Monday 2-4-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Louisiana Downs
Louisiana Downs - Race 3

Daily Double / Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta /.50 Pick 3 (Races 3-4-5)


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 330 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 53 • Purse: $3,300 • Post: 1:48P
QUARTER HORSE 330Y, FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * JHONNY CASH: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
7
JHONNY CASH
2/1

1/1




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
DASHIN AND STRUTTIN
1

8/1
Slow
0

0

0.0

0.0

0.0
2
FAST TEXAS JUSTICE
2

15/1
Slow
0

0

9.4

0.0

0.0
3
BIG BAD BARB
3

12/1
Slow
0

0

7.5

0.0

0.0
4
ROYAL JET BLACK
4

6/1
Average/Trouble-prone
0

0

4.3

0.0

0.0
5
RM MAKING SHINE
5

8/1
Slow
0

0

7.9

0.0

0.0
6
YES SIR
6

7/5
Average
0

0

4.8

0.0

0.0
7
JHONNY CASH
7

2/1
Average
52

45

0.0

0.0

0.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Louisiana Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Allowance - 870y on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 88

QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 5 JES A SPITFIRE 4/5

# 4 MR DESERT STREAK 5/2

# 3 STRUTTINTOFAME 5/1

I think JES A SPITFIRE is a very good choice. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the best class figures of this group. Is a strong contender based on figs put up lately under today's conditions. I like the jock on this mare - respectable chance to win the contest. MR DESERT STREAK - This gelding looks good for this race since Ellis has a solid win percentage with horses going this distance. Ellis has shown excellent profits (+92 ROI ) with horses in longer quarter horse events. STRUTTINTOFAME - He has put up very good figures under today's conditions and ought to fare well versus this group of horses. Has a sharp record at the distance and surface, which makes me think about this gelding.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Mahoning Valley Race Course - Race #7 - Post: 3:33pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,700 Class Rating: 59

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#8 DISCREETLY KISSED (ML=8/1)
#6 HYDRA'S HOPE (ML=12/1)


DISCREETLY KISSED - The return on investment when Bedford and Tooley team up is fantastic. Bedford rode this horse for the initial time last time out and comes right back this time. This filly's last figure garnered on December 17th is tops in last race speed ratings. HYDRA'S HOPE - This horse should be rumbling in the stretch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #4 A PRETTY HANSEN (ML=2/1), #2 MARI CHUY (ML=7/2), #3 FLY AWAY FLO (ML=4/1),

A PRETTY HANSEN - This entrant hasn't been on the track since December 17th. Not even any morning drills. Showed very little in the last event. Really can't expect any betterment today. MARI CHUY - This filly hasn't been showing me anything in the last two outings. FLY AWAY FLO - 4/1 is too low of a value to take on most any horse that has run poorly in back to back outings.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - DISCREETLY KISSED - I like to check out the TrackMaster Platinum PPs to look for the top entrant in earnings per start. This magnificent animal looks good to me so I'm making a prime wager on her.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #8 DISCREETLY KISSED to win if we can get at least 3/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.3f on the Dirt. Purse: $45000 Class Rating: 71

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 121 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 7 DIVA DRAMA 5/2

# 1 REIGNING FIRE 6/1

# 4 DON VITO'S KITTY 7/2

DIVA DRAMA looks very good to best this field. Must be given a chance here on the basis of the numbers in the speed section alone. Will almost certainly go to the front end and should never look back. Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt route events in this group. REIGNING FIRE - Respectable shot today with second time Lasix. This filly looks like a play at a price. DON VITO'S KITTY - Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group as of late. One of the most favorable win percentages between this jock and handler make this filly dangerous.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Turf Paradise
Turf Paradise - Race 5

$1 Exacta / $1 Quinella / $.50 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta $1 Double (Races 5-6) / $.50 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) / $.50 Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)


