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INDIANA -4
MINNESOTA @ INDIANA | 2/28 | 7:00 PM EST
11:10 AM
The Timberwolves have lost six of their last seven games on the road, which included an eight-point loss to the Hawks on Wednesday. They'll face a much tougher opponent in the Pacers, who have covered five of their last six games at home and are 18-13 ATS there, overall. I'll take the Pacers to cover once again in this contest.
35-21-2 IN LAST 58 NBA ATS PICKS | +1174
5-1 IN LAST 6 IND ATS PICKS | +388
GOLDEN ST. -6
GOLDEN ST. @ ORLANDO | 2/28 | 7:00 PM EST
12:17 AM
The Warriors enjoy playing in Orlando -- they've covered five straight visits -- and will be eager to erase the bad taste from Wednesday's heartbreaking loss in Miami. Golden State sits just a half-game ahead of Denver for the No. 1 seed in the West. Lay it before this line rises.
30-15-1 IN LAST 46 NBA ATS PICKS | +1364
29-20-2 IN LAST 51 GS ATS PICKS | +784
DENVER -6
UTAH @ DENVER | 2/28 | 10:30 PM EST
12:11 AM
This is the second game of a back-to-back for the Jazz against a Nuggets team that's 27-4 at home and comes in on a 5-0 SU and 4-1 ATS run. Denver also has won and covered five straight home meetings with Utah. The Jazz are formidable, but they might not have Ricky Rubio, who left Wednesday's win with a hamstring issue. This is just a bad spot for them. Lay it.
30-15-1 IN LAST 46 NBA ATS PICKS | +1364
25-12-3 IN LAST 40 DEN ATS PICKS | +1188
MIAMI +9.5
MIAMI @ HOUSTON | 2/28 | 8:00 PM EST
9:36 AM
Miami shocked Golden State Wednesday on a Dwyane Wade buzzer-beating 3. That was without Hassan Whiteside. Whiteside is out again Thursday, but Miami is 13-7 ATS as a road underdog. Houston has won three straight but all by single digits. My projection model sees another single-digit win for the Rockets, but the Heat cover in 60 percent of my simulations.
55-34 IN LAST 89 NBA PICKS | +1814
21-13 IN LAST 34 HOU ATS PICKS | +695
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