Tuesday 1-1-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 359701

    #31
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
    Camarero - Race 5

    Pick 3 (5-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Quiniela / Superfecta / Daily Double 5-6


    Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 64 • Purse: $6,000 • Post: 4:30P
    FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD NO GANADORAS DE DOS CARRERAS EN 1,200METROS DESDE 01/01/2018 AND WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $8,000 OR LESS. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 17, 2018 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE DECEMBER 1, 2018 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 1, 2018 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * BANDOLERA: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has r un a Good Race within the last 30 days. LUARCA: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. RONRONERA: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
    9
    BANDOLERA
    1/1

    7/2
    11
    LUARCA
    2/1

    9/2
    3
    RONRONERA
    3/1

    8/1




    P#

    Horse (In Running Style Order)

    Post

    Morn
    Line

    Running Style

    Good
    Class

    Good
    Speed

    Early Figure

    Finish Figure

    Platinum
    Figure
    11
    LUARCA
    14

    2/1
    Front-runner
    70

    55

    69.8

    60.6

    56.1
    8
    DEB TROUBLE
    11

    5/2
    Front-runner
    52

    60

    64.2

    39.0

    27.5
    10
    CIUDAD CONDAL
    13

    20/1
    Front-runner
    48

    47

    52.8

    36.6

    13.6
    12
    HECHICERIA
    1

    5/1
    Front-runner
    60

    44

    52.6

    39.4

    26.4
    6
    NORMA IRIS
    8

    6/1
    Alternator/Front-runner
    54

    42

    53.2

    44.4

    25.4
    9
    BANDOLERA
    12

    1/1
    Stalker
    66

    62

    56.8

    61.4

    55.4
    1
    VUELVE YERIKA
    2

    8/1
    Stalker
    42

    36

    54.2

    42.4

    30.9
    4
    ALTEZA REAL
    5

    10/1
    Stalker
    61

    52

    50.0

    50.2

    37.7
    3
    RONRONERA
    4

    3/1
    Trailer
    69

    59

    57.6

    48.8

    40.8
    7
    ALEYDA MARIE
    9

    12/1
    Alternator/Trailer
    48

    48

    43.2

    41.2

    25.7
    2
    MISS WHATSAPP
    3

    4/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    61

    57

    50.4

    40.8

    31.3
    5
    GOZADERA
    6

    15/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    45

    55

    44.6

    32.0

    9.0
    13
    CINNAMON LADY
    10

    5/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    24

    14

    34.6

    24.4

    0.0
    14
    YASHIRA G.
    7

    5/1
    Alternator/Non-contender
    41

    34

    34.0

    14.8

    0.0
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    Comment

    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 359701

      #32
      Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

      Bar

      Fair Grounds - Race #7 - Post: 3:24pm - Allowance - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $43,000 Class Rating: 80

      Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

      #2 CHAMPAGNE DIVA (ML=4/1)
      #1 NOLA FASHION (ML=9/2)
      #7 PENNY COIN TOSS (ML=5/1)


      CHAMPAGNE DIVA - I believe Gabriel is making a good move here. This filly can only benefit from the shorter distance. I like when a horse has dropped in class at least 5 pts like this one did in the last race and then runs against a similar field right back. Gabriel must've found the right level. NOLA FASHION - Personally, I wouldn't worry about where she finished in her last race (fourth). Should improve right here in this race, with some respectable odds. Sub-par outing last out at Fair Grounds was due to the off-going (she finished fourth). Should do much better in this event under normal track conditions. PENNY COIN TOSS - This jockey and conditioner have a positive return on investment when they join forces. Mare shipped to this track and won; now goes for back-to-back wins.

      Vulnerable Contenders: #3 JUS WOW (ML=7/2), #8 BIONIC BUTTERFLY (ML=5/1), #5 BELLE FORCE (ML=6/1),

      JUS WOW - I think this probable favorite needs this race under her belt to start getting back into shape. BIONIC BUTTERFLY - If you keep betting these kind of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be let down frequently. Most unsatisfactory fig in the last race at Delta Downs at 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't feel this runner will improve too much in today's race. BELLE FORCE - Somewhat easily forgotten fig last time out at Delta Downs at 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this runner will improve too much in today's event.