SO $8,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 4 and up • CR: 99 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 2:39P
(PLUS UP TO 10% PLUS 10%) FOR FOUR YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $6,250 OR LESS SINCE FEBRUARY 4, 2017 OR CLAIMING PRICE $8,000. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JANUARY 4 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000. ARIZONA BRED CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. SERBIAN SYCLONE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * SERBIAN SYCLONE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
1
SERBIAN SYCLONE
7/5

5/2




P#

Horse (In Running Style Order)

Post

Morn
Line

Running Style

Good
Class

Good
Speed

Early Figure

Finish Figure

Platinum
Figure
1
SERBIAN SYCLONE
1

7/5
Front-runner
99

103

102.4

98.2

95.2
7
SATELLITE STORM
7

6/1
Front-runner
95

88

89.8

82.8

70.8
3
ALPINE LUCK
3

5/1
Front-runner
96

89

84.0

84.2

75.2
4
METAL MAGIC
4

9/2
Front-runner
95

90

77.4

81.2

70.7
5
DOC CURLIN
5

6/1
Alternator/Front-runner
99

96

57.2

75.4

70.9
2
ESTIQAA
2

20/1
Alternator/Stalker
98

93

64.0

86.2

74.7
6
FIRE THE TRAINER
6

4/1
Trailer
97

83

53.8

87.6

82.1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Turf Paradise - Race #2 - Post: 1:12pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 77

Rating: Golden DollarGolden DollarGolden DollarGolden Dollar

#1 AYE AYE OH (ML=8/1)
#6 OUT TRUMP'D HER (ML=3/1)
#2 HERETOPLAY (ML=7/2)


AYE AYE OH - The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let her get away early they probably won't catch her. I like to invest in this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a sharp outing within the last thirty days. I think this mare is ready to run a good one. She's had enough outings since the vacation and should be fit. OUT TRUMP'D HER - The jock and handler combination have a positive return on investment when they join forces. I like to play this handicapping angle, a thoroughbred coming back off a strong outing within the last thirty days. I like the hard fact that this filly's last speed figure, 75, is tops in this bunch. HERETOPLAY - I certainly see positive things for this racer right here.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 AIKMAN'S GAL (ML=2/1), #3 COASTAL CURVES (ML=5/1), #4 SASSY ROSE (ML=6/1),

AIKMAN'S GAL - A come from behinder like this one needs a speed duel to set things up and she isn't likely to get one in this one. COASTAL CURVES - Didn't land in the top three on Dec 16th at Turf Paradise. Followed it up with another lackluster outing. There may be a set back this time, after the strong effort in the last race. SASSY ROSE - Should have at least finished in the money in the last couple of months in a sprint contest to be worth it at minimal odds in a sprint.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#1 AYE AYE OH to win at post-time odds of 7/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6] Box [1,2]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA Power Poll
Tony Mejia

Division Rankings

1) Northwest
2) Southwest
3) Atlantic
4) Pacific
5) Central
6) Southeast

First Team All-NBA
F- Kawhi Leonard, Toronto
F- Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee
C- Joel Embiid, Philadelphia
G- Stephen Curry, Golden State
G- James Harden, Houston

Second Team All-NBA
F- LeBron James, L.A. Lakers
F- Kevin Durant, Golden State
C- Nikola Jokic, Denver
G- Damian Lillard, Portland
G- Russell Westbrook, OKC

Third Team All-NBA
F- Paul George, OKC
F- Blake Griffin, Detroit
C- Anthony Davis, New Orleans
G- Kyle Lowry, Toronto
G- Kyrie Irving, Boston

2018-19 NBA Finals Prediction

Golden State over Boston - Slow start aside, the Warriors will have an easier time getting out of the West than they did last season since they won't be facing elimination at any point. The East will supply the playoff drama thanks to a Game 7 between the Raptors and Celtics up in the newly renamed Scotiabank Arena that will wind up delivering the latest playoff heartache for Canadian basketball fans. In the Finals, the Dubs will handle the Celtics to secure a three-peat and their fourth title in a five-year span.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Monday, February 4

Nuggets won their last six games; they’re 0-4-1 vs spread in last five road games. Three of their last four games stayed under. Pistons lost five of their last seven games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four home games. Under is 10-2-1 in their last 13 games. Denver won six of last nine games with Detroit; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five trips to the Motor City. Seven of last eight series games stayed under.

