Saturday 1-12-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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  • Can'tPickAWinner
    Super Moderator
    • Nov 2012
    • 372198

    #61
    Matt Josephs

    Jan 12 '19, 1:00 PM in 36m
    NCAA-B | Youngstown State vs IUPU-Indianapolis
    Play on: OVER 148 -115

    IUPUI is home once again after beating Cleveland State 90-74 last time out. The Jaguars are coming off a five game road trip. They've played so much better at home where they've scored 70 points per game or more. The defense could be a lot better though because teams are finding it easy to navigate them. Four opponents have shot 50% or better from the field. The Jags have good guard play and some decent forwards. Youngstown State traditionally has been bad defensively. They've allowed 78 at UIC, 99 at Green Bay, 106 at West Virginia and 75 at Ohio State. The offense isn't great which is a concern, but I think they find their way even if it comes in garbage time. I expect IUPUI to get to at least 80 in this one.
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    • Can'tPickAWinner
      Super Moderator
      • Nov 2012
      • 372198

      #62
      Alex Smart

      Jan 12 '19, 2:00 PM in 1h
      NCAA-B | Princeton vs Pennsylvania
      Play on: Pennsylvania -6½ -105 at betonline

      These two long time Ivey League rivals will go head to head this afternoon. This will be the 2nd of back to back home and home games against each other with Princeton winning and cashing for their backers 68-65 in the first battle as hosts and pups. Now in the rematch at Penn I expect the home side Quakers to stand tall vs a Princeton side that has a recent propensity to falter against avenging opponents as is evident by failing to cover in 7 straight tilts vs revengers. Note:PRINCETON is 1-8 ATS in road games versus good shooting teams - making 45% or more of their shots over the last 2 seasons and is 2-10 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons. I know Penn has lost three straight, but that is what makes this team with 4 returning starters so dangerous. Desperation, and revenge are key motivating factors in what Im betting will be a cover for the Quakers.
      Play on Penn to cover
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      • Can'tPickAWinner
        Super Moderator
        • Nov 2012
        • 372198

        #63
        Totals Guru

        Jan 12 '19, 2:00 PM in 1h
        NCAA-B | Toledo vs Western Michigan
        Play on: OVER 144½ -109

        Free Total Annihilator On Toledo vs Western Michigan over 144½ -109
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        • Can'tPickAWinner
          Super Moderator
          • Nov 2012
          • 372198

          #64
          Jack Jones

          Jan 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 3h
          NCAA-B | St. Joe's vs Duquesne
          Play on: Duquesne -3 -105 at Bovada

          Jack’s Free Pick Saturday: Duquesne -3
          The Duquesne Dukes are one of the most improved teams in the Atlantic 10 this season. And they’ve handled their business at home this year, going 9-1 on their home floor. I think we are getting the Dukes at a great value here as only 3-point home favorites over St. Joe’s.
          This is one of the worst St. Joe’s teams that Phil Martelli has ever had. The Hawks are just 7-8 SU & 4-10 ATS this season and have some real puzzling losses of late. They lost by 25 at home to Georgia Mason as 7-point favorites, and they lost by 14 at home to George Washington as 12.5-point favorites. They also lost on the road at St. Bonaventure by 26 last time out as 1.5-point dogs.
          Those are the last three games of a 0-6 ATS run for the Hawks in their last six games overall. They also only beat Wagner by 2 as 15-point home favorites, failed to cover in a 3-point home win over Loyola-Chicago, and failed to cover in a road loss at Villanova. Oddsmakers have been so far off on this team that they have failed the cover the spread by a combined 96 points in their last four games, or by an average of 24 points per game.
          St. Joe’s is 0-6 ATS after scoring 60 points or less this season. Plays against underdogs or PK (St. Joe’s) - an average offensive team scoring 67-74 PPG against an average defensive team giving up 67-74 PPG), after scoring 65 points or fewer in four straight games are 27-7 (79.4%) ATS over the last five seasons. Bet Duquesne Saturday.
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          • Can'tPickAWinner
            Super Moderator
            • Nov 2012
            • 372198

            #65
            Dave Price

            Jan 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 3h
            NCAA-B | Georgia vs Auburn
            Play on: Auburn -12½ -109 at GTBets

            Dave’s Saturday Free Play:
            1* on Auburn -12.5
            The Key: The Auburn Tigers are coming of their worst loss of the season with a 67-82 setback at Ole Miss. They’ll come back hungry for a victory and playing with a chip on their shoulder at home Saturday when they host Georgia. The Tigers are 8-0 at home this year and winning by 31.6 PPG. Georgia lost its last road game by 44 points at Tennessee, and the Bulldogs don’t stand much of a chance of keeping this game competitive either against one of the SEC’s top teams. Auburn won both meetings with Georgia by 17 points on the road and 14 points at home last year. The Tigers are now 8-1 ATS in the last 9 meetings, and 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings at Auburn. Take Auburn.
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            • Can'tPickAWinner
              Super Moderator
              • Nov 2012
              • 372198

