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Clemson vs. Alabama (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EST Premium Pick
Pick: Point Spread: +5.5/-110 Clemson Play Title: Stephen Nover's Big Ticket Title Game
At YouWager
Rating: 8*
Clemson isn't getting the respect it deserves from oddsmakers. The Tigers are every bit as good - if not better - than Alabama. Yes, the SEC is a better football conference than the ACC. No argument there. But I will argue the Tigers passed a tough schedule with flying colors beating 10 Bowl teams, eight of them by 20 or more points. Clemson is every bit as dominating as Alabama ranking fourth in points scored while giving up the fewest points per game in the nation. The Tigers have proven themselves huge money-winners in the postseason, too, covering eight of their last nine bowl games. Alabama's defense showed some vulnerability against Oklahoma. True, the Sooners have a great offense. But so does Clemson. I like Tigers QB Trevor Lawrence much more than Kelly Bryant. The Tide defeated Clemson, 24-6, in the Sugar Bowl last season when Bryant was behind center. This time around it will be much different.
Monday card has the 6* College Football 100% National Championship System Play and the NBA NON Conference Game of the Month also from an undefeated system. NBA Comp dog play below
The NBA Comp play is on the NY. Knicks plus the 11-12 points at 10:00 eastern. The Knicks are off a nice road win in LA Last out and should hang around here for a cover in Portland. The Knicks apply to a nice 80% road dog system that pertains to their win and cover and the Blazers home win and cover. NY has covered 4 of 5 off a win and 6 of 8 vs West conference teams. The Blazers have failed to cover 14 of 20 after allowing 100 or more and 4 of 5 off a win. Take the points here. On Monday we start the week big with the 6* 100% Highest rated College Championship Play on ESPN. We have cashed the championship 4 of the last 5 years. In hoops we have the perfect system Non conference NBA Game of the Month. Message or see is on facebook to jump on. For the NBA Free pick. Take the 11-12 points with NY. RV- Golden Contender Sports
The current line on this game is +5 1/2 in Vegas and offshore. Be sure to shop around for the best price available.
ANALYSIS ...
For me the right side of the game is the boys wearing orange jersey's.
There are so many plot lines in breaking down this game. So many match ups from the head coaches to the d'lines to the backs and receivers.
For me this game comes down to one thing and one thing only, the play of Clemson freshman QB Trevor Lawrence.
All I have heard all week is no true freshman is beating Nick Saban.
Fair enough. Very valid argument. History shows it's a tough thing to do.
However, if you haven't seen Lawrence play, he doesn't play like a freshman.
He made his first start at home against Syracuse and was knocked out of the game in the 2nd quarter of the Tigers come from behind 27-23 win.
Over his next 9 games including the 27-point win over Notre Dame in the semi's, this kid plays like a senior ready for the NFL draft.
Against a top 10 Irish defense, he went 27 of 39 for 327 yards and 3 touchdowns. The moment was NOT to big for him and he played like it.
For the year, he has thrown for 27 touchdowns on just 4 interceptions, the same amount of interceptions Bama's Tua Tagovailoa has thrown this season.
After the near miss against the Cuse, Clemson has won their last 9 games by an average of 38 points a game. 38!!!!!!!
Of those 9 wins, 6 were against bowl teams highlighted by the 63-3 win at Wake Forest, 34 point win over NC State and the 29 point win over Duke.
In the ACC championship game they hammered Pitt 42-10 and after the game Panthers head coach Pat Narduzzi has something very interesting to say.
"They'll probably win the national championship. It's as good a football team from the front end to the back end as far as talent goes."
I'm not worried one bit about young Mr. Lawrence tonight.
As for Alabama, this is arguably the best throwing QB that NIck Saban has ever had leading the best offense he has ever had.
It will be a challenge for the Clemson defense, minus their best player to slow them down but, and this is a big but, I believe they will.
Alabama is not invincible. Just ask football powerhouse, Citadel, who as a 53 1/2 point underdog stood toe to toe with the Bama, tied 10-10 at the half.
Yes, Alabama woke up in the 2nd half to win 50-17 but that first half at home shows, this Alabama team is human after all.
Folks, it was 4 years ago when Clemson got to the BCS championship game, looked Alabama in the eye and said, "You better get used to seeing us.
They lost that day 45-40 but they walked away as a program with the belief that we just punched the bully in the mouth and were not scared of you.
The very next year they beat the Alabama 35-31, announcing to the college football world, "we're here to stay.'
Last year they met in the semi's, Clemson was just as good as Alabama but Swinney was stuck with a one dimensional QB in Kelly Bryant and lost 24-6.
Trevor Lawrence is not Kelly Bryant.
Swinney has built this program to elite status. He has finally gotten Clemson to the Alabama level and tonight, he and his program go beyond.
I expect Clemson to this game outright and I don't even think it will be as close as people think, but I will never pass up points when they are there for the taking.
7 Unit Play. Take #151/152 Clemson vs Alabama Over 59 (8:00 PM, Monday, January 7, ESPN)
6 Unit Play. Take #151 Clemson +5.5 over Alabama
4 Unit 6-Point Teaser. Take #151 Clemson +11.5 AND Over 53
3 Unit Play. Take #151 Clemson +180 ML over Alabama
Two teams that have been trending to the over will meet when the Clemson Tigers take on the Alabama Crimson Tide at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, CA in the CFB Playoff Championship Game on Monday night. Alabama has posted a 4-1 record to the over in their last five non-conference games and they have gone an excellent 5-2-1 to the over in their last eight games where the faced a team from the ACC. They have also gone up and over the number in eleven of their last sixteen bowl games and they are an impressive 9-4-1 to the over in their last fourteen games following a game where they allowed more than 450 yards. Clemson has been an over team as well in the spot they are in here on Monday as they have gone over the total in four of their last five games played in the month of January. Throw in the fact that Bama is a lights out 20-6-2 ATS in their last 28 neutral site games along with the fact that these two teams scored 85 and 66 points in the other two times they met in the CFP Championship Game (both going over the number by 15+ points) and that's where we'll have our play as we expect both teams to get up and down the field a bit in Santa Clara on Monday night. As for the side, Clemson has posted a 7-2 ATS record in their last nine games following a straight up win and they are an excellent 6-1 ATS in their last seven games off a straight up win by 20 points or more. They have also covered the number in six of their last eight games where they faced a team with a winning record and they are an impressive 8-1 ATS in their last nine bowl games. Alabama, on the other hand, has struggled a bit in the spot they are in here on Monday night as they have gone just 1-5 ATS in their last six games played in the month of January. Throw in the fact that Clemson is 13-3 ATS in their last sixteen neutral site games along with the fact that they covered both games where these two met for the title, winning one of them outright and we're taking the points here with the Tigers in a game that we think they win in Santa Clara on Monday night.
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