Hawks lost five of their last eight games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six road games. Six of their last seven games went over. Washington lost three of its last four games; they covered seven of last eight home games. Three of their last four games went over. Wizards won six of last nine games with Atlanta; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Hawks are 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits to Washington.

Milwaukee won 16 of its last 19 games; they’re 6-1 vs spread in last seven road games. Under is 7-4 in their last 11 road games. Brooklyn lost three of last four games; they’re 4-2-1 vs spread in las seven home games. Under is 4-2 in their last six home games. Bucks won nine of last ten games with the Nets (7-3 vs spread); they covered three of last four trips to Brooklyn. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games.

Pacers are 1-4 since Oladipo got hurt, with road losses by 3-18-18 points. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. New Orleans lost five of its last six games; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six home games. Six of their last nine home games stayed under. Pelicans won three of last four games with Indiana; eight of last ten series games stayed under the total. Pacers are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to New Orleans.

Houston won four of its last six games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six road games. Nine of their last 12 games went over the total. Suns lost their last ten games; they’re 2-8-1 vs spread in last 11 home games. Four of their last five home game stayed under. Rockets won their last eight games with Phoenix (5-3 vs spread); they covered four of last five visits to the desert. Last three series games stayed under the total.

Spurs won their last five games (2-3 vs spread); they’re 7-2 vs spread in last nine road games. Five of their last six games went over. Sacramento won three of its last four games and covered its last six home games. Under is 11-1-1 in their last 13 games. San Antonio won nine of last ten games with the Kings; they’re 2-2-1 vs spread in their last five visits to Sacramento. Six of last eight series games went over the total.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Monday, February 4

Trend Report

Atlanta Hawks
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
Atlanta is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Washington
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Atlanta is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington Wizards
Washington is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games
Washington is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games
Washington is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games at home
Washington is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games at home
Washington is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Washington is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta
Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Denver Nuggets
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 11 games
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Denver is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
Denver is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing Detroit
Denver is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Denver is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit Pistons
Detroit is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Detroit's last 13 games
Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
Detroit is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing Denver
Detroit is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing at home against Denver
Detroit is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee is 13-5-1 ATS in its last 19 games
Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 13 games
Milwaukee is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 16 games on the road
Milwaukee is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Brooklyn
Milwaukee is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 17 games when playing Brooklyn
Milwaukee is 13-2-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 9 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
Brooklyn is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Brooklyn is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home
Brooklyn is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Milwaukee
Brooklyn is 1-11 SU in its last 12 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Brooklyn's last 17 games when playing Milwaukee
Brooklyn is 2-13-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
Brooklyn is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Brooklyn's last 9 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Indiana Pacers
Indiana is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Indiana is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 9 games
Indiana is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Indiana is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 11 games on the road
Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
Indiana is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Indiana is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
New Orleans Pelicans
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New Orleans's last 11 games at home
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
New Orleans is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Indiana
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana
New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana

Houston Rockets
Houston is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games
Houston is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Houston's last 14 games when playing Phoenix
Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Houston's last 11 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Phoenix is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Phoenix's last 14 games when playing Houston
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
Phoenix is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Phoenix's last 11 games when playing at home against Houston

San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio is 16-8 ATS in its last 24 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 6 games
San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games on the road
San Antonio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
San Antonio is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 8 games when playing Sacramento
San Antonio is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
San Antonio is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 12 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento Kings
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Sacramento's last 13 games
Sacramento is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Sacramento is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Sacramento is 1-14 SU in its last 15 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing San Antonio
Sacramento is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio
Sacramento is 2-18 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 12 games when playing at home against San Antonio