      STRAIGHT WAGERS:
      Have to go with #2 CHAMPAGNE DIVA on the win end if we get at least 3/1 odds

      EXACTA WAGERS:
      Box [1,2] Box [2,7]

      TRIFECTA WAGERS:
      Box [1,2,7] Total Cost: $6

      SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
      [1,2,7] with [1,2,7] with [1,2,4,5,7] with [1,2,4,5,7] Total Cost: $36
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      Comment

      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 359701

        #33
        Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields
        Always check program numbers.
        Odds shown are morning line odds.

        Race 4 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11500 Class Rating: 82

        FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. FOUR YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


        RECOMMENDED CHOICES
        The Walker Group Picks

        # 5 CATTERING 2/1

        # 6 RED GLITTER 20/1

        # 4 YALLA 8/1

        CATTERING supports the wager in here. Cedillo has a winning percentage of 21 over the last month. Cedillo should be able to get this filly to break out early in this race. RED GLITTER - Will most likely go to the lead and could never look back. Is hard not to examine given the company run in as of late. YALLA - With a very good 72 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this contest.
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        Comment

        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 359701

          #34
          Handicapped by Top Horse Analytics at Gulfstream Park

          01/01/19, GP, Race 10, 5.08 ET
          7 1/2F [Turf About] 1.27.03 MAIDEN CLAIMING. Purse $25,000.
          Claiming Price $20,000. FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLDAND UPWARD
          $1 Exacta / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Super Hi 5
          Top Horse - Races 20, Win Percent 10.00, $1 ROI 0.22, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Turf
          Best in race - (J)ockey (T)rainer (S)peed (F)inish (E)arnings (W)orkouts (L)ead (C)loser
          Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
          100.0000 6 Pound Note 5-1 Castellano J Bush Thomas M. SEW
          097.2538 9 Super Mama 6-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Abreu Jorge R.
          096.2765 1 Sacrifice 6-1 Gaffalione T Reynolds Patrick L.
          095.9496 15 Berning Repent 6-1 Jaramillo E Abreu Fernando JF
          095.0660 2 Mambo Dancer 2-1 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. TC
          095.0556 12 Sweet Apple Pie 20-1 Jimenez A Matz Michael R. L
          094.6788 5 Bienville Street 8-1 Zayas E J Gambolati Cam M.
          093.8783 14 Faith Flys Again 15-1 Zayas E J Antonucci Jena M.
          092.8748 16 Rachel's Smokin 6-1 Cruz M R Duffy Sean
          092.8529 13 C C's Freedom 12-1 Maragh R R Fawkes David
          092.2122 3 Indy Contender 30-1 Rodriguez A Arias Juan D.
          091.9987 11 Broadway Peggy 20-1 Cruz M R Parra Hernan
          091.1285 10 Molly's Lane 10-1 Ortiz J L Kimmel John C.
          089.6475 4 Its About Me 20-1 Alvarado. Jr. R Vinson John G
          088.9029 7 Tiki Bar Queen 20-1 Maragh R R Biancone Patrick L.
          087.4714 8 Blues Songs(b+) 20-1 Lugo C D Hernandez Marcos E.
          If Race Is Off Turf
          Top Horse - Races 39, Win Percent 30.77, $1 ROI 0.74, For Race Category MSW_MCLM Dirt
          Rating Pgm# Horse Name M/L Jockey Trainer FLAGS
          100.0000 2 Mambo Dancer 2-1 Saez L Pletcher Todd A. TC
          099.4975 6 Pound Note 5-1 Castellano J Bush Thomas M. SFE
          098.4096 1 Sacrifice 6-1 Gaffalione T Reynolds Patrick L.
          098.0185 15 Berning Repent 6-1 Jaramillo E Abreu Fernando J
          097.0848 16 Rachel's Smokin 6-1 Cruz M R Duffy Sean W
          096.9818 9 Super Mama 6-1 Ortiz. Jr. I Abreu Jorge R.
          096.9256 5 Bienville Street 8-1 Zayas E J Gambolati Cam M.
          095.6779 14 Faith Flys Again 15-1 Zayas E J Antonucci Jena M.
          095.6427 12 Sweet Apple Pie 20-1 Jimenez A Matz Michael R. L
          093.9582 11 Broadway Peggy 20-1 Cruz M R Parra Hernan
          093.9156 3 Indy Contender 30-1 Rodriguez A Arias Juan D.
          093.1385 10 Molly's Lane 10-1 Ortiz J L Kimmel John C.
          092.9558 13 C C's Freedom 12-1 Maragh R R Fawkes David
          091.2680 4 Its About Me 20-1 Alvarado. Jr. R Vinson John G
          091.1732 7 Tiki Bar Queen 20-1 Maragh R R Biancone Patrick L.
          089.1079 8 Blues Songs(b+) 20-1 Lugo C D Hernandez Marcos E.
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          Comment

