Golden State Warriors -7
The Warriors are finally at full strength for the first time all season. Draymond Green and Steph Curry are back from injury, and this is going to be a dangerous team moving forward. They have won four straight while going 3-1 ATS as well with their only non-cover coming on a last-second bucket by the Timberwolves to lose by 8 as 9.5-point dogs. The other three wins all came by double-digits on the road, including a 10-point win at Milwaukee. And the Warriors should be able to handle the Raptors tonight, who could be without Kawhi Leonard. It’s also a Raptors team playing for a second consecutive day and playing their 3rd game in 4 days. They haven’t had two days off in a row in nearly a month. So it’s no wonder they are faltering of late, going 2-5 ATS in their last seven games with three outright losses as favorites. Give me the Warriors.

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