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, February 4

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (37 - 15) at DETROIT (22 - 29) - 2/4/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
DETROIT is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (17 - 35) at WASHINGTON (22 - 30) - 2/4/2019, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
WASHINGTON is 60-77 ATS (-24.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 30-47 ATS (-21.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 9-8 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 11-6 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (38 - 13) at BROOKLYN (28 - 26) - 2/4/2019, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 379-461 ATS (-128.1 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 60-107 ATS (-57.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 204-253 ATS (-74.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 76-59 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BROOKLYN is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 139-104 ATS (+24.6 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 92-64 ATS (+21.6 Units) after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 4-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (33 - 19) at NEW ORLEANS (23 - 30) - 2/4/2019, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 77-62 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 49-36 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (30 - 22) at PHOENIX (11 - 43) - 2/4/2019, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 60-74 ATS (-21.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHOENIX is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) after allowing 115 points or more this season.
PHOENIX is 32-46 ATS (-18.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 31-45 ATS (-18.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 18-28 ATS (-12.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PHOENIX is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-0 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (32 - 22) at SACRAMENTO (27 - 25) - 2/4/2019, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 31-22 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 851-725 ATS (+53.5 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 20-2 ATS (+17.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 122-91 ATS (+21.9 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
SACRAMENTO is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, February 4


Denver @ Denver

Game 531-532
February 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
123.859
Denver
114.964
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 9
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4
209
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-4); Under

Atlanta @ Washington

Game 533-534
February 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
110.808
Washington
118.614
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 8
234
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 6
232 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-6); Over

Milwaukee @ Brooklyn

Game 535-536
February 4, 2019 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
127.815
Brooklyn
117.447
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 10 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 7
228 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-7); Under

Indiana @ New Orleans

Game 537-538
February 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
118.655
New Orleans
106.085
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 12 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-1 1/2); Over

Houston @ Phoenix

Game 539-540
February 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
122.368
Phoenix
106.353
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 16
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 8
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-8); Under

San Antonio @ Sacramento

Game 541-542
February 4, 2019 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
121.200
Sacramento
117.542
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 3 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 1 1/2
227
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-1 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday's Essentials
Tony Mejia

Game of the Night - San Antonio at Sacramento (-1.5, 227), 10:05 ET, NBATV

The Spurs weren’t supposed to be ahead in the Southwest Division when their annual “Rodeo Road Trip” came around this season, so they’ll be living out of their luggage playing with house money.

Don’t call it a free-roll though. There’s plenty at stake as the city’s pro basketball gets out of Dodge to make way for the annual San Antonio Stock Show and Rodeo. This annual exodus has happened every year since 2003 and doubles as the time where Gregg Popovich likes to see his team truly gel in preparation for the latest title run after his group went 8-1 over the course of the first one, ultimately winning a championship.

With Kawhi Leonard out last season, the Spurs took the step back everyone had been expecting and prematurely counting on for years, so the trip has taken on a different feel. This season has come out of nowhere since not even Pop expected DeMar DeRozan to get so well acclimated immediately and the defensive capacity of Leonard and Danny Green to be adequately replaced.

Last season marked only the second losing “Rodeo trip” out of 18 excursions, producing a 2-4 finish in what was a brutal season by Spurs standards. They finished 47-35 and were swept out by Golden State and weren’t counted on to be among the Western Conference’s top-eight given LeBron James’ arrival and the expected emergence of teams like the Pelicans and Nuggets.

As this season’s eight-game roadie begins, the Spurs have won five consecutive contests and hold a one-game edge on the Rockets in the division. The rest of the division is stuck under .500 and few would expect the Pels, Mavs or Grizzlies to make a run, so it’s entirely conceivable that the Spurs will win the Southwest and potentially even open the playoffs at home. As the week opens, they rank fifth in the West and would play the Trail Blazers if the postseason opened today, but roughly 30 games remain for most and plenty remains to be decided.

With Chris Paul back and James Harden among the frontrunners for MVP, the Rockets will be expected to nose back out in front of San Antonio, which came into the season with 12-to-1 odds to win the Southwest Division according to the Westgate LV Superbook. Houston was a 1/10 favorite, which means you would’ve had to wager $1000 for every buck you wanted to win for it to come through. This would’ve been an awful bet and you’re being punished for making it if you did so.