              #66
              Larry Ness

              Jan 12 '19, 4:00 PM in 3h
              NCAA-B | Georgia vs Auburn
              Play on: Auburn -12½ -109 at GTBets

              1* Free Play on Auburn.
              Georgia is 9-5 and Auburn is 11-3.
              Georgia comes in off an 82-63 win over Vanderbilt at home on Wednesday, while Auburn will be looking to return to form after a listless 82-67 road loss at Ole Miss last time out.
              If recent history is any precedence though, then Auburn has to be loving its chances for a bounce back performance this afternoon, as it’s taken two straight in this series, including a 78-61 road win last February 10th.
              The Bulldogs come in averaging 77.3 PPG, while allowing 71.8. Rayshaun Hammonds had 19 points in the latest victory.
              The Tigers are averaging 83.7 PPG though and they’re allowing just 65.7. Bryce Brown leads the nightly charge with 15.9 points.
              Note as well that Georgia is a poor 8-11 ATS in its last 19 off a win vs. a conference rival, while Auburn is 19-7 ATS in is last 26 as a home favorite.
              I believe Georgia has a letdown here in this difficult venue and off its satisfying road victory in its last outing, while everything points to Auburn putting the foot on the gas from start to finish after its latest setback.
              Consider the home side in this one.
              Good luck…Larry
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              • Can'tPickAWinner
                Super Moderator
                • Nov 2012
                • 372198

                #67
                Sal Michaels

                Jan 12 '19, 4:35 PM in 4h
                NFL | Colts vs Chiefs
                Play on: Colts +5½ -109 at GTBets

                Free Play on Colts +5½ -109
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                • Can'tPickAWinner
                  Super Moderator
                  • Nov 2012
                  • 372198

                  #68
                  Kenny Walker

                  Jan 12 '19, 4:35 PM in 4h
                  NFL | Colts vs Chiefs
                  Play on: Chiefs -5 -105 at Bovada

                  Free Pick on Chiefs
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                  • Can'tPickAWinner
                    Super Moderator
                    • Nov 2012
                    • 372198

                    #69
                    Mark Wilson

                    Jan 12 '19, 4:35 PM in 4h
                    NFL | Colts vs Chiefs
                    Play on: Chiefs -5 -102 at pinnacle

                    Free Play on Chiefs -5 -102
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                    • Can'tPickAWinner
                      Super Moderator
                      • Nov 2012
                      • 372198

                      #70
                      Hunter Price

                      Jan 12 '19, 5:00 PM in 4h
                      NCAA-B | Furman vs NC-Greensboro
                      Play on: NC-Greensboro -2½ -113 at pinnacle

                      1* Free Pick on NC-Greensboro -2½ -113
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                      • Can'tPickAWinner
                        Super Moderator
                        • Nov 2012
                        • 372198

                        #71
                        John Martin

                        Jan 12 '19, 5:05 PM in 4h
                        NBA | Grizzlies vs Heat
                        Play on: UNDER 197 -115

                        1 Unit FREE PLAY on Grizzlies/Heat UNDER 197
                        This is a rare matchup between two teams who get after it on defense. It’s also a matchup of two of the slowest teams in the NBA. The Grizzlies rank 30th in pace while the Heat rank 22nd in pace. Both teams rank among the Top 7 in defensive efficiency this season as well. The Grizzlies have failed to score more than 100 points in 16 of their last 20 games overall and haven’t scored more than 107 in any of those 20. Miami is 12-2 UNDER in its last 14 games off an upset win as a home underdog. The UNDER is 6-1 in Grizzlies last seven road games. The UNDER is 10-3 in Heat last 13 against Western Conference teams. Give me the UNDER.
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                        • Can'tPickAWinner
                          Super Moderator
                          • Nov 2012
                          • 372198

                          #72
                          Cole Faxon

                          Jan 12 '19, 7:00 PM in 6h
                          NCAA-B | New Hampshire vs Stony Brook
                          Play on: New Hampshire +17½ -109 at GTBets

                          FREE PLAY on New Hampshire +17½ -109
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                          • Can'tPickAWinner
                            Super Moderator
                            • Nov 2012
                            • 372198

                            #73
                            Doug Upstone

                            Jan 12 '19, 7:05 PM in 6h
                            NBA | Celtics vs Magic
                            Play on: UNDER 213½ -106

                            On Saturday night, Play Under on road teams like Boston when the total is to 200 or higher, revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite of 7 or more when playing their 3rd game in four days. Since 2014, the UNDER is 32-10!
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                            • Can'tPickAWinner
                              Super Moderator
                              • Nov 2012
                              • 372198

                              #74
                              Bobby Conn

                              Jan 12 '19, 8:15 PM in 7h
                              NFL | Cowboys vs Rams
                              Play on: Rams -7 -110 at sportsbook

                              1* Free Play on Rams -7 -110
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                              • Can'tPickAWinner
                                Super Moderator
                                • Nov 2012
                                • 372198

                                #75
                                Mike Williams

                                Jan 12 '19, 8:15 PM in 7h
                                NFL | Cowboys vs Rams
                                Play on: Rams -7 -110 at Bovada

                                1* on Rams -7 -110
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