Monday 3-4-19 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Monday, March 4


Edmonton @ Buffalo

Game 17-18
March 4, 2019 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
11.681
Buffalo
10.030
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(+105); Over

Toronto @ Calgary

Game 19-20
March 4, 2019 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
11.086
Calgary
12.228
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Calgary
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
-135
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Calgary
(-135); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy Brunson

Monday comp play is Under the total in Virginia-Syracuse.

Here we have the Cavaliers who are allowing a mere 54.1 points per game, while we also have an Orange team that is not too shabby on the stop end with just 64.8 points per game surrendered.

The Cavaliers have played Under the total in 6 of their last 9 ACC games this year, and on the road Tony Bennett's team has gone 37-14-1 Under the total their last 52 lined games!

The Orange just held Wake Forest to 54 points in their Saturday win over the Demon Deacons, as Syracuse has now been Under the total in 6 of their last 8 on the year. For the year, the 'Cuse is 18-11 Under the total, and I do not see that decided Under trend changing tonight against the defensively-stingy Cavaliers.

This is the only regular season meeting between the ACC rivals, and if it's anything like last year's meeting at the Carrier Dome, then you can mark up your Under ticket as a winner, as last year's meeting on the Orange's court saw a 59-44 Cavs win in a game that held Under the total.

It's a low total posted, but with these 2 teams playing, I think the Under is the way to look.

Virginia-Syracuse Low.

3* VIRGINIA-SYRACUSE UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ray Chadwick

Monday's free play release will be Brooklyn at home over Dallas.

The Mavericks head into this game off a red-flag raising 81-111 home loss to the Memphis Grizzlies their last time out, as Dallas has now dropped 7 of their last 9 games straight up. With the points it has been no better, as the Mavericks have also failed in 7 of those last 9 games played too!

The Nets haven't exactly been tearing it up of late either, as they enter this home game with losses in their last 3, and are just 3-6 straight up their last 9 games played, but I say they get things turned around tonight against a Dallas team that has only won 6 times away from home all season in their 30 road games contested.

It does not appear that Brooklyn is going to be able to get back to their torrid clip that saw them win 20 of 26 through the end of January, but they are still in pretty good shape to make the postseason in the Eastern Conference. A win here would go a long way, especially with a home game against a bad Cleveland team on-deck, and then another winnable game at Atlanta rounding out their next 3 games.

Dallas took the first meeting of the season between the teams on their home floor all the way back in November just before Thanksgiving. That win snapped a 2 game series win and cover streak by the Nets.

I am backing Brooklyn tonight as the home favorite to post this win and cover.

2* BROOKLYN

[conhog]

Brandon Lang
Monday Selection -
My 25 Dime selection is on Virginia over Syracuse. The current line on this game is the Cavaliers -6 in Vegas and offshore at 11:40 am eastern time. Be sure to shop around for the best price available.



NOTE: As of 1:40 pm EST the line is now -5 1/2.



ANALYSIS

They just can't cover versus the elite of the elite on their home floor.

Catching this same +5 1/2 number against Duke two Saturday's ago, they led by 5 at the half in complete control of the game.

The 2nd half they wilted, their best player couldn't make a shot, they missed critical free throws and it all added up to a non covering loss 75-65.

Don't look now but the Orange are now 1-10 ATS last 11 home games when facing a team with a winning road % of greater than .600.

And here comes the 26-2 Virginia Cavaliers.

Since suffering their 2nd loss of the year at home to Duke 81-71, the Cavs have won 6 in a row SU and 4 in a row ATS.

Included in this current winning streak are a 6-point road win at Virginia Tech and a 12 point road win at Louisville.

I'm sorry folks, the clear cut right side of this game is Virginia.

Where Syracuse does everything wrong in close games versus great teams, the Cavs do everything right.

With a win tonight and then Saturday over Louisville at home, the Cavs can win the ACC regular season championship with a tad bit of help.

They will need North Carolina at home to beat Duke on Saturday and I believe the Tar Heels will do just that.

Look for Virginia to be focused and laser sharp against this Orange team that like I said, isn't the smartest team I have ever seen.

Lay a little road wood tonight.