For the rest of us, the Spurs’ resurgence has been a terrific story. Despite losing projected starting point guard Dejounte Murray in the preseason, Derrick White and Bryn Forbes have stepped up alongside veteran Patty Mills, while Rudy Gay has been incredibly efficient in his starting role alongside DeRozan and All-Star LaMarcus Aldridge, doing whatever has been asked of him.

San Antonio is 90-43 on this February roadie since ’03, which is absolutely remarkable considering what a challenge it is to win in opposing an arena. The Spurs’ winning percentage is .677.

For DeRozan, this annual trip will be a new experience, but most have already been through at least one of these roadies that Popovich counts on to improve camaraderie. Despite his team’s winning streak, the veteran head coach hasn’t been a happy camper, calling out his team for disrespecting the Suns with their lack of effort last week despite winning on a Gay jumper at the buzzer. San Antonio comes off a victory over depleted New Orleans, which had a chance to tie the game despite trailing by 22 points with just over five minutes remaining. The Pelicans have been victimized twice by the Spurs on their five-game run, while the team’s other wins have come against the Wizards, Nets and Suns. Only Brooklyn has a winning record among that group.

The level of competition intensifies since all but two of the eight opponents they’ll see before returning home to host the Pistons at the end of the month is currently over .500. After visiting the Kings, San Antonio will play at the Warriors, Trail Blazers, Jazz and Grizzlies prior to the All-Star break. The Spurs will resume action in Toronto on Feb. 22 before facing Brooklyn and New York on consecutive nights prior to returning to South Texas.

Getting off to a strong start in Sacramento is vital considering a back-to-back in Oakland and Portland awaits mid-week. The Spurs will be a heavy underdog in all their games this week with the exception of this one. They’re favored on the road for just the eighth time this season in this one and come in 4-3 SU/3-4 ATS in this situation.

San Antonio’s defense has slipped over the past month due to poor communication, so it’s not ideal that they’ll be without White, the point guard who has stepped up as an x-factor on both sides of the ball while serving as the team’s top on-ball defender. The Spurs have only held two opponents under 100 points over their last dozen games and will need their transition defense to come up a few notches to contain the Kings, who employ a pace faster than most NBA teams and bring a lot of athleticism to the mix, which is something the Spurs have struggled with.

Sacramento opens play this week just one game behind the Clippers for the eighth and final playoff spot in the Western Conference. It is a half-game up on the Lakers and look to continue making inroads on a six-game homestand that has opened with wins over the Hawks and 76ers.

The Rockets, Heat and Suns come into town after San Antonio, so this will be a crucial stretch for them as well. Rookie forward Marvin Bagley III has given the team a boost with his productive energy off the bench and is averaging 16.2 points and 10 rebounds over his last five games. After producing three triple-doubles between the start of the season and Jan. 12, Bagley has registered four over his last nine contests. Buddy Hield has also impressed in becoming a more consistent scorer and knocked down seven 3-pointers to help upset Philly on Saturday night, finishing with 34 points. Sacramento is 8-5 when he scored more than 25.

The Kings won the only meeting against the Spurs thus far this season, posting 104-99 win on Nov. 12 to snap a 14-game losing streak against San Antonio. They capitalized off turnovers, using their speed to create issues in overcoming DeRozan’s 23 points and eight boards. Bogdan Bogdanovic led Sacramento with 22 points. The ‘under’ connected in that game and has gone 11-1-1 over the last 13 Kings games. The Spurs have won an unbelievable 42 of 46 meetings between these teams since the last time they lost consecutive games – back in the 2006 first round of the playoffs. They’ll be look to avoid that fate tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hoop Trends - Monday
Vince Akins

ATS Play ON Trend of the Day:

-- The Bucks are 12-0 ATS (+15.50 ppg) on the road with less than two days rest off a double-digit win in which they scored at least fifteen points more in the first than in the second half and it is before the All-Star break.