          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 359701

            #35
            F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park
            Laurel Park - Race 1

            EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 1-2) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3) / 50 cent PICK 5 (RACES 1-2-3-4-5) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5


            Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 12:30
            (PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JULY 1 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FIVE RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE NOVEMBER 1 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $4,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
            Contenders

            Race Analysis
            P#
            Horse
            Morn
            Line

            Accept
            Odds


            Race Type: Dominant Stalker. AIDEN'S RAG DOLL is the Dominant Stalker of the race. * KEY ANGLES * AIDEN'S RAG DOLL: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" desig nation. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. IT'S A TREND: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
            4
            AIDEN'S RAG DOLL
            2/1

            2/1
            2
            IT'S A TREND
            15/1

            6/1




            P#

            Horse (In Running Style Order)

            Post

            Morn
            Line

            Running Style

            Good
            Class

            Good
            Speed

            Early Figure

            Finish Figure

            Platinum
            Figure
            2
            IT'S A TREND
            2

            15/1
            Stalker
            78

            75

            62.0

            66.4

            58.9
            4
            AIDEN'S RAG DOLL
            4

            2/1
            Alternator/Stalker
            83

            74

            77.8

            76.8

            74.3
            5
            STORMY MAMA
            5

            12/1
            Trailer
            74

            70

            46.4

            66.2

            58.2
            7
            SPRINGTIME WIND
            7

            9/5
            Trailer
            76

            67

            43.4

            66.6

            58.6
            6
            LITTLE UNITED
            6

            5/2
            Alternator/Non-contender
            75

            71

            72.6

            66.0

            58.5
            3
            TELESA
            3

            15/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            76

            76

            58.8

            55.0

            47.5
            1
            WHY NOT BE SEXY
            1

            15/1
            Alternator/Non-contender
            79

            63

            55.6

            42.0

            30.5
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            Comment

            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 359701

              #36
              Handicapped by The Walker Group at Santa Anita
              Always check program numbers.
              Odds shown are morning line odds.

              Race 1 - SA - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 103

              FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS.


              RECOMMENDED CHOICES
              The Walker Group Picks

              # 2 BLITZKRIEG 5/2

              # 6 EAST RAND 8/1

              # 1 RUMPUS CAT 7/2

              BLITZKRIEG has a formidable shot to take this race. Looks respectable for the conditions of this race today, showing solid figures in turf route races lately. This gelding has a good win percentage in turf route races. EAST RAND - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this racer look decent in this race. This horse with Vandyke in the saddle makes him a key contender. RUMPUS CAT - Looks formidable for the conditions of this contest today, showing solid figs in turf route races recently. Trainer boasts solid win figs at this distance and surface.
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              Comment

              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 359701

                #37
                Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

                Bar

                Turfway Park - Race #1 - Post: 1:10pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5,100 Class Rating: 67

                Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

                #1 TRES TROUBADOURS (ML=8/1)


                TRES TROUBADOURS - Forgive the out of the money finish on the off track in the last race. On a fast track, has a good chance right here in this race.

                Vulnerable Contenders: #7 PRAY FOR KITTEN (ML=2/1), #2 COLONIAL COMPOSER (ML=5/2), #6 BYRDSTREETPARTY (ML=5/2),

                PRAY FOR KITTEN - If you keep selecting these sort of 'hanger' types, you're going to be disappointed frequently. COLONIAL COMPOSER - This runner ran a mediocre speed fig in the last race. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably lose in today's race running that figure. The physical exertion last out may knock this gelding off stride this time. BYRDSTREETPARTY - This equine hasn't been close in either of his last two outings. I find it hard to wager on any steed in a sprint contest if he hasn't finished in the money in a sprint in the last couple months. The speed figure last out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class rating of today's affair. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced contender.



                STRAIGHT WAGERS:
                #1 TRES TROUBADOURS to win at post-time odds of 1/1 or better

                EXACTA WAGERS:
                None

                TRIFECTA WAGERS:
                Skip

                SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
                Pass
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                Comment

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