ATS Play AGAINST Trend of the Day:

-- The Suns are 0-14 ATS (-9.04 ppg) as a dog off a home game in which they had at least five turnovers less than their season-to-date average and it is before the All-Star break.

OU Play OVER Trend of the Day:

-- The Pelicans are 9-0 OU (+17.44 ppg) off a road game in which they had at least five turnovers less than their season-to-date average and it is before the All-Star break.

OU Play UNDER Trend of the Day:

-- The Spurs are 0-16 OU (-11.00 ppg) when the line is within three of pick with less than two days rest off a win as a favorite and they are facing a team that is averaging more than 24 assists per game and it is before the All-Star break.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

By: Monique Vág



What defense?

The Wizards host the Hawks with Washington listed as 6.5-point home favorites. The Wizards are coming off a 131-115 loss to Milwaukee on Saturday, and the Hawks are coming off a 118-112 win versus the Suns.

Both defenses rank in the bottom three of the NBA in points per game, surrendering over 115.6 a contest and allowing opponents to shoot over 47 percent from the floor. In what should be a high scoring affair played with minimal defense, back the game total Over 232.


What Offense?

Both the Nuggets and Pistons rank in the top 10 in opponent points per game, with Denver surrendering 106.1, and Detroit 108.3. Offensively, the Nuggets are averaging only 106.9 points per game away from home – substantially lower than their 116.5 at home.

With the Under hitting in five of the last six when playing at Little Caesars Arena, and seven of the last eight overall in the head-to-head, back the game total Under 211.


In for a big night against his former team

The Milwaukee Bucks travel to Brooklyn to take on the Nets having won nine of the last 10 games in the head-to-head, and 11 of their last 12 overall. The Nets have been playing well at home overall, posting a 16-11 record and winning five straight at Barclays Center.

Look for Bucks center Brook Lopez to have success today versus a Nets team surrendering an average of 25 points on 52.2 percent shooting, and 17.6 rebounds per game to opposing centers. Back Over his points, rebounds, assists total of 19.5.


Kicking them while they’re down

Indiana has lost four of their last five games while failing to score over 101 points in three straight contests. Today the Pacers take on a Pelicans team who have played well on their home court this season, posting a 15-9 record and averaging 117.6 points per game.

Although the Pels have lost two straight games they were versus quality teams in the Nuggets and Spurs and they should be happy to return home today. Take the 3-points with New Orleans as the Pacers have really struggled without Victor Oladipo.


Owning the head-to-head in Sac-town

The Spurs put their five-game winning streak on the line as they take on the Kings who have won 16 of 26 at home this season but have historically struggled versus San Antonio.
The Spurs have won 18 of the last 20 games when playing on the road at Sacramento.

With the Spurs' playing some of their best basketball of the season and scoring no less than 113 points over their last five contests, look for them to find success and continue to dominate the matchup versus the Kings. Back San Antonio on the money line as small favorites.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Monday's Tip Sheet
David Schwab

College Basketball Betting Tip Sheet- Monday, Feb. 4 Three of Monday night’s top college basketball Betting Matchups feature a pair of nationally ranked teams from the ACC and the Big 12.

In a head-to-head showdown between ranked teams in the ACC, No. 15 Louisville will be on the road against No. 12 Virginia Tech as part of ESPN’s Big Monday doubleheader. In the other matchup, the Big 12’s West Virginia Mountaineers will square off against No. 16 Texas Tech. As a bonus game in that same conference, No. 20 Iowa State takes on Oklahoma in Norman.

No. 15 Louisville Cardinals at No. 12 Virginia Tech Hokies (ESPN , 7:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Virginia Tech -5 ½, Total 140

Betting Matchup

Saturday’s 79-69 loss to North Carolina as a slight 1 ½-point home underdog ended Louisville’s recent straight-up six-game winning streak. This was just the third time in their last nine games that the Cardinals failed to cover against the spread.

The total stayed UNDER 158 points against the Tar Heels and it has stayed UNDER in five of their last seven games. Sophomore forward Jordan Nwora leads Louisville (16-6 SU, 12-9-1 ATS) in scoring with 17.9 points per game, but was held to 11 points in Saturday’s loss.

In the ultimate defensive grinder, Virginia Tech almost doubled up North Carolina State on Saturday with a 47-24 victory as a three-point road underdog. The Hokies have won their last three games SU and ATS with the total staying UNDER in two of those contests.

They are tied with Louisville in the ACC standings at 7-2 as part of a SU record of 18-3. Virginia Tech is 13-8 ATS this season with a 7-4 record ATS at home. Junior forward Kerry Blackshear scored 13 points with 13 rebounds to help pace Saturday’s win.

Betting Trends

-- The Cardinals have covered in six of their last seven road games with the total staying UNDER in six of those seven contests.

-- The Hokies are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games played on Monday with the total staying UNDER in seven of those last nine Monday games.

-- The underdog has gone 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings and the total has gone OVER in four of those five games.


West Virginia Mountaineers at No. 16 Texas Tech Red Raiders (ESPN, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Iowa State -1, Total 144 ½

Betting Matchup

West Virginia doubled its Big 12 victories this season with Saturday’s 79-71 upset against Oklahoma as a 2 ½-point home underdog. Its only other SU victory in conference play came against Kansas at home on Jan. 19 against seven losses.

Freshman guard Brandon Knapper came of the bench to score 25 points in Saturday’s win. The Mountaineers are 5-4 ATS in the Big 12 and they did manage to cover as 4 ½-point home underdogs in a 62-59 loss to Texas Tech on Jan. 2.

The Red Raiders fell to 5-4 SU in conference play with Saturday’s 79-63 road loss to Kansas as 4 ½-point underdogs. This was their fourth loss in their last six games SU while going a costly 1-5 ATS. Texas Tech (17-5 SU) is 12-1 at home this season with a 4-8-1 record ATS.

The total has stayed UNDER in 14 of its 22 games played overall. Sophomore guard Jarrett Culver is averaging 18.1 points, 6.8 rebounds and 3.8 assists a game. However, he was held to 10 points with six rebounds and one assist against Kansas.

Betting Trends

-- The Mountaineers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games with the total going OVER in five of the seven road games.

-- The Red Raiders have a 5-15-1 record ATS in their last 21 games following a SU loss. The total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 13 games at home.

-- The road team is 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings and the total has gone OVER in five of the last seven meetings at Texas Tech.


No. 20 Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma Sooners (ESPN2, 9:00 p.m. ET)

Opening Odds: Texas Tech -12 ½, Total 135 ½

Betting Matchup

Iowa State beat Texas 65-60 on Saturday, but it could not cover as an eight-point home favorite. The Cyclones are 6-3 in the Big 12 both SU and ATS. The total stayed UNDER 139 ½-points against Texas after going OVER in the previous three games.

This was the first time the Cyclones (17-5 SU, 14-8 ATS) failed to score at least 76 points in their last four starts. Their overall scoring average this season is 79 points behind senior guard Marial Shayok’s 19.2-point scoring average. He was held to 12 points in Saturday’s win. Saturday’s loss to West Virginia was the Sooners’ fourth SU setback in their last six games as part of a 3-6 record in the conference. They are 15-7 SU overall while going a productive 15-5-2 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in 14 of those 22 games.

Oklahoma has covered in five of eight home games this season. Senior guard Christian James (16.0 points) and sophomore forward Brady Manek (11.4 points) have accounted for the bulk of the scoring as the only two players in double figures.

Betting Trends

-- The Cyclones have a 2-6-1 record ATS in their last nine Monday games and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of their last 12 conference games.

-- The Sooners are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games against a team with a SU winning record with the total staying UNDER in eight of their last 10 home games.

-- Iowa State has an 8-1 edge ATS over the last nine meetings and the total has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 13 games between the two.